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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 7-10 | 40-42 | 255-230 | 7-9 | 35-46 | 179-219 | 17-3 | 64-27 | 394-145 | in all lined games | 7-10 | 40-42 | 255-230 | 7-9 | 35-46 | 179-219 | 14-3 | 56-27 | 348-145 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-3 | 17-17 | 94-80 | 2-4 | 13-22 | 89-88 | 4-2 | 20-15 | 126-54 | as an underdog | 2-2 | 12-7 | 59-51 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 39-59 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 42-68 | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2-5 | in road games | 2-4 | 12-15 | 77-81 | 2-4 | 9-17 | 54-78 | 4-2 | 14-14 | 88-78 | in road lined games | 2-4 | 12-15 | 77-81 | 2-4 | 9-17 | 54-78 | 4-2 | 13-14 | 82-78 | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 14-15 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 14-15 | 1-0 | 1-5 | 12-17 | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 26-22 | 150-132 | 4-3 | 21-28 | 102-133 | 6-1 | 33-16 | 203-85 | in January games | 4-2 | 9-12 | 59-61 | 3-3 | 10-11 | 43-50 | 6-0 | 14-7 | 89-34 | after a conference game | 4-2 | 25-22 | 152-128 | 3-3 | 21-27 | 104-133 | 6-0 | 32-16 | 205-82 | off a win against a conference rival | 3-2 | 19-13 | 112-86 | 2-3 | 10-22 | 71-94 | 5-0 | 22-10 | 145-56 | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-9 | 19-17 | 105-110 | 5-5 | 14-21 | 85-90 | 9-2 | 27-10 | 168-65 | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-0 | 8-6 | 37-38 | 0-1 | 10-4 | 36-29 | 2-0 | 9-6 | 56-27 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-7 | 32-34 | 193-182 | 6-6 | 31-35 | 149-174 | 10-2 | 44-24 | 254-135 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-1 | 18-20 | 121-102 | 1-3 | 18-21 | 96-108 | 4-0 | 24-15 | 151-78 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-1 | 13-13 | 75-71 | 1-3 | 11-15 | 56-76 | 4-0 | 15-11 | 98-51 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-5 | 20-20 | 107-115 | 4-5 | 17-23 | 83-108 | 8-1 | 25-15 | 143-85 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 2-2 | 23-20 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 23-20 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-1 | 8-7 | 57-49 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 43-48 | 2-0 | 10-6 | 63-45 |
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in all games | 9-8 | 37-34 | 229-235 | 5-8 | 33-36 | 168-179 | 17-2 | 56-31 | 295-207 | in all lined games | 9-8 | 37-34 | 229-235 | 5-8 | 33-36 | 168-179 | 15-2 | 42-31 | 265-206 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-4 | 17-15 | 79-76 | 2-5 | 14-19 | 75-80 | 6-1 | 18-15 | 85-72 | as a favorite | 9-8 | 25-20 | 150-135 | 5-8 | 20-22 | 90-97 | 15-2 | 35-11 | 222-67 | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-1 | 3-2 | 13-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 19-3 | in all home games | 7-4 | 23-13 | 118-102 | 3-4 | 15-17 | 72-78 | 12-1 | 42-8 | 193-57 | in home lined games | 7-4 | 23-13 | 118-102 | 3-4 | 15-17 | 72-78 | 10-1 | 28-8 | 167-56 | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 25-18 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 23-20 | 2-0 | 11-4 | 31-13 | against conference opponents | 1-5 | 18-25 | 127-149 | 1-5 | 20-25 | 109-116 | 5-1 | 20-25 | 141-140 | in January games | 1-4 | 9-10 | 63-56 | 1-4 | 11-9 | 50-46 | 4-1 | 10-10 | 70-52 | after a conference game | 1-4 | 18-22 | 131-141 | 1-4 | 19-23 | 111-115 | 4-1 | 22-23 | 146-134 | off a win against a conference rival | 1-3 | 8-10 | 67-71 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 56-54 | 3-1 | 10-9 | 76-64 | after allowing 60 points or less | 4-5 | 17-10 | 70-73 | 2-5 | 13-12 | 53-58 | 11-0 | 27-7 | 100-59 | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 2-7 | 24-37 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 18-26 | 1-0 | 2-7 | 28-33 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-5 | 25-28 | 167-181 | 4-5 | 28-26 | 133-144 | 9-2 | 32-28 | 182-181 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-3 | 12-17 | 88-110 | 1-2 | 14-17 | 82-88 | 2-1 | 14-18 | 84-118 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-3 | 6-14 | 59-74 | 1-2 | 11-11 | 62-56 | 2-1 | 7-15 | 55-81 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-5 | 13-22 | 101-115 | 3-5 | 21-16 | 93-86 | 7-1 | 18-20 | 111-112 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 17-3 | +3.6 | 7-10 | 7-9 | 69.2 | 32.8 | 46.4% | 38.6 | 57.8 | 27.7 | 37.9% | 31.0 | Road Games | 5-3 | +0.6 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 63.4 | 31.0 | 43.4% | 35.6 | 63.0 | 31.4 | 44.2% | 32.0 | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4.8 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 63.4 | 28.4 | 43.2% | 34.8 | 58.0 | 27.8 | 40.4% | 31.2 | Conference Games | 6-1 | +4.8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 66.3 | 30.9 | 43.7% | 35.7 | 61.0 | 29.7 | 42.5% | 32.9 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 69.2 | 32.8 | 25-54 | 46.4% | 5-14 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 71.2% | 39 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.4 | 29.1 | 23-56 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.2% | 14-20 | 70.0% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.4 | 31.0 | 24-56 | 43.4% | 4-12 | 36.7% | 10-16 | 65.9% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.8 | 27.7 | 20-54 | 37.9% | 5-17 | 30.8% | 12-19 | 63.3% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 4 | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 31.1 | 24-57 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 13-19 | 67.3% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 63.0 | 31.4 | 23-51 | 44.2% | 5-15 | 35.5% | 12-18 | 65.3% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
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All Games | 17-2 | -7.5 | 9-8 | 5-8 | 83.7 | 42.1 | 50.0% | 40.8 | 59.9 | 27.4 | 36.9% | 29.9 | Home Games | 12-1 | -4 | 7-4 | 3-4 | 88.2 | 45.4 | 52.0% | 42.3 | 57.8 | 27.5 | 35.9% | 29.2 | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -4 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 72.0 | 38.4 | 46.4% | 36.2 | 60.8 | 24.6 | 39.0% | 30.6 | Conference Games | 5-1 | -3 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 71.5 | 37.5 | 45.0% | 37.8 | 61.5 | 24.7 | 37.9% | 32.0 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 83.7 | 42.1 | 28-56 | 50.0% | 7-17 | 42.2% | 21-28 | 73.0% | 41 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 3 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.3 | 29.5 | 23-54 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 68.8% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 88.2 | 45.4 | 30-58 | 52.0% | 8-19 | 41.9% | 20-27 | 74.2% | 42 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.9 | 27.4 | 21-58 | 36.9% | 6-21 | 30.1% | 11-16 | 68.4% | 30 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 15 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 31.7 | 24-56 | 42.6% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 13-20 | 67.9% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 57.8 | 27.5 | 21-58 | 35.9% | 6-21 | 27.8% | 10-16 | 65.3% | 29 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 73.5, INDIANA 71.9 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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INDIANA is 13-12 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | MICHIGAN ST is 16-9 straight up against INDIANA since 1997 | 12 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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INDIANA is 9-3 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | INDIANA is 8-4 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/28/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | 55 | -2.5 | Under | 27 | 20-51 | 39.2% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 30 | 12 | 13 | | INDIANA | 70 | 137 | SU ATS | 41 | 23-48 | 47.9% | 5-11 | 45.5% | 19-22 | 86.4% | 31 | 9 | 9 | 12/28/2011 | INDIANA | 65 | 141 | Over | 29 | 27-64 | 42.2% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 5-9 | 55.6% | 31 | 12 | 13 | | MICHIGAN ST | 80 | -6 | SU ATS | 36 | 29-53 | 54.7% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 33 | 8 | 9 | 1/30/2011 | INDIANA | 83 | 135.5 | ATS | 43 | 29-59 | 49.2% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 14-22 | 63.6% | 36 | 7 | 13 | | MICHIGAN ST | 84 | -10.5 | SU Over | 40 | 28-66 | 42.4% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 20-27 | 74.1% | 36 | 12 | 8 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.4% of the time since 1997. (183-211) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-37) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (185-196) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-25) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (191-159) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 53.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-35) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 51% of the time since 1997. (158-152) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-36) | |
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[F] 01/26/2013 - Alex Gauna "?" Sunday vs. Indiana U ( Flu ) | [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
No significant injuries. |
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