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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:00 PM
E KENTUCKY (22-6) AT VALPARAISO (21-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
633: E KENTUCKY
634: VALPARAISO
142.5
-7.5
74.2 / 63.7
71.6 / 62.5
22-6
21-7
12-7
16-9
0-1
3-2
48.1
47.8
76.6
73.7
36.1
37.1
43.8
41.4
73.2
72.2
31.5
33.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
E KENTUCKY  
VALPARAISO-4 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
E KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-737-31157-1480-122-2596-10222-653-38215-249
in all lined games12-737-31157-1480-122-2596-10214-536-33147-167
when the total is 140 to 149.50-02-021-250-01-122-250-01-124-23
as an underdog6-121-1391-710-110-1642-503-410-2544-125
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points1-02-110-90-02-07-51-01-25-14
in road games8-123-1088-670-19-1540-607-517-2564-163
in road lined games8-123-1088-670-19-1540-605-413-2150-110
in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.50-02-08-110-01-17-120-01-16-13
in February games4-111-954-470-09-733-336-013-1060-71
on Saturday games6-419-1368-620-09-1346-3410-125-1284-104
after a conference game8-424-18114-990-016-1474-6711-328-21133-159
in non-conference games3-211-840-310-14-721-2411-326-1586-84
off a win against a conference rival6-311-1160-500-08-540-378-215-1171-52
after allowing 60 points or less4-311-1141-370-17-931-287-216-1357-46
after scoring 80 points or more3-26-428-240-02-313-138-011-539-48
when playing against a team with a winning record7-115-970-660-18-1043-475-410-1852-128
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-17-738-380-05-526-263-25-1030-67
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-14-315-130-01-312-82-23-510-23
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-29-433-200-13-620-164-37-1020-52

VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-946-42105-923-230-3488-7521-766-32311-200
in all lined games16-946-42105-923-230-3488-7518-759-31106-96
when the total is 140 to 149.51-010-425-151-010-525-161-011-423-18
as a favorite14-729-2945-442-218-2335-3616-544-1669-23
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points1-24-67-80-03-67-72-110-215-2
in all home games7-422-1741-341-115-1639-2812-238-9175-46
in home lined games7-422-1741-341-115-1639-289-232-956-22
in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.50-03-19-40-03-28-60-05-011-3
in February games5-111-1024-232-013-633-135-116-787-41
on Saturday games4-313-1335-272-010-1232-257-223-7108-68
after a conference game10-330-2161-543-021-2261-4611-239-16187-99
in non-conference games6-516-1944-420-29-1229-3210-426-17120-104
off a win against a conference rival7-320-1629-353-014-1734-268-226-1345-33
after scoring 80 points or more3-18-1220-191-16-1118-166-014-1082-40
when playing against a team with a winning record9-728-2668-592-118-2057-4611-533-22105-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-317-1338-342-013-1143-227-220-1168-59
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games5-113-522-140-06-622-96-016-228-20
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-517-1436-300-010-1033-228-323-843-57
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
E KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-6+7.812-70-174.234.848.1%27.563.728.043.8%32.5
Road Games7-5+0.88-10-168.831.245.0%26.466.527.343.1%36.2
Last 5 Games5-0+33-10-083.239.652.9%30.653.426.238.3%27.8
E KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)74.234.826-5448.1%9-2436.1%13-1776.6%27815199122
vs opponents surrendering69.132.424-5444.1%6-1934.3%15-2169.5%351013188154
Team Stats (Road Games)68.831.224-5345.0%9-2534.8%12-1676.5%26614218123
Stats Against (All Games)63.728.021-4943.8%5-1731.5%15-2173.2%321013177183
vs opponents averaging66.530.223-5542.6%6-1833.3%14-2068.9%341013197153
Stats Against (Road Games)66.527.322-5043.1%5-1728.1%19-2477.5%361213176173

VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-7+0.816-93-271.633.747.8%33.262.528.541.4%29.0
Home Games12-2-1.87-41-173.636.148.4%34.357.426.138.7%29.1
Last 5 Games4-1+2.24-12-078.640.253.7%28.870.827.645.1%28.8
VALPARAISO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.633.724-5147.8%7-2037.1%16-2173.7%33814187143
vs opponents surrendering66.231.123-5344.1%6-1834.1%14-2069.9%34913177144
Team Stats (Home Games)73.636.125-5248.4%9-2140.8%15-2073.6%34916167144
Stats Against (All Games)62.528.522-5241.4%5-1333.6%15-2172.2%29811207133
vs opponents averaging65.33023-5442.0%6-1933.6%13-1969.7%33912187133
Stats Against (Home Games)57.426.120-5138.7%4-1428.8%14-1972.3%29810197142
Average power rating of opponents played: E KENTUCKY 66.4,  VALPARAISO 69.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at VALPARAISO since 1997
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games played at VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring E KENTUCKY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E KENTUCKY games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (114-121)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E KENTUCKY games 51% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.4% of the time since 1997. (86-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 53.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-33)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E KENTUCKY games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (83-76)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E KENTUCKY games 61.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (67-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 55.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-25)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
E KENTUCKY
[G] 11/02/2012 - Willie Cruz out for season ( Hand )
VALPARAISO
[G] 02/09/2013 - Alex Rossi out indefinitely ( Heart )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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