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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| CALIFORNIA | -3 |  | | USC | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 3-8 | 36-38 | 229-219 | 3-3 | 39-28 | 172-137 | 8-5 | 50-30 | 292-197 | | in all lined games | 3-8 | 36-38 | 229-219 | 3-3 | 39-28 | 172-137 | 6-5 | 45-30 | 263-197 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 14-15 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 18-11 | 1-1 | 9-3 | 17-13 | | as an underdog | 0-3 | 11-15 | 84-98 | 1-1 | 19-6 | 82-56 | 0-3 | 7-20 | 51-134 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13-18 | | in road games | 1-2 | 14-11 | 94-78 | 1-1 | 17-6 | 60-54 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 72-103 | | in road lined games | 1-2 | 14-11 | 94-78 | 1-1 | 17-6 | 60-54 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 72-103 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5-6 | | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 21-18 | 149-136 | 0-1 | 24-15 | 122-84 | 0-1 | 24-16 | 156-137 | | in January games | 0-1 | 10-7 | 66-58 | 0-1 | 10-6 | 42-33 | 0-1 | 10-7 | 68-57 | | on Saturday games | 0-2 | 13-5 | 90-86 | 0-0 | 12-4 | 68-48 | 1-2 | 15-5 | 101-82 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-1 | 13-8 | 84-74 | 1-1 | 12-8 | 62-49 | 3-0 | 15-8 | 104-68 | | after a conference game | 0-0 | 21-17 | 147-137 | 0-0 | 25-13 | 123-86 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 158-134 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 10-5 | 66-61 | 0-0 | 11-3 | 52-39 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 71-62 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-3 | 4-5 | 25-15 | 0-1 | 6-1 | 15-9 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 29-17 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-2 | 5-7 | 42-46 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 24-27 | 3-0 | 15-0 | 90-21 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-4 | 13-20 | 57-77 | 3-1 | 20-10 | 61-48 | 2-4 | 18-17 | 64-76 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 3-6 | 13-26 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 13-15 | 1-0 | 10-1 | 39-11 |
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| in all games | 4-8 | 28-45 | 222-228 | 6-2 | 29-39 | 146-159 | 6-8 | 31-49 | 256-228 | | in all lined games | 4-8 | 28-45 | 222-228 | 6-2 | 29-39 | 146-159 | 5-8 | 28-49 | 234-225 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-3 | 7-18 | 29-44 | 4-2 | 12-16 | 35-40 | 2-4 | 7-21 | 33-43 | | as a favorite | 3-4 | 14-21 | 108-126 | 1-2 | 12-18 | 71-76 | 4-3 | 21-17 | 168-73 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 16-16 | | in all home games | 3-4 | 12-23 | 96-115 | 2-0 | 11-18 | 69-66 | 5-3 | 21-20 | 156-82 | | in home lined games | 3-4 | 12-23 | 96-115 | 2-0 | 11-18 | 69-66 | 4-3 | 18-20 | 138-80 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 11-18 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 14-17 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 19-12 | | against conference opponents | 1-0 | 13-25 | 145-140 | 1-0 | 17-23 | 108-101 | 1-0 | 13-27 | 133-157 | | in January games | 1-0 | 5-10 | 62-57 | 1-0 | 11-4 | 46-32 | 1-0 | 5-10 | 58-62 | | on Saturday games | 1-2 | 8-17 | 85-81 | 1-0 | 8-15 | 54-54 | 1-2 | 8-18 | 94-79 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-2 | 9-15 | 84-75 | 3-1 | 11-13 | 53-62 | 1-3 | 11-16 | 90-80 | | after a conference game | 0-0 | 11-25 | 140-142 | 0-0 | 16-22 | 106-100 | 1-0 | 14-26 | 133-156 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 5-7 | 64-63 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 48-51 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 64-65 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-6 | 21-28 | 155-148 | 5-2 | 19-28 | 110-113 | 4-6 | 18-34 | 145-174 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-5 | -6.7 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 71.0 | 34.0 | 45.5% | 40.6 | 66.3 | 32.2 | 39.6% | 33.5 | | Road Games | 4-2 | +2 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 68.7 | 31.5 | 45.3% | 39.3 | 67.7 | 32.7 | 41.8% | 31.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -8.5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 68.8 | 32.4 | 42.1% | 44.4 | 66.4 | 32.2 | 38.1% | 34.6 | | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 65.0 | 28.0 | 39.5% | 45.0 | 79.0 | 38.0 | 44.8% | 37.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.0 | 34.0 | 26-58 | 45.5% | 3-11 | 29.5% | 15-21 | 71.3% | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.3 | 30 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 13-19 | 70.4% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 68.7 | 31.5 | 25-54 | 45.3% | 2-10 | 21.3% | 17-23 | 75.7% | 39 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.3 | 32.2 | 24-61 | 39.6% | 6-19 | 33.1% | 11-16 | 68.7% | 33 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 70.1 | 33.2 | 25-56 | 45.0% | 7-19 | 36.0% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 35 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 67.7 | 32.7 | 25-59 | 41.8% | 5-18 | 28.8% | 13-20 | 66.1% | 31 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
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| All Games | 6-8 | -8.3 | 4-8 | 6-2 | 63.2 | 29.1 | 42.3% | 34.6 | 63.7 | 33.1 | 40.5% | 34.2 | | Home Games | 5-3 | -3.6 | 3-4 | 2-0 | 65.5 | 30.2 | 43.0% | 38.5 | 58.9 | 29.7 | 35.3% | 33.6 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -3.6 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 62.8 | 30.4 | 43.6% | 37.2 | 56.2 | 27.6 | 36.1% | 33.4 | | Conference Games | 1-0 | +1.4 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 71.0 | 33.0 | 50.9% | 33.0 | 69.0 | 42.0 | 39.0% | 36.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 63.2 | 29.1 | 23-55 | 42.3% | 5-14 | 32.8% | 12-18 | 67.3% | 35 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 63.7 | 29.2 | 22-56 | 40.1% | 6-19 | 32.4% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 65.5 | 30.2 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 12-19 | 65.8% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.7 | 33.1 | 22-53 | 40.5% | 7-18 | 37.1% | 14-20 | 70.4% | 34 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 32.3 | 24-56 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 32.1% | 14-21 | 67.6% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.9 | 29.7 | 19-54 | 35.3% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 14-21 | 67.3% | 34 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: CALIFORNIA 74.5, USC 75.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| USC is 18-15 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA since 1997 | | CALIFORNIA is 20-14 straight up against USC since 1997 | | 15 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| USC is 3-2 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons | | CALIFORNIA is 3-2 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| CALIFORNIA is 9-5 against the spread versus USC since 1997 | | CALIFORNIA is 8-7 straight up against USC since 1997 | | 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons | | CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/9/2012 | CALIFORNIA | 75 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 34-61 | 55.7% | 3-9 | 33.3% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 41 | 10 | 11 | | | USC | 49 | 116.5 | Over | 29 | 21-62 | 33.9% | 3-17 | 17.6% | 4-6 | 66.7% | 28 | 6 | 7 | 12/29/2011 | USC | 49 | 114.5 | ATS | 19 | 19-56 | 33.9% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 38 | 18 | 16 | | | CALIFORNIA | 53 | -10 | SU Under | 31 | 21-45 | 46.7% | 2-6 | 33.3% | 9-16 | 56.2% | 28 | 7 | 15 | 3/10/2011 | CALIFORNIA | 56 | 132.5 | Under | 27 | 23-54 | 42.6% | 2-7 | 28.6% | 8-9 | 88.9% | 30 | 5 | 16 | | N | USC | 70 | -3 | SU ATS | 35 | 25-56 | 44.6% | 8-17 | 47.1% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 37 | 8 | 15 | 2/17/2011 | USC | 78 | 133.5 | SU ATS | 33 | 27-57 | 47.4% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 16-26 | 61.5% | 33 | 8 | 5 | | | CALIFORNIA | 75 | -2 | Over | 22 | 25-58 | 43.1% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 20-24 | 83.3% | 39 | 9 | 7 | 1/22/2011 | CALIFORNIA | 68 | 129.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 23-51 | 45.1% | 5-9 | 55.6% | 17-28 | 60.7% | 31 | 7 | 8 | | | USC | 66 | -7.5 | Over | 22 | 23-57 | 40.4% | 11-26 | 42.3% | 9-15 | 60.0% | 34 | 9 | 11 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 45.7% of the time since 1997. (164-195) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 45.4% of the time since 1997. (164-197) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 41.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-38) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (126-133) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 54.4% of the time since 1997. (143-120) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29) | |
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| [F] 01/03/2013 - Christian Behrens out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 01/03/2013 - Ricky Kreklow "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Foot ) | | [G] 01/03/2013 - Brandon Smith "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Concussion ) | | [F] 01/03/2013 - Richard Solomon "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Concussion ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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