|
|
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
---|
|
|
|
All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
---|
|
|
|
|
|
in all games | 11-6 | 50-28 | 222-216 | 10-8 | 42-35 | 151-166 | 18-1 | 63-25 | 279-222 | in all lined games | 11-6 | 50-28 | 222-216 | 10-8 | 42-35 | 151-166 | 17-1 | 54-25 | 227-218 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-4 | 16-12 | 67-61 | 5-4 | 15-14 | 54-75 | 8-1 | 18-11 | 63-68 | as a favorite | 10-5 | 26-17 | 109-100 | 9-7 | 25-17 | 70-73 | 16-0 | 39-5 | 160-54 | as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | in road games | 2-2 | 15-10 | 73-88 | 3-1 | 14-11 | 53-60 | 3-1 | 13-12 | 53-114 | in road lined games | 2-2 | 15-10 | 73-88 | 3-1 | 14-11 | 53-60 | 3-1 | 13-12 | 51-113 | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6-12 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 7-12 | 2-1 | 2-4 | 4-16 | against conference opponents | 3-2 | 29-16 | 146-132 | 3-3 | 24-22 | 95-113 | 5-1 | 29-17 | 129-153 | in January games | 3-2 | 12-11 | 72-55 | 3-3 | 11-13 | 39-53 | 5-1 | 13-11 | 65-65 | after a conference game | 2-2 | 27-17 | 143-128 | 2-3 | 20-25 | 88-118 | 4-1 | 28-18 | 133-148 | off a win against a conference rival | 1-2 | 14-13 | 62-63 | 1-3 | 11-17 | 39-56 | 3-1 | 15-13 | 57-71 | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-3 | 18-11 | 71-64 | 5-3 | 15-13 | 54-58 | 7-1 | 23-9 | 94-61 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 10-5 | 42-23 | 174-150 | 9-7 | 34-30 | 122-126 | 15-1 | 43-24 | 165-179 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 22-13 | 102-88 | 1-3 | 16-20 | 71-88 | 3-1 | 20-16 | 80-116 |
|
|
|
|
in all games | 7-10 | 34-45 | 237-233 | 7-8 | 40-36 | 171-197 | 15-5 | 51-35 | 362-169 | in all lined games | 7-10 | 34-45 | 237-233 | 7-8 | 40-36 | 171-197 | 12-5 | 46-35 | 315-168 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-5 | 15-18 | 62-73 | 2-4 | 15-19 | 63-72 | 4-2 | 20-14 | 82-56 | as an underdog | 3-3 | 11-13 | 63-68 | 4-2 | 19-7 | 58-50 | 3-3 | 8-18 | 37-97 | as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | in all home games | 2-5 | 18-20 | 102-96 | 2-4 | 16-18 | 65-76 | 8-2 | 35-8 | 206-41 | in home lined games | 2-5 | 18-20 | 102-96 | 2-4 | 16-18 | 65-76 | 5-2 | 30-8 | 161-41 | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 17-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 24-6 | against conference opponents | 2-4 | 17-25 | 143-138 | 1-5 | 23-21 | 102-124 | 2-4 | 17-27 | 176-116 | in January games | 2-4 | 8-12 | 56-65 | 1-5 | 8-12 | 41-50 | 2-4 | 9-11 | 69-57 | after a conference game | 2-3 | 16-24 | 141-138 | 1-4 | 22-20 | 99-127 | 3-3 | 17-26 | 176-115 | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 5-10 | 80-87 | 1-0 | 11-5 | 58-81 | 0-1 | 4-12 | 109-66 | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-3 | 8-12 | 85-103 | 2-1 | 14-7 | 78-81 | 2-2 | 12-11 | 140-74 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-7 | 27-31 | 188-177 | 6-7 | 32-27 | 139-154 | 12-4 | 34-28 | 231-153 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-3 | 10-18 | 107-101 | 1-3 | 15-15 | 76-101 | 1-3 | 9-21 | 117-98 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-3 | 6-14 | 65-68 | 1-3 | 14-7 | 57-65 | 1-3 | 6-15 | 73-65 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-9 | 15-24 | 102-112 | 5-7 | 25-14 | 93-95 | 8-5 | 20-20 | 127-96 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 1-2 | 19-15 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17-17 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-1 | 7-7 | 56-50 | 2-1 | 7-7 | 39-47 | 2-1 | 9-6 | 67-46 |
|
|
|
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
---|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 18-1 | +6.2 | 11-6 | 10-8 | 78.7 | 37.8 | 50.9% | 37.1 | 59.2 | 28.0 | 40.6% | 28.8 | Road Games | 6-1 | +5.2 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 74.7 | 34.9 | 51.1% | 34.1 | 64.0 | 30.4 | 43.4% | 28.1 | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +0.2 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 72.2 | 32.2 | 48.3% | 35.6 | 59.6 | 30.4 | 41.6% | 29.6 | Conference Games | 5-1 | +1.2 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 75.8 | 35.3 | 50.3% | 36.5 | 60.7 | 30.3 | 41.4% | 28.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 78.7 | 37.8 | 29-57 | 50.9% | 8-21 | 41.1% | 12-17 | 71.3% | 37 | 9 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 3 | vs opponents surrendering | 66.1 | 30.2 | 24-55 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 34.3% | 12-18 | 67.8% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 74.7 | 34.9 | 27-52 | 51.1% | 7-18 | 39.4% | 14-20 | 71.1% | 34 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 3 | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.2 | 28.0 | 23-56 | 40.6% | 6-20 | 31.7% | 7-12 | 63.2% | 29 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.4 | 31.8 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.0 | 30.4 | 23-54 | 43.4% | 7-19 | 35.1% | 11-16 | 65.8% | 28 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 15-5 | +1.5 | 7-10 | 7-8 | 72.7 | 34.8 | 43.1% | 35.3 | 65.6 | 30.3 | 41.5% | 34.8 | Home Games | 8-2 | -4.2 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 69.9 | 32.5 | 42.5% | 36.9 | 62.1 | 27.4 | 41.3% | 31.2 | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -5.2 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 63.4 | 28.4 | 40.6% | 33.4 | 66.4 | 31.4 | 42.7% | 32.4 | Conference Games | 2-4 | -6.7 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 63.0 | 29.2 | 39.7% | 33.7 | 66.7 | 31.3 | 42.4% | 34.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 72.7 | 34.8 | 25-59 | 43.1% | 8-25 | 33.6% | 14-19 | 71.3% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 5 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30.2 | 23-55 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 67.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 69.9 | 32.5 | 25-59 | 42.5% | 8-24 | 32.1% | 12-18 | 66.1% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 5 | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.6 | 30.3 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 7-20 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 2 | vs opponents averaging | 69.4 | 32.5 | 25-57 | 43.7% | 7-19 | 34.5% | 13-19 | 68.5% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 62.1 | 27.4 | 21-52 | 41.3% | 7-20 | 35.9% | 12-17 | 70.2% | 31 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 2 |
|
|
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 73, ILLINOIS 72.7 |
|
|
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
---|
|
|
MICHIGAN is 14-12 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | ILLINOIS is 19-8 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997 | 12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
MICHIGAN is 4-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
ILLINOIS is 8-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997 | ILLINOIS is 11-1 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997 | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/1/2012 | MICHIGAN | 72 | 120 | SU ATS | 35 | 21-45 | 46.7% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 21-23 | 91.3% | 31 | 5 | 13 | | ILLINOIS | 61 | -2.5 | Over | 27 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 27 | 6 | 8 | 2/12/2012 | ILLINOIS | 61 | 119 | Over | 31 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 11-17 | 64.7% | 33 | 12 | 13 | | MICHIGAN | 70 | -5 | SU ATS | 37 | 23-46 | 50.0% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 27 | 4 | 9 | 3/11/2011 | ILLINOIS | 55 | -3 | Under | 34 | 22-52 | 42.3% | 9-26 | 34.6% | 2-3 | 66.7% | 31 | 6 | 12 | N | MICHIGAN | 60 | 125.5 | SU ATS | 23 | 20-48 | 41.7% | 11-24 | 45.8% | 9-11 | 81.8% | 30 | 6 | 10 | 2/16/2011 | MICHIGAN | 52 | 131.5 | ATS | 22 | 22-59 | 37.3% | 2-18 | 11.1% | 6-10 | 60.0% | 32 | 7 | 5 | | ILLINOIS | 54 | -9.5 | SU Under | 32 | 23-52 | 44.2% | 4-18 | 22.2% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 38 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
|
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
---|
|
|
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (168-171) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (201-183) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-28) | |
|
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.3% of the time since 1997. (121-152) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-33) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (152-156) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32) | |
|
|
|
|
[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle ) | |
[G] 01/26/2013 - Tracy Abrams injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Michigan ( Leg ) |
|
|