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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 11:00 PM
CALIFORNIA (8-5) AT USC (6-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
629: CALIFORNIA
630: USC
128.0
PK
71.0 / 66.3
63.2 / 63.7
8-5
6-8
3-8
4-8
3-3
6-2
45.5
42.3
71.3
67.3
29.5
32.8
39.6
40.5
68.7
70.4
33.1
37.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CALIFORNIA-3
USC  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CALIFORNIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games3-836-38229-2193-339-28172-1378-550-30292-197
in all lined games3-836-38229-2193-339-28172-1376-545-30263-197
when the total is 120 to 129.51-16-614-151-17-418-111-19-317-13
as an underdog0-311-1584-981-119-682-560-37-2051-134
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-02-214-170-02-15-90-01-313-18
in road games1-214-1194-781-117-660-541-211-1472-103
in road lined games1-214-1194-781-117-660-541-211-1472-103
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-12-45-61-04-15-50-13-35-6
against conference opponents0-121-18149-1360-124-15122-840-124-16156-137
in January games0-110-766-580-110-642-330-110-768-57
on Saturday games0-213-590-860-012-468-481-215-5101-82
when playing with one or less days rest2-113-884-741-112-862-493-015-8104-68
after a conference game0-021-17147-1370-025-13123-860-024-15158-134
off a loss against a conference rival0-010-566-610-011-352-390-08-771-62
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-34-525-150-16-115-92-25-629-17
when playing against a team with a losing record0-25-742-460-03-724-273-015-090-21
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-413-2057-773-120-1061-482-418-1764-76
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-03-613-260-13-513-151-010-139-11

USC - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-828-45222-2286-229-39146-1596-831-49256-228
in all lined games4-828-45222-2286-229-39146-1595-828-49234-225
when the total is 120 to 129.52-37-1829-444-212-1635-402-47-2133-43
as a favorite3-414-21108-1261-212-1871-764-321-17168-73
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-01-315-160-02-212-120-01-316-16
in all home games3-412-2396-1152-011-1869-665-321-20156-82
in home lined games3-412-2396-1152-011-1869-664-318-20138-80
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-12-611-182-05-514-171-14-619-12
against conference opponents1-013-25145-1401-017-23108-1011-013-27133-157
in January games1-05-1062-571-011-446-321-05-1058-62
on Saturday games1-28-1785-811-08-1554-541-28-1894-79
when playing with one or less days rest1-29-1584-753-111-1353-621-311-1690-80
after a conference game0-011-25140-1420-016-22106-1001-014-26133-156
off a win against a conference rival0-05-764-630-04-848-510-05-764-65
when playing against a team with a winning record3-621-28155-1485-219-28110-1134-618-34145-174
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CALIFORNIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-5-6.73-83-371.034.045.5%40.666.332.239.6%33.5
Road Games4-2+23-32-368.731.545.3%39.367.732.741.8%31.2
Last 5 Games2-3-8.50-40-168.832.442.1%44.466.432.238.1%34.6
Conference Games0-1-10-10-165.028.039.5%45.079.038.044.8%37.0
CALIFORNIA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.034.026-5845.5%3-1129.5%15-2171.3%411114165134
vs opponents surrendering64.33023-5541.4%6-1832.9%13-1970.4%33912176143
Team Stats (Road Games)68.731.525-5445.3%2-1021.3%17-2375.7%391013185143
Stats Against (All Games)66.332.224-6139.6%6-1933.1%11-1668.7%331012196113
vs opponents averaging70.133.225-5645.0%7-1936.0%13-1969.5%35915177133
Stats Against (Road Games)67.732.725-5941.8%5-1828.8%13-2066.1%3181419793

USC - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games6-8-8.34-86-263.229.142.3%34.663.733.140.5%34.2
Home Games5-3-3.63-42-065.530.243.0%38.558.929.735.3%33.6
Last 5 Games3-2-3.62-32-062.830.443.6%37.256.227.636.1%33.4
Conference Games1-0+1.41-01-071.033.050.9%33.069.042.039.0%36.0
USC Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.229.123-5542.3%5-1432.8%12-1867.3%35813186135
vs opponents surrendering63.729.222-5640.1%6-1932.4%13-1968.4%34912196143
Team Stats (Home Games)65.530.224-5643.0%5-1533.3%12-1965.8%381013195146
Stats Against (All Games)63.733.122-5340.5%7-1837.1%14-2070.4%34811178143
vs opponents averaging67.732.324-5642.4%6-1832.1%14-2167.6%371013177144
Stats Against (Home Games)58.929.719-5435.3%6-1932.7%14-2167.3%3489188132
Average power rating of opponents played: CALIFORNIA 74.5,  USC 75.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
USC is 18-15 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA since 1997
CALIFORNIA is 20-14 straight up against USC since 1997
15 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
USC is 3-2 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 3-2 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at USC since 1997
CALIFORNIA is 9-5 against the spread versus USC since 1997
CALIFORNIA is 8-7 straight up against USC since 1997
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at USC over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/9/2012CALIFORNIA75-8.5SU ATS3534-6155.7%3-933.3%4-850.0%411011
 USC49116.5 Over2921-6233.9%3-1717.6%4-666.7%2867
12/29/2011USC49114.5 ATS1919-5633.9%4-1040.0%7-1546.7%381816
 CALIFORNIA53-10SU Under3121-4546.7%2-633.3%9-1656.2%28715
3/10/2011CALIFORNIA56132.5 Under2723-5442.6%2-728.6%8-988.9%30516
NUSC70-3SU ATS3525-5644.6%8-1747.1%12-1866.7%37815
2/17/2011USC78133.5SU ATS3327-5747.4%8-1361.5%16-2661.5%3385
 CALIFORNIA75-2 Over2225-5843.1%5-1533.3%20-2483.3%3997
1/22/2011CALIFORNIA68129.5SU ATS3023-5145.1%5-955.6%17-2860.7%3178
 USC66-7.5 Over2223-5740.4%11-2642.3%9-1560.0%34911
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring USC in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 45.7% of the time since 1997. (164-195)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 45.4% of the time since 1997. (164-197)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 41.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-38)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (126-133)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 54.4% of the time since 1997. (143-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CALIFORNIA
[F] 01/03/2013 - Christian Behrens out for season ( Knee )
[G] 01/03/2013 - Ricky Kreklow "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Foot )
[G] 01/03/2013 - Brandon Smith "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Concussion )
[F] 01/03/2013 - Richard Solomon "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Concussion )
USC
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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