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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 5:30 PM
AUBURN (9-21) AT MISSISSIPPI ST (8-21) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
591: AUBURN
592: MISSISSIPPI ST
132.5
+2.0
64.7 / 68.5
60.1 / 69.8
9-21
8-21
12-15
10-15
4-4
5-3
40.8
40.1
69.4
66.4
31.5
27.4
43.1
44.0
67.1
68.7
34.2
34.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
AUBURN-1 
MISSISSIPPI ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
AUBURN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1538-34207-1984-421-34128-1159-2135-57266-234
in all lined games12-1538-34207-1984-421-34128-1158-2023-53191-225
when the total is 130 to 139.52-017-858-462-012-1462-441-110-1642-64
as a favorite1-24-986-850-04-539-393-18-6130-46
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-00-01-50-00-00-20-00-01-5
in road games6-419-1079-701-110-1251-422-85-2546-116
in road lined games6-419-1079-701-110-1251-422-85-2539-115
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-05-014-60-03-213-70-01-46-14
against conference opponents7-1029-21138-1311-413-2687-823-1412-39107-171
in March games0-23-427-340-12-428-220-23-425-37
on Saturday games5-516-1187-762-38-1652-482-910-2387-93
after a conference game6-1028-19139-1231-413-2487-813-1413-38116-161
off a loss against a conference rival3-1020-1586-681-49-1950-541-129-2765-95
after allowing 80 points or more2-45-844-361-22-825-303-47-846-45
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-42-615-201-22-410-71-42-716-23
after 3 or more consecutive losses3-712-730-212-37-820-172-99-1324-31
when playing against a team with a losing record1-53-1019-230-13-512-132-615-1068-20
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-32-49-110-10-43-100-32-411-11
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-54-59-60-20-51-71-54-512-6
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-75-817-120-21-74-113-713-1035-13

MISSISSIPPI ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1534-48226-2055-336-28146-1388-2146-47317-202
in all lined games10-1534-48226-2055-336-28146-1385-2039-45252-193
when the total is 130 to 139.50-212-2171-712-020-1476-640-219-1588-56
as an underdog8-1321-2296-845-316-1554-642-1911-3356-130
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-02-06-40-00-23-40-02-06-5
in all home games4-617-24102-911-116-1570-516-734-16201-59
in home lined games4-617-24102-911-116-1570-514-628-14145-54
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-00-610-170-05-117-100-03-322-6
against conference opponents6-1120-29147-1303-121-1790-853-1420-31145-141
in March games2-05-342-320-14-335-311-14-443-32
on Saturday games6-416-17107-824-115-1454-633-817-19140-79
after a conference game6-1020-28140-1333-121-1693-852-1420-30145-140
off a loss against a conference rival4-911-1668-643-111-936-391-1210-1970-66
when playing against a team with a losing record4-19-1130-320-011-524-155-317-976-22
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games1-12-611-180-05-212-80-23-616-14
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
AUBURN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-21-10.812-154-464.729.040.8%34.268.532.143.1%34.8
Road Games2-11-57-62-162.027.540.5%30.871.935.245.5%35.2
Last 5 Games0-5-5.10-51-256.825.238.8%30.271.630.842.5%37.0
Conference Games3-14-7.47-101-461.527.139.9%31.971.433.044.5%35.6
AUBURN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.729.023-5540.8%6-1831.5%14-2069.4%34912207134
vs opponents surrendering65.530.323-5542.1%6-1833.2%13-1969.3%34912186143
Team Stats (Road Games)62.027.522-5340.5%6-1833.3%13-1967.2%31811227143
Stats Against (All Games)68.532.123-5343.1%7-2134.2%15-2367.1%35914187134
vs opponents averaging67.631.224-5543.4%6-1933.8%14-2068.2%351012187134
Stats Against (Road Games)71.935.223-5145.5%7-2035.1%18-2670.0%35913187134

MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-21-2.210-155-360.127.040.1%32.869.833.044.0%37.2
Home Games6-7+3.54-61-157.528.939.8%31.861.526.640.9%37.7
Last 5 Games1-4+3.53-20-157.424.437.2%29.473.434.843.5%39.2
Conference Games3-14+16-113-158.026.139.2%29.674.434.546.7%38.3
MISSISSIPPI ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)60.127.021-5240.1%5-1727.4%14-2166.4%33910168174
vs opponents surrendering65.530.223-5541.8%6-1832.3%13-2068.0%351012187144
Team Stats (Home Games)57.528.920-4939.8%4-1625.5%14-2265.7%328101410174
Stats Against (All Games)69.833.026-5944.0%7-2134.7%11-1668.7%371115189155
vs opponents averaging68.631.724-5643.3%6-1833.7%14-2067.7%361013187134
Stats Against (Home Games)61.526.624-5840.9%7-2230.4%8-1264.5%381112188184
Average power rating of opponents played: AUBURN 74.7,  MISSISSIPPI ST 74.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-13 against the spread versus AUBURN since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-14 straight up against AUBURN since 1997
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 3-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-2 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-5 against the spread versus AUBURN since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-4 straight up against AUBURN since 1997
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/18/2012MISSISSIPPI ST55-3.5 Under2419-5435.2%5-2222.7%12-1770.6%3198
 AUBURN65131.5SU ATS3525-5347.2%4-1526.7%11-1478.6%36810
2/4/2012AUBURN88126.5 ATS4428-6145.9%6-2030.0%26-3672.2%3473
 MISSISSIPPI ST91-12SU Over4329-4860.4%12-1963.2%21-3560.0%32310
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring AUBURN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AUBURN games 56.2% of the time since 1997. (172-134)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AUBURN games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (173-172)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 56.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-31)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AUBURN games 46.5% of the time since 1997. (101-116)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AUBURN games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (129-125)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-29)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
AUBURN
[G] 03/08/2013 - Chris Denson "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Back )
[F] 12/08/2012 - Shareif Adamu dismissed from team ( Dismissed )
MISSISSIPPI ST
[G] 03/08/2013 - Jalen Steele out for season ( Knee )
[C] 12/14/2012 - Wendell Lewis out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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