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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 5-2 | 31-35 | 198-212 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 7-3 | 41-35 | 260-218 | | in all lined games | 5-2 | 31-35 | 198-212 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 4-3 | 33-35 | 214-213 | | as an underdog | 2-0 | 17-16 | 94-99 | 1-0 | 21-10 | 61-48 | 1-1 | 8-26 | 47-155 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-0 | 3-3 | 15-12 | 1-0 | 7-0 | 12-4 | 1-0 | 1-6 | 7-24 | | in road games | 2-0 | 12-13 | 87-85 | 1-0 | 19-5 | 60-40 | 1-1 | 7-20 | 62-129 | | in road lined games | 2-0 | 12-13 | 87-85 | 1-0 | 19-5 | 60-40 | 1-1 | 7-20 | 57-127 | | in December games | 2-1 | 5-7 | 30-39 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18-23 | 2-2 | 9-6 | 62-36 | | on Wednesday games | 0-0 | 10-8 | 42-54 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 26-27 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 52-52 | | after a non-conference game | 5-2 | 13-14 | 59-68 | 2-0 | 7-15 | 37-37 | 7-3 | 26-10 | 111-67 | | in non-conference games | 5-2 | 14-13 | 60-62 | 2-0 | 8-13 | 33-38 | 7-3 | 26-10 | 118-61 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-0 | 3-3 | 27-32 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 11-13 | 5-0 | 7-2 | 50-29 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-2 | 21-19 | 117-118 | 1-0 | 19-17 | 70-74 | 3-3 | 18-25 | 105-154 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-2 | 14-12 | 68-59 | 1-0 | 10-12 | 43-46 | 2-3 | 12-17 | 63-74 |
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| in all games | 6-4 | 40-31 | 221-216 | 1-0 | 30-30 | 143-132 | 8-2 | 50-29 | 320-177 | | in all lined games | 6-4 | 40-31 | 221-216 | 1-0 | 30-30 | 143-132 | 8-2 | 43-28 | 274-175 | | as a favorite | 5-3 | 21-18 | 144-133 | 1-0 | 14-16 | 75-84 | 7-1 | 30-9 | 223-62 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 2-3 | 16-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 24-8 | | in all home games | 3-3 | 20-15 | 112-103 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 60-71 | 5-1 | 33-10 | 216-52 | | in home lined games | 3-3 | 20-15 | 112-103 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 60-71 | 5-1 | 26-9 | 171-50 | | in December games | 3-1 | 11-4 | 41-43 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 19-23 | 4-0 | 15-4 | 86-29 | | on Wednesday games | 1-1 | 9-11 | 62-57 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 37-36 | 1-1 | 12-10 | 88-43 | | after a non-conference game | 6-4 | 21-12 | 89-88 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 51-48 | 8-2 | 32-9 | 164-59 | | in non-conference games | 6-4 | 19-14 | 90-85 | 1-0 | 14-9 | 55-48 | 8-2 | 30-11 | 162-62 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-1 | 11-11 | 80-67 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 51-49 | 1-1 | 16-9 | 112-63 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 3-0 | 5-8 | 35-50 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 23-19 | 3-0 | 5-8 | 54-37 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-1 | 26-20 | 133-135 | 0-0 | 22-18 | 104-86 | 3-1 | 26-22 | 153-135 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-1 | 2-3 | 28-40 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 28-20 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 29-45 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-3 | -2.6 | 5-2 | 2-0 | 81.5 | 40.1 | 50.7% | 35.8 | 68.0 | 29.8 | 41.1% | 34.2 | | Road Games | 2-2 | +0.4 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 74.5 | 32.5 | 45.7% | 35.5 | 72.5 | 30.2 | 41.2% | 40.7 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -6.4 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 74.8 | 38.2 | 49.1% | 33.2 | 70.6 | 28.2 | 41.7% | 35.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 81.5 | 40.1 | 30-60 | 50.7% | 8-21 | 36.8% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 36 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.2 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 34.1% | 13-19 | 70.7% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 74.5 | 32.5 | 27-58 | 45.7% | 7-22 | 33.3% | 14-21 | 65.5% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 8 | 18 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.0 | 29.8 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 6-20 | 30.5% | 15-21 | 72.8% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.4 | 32 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 7-19 | 34.5% | 14-21 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 72.5 | 30.2 | 25-61 | 41.2% | 7-22 | 31.0% | 16-22 | 70.0% | 41 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 19 | 3 |
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| All Games | 8-2 | -2.5 | 6-4 | 1-0 | 72.3 | 32.9 | 47.2% | 35.2 | 61.8 | 24.3 | 41.0% | 29.0 | | Home Games | 5-1 | -6.5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 70.8 | 32.0 | 47.4% | 35.8 | 56.8 | 22.7 | 39.5% | 29.0 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -5.5 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 73.2 | 32.6 | 45.9% | 38.4 | 59.6 | 22.8 | 38.0% | 29.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.3 | 32.9 | 25-54 | 47.2% | 6-16 | 37.2% | 15-22 | 67.9% | 35 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 29.8 | 23-54 | 42.5% | 6-19 | 34.3% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 70.8 | 32.0 | 25-54 | 47.4% | 6-16 | 37.1% | 14-22 | 62.4% | 36 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.8 | 24.3 | 21-50 | 41.0% | 6-18 | 35.4% | 14-20 | 73.0% | 29 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.3 | 30 | 23-55 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-21 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 56.8 | 22.7 | 19-49 | 39.5% | 6-16 | 36.4% | 12-17 | 71.6% | 29 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 4 | 19 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS ST 71.5, DAYTON 70.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| DAYTON is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | DAYTON is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| DAYTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | DAYTON is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.5% of the time since 1997. (137-178) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 38.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (189-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-26) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 12/13/2012 - Geoffrey Allen out indefinitely ( Suspension ) | |
| [F/C] 10/26/2012 - Matt Kavanaugh out for season ( Suspension ) |
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