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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 7-7 | 42-32 | 181-190 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 9-7 | 43-40 | 240-221 | | in all lined games | 7-7 | 42-32 | 181-190 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 7-7 | 36-39 | 176-206 | | as a favorite | 3-1 | 14-12 | 74-78 | 0-0 | 13-9 | 52-43 | 4-0 | 19-7 | 115-44 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-0 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 15-8 | | in road games | 0-5 | 15-16 | 91-90 | 0-0 | 15-8 | 46-52 | 0-5 | 9-23 | 66-131 | | in road lined games | 0-5 | 15-16 | 91-90 | 0-0 | 15-8 | 46-52 | 0-5 | 9-22 | 59-124 | | against conference opponents | 2-3 | 24-18 | 125-127 | 0-0 | 23-13 | 78-67 | 3-2 | 26-16 | 130-132 | | in January games | 1-0 | 10-7 | 58-57 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 34-28 | 1-0 | 10-7 | 64-61 | | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 16-11 | 77-73 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 44-38 | 3-2 | 15-12 | 91-87 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-3 | 17-9 | 54-59 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 27-38 | 2-4 | 19-12 | 71-66 | | after a conference game | 3-1 | 25-15 | 113-125 | 0-0 | 21-14 | 71-69 | 4-1 | 25-17 | 127-134 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 15-8 | 55-64 | 0-0 | 14-8 | 41-37 | 2-0 | 15-10 | 61-68 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-2 | 16-13 | 73-79 | 0-0 | 14-11 | 50-42 | 2-2 | 16-14 | 126-76 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 10-8 | 46-50 | 0-0 | 10-8 | 33-27 | 0-0 | 11-7 | 56-46 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 6-1 | 18-14 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 24-12 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-1 | 9-3 | 30-26 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 18-14 | 2-0 | 8-4 | 47-25 |
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| in all games | 6-5 | 30-27 | 78-84 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 5-10 | 23-49 | 87-111 | | in all lined games | 6-5 | 30-27 | 78-84 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 4-7 | 18-41 | 67-99 | | as an underdog | 6-4 | 27-22 | 56-51 | 1-0 | 22-17 | 50-43 | 4-6 | 15-36 | 35-74 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 4-2 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 9-4 | | in all home games | 2-2 | 10-11 | 31-31 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 33-28 | 2-4 | 13-17 | 50-33 | | in home lined games | 2-2 | 10-11 | 31-31 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 33-28 | 1-3 | 9-14 | 35-30 | | against conference opponents | 2-2 | 17-19 | 54-60 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 58-54 | 0-4 | 11-27 | 53-64 | | in January games | 0-1 | 9-6 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 23-25 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 25-27 | | on Saturday games | 2-0 | 13-10 | 33-31 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 33-29 | 1-2 | 10-17 | 39-36 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 5-1 | 12-9 | 29-24 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 25-21 | 3-3 | 10-14 | 36-28 | | after a conference game | 2-1 | 17-17 | 55-56 | 0-0 | 17-14 | 50-58 | 1-3 | 12-25 | 53-64 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 1-2 | 5-10 | 17-22 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 19-17 | 1-2 | 5-12 | 22-22 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 10-11 | 28-29 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 29-27 | 0-3 | 7-17 | 25-35 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-2 | 9-9 | 15-17 | 1-0 | 8-5 | 16-10 | 2-5 | 5-16 | 11-25 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-0 | 10-3 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 14-8 | 1-2 | 6-12 | 13-15 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-1 | 12-9 | 38-38 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 33-36 | 2-3 | 7-21 | 31-55 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 4-4 | 21-21 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15-27 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 19-23 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 9-7 | +3.3 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 68.3 | 32.5 | 42.2% | 36.1 | 65.8 | 32.9 | 41.0% | 36.5 | | Road Games | 1-6 | -2.3 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 60.0 | 27.3 | 36.6% | 35.3 | 76.4 | 38.3 | 46.4% | 37.1 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 70.4 | 36.8 | 40.8% | 37.2 | 72.6 | 35.2 | 42.9% | 37.8 | | Conference Games | 3-2 | +1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 69.6 | 32.6 | 40.2% | 38.0 | 67.4 | 33.8 | 43.0% | 34.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.3 | 32.5 | 23-56 | 42.2% | 5-16 | 33.9% | 16-24 | 66.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.6 | 32.8 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 14-21 | 67.3% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.0 | 27.3 | 21-57 | 36.6% | 5-17 | 29.9% | 13-21 | 62.0% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 17 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.8 | 32.9 | 23-56 | 41.0% | 6-20 | 28.4% | 14-21 | 65.9% | 36 | 10 | 11 | 22 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 31.5 | 24-57 | 41.4% | 6-19 | 31.8% | 14-20 | 67.8% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 76.4 | 38.3 | 27-58 | 46.4% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 17-25 | 66.5% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 5 |
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| All Games | 5-10 | +0.6 | 6-5 | 1-0 | 61.7 | 30.1 | 38.2% | 33.5 | 66.9 | 31.3 | 44.1% | 40.1 | | Home Games | 3-4 | -0.6 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 63.0 | 31.1 | 39.3% | 33.6 | 65.6 | 28.4 | 44.1% | 39.9 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -1.4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 60.4 | 29.8 | 35.5% | 35.8 | 65.0 | 31.4 | 45.9% | 39.6 | | Conference Games | 0-4 | -5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 60.0 | 33.5 | 37.7% | 32.5 | 67.5 | 33.5 | 44.0% | 41.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.7 | 30.1 | 23-60 | 38.2% | 7-23 | 30.5% | 9-12 | 69.6% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.9 | 32.4 | 24-58 | 42.2% | 6-20 | 32.9% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 63.0 | 31.1 | 24-61 | 39.3% | 7-21 | 31.8% | 9-13 | 63.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.9 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 13-20 | 64.3% | 40 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67 | 31.3 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 14-20 | 67.6% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.6 | 28.4 | 24-54 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 32.0% | 12-18 | 68.0% | 40 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ARK-LITTLE ROCK 68.4, TROY 67.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TROY is 4-4 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-3 straight up against TROY since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TROY is 2-1 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-1 against the spread versus TROY since 1997 | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-1 straight up against TROY since 1997 | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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11/29/2012 | TROY | 56 | | ATS | 33 | 24-63 | 38.1% | 6-22 | 27.3% | 2-2 | 100.0% | 36 | 14 | 11 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 58 | -9 | SU | 28 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 4-15 | 26.7% | 14-22 | 63.6% | 38 | 12 | 10 | 2/18/2012 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 74 | -5 | SU ATS | 24 | 22-57 | 38.6% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 21-27 | 77.8% | 36 | 11 | 14 | | | TROY | 62 | 138.5 | Under | 29 | 19-51 | 37.3% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 37 | 9 | 17 | 1/8/2011 | TROY | 73 | 146 | ATS | 27 | 27-63 | 42.9% | 12-29 | 41.4% | 7-9 | 77.8% | 34 | 7 | 12 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 76 | -7 | SU Over | 41 | 19-52 | 36.5% | 13-25 | 52.0% | 25-35 | 71.4% | 41 | 9 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 50% of the time since 1997. (153-153) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (77-70) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-18) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 11/30/2012 - Casey Wilmath out for season ( Dismissed ) | | [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Mareik Isom out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee ) |
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