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Matchup Reports

Monday at 7:00 PM
LOUISVILLE (15-1) AT CONNECTICUT (12-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
717: LOUISVILLE
718: CONNECTICUT
132.5
+6.5
77.1 / 56.3
72.5 / 63.9
15-1
12-3
9-7
4-6
5-3
3-4
45.5
46.6
71.3
73.5
32.7
32.5
39.1
40.1
63.4
69.9
29.5
31.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
LOUISVILLE-7 
CONNECTICUT  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-750-32248-2315-333-43157-19315-170-21352-169
in all lined games9-750-32248-2315-333-43157-19315-164-21318-168
when the total is 130 to 139.54-223-1575-655-121-1973-715-125-1588-56
as a favorite9-738-26183-1735-323-34121-14315-156-10277-84
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-03-17-90-03-16-40-03-112-4
in road games3-015-995-681-212-1249-703-013-1187-79
in road lined games3-015-995-681-212-1249-703-013-1185-79
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-04-516-80-04-510-150-03-614-11
against conference opponents2-128-18152-1300-119-2594-1133-031-15181-104
in January games2-112-873-600-19-940-503-014-683-52
when playing with one or less days rest1-112-350-552-08-734-341-111-575-39
after a conference game2-028-17149-1300-118-2697-1182-029-16179-105
off a win against a conference rival2-021-995-820-114-1567-762-018-12114-66
after allowing 60 points or less6-328-1292-754-123-1472-719-038-7118-58
when playing against a team with a winning record6-533-27178-1865-323-36128-15310-142-21220-154
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-022-15114-1020-014-2485-980-022-16123-98
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-012-648-460-14-1532-471-010-947-49
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-420-1482-924-310-2356-758-121-1495-84

CONNECTICUT - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-639-34227-2313-432-39173-19112-364-26401-134
in all lined games4-639-34227-2313-432-39173-1918-350-26333-134
when the total is 130 to 139.52-419-2174-783-321-2081-734-223-1996-60
as an underdog2-215-848-391-311-1234-482-312-1237-54
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-02-00-00-00-20-00-01-1
in all home games2-214-1396-950-19-1565-758-034-8223-35
in home lined games2-214-1396-950-19-1565-754-020-8157-35
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-04-111-40-03-29-60-03-211-4
against conference opponents2-124-22143-1431-023-22111-1182-127-21195-96
in January games2-110-866-651-06-1044-502-110-887-46
when playing with one or less days rest0-213-767-491-19-1245-521-116-595-33
after a conference game2-025-20143-1420-024-20112-1242-027-20199-91
off a win against a conference rival1-016-9101-900-016-976-771-015-11138-56
after allowing 60 points or less0-38-1365-832-112-1064-523-219-11137-47
when playing against a team with a winning record3-533-26183-1823-326-31145-1618-345-23262-124
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-020-15119-1210-014-2095-1190-020-15157-87
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-011-642-410-06-1034-461-010-748-35
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-117-1273-711-015-1361-653-121-1195-58
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-02-434-310-02-427-320-03-344-24
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-07-651-540-16-843-480-18-677-38
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-1+5.89-75-377.135.745.5%38.856.325.339.1%32.5
Road Games6-1+3.85-24-374.933.343.6%36.058.927.741.0%32.9
Last 5 Games5-0+23-22-175.037.446.3%37.658.026.039.3%32.8
Conference Games3-0+12-10-172.337.044.2%39.752.726.736.0%31.0
LOUISVILLE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.135.727-6045.5%6-1932.7%16-2271.3%3913151811123
vs opponents surrendering65.630.523-5641.8%6-1833.5%13-1969.1%341012187143
Team Stats (Road Games)74.933.326-5943.6%5-1533.3%18-2477.6%3611121811133
Stats Against (All Games)56.325.320-5039.1%5-1829.5%12-1863.4%3299196203
vs opponents averaging68.932.224-5544.5%7-1935.1%13-2067.9%351013177144
Stats Against (Road Games)58.927.721-5041.0%5-1727.1%13-2066.7%33911206214

CONNECTICUT - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-3+7.84-63-472.533.846.6%32.563.928.340.1%35.8
Home Games8-0+32-20-173.736.448.8%34.158.426.438.0%34.9
Last 5 Games4-1+43-21-177.839.648.6%36.468.829.841.0%34.8
Conference Games2-1+32-11-080.036.748.4%38.072.731.743.5%32.7
CONNECTICUT Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.533.826-5646.6%6-1732.5%15-2073.5%32814168115
vs opponents surrendering65.630.823-5641.6%6-1932.6%13-1868.5%34913197133
Team Stats (Home Games)73.736.427-5548.8%5-1732.6%14-2070.4%34815149125
Stats Against (All Games)63.928.323-5740.1%5-1731.5%13-1869.9%361111176153
vs opponents averaging6932.424-5544.4%5-1633.9%15-2268.9%361013177144
Stats Against (Home Games)58.426.422-5838.0%5-1729.3%9-1467.9%351111177164
Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 74.7,  CONNECTICUT 73.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 8-5 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 7-6 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1997
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 3-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CONNECTICUT since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 4-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1997
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/6/2012CONNECTICUT59130.5 Over2420-5735.1%3-1421.4%16-2272.7%361015
 LOUISVILLE80-4SU ATS2932-7244.4%11-2544.0%5-862.5%451413
3/12/2011CONNECTICUT69137SU ATS3823-5541.8%3-1127.3%20-2387.0%351314
NLOUISVILLE66-3 Under3226-5844.8%7-2528.0%7-1070.0%331316
2/18/2011CONNECTICUT58137.5 Under2317-4637.0%5-1338.5%19-2770.4%361016
 LOUISVILLE71-3.5SU ATS3127-6541.5%5-1631.2%12-2060.0%40178
1/29/2011LOUISVILLE79142SU ATS2330-6248.4%8-2433.3%11-2055.0%36715
 CONNECTICUT78-5.5 Over2829-7737.7%8-3026.7%12-1963.2%511412
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring LOUISVILLE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (204-197)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 45.2% of the time since 1997. (169-205)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 42.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-30)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.8% of the time since 1997. (137-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (156-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-37)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
LOUISVILLE
[F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Undisclosed )
[C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee )
CONNECTICUT
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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