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Page last updated on Sat Dec 27 11:52:31 EST 2014
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
NC STATE (19-7) AT N CAROLINA (18-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
555: NC STATE
556: N CAROLINA
160.5
-6.5
78.7 / 71.1
78.2 / 69.5
19-7
18-8
12-11
14-9
10-7
10-10
49.7
44.2
68.8
65.6
40.6
36.6
41.7
41.6
72.9
68.9
30.5
36.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NC STATE  
N CAROLINA-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1140-40219-22110-742-32177-16119-758-36303-215
in all lined games12-1140-40219-22110-742-32177-16117-748-36239-215
when the total is 150 to 159.52-13-221-203-04-119-223-04-116-25
as an underdog3-216-21108-1062-220-1595-791-47-3061-156
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points1-12-215-191-12-212-120-20-48-26
in road games2-512-1477-822-211-1263-532-58-1852-110
in road lined games2-512-1477-822-211-1263-532-58-1852-110
in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.50-00-11-20-00-12-10-00-10-3
against conference opponents6-719-27140-1386-325-19117-1008-524-25127-159
in February games1-47-1155-603-012-547-393-210-1055-65
on Saturday games4-411-1262-616-015-764-318-116-1183-67
after a conference game6-619-25141-1325-323-19114-1017-523-25135-150
off a win against a conference rival5-214-964-593-211-954-434-312-1149-77
after scoring 80 points or more8-616-1055-597-511-1147-3911-422-776-58
when playing against a team with a winning record11-930-31178-1749-632-24146-13314-732-34176-196
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-516-19113-1114-317-1699-935-513-2494-134
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games2-15-755-562-06-555-422-12-1036-77
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game2-36-1279-813-110-772-613-26-1461-106

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-950-43268-24010-1043-47221-19918-879-22408-147
in all lined games14-950-43268-24010-1043-47221-19915-872-22372-144
when the total is 150 to 159.53-216-1578-692-313-1876-712-322-999-50
as a favorite12-544-35219-1808-639-37175-14714-369-11338-67
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points2-13-312-80-22-39-82-14-213-7
in all home games8-325-16118-1035-420-19104-7512-144-3209-44
in home lined games8-325-16118-1035-420-19104-7510-138-3181-42
in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.50-03-414-150-02-515-150-06-120-10
against conference opponents8-528-22137-1415-522-26123-1128-540-11189-97
in February games4-215-761-562-18-1151-434-218-478-41
on Saturday games6-414-1677-785-316-1360-659-226-6118-49
after a conference game8-429-20137-1385-423-24122-1128-440-10194-91
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-07-633-320-07-540-191-09-439-27
off a win against a conference rival4-320-1880-1004-119-1881-745-231-8130-58
after allowing 60 points or less4-213-1064-414-212-1139-435-122-393-21
when playing against a team with a winning record9-937-32221-1928-729-37179-17310-851-20298-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-328-17134-1173-320-22117-1036-337-9173-84
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-16-453-411-15-442-390-26-450-45
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game2-310-1090-752-39-1072-672-311-10100-73
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-7-2.212-1110-778.737.349.7%37.071.133.041.7%34.5
Road Games5-6-8.14-63-570.333.245.7%36.570.433.541.8%36.3
Last 5 Games3-2-0.11-43-079.035.447.4%36.477.238.045.5%32.8
Conference Games8-5-0.76-76-375.835.246.1%37.872.732.943.2%34.6
NC STATE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.737.328-5749.7%5-1340.6%16-2468.7%371014156124
vs opponents surrendering65.630.323-5641.7%6-1833.4%13-1968.9%34912186143
Team Stats (Road Games)70.333.227-5945.7%5-1337.8%12-1960.8%361012176123
Stats Against (All Games)71.133.026-6341.7%6-2030.5%13-1772.9%351112196123
vs opponents averaging69.432.125-5643.9%6-1834.7%14-2069.8%35913177134
Stats Against (Road Games)70.433.524-5841.8%6-2032.4%15-2172.2%36911175125

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-8-4.514-910-1078.237.344.2%41.069.530.641.6%36.8
Home Games12-1+2.28-35-481.339.245.4%42.866.427.040.4%36.1
Last 5 Games3-204-12-175.836.642.8%35.272.234.048.0%35.4
Conference Games8-5+0.68-55-572.735.042.4%37.369.132.145.0%35.0
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.237.329-6644.2%7-2036.6%12-1965.6%411318158133
vs opponents surrendering66.13124-5741.6%6-1932.7%13-1868.1%351012187134
Team Stats (Home Games)81.339.230-6645.4%7-1937.8%14-2264.0%431320149143
Stats Against (All Games)69.530.625-6141.6%7-2136.2%11-1668.9%37913177164
vs opponents averaging69.33225-5644.0%6-1834.9%14-2069.1%361013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)66.427.025-6240.4%7-2132.5%10-1564.3%36911198174
Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 76.7,  N CAROLINA 74.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N CAROLINA is 20-13 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
N CAROLINA is 27-7 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
16 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-2 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 5-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 7-7 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
N CAROLINA is 12-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/26/2013N CAROLINA83159 Over2633-7146.5%8-2236.4%9-1090.0%32814
 NC STATE91-4SU ATS4532-6549.2%7-1353.8%20-2387.0%42816
3/10/2012NC STATE67149 ATS3426-5844.8%3-1127.3%12-1866.7%33816
NN CAROLINA69-9.5SU Under3124-5444.4%5-2025.0%16-2272.7%34515
2/21/2012N CAROLINA86-7SU ATS4629-5750.9%10-1952.6%18-2475.0%40109
 NC STATE74149 Over4129-7041.4%3-1323.1%13-2356.5%40174
1/26/2012NC STATE55159 Under2321-5736.8%9-2045.0%4-944.4%26517
 N CAROLINA74-13SU ATS3731-6448.4%5-1631.2%7-1353.8%481515
2/23/2011N CAROLINA75-6SU ATS3128-6642.4%5-1631.2%14-1877.8%471511
 NC STATE63146.5 Under2928-6543.1%3-1421.4%4-1040.0%331010
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (173-177)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (206-219)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 51.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-40)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (141-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (173-189)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-42)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NC STATE
No significant injuries.
N CAROLINA
[F] 02/22/2013 - Joel James "?" Saturday vs. NC State ( Concussion )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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