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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| E ILLINOIS | | | | MOREHEAD ST | -10 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 4-6 | 22-32 | 138-166 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 3-12 | 24-49 | 192-259 | | in all lined games | 4-6 | 22-32 | 138-166 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 1-9 | 14-42 | 108-205 | | as an underdog | 4-6 | 18-19 | 95-111 | 0-0 | 8-17 | 57-74 | 1-9 | 7-31 | 41-169 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 3-0 | 4-0 | 18-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 7-23 | | in road games | 3-3 | 17-13 | 86-80 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 43-57 | 0-7 | 9-28 | 59-168 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 17-13 | 86-80 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 43-57 | 0-6 | 8-24 | 40-130 | | against conference opponents | 2-0 | 13-22 | 103-111 | 0-0 | 12-22 | 68-74 | 0-2 | 9-27 | 120-159 | | in January games | 1-0 | 6-10 | 48-51 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 29-38 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 61-72 | | on Saturday games | 1-2 | 6-13 | 52-73 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 37-42 | 2-4 | 9-20 | 78-110 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-0 | 6-10 | 43-62 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 28-40 | 2-0 | 6-13 | 61-87 | | after a conference game | 1-1 | 11-21 | 95-109 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 63-75 | 0-2 | 9-27 | 114-163 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 9-15 | 53-63 | 0-0 | 7-16 | 34-51 | 0-1 | 5-19 | 39-84 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-5 | 14-15 | 47-56 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 31-47 | 2-8 | 11-22 | 42-82 | | after playing 3 consecutive road games | 1-0 | 1-3 | 14-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 28-29 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 2-3 | 7-12 | 38-35 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 19-30 | 1-5 | 5-16 | 31-55 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-1 | 9-12 | 59-76 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 42-49 | 1-4 | 13-16 | 108-93 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 2-9 | 31-39 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 24-26 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 55-38 |
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| in all games | 3-7 | 34-35 | 157-157 | 0-0 | 25-33 | 95-117 | 7-8 | 50-33 | 226-238 | | in all lined games | 3-7 | 34-35 | 157-157 | 0-0 | 25-33 | 95-117 | 2-8 | 36-33 | 143-177 | | as a favorite | 1-2 | 17-18 | 67-62 | 0-0 | 14-17 | 40-48 | 2-1 | 27-8 | 99-32 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 11-2 | | in all home games | 1-3 | 14-12 | 66-63 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 42-44 | 6-2 | 29-7 | 145-69 | | in home lined games | 1-3 | 14-12 | 66-63 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 42-44 | 2-2 | 19-7 | 84-48 | | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 21-18 | 123-102 | 0-0 | 17-21 | 71-85 | 1-0 | 27-12 | 146-140 | | in January games | 0-1 | 9-8 | 54-48 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 27-43 | 1-0 | 13-5 | 76-63 | | on Saturday games | 1-1 | 12-13 | 51-63 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 37-44 | 1-1 | 17-8 | 78-97 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-1 | 12-9 | 50-52 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 32-41 | 1-2 | 15-10 | 63-81 | | after a conference game | 0-0 | 22-13 | 116-95 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 72-77 | 1-0 | 28-10 | 148-138 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 15-9 | 60-55 | 0-0 | 13-11 | 39-42 | 0-0 | 19-7 | 76-48 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 3-2 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10-7 | 2-0 | 7-0 | 15-20 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-3 | 12-11 | 65-65 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 43-46 | 4-2 | 24-6 | 118-80 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 9-4 | 39-36 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 12-1 | 56-40 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 5-4 | 17-12 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 13-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11-20 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-4 | 11-11 | 33-28 | 0-0 | 11-7 | 25-21 | 0-4 | 8-14 | 20-50 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 11-9 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 0-2 | 5-6 | 15-20 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 18-11 | 2-1 | 11-3 | 26-26 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 3-12 | -5.2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 56.1 | 24.4 | 41.8% | 27.7 | 63.6 | 29.9 | 47.5% | 30.6 | | Road Games | 2-7 | -2.2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 55.8 | 24.3 | 42.0% | 27.3 | 66.3 | 32.6 | 48.0% | 30.0 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 54.6 | 20.8 | 42.5% | 24.4 | 69.0 | 32.6 | 54.5% | 27.2 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -2 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 56.5 | 18.5 | 44.4% | 25.0 | 66.0 | 33.5 | 50.0% | 28.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 56.1 | 24.4 | 21-49 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 9-14 | 61.3% | 28 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 1 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.2 | 29.8 | 23-54 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 67.9% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 55.8 | 24.3 | 21-49 | 42.0% | 7-18 | 36.1% | 8-12 | 64.3% | 27 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.6 | 29.9 | 21-45 | 47.5% | 7-18 | 37.8% | 14-20 | 70.9% | 31 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.7 | 30.8 | 24-55 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 13-20 | 67.9% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.3 | 32.6 | 22-45 | 48.0% | 8-19 | 40.5% | 15-20 | 75.7% | 30 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
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| All Games | 7-8 | -4.6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 71.2 | 30.7 | 42.0% | 37.6 | 70.6 | 32.3 | 43.8% | 33.9 | | Home Games | 6-2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 78.5 | 33.7 | 44.8% | 40.7 | 68.4 | 30.7 | 41.6% | 32.4 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 72.8 | 33.2 | 40.7% | 36.0 | 75.8 | 35.4 | 47.3% | 31.6 | | Conference Games | 1-0 | +1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 68.0 | 31.0 | 40.4% | 44.0 | 64.0 | 23.0 | 44.0% | 23.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.2 | 30.7 | 26-62 | 42.0% | 6-19 | 31.7% | 13-20 | 66.9% | 38 | 12 | 15 | 25 | 11 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70.1 | 32.2 | 25-59 | 43.3% | 6-19 | 34.1% | 13-19 | 67.0% | 36 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 78.5 | 33.7 | 28-62 | 44.8% | 6-20 | 32.3% | 16-25 | 64.7% | 41 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 14 | 17 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.6 | 32.3 | 22-50 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 21-29 | 72.4% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.5% | 7-19 | 35.1% | 14-20 | 69.6% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 68.4 | 30.7 | 22-53 | 41.6% | 8-21 | 36.7% | 17-24 | 71.6% | 32 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 8 | 21 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: E ILLINOIS 67, MOREHEAD ST 69.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| E ILLINOIS is 13-9 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST since 1997 | | E ILLINOIS is 20-9 straight up against MOREHEAD ST since 1997 | | 8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MOREHEAD ST is 2-2 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | MOREHEAD ST is 3-1 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MOREHEAD ST is 6-5 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS since 1997 | | MOREHEAD ST is 7-7 straight up against E ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MOREHEAD ST is 2-0 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | MOREHEAD ST is 2-0 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/23/2012 | E ILLINOIS | 39 | 117.5 | Under | 11 | 16-47 | 34.0% | 0-17 | 0.0% | 7-11 | 63.6% | 20 | 4 | 21 | | | MOREHEAD ST | 75 | -7 | SU ATS | 37 | 26-49 | 53.1% | 10-20 | 50.0% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 40 | 10 | 18 | 2/4/2012 | MOREHEAD ST | 56 | -1.5 | SU Under | 29 | 17-30 | 56.7% | 5-10 | 50.0% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 21 | 5 | 15 | | | E ILLINOIS | 55 | 117 | ATS | 25 | 21-52 | 40.4% | 9-23 | 39.1% | 4-6 | 66.7% | 26 | 11 | 12 | 2/10/2011 | E ILLINOIS | 65 | 121.5 | Over | 20 | 19-47 | 40.4% | 2-11 | 18.2% | 25-32 | 78.1% | 33 | 5 | 18 | | | MOREHEAD ST | 81 | -15 | SU ATS | 43 | 26-59 | 44.1% | 7-25 | 28.0% | 22-34 | 64.7% | 37 | 12 | 10 | 1/15/2011 | MOREHEAD ST | 40 | -7.5 | Under | 23 | 14-54 | 25.9% | 3-19 | 15.8% | 9-13 | 69.2% | 37 | 14 | 18 | | | E ILLINOIS | 47 | 124 | SU ATS | 21 | 12-38 | 31.6% | 2-12 | 16.7% | 21-26 | 80.8% | 34 | 8 | 18 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (115-114) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 53.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-20) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MOREHEAD ST games 52.8% of the time since 1997. (134-120) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MOREHEAD ST games 59.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-24) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 11/02/2012 - Jonathan Miller out indefinitely ( Eligibility ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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