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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 9:30 PM
N CAROLINA (23-9) AT MIAMI (22-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
667: N CAROLINA
668: MIAMI
151.5
+6.0
82.8 / 73.6
74.5 / 67.6
23-9
22-8
15-12
10-14
17-13
13-12
46.5
46.8
73.9
66.6
37.0
36.5
42.5
43.1
67.0
71.3
38.5
33.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N CAROLINA-7 
MIAMI  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1254-49364-32817-1353-53316-28723-989-23554-195
in all lined games15-1254-49364-32817-1353-53316-28722-987-23516-192
when the total is 150 to 159.58-425-18111-958-326-17109-979-339-6146-64
as a favorite15-953-42308-25017-951-46257-22222-586-15476-95
in all neutral court games3-318-1396-782-418-1384-705-128-4135-46
as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points2-08-123-131-15-316-162-09-028-9
in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.51-05-120-151-04-221-141-06-026-9
against conference opponents7-829-28190-19310-927-33177-16712-746-16268-129
in March games1-111-470-680-28-971-601-115-2106-39
when playing with one or less days rest4-316-1474-702-512-1964-645-224-7118-42
after a conference game7-729-27190-19010-828-31179-16411-745-16274-122
when playing on a neutral court3-318-1396-782-418-1384-705-128-4135-46
revenging a home loss vs opponent2-03-226-311-11-419-332-04-131-28
off a win against a conference rival4-322-19118-1366-520-24119-1148-334-11188-79
after allowing 60 points or less0-04-782-550-05-753-590-09-3118-29
in all tournament games2-216-987-681-313-1279-653-123-3123-41
in conference tournament games1-05-120-220-12-423-201-05-131-16
when playing against a team with a winning record12-1244-43294-26614-1343-48258-24319-972-22406-182
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-630-25183-1649-626-32171-14910-546-14245-114

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1440-49298-26713-1239-49210-22422-870-28419-260
in all lined games10-1440-49298-26713-1239-49210-22417-862-28329-252
when the total is 150 to 159.52-16-113-63-05-211-82-16-111-8
as an underdog5-413-12139-988-112-13100-965-412-1387-160
in all neutral court games1-28-1151-491-310-939-453-113-761-44
as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-13-20-00-11-30-00-11-4
in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.50-02-02-00-02-02-00-02-02-0
against conference opponents6-1225-33193-17911-723-34140-15111-736-22199-186
in March games0-13-952-460-15-747-431-06-652-49
after a conference game5-1222-35186-17411-625-31140-14810-734-23207-177
when playing on a neutral court1-28-1151-491-310-939-453-113-761-44
off a win against a conference rival2-814-2197-897-313-2170-776-420-15103-95
in all tournament games1-27-1059-501-29-843-542-110-765-45
in conference tournament games0-01-319-160-02-214-190-02-217-18
when playing against a team with a winning record8-1134-41235-21512-834-41184-18014-750-27256-231
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-921-28139-1439-423-25131-1147-629-20141-154
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games3-512-1759-477-115-1450-465-316-1345-62
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game5-519-1997-739-119-1972-708-324-1584-94
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-9-715-1217-1382.840.246.5%42.773.635.042.5%32.1
Road Games11-6+3.17-87-1078.437.744.0%42.073.235.642.1%34.8
Last 5 Games3-2-3.52-23-280.240.045.5%39.474.834.044.0%35.0
Conference Games12-7-127-810-980.538.445.6%41.974.736.143.9%32.6
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)82.840.230-6546.5%8-2337.0%14-1973.9%431218166124
vs opponents surrendering69.332.225-5842.3%8-2234.2%12-1771.4%34913186133
Team Stats (Road Games)78.437.729-6644.0%8-2335.6%12-1675.9%421216166133
Stats Against (All Games)73.635.027-6242.5%10-2638.5%11-1667.0%32815186125
vs opponents averaging74.835.126-5845.8%8-2236.6%14-1972.0%36914176124
Stats Against (Road Games)73.235.626-6242.1%10-2439.5%11-1769.1%35914177135

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-8+6.610-1413-1274.534.546.8%34.667.630.143.1%33.6
Road Games11-5+5.69-68-873.834.447.5%33.169.529.944.0%33.4
Last 5 Games4-1+5.42-33-274.235.647.3%29.074.034.051.9%32.2
Conference Games11-7+56-1211-773.835.345.2%32.973.333.247.8%33.2
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)74.534.527-5946.8%8-2236.5%12-1766.6%35813167114
vs opponents surrendering713325-5843.3%8-2234.8%13-1871.6%34913176133
Team Stats (Road Games)73.834.428-5947.5%8-2139.0%10-1566.8%33813176114
Stats Against (All Games)67.630.125-5743.1%7-2033.0%12-1671.3%34813176133
vs opponents averaging73.934.726-5845.2%8-2235.6%14-1971.7%36914176134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.529.925-5644.0%7-2033.9%14-1875.1%33812165123
Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 81.2,  MIAMI 80.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N CAROLINA is 13-12 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1997
N CAROLINA is 17-8 straight up against MIAMI since 1997
14 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/27/2018MIAMI91151.5SU ATS4434-6254.8%11-2250.0%12-1392.3%26510
 N CAROLINA88-10 Over3631-5754.4%13-2748.1%13-2065.0%31813
3/9/2017MIAMI53138.5 Under2919-5335.8%5-2123.8%10-1662.5%291015
NN CAROLINA78-9SU ATS3428-5352.8%7-1741.2%15-1883.3%36911
1/28/2017N CAROLINA62-6 Under2221-6035.0%7-2429.2%13-1968.4%36814
 MIAMI77148SU ATS3923-5641.1%7-2035.0%24-3080.0%41910
2/20/2016MIAMI71147.5 Over3325-5942.4%6-1931.6%15-2657.7%291411
 N CAROLINA96-7.5SU ATS4239-7254.2%9-2045.0%9-1369.2%46179
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (291-288)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (47-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 44.3% of the time since 1997. (204-256)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-41)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (256-271)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (51-51)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (190-179)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 58.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (48-34)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
N CAROLINA
[G] 01/30/2018 - Jalek Felton is out indefinitely ( Suspension )
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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