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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 9:30 PM
E CAROLINA (10-19) AT UCF (18-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
675: E CAROLINA
676: UCF
128.0
-12.5
66.9 / 75.2
62.8 / 61.3
10-19
18-12
10-12
15-10
14-8
10-15
43.1
42.7
66.6
64.6
30.2
32.4
45.3
39.5
69.4
72.3
35.1
33.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
E CAROLINA  
UCF-11 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
E CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1239-36229-26514-841-32160-15510-1937-57265-366
in all lined games10-1239-36229-26514-841-32160-1556-1621-54167-335
when the total is 120 to 129.53-19-933-373-111-635-352-23-1518-54
as an underdog9-1033-28169-18412-735-24122-1194-1514-4781-277
in all neutral court games0-03-325-230-04-217-130-02-424-27
as a neutral court underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-03-30-00-02-20-00-00-6
as a neutral court underdog of 12.5 to 18 points0-00-03-40-00-02-20-00-00-7
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.50-01-26-50-03-08-30-00-34-7
against conference opponents9-930-27158-20012-632-23119-1144-1415-42110-255
in March games0-24-528-291-14-424-220-23-620-37
after a conference game9-829-25149-18912-532-20114-1105-1317-40122-242
when playing on a neutral court0-03-325-230-04-217-130-02-424-27
revenging a home loss vs opponent2-210-844-553-111-739-321-35-1320-86
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more1-25-326-190-32-615-140-30-813-34
off a loss against a conference rival6-721-1899-1308-525-1279-774-913-2680-157
after allowing 80 points or more5-410-843-445-412-533-233-77-1350-67
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-12-431-312-05-122-231-12-424-44
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-29-751-523-110-529-452-27-1144-75
in all tournament games0-03-225-260-04-120-160-02-322-29
in first round tournament games0-01-14-140-02-08-80-01-16-12
in conference tournament games0-02-110-130-03-014-60-01-26-17
when playing against a team with a winning record5-1026-28139-1668-726-27106-1012-1413-4587-247
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-718-1581-1038-419-1371-642-107-2648-140
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-27-546-482-16-531-360-30-1225-73
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-48-1368-862-39-1149-570-50-2139-129
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-03-222-272-03-211-162-03-228-24
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-13-431-393-04-319-194-06-350-38

UCF - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1049-34160-14910-1534-49133-14518-1254-42212-167
in all lined games15-1049-34160-14910-1534-49133-14513-1242-42148-166
when the total is 120 to 129.58-314-1032-223-89-1427-257-415-931-23
as a favorite9-225-977-624-715-1957-6711-032-2107-34
in all neutral court games2-16-321-140-32-610-191-23-617-20
as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 or more points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.50-00-13-20-00-02-10-00-12-3
against conference opponents10-831-25108-1039-926-30101-999-927-3097-119
in March games2-08-422-231-14-716-251-17-520-25
after a conference game9-830-25102-1019-827-28101-929-827-30101-115
when playing on a neutral court2-16-321-140-32-610-191-23-617-20
off a win against a conference rival4-414-1149-454-411-1447-394-414-1247-49
after allowing 60 points or less5-413-1549-422-78-1938-408-418-1468-46
after scoring 60 points or less7-416-1443-334-713-1736-345-614-1742-44
in all tournament games2-110-328-190-33-914-251-27-626-22
in first round tournament games0-02-06-30-01-15-30-01-14-5
in conference tournament games0-02-17-70-01-15-70-01-24-10
when playing against a team with a losing record2-112-638-392-19-932-376-023-484-29
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-17-424-242-15-618-283-09-232-18
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
E CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-19+6.810-1214-866.931.243.1%34.075.236.345.3%37.2
Road Games2-8+7.34-68-263.629.143.1%30.381.639.848.2%39.6
Last 5 Games0-5-31-43-264.829.440.5%27.886.445.853.0%39.2
Conference Games4-14+6.89-912-665.630.342.8%31.378.638.347.9%37.6
E CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.931.225-5843.1%6-2030.2%11-1766.6%34813175143
vs opponents surrendering70.63325-5743.2%8-2234.6%13-1970.4%35913186133
Team Stats (Road Games)63.629.125-5843.1%6-2129.7%8-1168.4%30712174133
Stats Against (All Games)75.236.328-6145.3%7-2135.1%13-1869.4%371016167123
vs opponents averaging70.832.825-5743.7%7-2134.7%14-1970.9%36913186133
Stats Against (Road Games)81.639.830-6248.2%8-2039.2%13-1968.7%401216137104

UCF - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-12+3.815-1010-1562.828.442.7%35.161.329.639.5%33.8
Road Games6-8+1.86-75-858.326.940.3%34.564.131.140.5%35.6
Last 5 Games2-3-13-23-260.026.838.9%28.861.628.243.0%36.4
Conference Games9-9+1.310-89-959.726.140.7%32.160.428.140.8%34.5
UCF Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.828.422-5142.7%5-1732.4%14-2264.6%35811155144
vs opponents surrendering70.332.925-5843.0%8-2234.5%13-1970.3%35913186133
Team Stats (Road Games)58.326.921-5240.3%5-1631.2%12-1959.7%34910165163
Stats Against (All Games)61.329.622-5639.5%6-1933.0%11-1572.3%34913196124
vs opponents averaging72.934.426-5844.4%8-2135.7%14-2071.2%36914186134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.131.123-5640.5%6-1931.0%13-1676.2%361013207135
Average power rating of opponents played: E CAROLINA 72.4,  UCF 76.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
UCF is 14-12 against the spread versus E CAROLINA since 1997
UCF is 19-9 straight up against E CAROLINA since 1997
13 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 3-2 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 5-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
12/31/2017UCF59-11SU ATS2721-5339.6%7-1838.9%10-1952.6%36814
 E CAROLINA39128 Under1815-4731.9%2-1414.3%7-1353.8%33621
2/18/2017UCF61-5.5SU Under2724-6040.0%7-1936.8%6-1637.5%351112
 E CAROLINA58123.5 ATS2522-5143.1%4-1921.1%10-1190.9%35616
1/3/2017E CAROLINA45122.5 ATS1516-6026.7%7-2231.8%6-1637.5%38914
 UCF48-10.5SU Under2312-4626.1%3-1717.6%21-2875.0%46920
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring E CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E CAROLINA games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (190-205)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E CAROLINA games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 54.1% of the time since 1997. (144-122)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 58.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-26)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E CAROLINA games 45.9% of the time since 1997. (118-139)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E CAROLINA games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (127-138)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-37)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
E CAROLINA
[G] 02/22/2018 - Kentrell Barkley is out indefinitely ( Disciplinary )
[G] 12/13/2017 - Seth LeDay is out indefinitely ( Eligibility )
[G] 11/05/2017 - Jeremy Sheppard is out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[G] 11/05/2017 - Raquan Wilkins is out indefinitely ( Suspension )
UCF
[G] 02/15/2018 - Chance McSpadden is out for season ( Finger )
[C] 01/20/2018 - Tacko Fall is out for season ( Shoulder )
[C] 11/10/2017 - Collin Smith is out for season ( Eligibility )
[F] 11/05/2017 - Aubrey Dawkins is out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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