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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 9:00 PM
DUKE (26-4) AT N CAROLINA (22-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
629: DUKE
630: N CAROLINA
150.0
-2.0
78.7 / 65.2
77.7 / 68.6
26-4
22-8
16-14
18-9
12-13
10-14
47.6
44.6
72.5
65.8
41.9
37.6
41.8
41.5
70.5
69.2
29.5
34.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DUKE  
N CAROLINA-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-1449-51277-24912-1349-45227-23026-485-16480-87
in all lined games16-1449-51277-24912-1349-45227-23026-484-16452-87
when the total is 150 to 159.50-25-1559-691-111-861-661-117-3108-22
as an underdog1-12-413-122-05-113-101-12-49-17
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-10-25-61-01-13-70-10-25-6
in road games2-615-1484-734-315-1272-684-419-10115-47
in road lined games2-615-1484-734-315-1272-684-419-10112-47
in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.50-12-210-81-02-19-80-12-211-7
against conference opponents8-925-29156-1387-723-28130-12913-443-11242-57
in March games1-15-943-681-16-843-602-09-586-29
on Saturday games5-512-1678-697-217-1077-518-221-7136-23
after a conference game8-826-27151-1377-625-25130-12512-441-12242-56
off a win against a conference rival5-720-22123-1084-519-20103-1008-431-11199-42
after allowing 60 points or less5-513-1688-806-216-1074-668-224-6154-25
after scoring 80 points or more8-423-20164-1202-716-23111-12511-139-4269-37
when playing against a team with a winning record11-1232-40220-20712-838-30201-17819-457-15361-83
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-717-25126-1407-222-18135-1087-429-13208-68
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-23-552-581-13-455-442-15-371-40
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-43-1389-852-29-683-754-112-4132-45

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games18-954-43272-24010-1443-51221-20322-883-22412-147
in all lined games18-954-43272-24010-1443-51221-20319-876-22376-144
when the total is 150 to 159.53-216-1578-692-313-1876-712-322-999-50
as a favorite15-547-35222-1808-939-40175-15017-372-11341-67
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-02-110-70-11-29-61-02-111-6
in all home games10-327-16120-1035-620-21104-7714-146-3211-44
in home lined games10-327-16120-1035-620-21104-7712-140-3183-42
in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.51-05-117-111-02-416-121-06-025-3
against conference opponents12-532-22141-1415-922-30123-11612-544-11193-97
in March games2-08-1052-500-28-1050-432-015-479-28
on Saturday games7-415-1678-785-416-1460-6610-227-6119-49
after a conference game12-433-20141-1385-823-28122-11612-444-10198-91
revenging a road loss vs opponent2-08-634-320-17-640-202-010-440-27
off a win against a conference rival8-324-1884-1004-519-2281-789-235-8134-58
when playing against a team with a winning record12-940-32224-1928-1029-40179-17613-854-20301-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games9-331-17137-1173-620-25117-1069-340-9176-84
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games2-17-454-411-25-542-401-27-451-45
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game3-311-1091-752-49-1172-683-312-10101-73
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games26-4+8.616-1412-1378.736.547.6%34.065.230.341.8%35.0
Road Games10-4+3.68-67-575.434.645.8%31.468.731.744.5%34.4
Last 5 Games4-1+13-22-281.838.850.2%30.666.030.844.0%32.0
Conference Games13-4+1.68-97-777.736.447.2%32.667.931.444.7%34.9
DUKE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.736.527-5747.6%8-1941.9%16-2272.5%34915187114
vs opponents surrendering65.530.323-5641.6%6-1833.7%13-1869.1%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)75.434.626-5645.8%7-1838.9%17-2179.2%31813197114
Stats Against (All Games)65.230.324-5841.8%4-1529.5%13-1870.5%35109195143
vs opponents averaging70.33325-5644.7%6-1834.5%14-2069.7%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)68.731.725-5644.5%4-1428.4%15-2074.0%341011195144

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-8-0.518-910-1477.737.444.6%39.868.630.141.5%36.8
Home Games14-1+4.210-35-680.739.345.9%41.465.727.140.5%36.2
Last 5 Games5-0+55-00-474.037.645.6%33.261.627.240.7%38.0
Conference Games12-5+4.612-55-973.235.743.6%36.167.530.844.0%35.4
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.737.429-6544.6%7-2037.6%12-1965.8%401218158134
vs opponents surrendering66.431.124-5741.9%6-1933.0%13-1868.6%341012186133
Team Stats (Home Games)80.739.330-6545.9%7-1939.3%13-2164.1%411320149134
Stats Against (All Games)68.630.125-6141.5%7-2034.5%11-1569.2%371012177164
vs opponents averaging69.231.925-5644.2%6-1834.7%14-2069.3%35913176134
Stats Against (Home Games)65.727.125-6240.5%6-2031.8%9-1464.5%361012188174
Average power rating of opponents played: DUKE 76.7,  N CAROLINA 75.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N CAROLINA is 21-16 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 24-13 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997
17 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997
DUKE is 9-6 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
DUKE is 9-6 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/13/2013N CAROLINA68151 ATS3325-6637.9%5-1827.8%13-2356.5%381813
 DUKE73-10.5SU Under2925-5644.6%6-1637.5%17-2085.0%391117
3/3/2012N CAROLINA88-2SU ATS4836-6654.5%4-1330.8%12-1580.0%451312
 DUKE70154.5 Over2426-6341.3%6-2128.6%12-2157.1%2876
2/8/2012DUKE85155SU ATS4027-6243.5%14-3638.9%17-2665.4%351010
 N CAROLINA84-6 Over4331-6349.2%1-616.7%21-3070.0%42149
3/13/2011DUKE75-4SU ATS4229-5850.0%9-2045.0%8-1553.3%36712
NN CAROLINA58147.5 Under2821-6233.9%2-825.0%14-2166.7%441516
3/5/2011DUKE67149 Under3922-6235.5%6-2722.2%17-2277.3%35109
 N CAROLINA81-1.5SU ATS5133-6352.4%4-944.4%11-2152.4%421010
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (210-220)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (52-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.4% of the time since 1997. (207-221)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-42)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (200-212)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 48.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-43)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (174-192)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-45)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DUKE
No significant injuries.
N CAROLINA
[F] 03/08/2013 - James Michael McAdoo is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Duke ( Back )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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