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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 12:00 PM
LOUISVILLE (20-12) AT VIRGINIA (28-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
661: LOUISVILLE
662: VIRGINIA
123.5
-7.0
76.8 / 70.4
67.3 / 52.8
20-12
28-2
16-13
18-9
18-11
7-20
45.7
46.0
73.3
75.6
36.9
38.9
40.8
37.5
70.5
71.8
33.2
29.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
LOUISVILLE  
VIRGINIA-5 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-1346-40342-31518-1143-44241-27720-1268-29498-217
in all lined games16-1346-40342-31518-1143-44241-27718-1260-29453-216
when the total is 120 to 129.52-04-540-292-05-430-370-23-653-16
as an underdog8-512-1379-708-513-1248-664-96-1947-104
in all neutral court games1-14-654-602-05-551-472-07-371-45
as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-02-50-00-03-30-00-02-5
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.50-00-111-70-01-08-90-01-014-4
against conference opponents13-628-26212-18212-631-24149-16810-934-22260-140
in March games2-12-766-542-15-553-581-24-682-41
when playing with one or less days rest1-25-769-692-15-749-491-25-798-49
after a conference game12-629-24209-18212-531-23151-1749-935-20259-140
when playing on a neutral court1-14-654-602-05-551-472-07-371-45
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-13-629-351-14-522-271-12-723-41
off a win against a conference rival7-216-16138-1168-022-10107-1114-518-15166-93
after scoring 80 points or more3-513-1396-1084-412-1468-917-323-9168-64
in all tournament games1-03-658-571-05-453-511-06-381-35
in conference tournament games1-01-124-171-02-017-201-01-128-13
when playing against a team with a winning record11-1135-37250-25713-935-38198-22312-1249-29322-202
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games8-620-24165-1489-426-19136-1416-826-20187-133
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-13-571-644-05-353-660-40-873-64
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-17-7110-1195-07-781-1031-54-12133-104

VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games18-955-39284-2827-2033-60198-24328-280-21407-257
in all lined games18-955-39284-2827-2033-60198-24325-273-21324-252
when the total is 120 to 129.57-522-2064-554-817-2447-7211-130-1280-40
as a favorite17-848-34170-1607-1833-48121-13324-168-14258-78
in all neutral court games2-011-837-410-210-937-322-015-443-39
as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-03-17-100-12-210-51-03-19-8
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.52-05-414-130-25-417-102-06-316-11
against conference opponents11-734-26183-1874-1419-40130-17017-144-16191-188
in March games0-28-837-581-18-852-412-012-443-54
after a conference game11-634-25176-1834-1318-40128-16316-143-16201-177
when playing on a neutral court2-011-837-410-210-937-322-015-443-39
off a win against a conference rival10-625-1895-844-1212-3061-9315-132-11116-74
after allowing 60 points or less13-635-20116-935-1417-3771-10520-249-11176-71
in all tournament games2-010-835-470-210-840-382-014-446-41
in conference tournament games0-03-213-150-03-216-120-03-211-19
when playing against a team with a winning record13-744-34232-2235-1527-50165-20419-258-21258-223
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games7-526-22138-1413-916-31106-13511-134-14139-147
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-12-1.916-1318-1176.835.045.7%37.370.431.840.8%37.1
Road Games6-7+0.98-58-572.231.844.0%36.673.932.241.9%37.3
Last 5 Games2-3-0.43-22-369.632.843.2%35.473.431.444.7%34.0
Conference Games10-9-0.713-612-676.434.846.4%35.373.132.142.4%36.5
LOUISVILLE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)76.835.027-6045.7%8-2136.9%14-1973.3%37914177126
vs opponents surrendering70.732.925-5943.0%8-2234.6%12-1771.1%34913186133
Team Stats (Road Games)72.231.827-6144.0%7-2136.3%11-1576.2%37914175136
Stats Against (All Games)70.431.825-6240.8%7-2133.2%13-1970.5%371111176143
vs opponents averaging74.53526-5845.6%8-2135.8%14-2071.2%36914176124
Stats Against (Road Games)73.932.226-6241.9%7-2232.8%15-2071.6%371112157125

VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games28-2+918-97-2067.332.246.0%32.652.824.137.5%30.7
Road Games12-1+10.411-22-1165.530.245.4%32.053.523.338.1%30.2
Last 5 Games5-0+32-32-363.829.245.8%32.852.822.436.6%27.4
Conference Games17-1+4.911-74-1464.129.344.4%31.453.124.238.7%31.3
VIRGINIA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.332.225-5446.0%7-1938.9%10-1475.6%3371414794
vs opponents surrendering71.333.225-5843.2%8-2234.8%13-1971.3%35914186133
Team Stats (Road Games)65.530.225-5445.4%7-1939.5%9-1177.2%3261415694
Stats Against (All Games)52.824.119-5037.5%6-2029.9%9-1371.8%3179154133
vs opponents averaging75.435.427-5945.2%8-2235.5%14-1972.2%36914176124
Stats Against (Road Games)53.523.319-4938.1%5-1830.7%11-1570.1%3069143114
Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 81.6,  VIRGINIA 82.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
VIRGINIA is 4-4 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997
VIRGINIA is 7-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 4-2 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 6-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/1/2018VIRGINIA67-4SU Over2624-5642.9%6-1442.9%13-1968.4%341112
 LOUISVILLE66124 ATS3219-4641.3%6-1540.0%22-2975.9%2748
1/31/2018LOUISVILLE64124.5 ATS2625-5050.0%8-1844.4%6-6100.0%26513
 VIRGINIA74-10.5SU Over3229-5453.7%9-1656.2%7-977.8%2557
2/6/2017LOUISVILLE55121.5 Over3420-5437.0%5-1827.8%10-1566.7%1945
 VIRGINIA71-6SU ATS3225-4753.2%3-1225.0%18-2090.0%38914
12/28/2016VIRGINIA61118SU ATS3624-4949.0%2-825.0%11-1478.6%31814
 LOUISVILLE53-3 Under2119-4443.2%2-1414.3%13-2259.1%26814
3/5/2016LOUISVILLE46123 Under1716-5827.6%4-2218.2%10-1471.4%28127
 VIRGINIA68-5.5SU ATS2920-3951.3%5-1241.7%23-3076.7%38713
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring LOUISVILLE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (279-266)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 39.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (255-230)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-39)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 46.5% of the time since 1997. (205-236)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 51% of the time since 1997. (202-194)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (46-41)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
LOUISVILLE
[G] 11/22/2017 - Brian Bowen II is out for season ( Suspension )
VIRGINIA
[G] 03/06/2018 - Kyle Guy is probable Thursday vs Louisville ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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