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Sunday at 6:00 PM			MICHIGAN (18-1) AT ILLINOIS (15-5)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
835: MICHIGAN 836: ILLINOIS	139.0 +6.0	78.7 / 59.2 72.8 / 65.6	18-1 15-5	11-6 7-10	10-8 7-8	50.9 43.1	71.3 71.3	41.1 33.6	40.6 41.5	63.2 68.2	31.7 34.4

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MICHIGAN	-7
ILLINOIS

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	11-6	50-28	222-216	10-8	42-35	151-166	18-1	63-25	279-222
in all lined games	11-6	50-28	222-216	10-8	42-35	151-166	17-1	54-25	227-218
when the total is 130 to 139.5	4-4	16-12	67-61	5-4	15-14	54-75	8-1	18-11	63-68
as a favorite	10-5	26-17	109-100	9-7	25-17	70-73	16-0	39-5	160-54
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points	0-0	0-0	1-3	0-0	0-0	3-0	0-0	0-0	2-2
in road games	2-2	15-10	73-88	3-1	14-11	53-60	3-1	13-12	53-114
in road lined games	2-2	15-10	73-88	3-1	14-11	53-60	3-1	13-12	51-113
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5	1-2	2-4	6-12	2-1	3-3	7-12	2-1	2-4	4-16
against conference opponents	3-2	29-16	146-132	3-3	24-22	95-113	5-1	29-17	129-153
in January games	3-2	12-11	72-55	3-3	11-13	39-53	5-1	13-11	65-65
after a conference game	2-2	27-17	143-128	2-3	20-25	88-118	4-1	28-18	133-148
off a win against a conference rival	1-2	14-13	62-63	1-3	11-17	39-56	3-1	15-13	57-71
after allowing 60 points or less	5-3	18-11	71-64	5-3	15-13	54-58	7-1	23-9	94-61
when playing against a team with a winning record	10-5	42-23	174-150	9-7	34-30	122-126	15-1	43-24	165-179
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	1-2	22-13	102-88	1-3	16-20	71-88	3-1	20-16	80-116

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	7-10	34-45	237-233	7-8	40-36	171-197	15-5	51-35	362-169
in all lined games	7-10	34-45	237-233	7-8	40-36	171-197	12-5	46-35	315-168
when the total is 130 to 139.5	1-5	15-18	62-73	2-4	15-19	63-72	4-2	20-14	82-56
as an underdog	3-3	11-13	63-68	4-2	19-7	58-50	3-3	8-18	37-97
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points	0-0	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-1
in all home games	2-5	18-20	102-96	2-4	16-18	65-76	8-2	35-8	206-41
in home lined games	2-5	18-20	102-96	2-4	16-18	65-76	5-2	30-8	161-41
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5	0-0	5-3	17-13	0-0	4-4	10-20	0-0	7-1	24-6
against conference opponents	2-4	17-25	143-138	1-5	23-21	102-124	2-4	17-27	176-116
in January games	2-4	8-12	56-65	1-5	8-12	41-50	2-4	9-11	69-57
after a conference game	2-3	16-24	141-138	1-4	22-20	99-127	3-3	17-26	176-115
off a win against a conference rival	0-1	5-10	80-87	1-0	11-5	58-81	0-1	4-12	109-66
after allowing 60 points or less	0-3	8-12	85-103	2-1	14-7	78-81	2-2	12-11	140-74
when playing against a team with a winning record	7-7	27-31	188-177	6-7	32-27	139-154	12-4	34-28	231-153
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	1-3	10-18	107-101	1-3	15-15	76-101	1-3	9-21	117-98
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	1-3	6-14	65-68	1-3	14-7	57-65	1-3	6-15	73-65
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	4-9	15-24	102-112	5-7	25-14	93-95	8-5	20-20	127-96
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	0-0	1-2	19-15	0-0	2-1	10-16	0-0	1-2	17-17
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	2-1	7-7	56-50	2-1	7-7	39-47	2-1	9-6	67-46

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	18-1	+6.2	11-6	10-8	78.7	37.8	50.9%	37.1	59.2	28.0	40.6%	28.8
Road Games	6-1	+5.2	5-2	5-2	74.7	34.9	51.1%	34.1	64.0	30.4	43.4%	28.1
Last 5 Games	4-1	+0.2	2-2	2-3	72.2	32.2	48.3%	35.6	59.6	30.4	41.6%	29.6
Conference Games	5-1	+1.2	3-2	3-3	75.8	35.3	50.3%	36.5	60.7	30.3	41.4%	28.8

MICHIGAN Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.7	37.8	29-57	50.9%	8-21	41.1%	12-17	71.3%	37	9	16	12	6	10	3
vs opponents surrendering	66.1	30.2	24-55	42.7%	6-19	34.3%	12-18	67.8%	35	9	13	17	6	14	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	74.7	34.9	27-52	51.1%	7-18	39.4%	14-20	71.1%	34	8	13	16	7	12	3
Stats Against (All Games)	59.2	28.0	23-56	40.6%	6-20	31.7%	7-12	63.2%	29	8	12	15	5	12	3
vs opponents averaging	67.4	31.8	24-56	42.9%	6-18	33.0%	13-20	67.7%	35	10	13	17	7	13	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	64.0	30.4	23-54	43.4%	7-19	35.1%	11-16	65.8%	28	8	14	17	7	12	3

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	15-5	+1.5	7-10	7-8	72.7	34.8	43.1%	35.3	65.6	30.3	41.5%	34.8
Home Games	8-2	-4.2	2-5	2-4	69.9	32.5	42.5%	36.9	62.1	27.4	41.3%	31.2
Last 5 Games	2-3	-5.2	2-3	1-4	63.4	28.4	40.6%	33.4	66.4	31.4	42.7%	32.4
Conference Games	2-4	-6.7	2-4	1-5	63.0	29.2	39.7%	33.7	66.7	31.3	42.4%	34.5

ILLINOIS Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	72.7	34.8	25-59	43.1%	8-25	33.6%	14-19	71.3%	35	11	11	18	8	12	5
vs opponents surrendering	65.6	30.2	23-55	42.0%	6-18	33.4%	13-19	67.3%	34	9	12	18	7	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	69.9	32.5	25-59	42.5%	8-24	32.1%	12-18	66.1%	37	12	11	16	8	13	5
Stats Against (All Games)	65.6	30.3	23-55	41.5%	7-20	34.4%	13-19	68.2%	35	10	12	17	5	15	2
vs opponents averaging	69.4	32.5	25-57	43.7%	7-19	34.5%	13-19	68.5%	36	10	14	18	7	13	3
Stats Against (Home Games)	62.1	27.4	21-52	41.3%	7-20	35.9%	12-17	70.2%	31	7	12	17	6	16	2

Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 73, ILLINOIS 72.7

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

MICHIGAN is 14-12 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997

ILLINOIS is 19-8 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997

12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN is 4-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1997

ILLINOIS is 8-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997

ILLINOIS is 11-1 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997

5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
3/1/2012	MICHIGAN	72	120	SU ATS	35	21-45	46.7%	9-19	47.4%	21-23	91.3%	31	5	13
	ILLINOIS	61	-2.5	Over	27	21-54	38.9%	4-14	28.6%	15-21	71.4%	27	6	8
2/12/2012	ILLINOIS	61	119	Over	31	21-54	38.9%	8-23	34.8%	11-17	64.7%	33	12	13
	MICHIGAN	70	-5	SU ATS	37	23-46	50.0%	7-16	43.7%	17-22	77.3%	27	4	9
3/11/2011	ILLINOIS	55	-3	Under	34	22-52	42.3%	9-26	34.6%	2-3	66.7%	31	6	12
N	MICHIGAN	60	125.5	SU ATS	23	20-48	41.7%	11-24	45.8%	9-11	81.8%	30	6	10
2/16/2011	MICHIGAN	52	131.5	ATS	22	22-59	37.3%	2-18	11.1%	6-10	60.0%	32	7	5
	ILLINOIS	54	-9.5	SU Under	32	23-52	44.2%	4-18	22.2%	4-9	44.4%	38	7	12

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (168-171)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (201-183)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-28)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.3% of the time since 1997. (121-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (152-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

MICHIGAN

[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle )

ILLINOIS

[G] 01/26/2013 - Tracy Abrams injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Michigan ( Leg )

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