|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| LONG BEACH ST | -1 | | | CAL DAVIS | | |
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 10-16 | 42-48 | 218-206 | 2-3 | 34-31 | 130-113 | 17-11 | 64-32 | 242-241 | | in all lined games | 10-16 | 42-48 | 218-206 | 2-3 | 34-31 | 130-113 | 15-11 | 58-32 | 207-225 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-2 | 12-9 | 35-36 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 41-29 | 0-2 | 12-9 | 33-38 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 4-3 | 4-4 | 19-15 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 19-15 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-8 | | in road games | 6-8 | 21-22 | 108-99 | 1-1 | 21-9 | 70-46 | 6-8 | 21-22 | 78-144 | | in road lined games | 6-8 | 21-22 | 108-99 | 1-1 | 21-9 | 70-46 | 6-8 | 21-22 | 73-138 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 14-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4-12 | | against conference opponents | 8-8 | 27-27 | 141-129 | 0-1 | 18-21 | 75-76 | 13-3 | 47-7 | 160-124 | | in March games | 0-1 | 2-9 | 16-28 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 20-17 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 25-25 | | after a conference game | 8-7 | 26-28 | 129-132 | 1-1 | 22-18 | 79-69 | 12-3 | 43-11 | 151-132 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-0 | 4-2 | 51-53 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 24-27 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 47-64 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 3-3 | 4-7 | 20-16 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 7-7 | 5-2 | 6-6 | 19-19 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 16-11 | 38-43 | 81-82 | 0-0 | 26-24 | 65-63 | 14-14 | 29-60 | 78-162 | | in all lined games | 16-11 | 38-43 | 81-82 | 0-0 | 26-24 | 65-63 | 14-14 | 24-59 | 52-115 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 22-18 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 17-24 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 14-27 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4-9 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 2-2 | 3-3 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5-4 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 8-6 | | in all home games | 4-6 | 11-21 | 25-38 | 0-0 | 14-7 | 33-19 | 6-5 | 17-20 | 47-55 | | in home lined games | 4-6 | 11-21 | 25-38 | 0-0 | 14-7 | 33-19 | 6-5 | 13-20 | 27-38 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 5-5 | | against conference opponents | 9-6 | 25-23 | 52-48 | 0-0 | 19-13 | 45-39 | 9-7 | 16-33 | 36-69 | | in March games | 1-0 | 3-3 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 7-13 | | after a conference game | 9-6 | 23-24 | 50-46 | 0-0 | 16-13 | 40-38 | 9-7 | 16-33 | 35-69 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 4-3 | 10-12 | 22-25 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 10-14 | 24-40 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-4 | 6-9 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 14-12 | 3-5 | 5-10 | 9-25 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-4 | 17-17 | 34-34 | 0-0 | 14-8 | 33-22 | 6-6 | 7-28 | 20-76 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-2 | 10-10 | 19-22 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 23-12 | 3-3 | 4-16 | 10-43 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 17-11 | +7.6 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 70.1 | 32.4 | 44.5% | 34.7 | 70.3 | 34.6 | 42.6% | 37.3 | | Road Games | 6-8 | +2.8 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 70.2 | 31.1 | 42.6% | 32.9 | 78.4 | 38.6 | 46.3% | 39.0 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 72.0 | 29.8 | 48.4% | 36.8 | 61.0 | 30.4 | 41.0% | 32.2 | | Conference Games | 13-3 | +10 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 74.2 | 31.6 | 48.2% | 34.1 | 67.4 | 33.2 | 41.4% | 35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.1 | 32.4 | 24-55 | 44.5% | 7-20 | 34.6% | 14-21 | 65.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.6 | 31.6 | 24-55 | 42.8% | 7-19 | 34.6% | 14-20 | 68.9% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 70.2 | 31.1 | 24-57 | 42.6% | 7-22 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 68.9% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.3 | 34.6 | 25-59 | 42.6% | 7-21 | 35.1% | 13-19 | 66.4% | 37 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32.2 | 25-57 | 43.3% | 7-19 | 34.3% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 78.4 | 38.6 | 28-60 | 46.3% | 8-21 | 38.0% | 15-20 | 71.8% | 39 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 14-14 | +4.1 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 71.7 | 34.6 | 47.6% | 33.6 | 71.8 | 33.5 | 43.1% | 32.8 | | Home Games | 6-5 | -2.6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 75.7 | 36.1 | 49.4% | 31.5 | 72.8 | 34.3 | 45.8% | 30.7 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 69.4 | 36.6 | 50.0% | 33.4 | 66.0 | 27.8 | 44.9% | 28.4 | | Conference Games | 9-7 | +4.2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 70.1 | 35.4 | 47.5% | 32.4 | 69.6 | 30.3 | 44.0% | 32.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.7 | 34.6 | 25-53 | 47.6% | 8-21 | 40.2% | 13-18 | 71.6% | 34 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.9 | 31.9 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 7-19 | 35.6% | 14-19 | 70.2% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 75.7 | 36.1 | 26-53 | 49.4% | 9-21 | 41.7% | 15-20 | 73.6% | 32 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 71.8 | 33.5 | 25-58 | 43.1% | 8-21 | 36.8% | 14-19 | 71.5% | 33 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.6 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.5% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 72.8 | 34.3 | 26-57 | 45.8% | 8-22 | 38.4% | 12-17 | 72.4% | 31 | 8 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: LONG BEACH ST 69.3, CAL DAVIS 67.8 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| LONG BEACH ST is 9-3 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS since 1997 | | LONG BEACH ST is 16-2 straight up against CAL DAVIS since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| LONG BEACH ST is 4-2 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons | | LONG BEACH ST is 6-0 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| LONG BEACH ST is 5-0 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS since 1997 | | LONG BEACH ST is 7-1 straight up against CAL DAVIS since 1997 | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| LONG BEACH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons | | LONG BEACH ST is 2-0 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/20/2013 | CAL DAVIS | 65 | | ATS | 33 | 23-51 | 45.1% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 11-18 | 61.1% | 32 | 7 | 11 | | | LONG BEACH ST | 71 | -8 | SU | 24 | 26-53 | 49.1% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 14-26 | 53.8% | 38 | 9 | 11 | 3/8/2012 | CAL DAVIS | 46 | 137 | Under | 21 | 17-49 | 34.7% | 5-18 | 27.8% | 7-8 | 87.5% | 28 | 7 | 20 | | N | LONG BEACH ST | 80 | -19.5 | SU ATS | 41 | 30-63 | 47.6% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 39 | 16 | 6 | 2/11/2012 | LONG BEACH ST | 89 | -17.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 35-68 | 51.5% | 7-24 | 29.2% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 42 | 15 | 8 | | | CAL DAVIS | 69 | 139 | Over | 24 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 12-26 | 46.2% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 26 | 4 | 12 | 1/12/2012 | CAL DAVIS | 58 | 134.5 | Over | 29 | 22-53 | 41.5% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 9-16 | 56.2% | 33 | 12 | 15 | | | LONG BEACH ST | 86 | -25.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 34-58 | 58.6% | 7-17 | 41.2% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 35 | 10 | 7 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LONG BEACH ST games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (180-163) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LONG BEACH ST games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAL DAVIS games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (71-67) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAL DAVIS games 55.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-30) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in LONG BEACH ST games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (117-99) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LONG BEACH ST games 57.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-26) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAL DAVIS games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (60-54) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAL DAVIS games 54.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-21) | |
|
|
|
|
| [G] 12/18/2012 - Javion Watson redshirt ( None ) | | [G] 11/13/2012 - Branford Jones out indefinitely ( Fibula ) | | [G] 11/13/2012 - Jerramy King out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
|
|