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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
FLORIDA (24-5) AT KENTUCKY (20-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
525: FLORIDA
526: KENTUCKY
132.5
+5.5
72.5 / 53.0
74.3 / 64.9
24-5
20-10
15-11
10-17
7-11
11-10
48.8
48.1
69.4
64.5
38.3
35.4
37.3
38.8
66.3
70.5
29.3
31.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
FLORIDA-8 
KENTUCKY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1148-42249-2057-1146-36175-17224-579-24397-146
in all lined games15-1148-42249-2057-1146-36175-17221-568-23314-145
when the total is 130 to 139.55-422-2068-602-722-2164-608-133-1094-35
as a favorite15-1137-38196-1657-1137-29136-13521-560-15279-84
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-13-320-160-22-416-131-14-225-11
in road games7-418-1382-753-616-1460-597-421-1387-77
in road lined games7-418-1382-753-616-1460-597-419-1382-77
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-03-17-50-02-25-60-04-010-2
against conference opponents10-727-26151-1354-826-23110-10714-340-14190-100
in March games1-112-654-430-111-645-472-013-564-36
on Saturday games4-717-1785-804-521-1269-579-224-11121-55
after a conference game9-728-24151-1334-826-23109-11313-340-13189-100
off a win against a conference rival9-423-15103-833-620-1574-7510-329-10126-63
after allowing 60 points or less13-626-1879-613-818-1850-6016-437-10129-38
when playing against a team with a winning record9-1039-32204-1734-1136-32146-15815-556-20262-133
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-624-19132-1092-623-2094-1156-332-12156-90

KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1744-53260-24611-1037-52197-21620-1087-21424-134
in all lined games10-1744-53260-24611-1037-52197-21617-1078-21384-133
when the total is 130 to 139.54-617-2597-806-414-2888-905-534-10136-45
as an underdog2-45-443-393-33-636-411-54-530-53
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-01-0
in all home games7-718-2299-1054-417-1773-8315-248-2217-31
in home lined games7-718-2299-1054-417-1773-8312-239-2180-30
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.51-03-310-151-04-215-101-06-021-4
against conference opponents5-1222-32147-1416-620-29107-12111-642-13220-74
in March games0-212-865-451-17-1355-450-218-383-29
on Saturday games5-716-24104-994-521-1783-848-533-11156-59
when playing with one or less days rest0-29-739-360-16-835-281-213-457-27
after a conference game5-1122-31149-1376-519-29111-12110-642-12220-73
revenging a road loss vs opponent0-05-237-190-03-525-310-08-046-13
off a loss against a conference rival0-52-934-363-07-330-263-29-353-20
when playing against a team with a winning record6-1234-41210-2038-729-42162-1879-958-20306-125
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-623-24134-1224-418-28106-1135-438-11189-73
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-69-1240-454-28-1339-383-417-664-25
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-1015-2269-787-414-2167-646-730-11114-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games24-5-11.415-117-1172.534.448.8%34.953.023.837.3%29.9
Road Games9-5-15.48-64-669.932.147.9%33.556.826.239.0%30.5
Last 5 Games3-2-5.61-40-463.829.244.5%32.454.625.837.8%37.2
Conference Games14-3-7.610-74-872.033.549.2%33.953.223.837.6%31.4
FLORIDA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.534.427-5448.8%9-2238.3%11-1669.4%35915147114
vs opponents surrendering64.729.723-5541.8%6-1833.1%13-1968.0%34912187144
Team Stats (Road Games)69.932.126-5447.9%9-2338.1%10-1565.2%33915157112
Stats Against (All Games)53.023.819-5137.3%5-1729.3%10-1566.3%30810166142
vs opponents averaging67.631.324-5543.5%6-1833.6%14-2068.3%351013187144
Stats Against (Road Games)56.826.220-5139.0%5-1731.9%12-1769.2%30811166132

KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-10-3.710-1711-1074.335.648.1%38.464.930.238.8%34.1
Home Games15-2+0.57-74-481.339.150.7%40.261.528.337.9%31.3
Last 5 Games3-2-0.42-32-174.234.048.2%39.670.630.238.4%36.4
Conference Games11-6+0.85-126-670.633.847.2%37.368.130.839.8%34.2
KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)74.335.627-5648.1%6-1635.4%15-2364.5%381014176137
vs opponents surrendering65.630.323-5542.2%6-1833.0%13-1968.6%34912187144
Team Stats (Home Games)81.339.129-5850.7%6-1735.9%17-2566.1%401116167138
Stats Against (All Games)64.930.223-6038.8%5-1731.9%13-1870.5%341011206124
vs opponents averaging68.131.224-5543.7%6-1834.1%14-2068.1%351013187144
Stats Against (Home Games)61.528.322-5837.9%6-1832.6%11-1767.9%31910215143
Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA 76.3,  KENTUCKY 76.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
FLORIDA is 17-16 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1997
KENTUCKY is 21-14 straight up against FLORIDA since 1997
19 of 32 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-3 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 5-2 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at KENTUCKY since 1997
KENTUCKY is 7-6 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
KENTUCKY is 12-3 straight up against FLORIDA since 1997
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/12/2013KENTUCKY52135.5 Under2521-5042.0%4-1233.3%6-1154.5%31917
 FLORIDA69-10SU ATS3826-5349.1%6-1442.9%11-1478.6%27911
3/10/2012FLORIDA71140 ATS3929-6048.3%11-2250.0%2-2100.0%2568
NKENTUCKY74-9SU Over4027-6045.0%5-1729.4%15-2075.0%39156
3/4/2012KENTUCKY74-5SU ATS4031-5952.5%5-1241.7%7-1163.6%36106
 FLORIDA59139 Under3221-5538.2%6-2227.3%11-11100.0%3087
2/7/2012FLORIDA58142 Under2622-6334.9%6-2722.2%8-1266.7%31149
 KENTUCKY78-9SU ATS3829-5552.7%9-1560.0%11-11100.0%381113
3/13/2011KENTUCKY70-1SU ATS3420-4841.7%6-1442.9%24-2982.8%3286
NFLORIDA54137 Under2922-5738.6%7-2035.0%3-837.5%37914
2/26/2011FLORIDA68137 3325-5644.6%8-1942.1%10-1376.9%32811
 KENTUCKY76-8SU Over3430-5851.7%7-1450.0%9-1560.0%34107
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring FLORIDA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (191-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 53.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (211-199)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-42)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.3% of the time since 1997. (132-173)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 49% of the time since 1997. (176-183)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 55.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (44-35)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
FLORIDA
No significant injuries.
KENTUCKY
[F] 02/15/2013 - Nerlens Noel out for season ( Knee )
[G] 01/18/2013 - Twany Beckham out indefinitely ( Back )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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