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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 5-8 | 33-42 | 217-211 | 2-2 | 32-33 | 108-128 | 7-7 | 47-35 | 266-214 | | in all lined games | 5-8 | 33-42 | 217-211 | 2-2 | 32-33 | 108-128 | 6-7 | 41-35 | 226-208 | | as an underdog | 3-5 | 14-14 | 112-92 | 2-2 | 12-12 | 31-52 | 2-6 | 11-18 | 67-139 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 4-1 | 20-16 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 9-27 | | in road games | 1-2 | 12-19 | 99-87 | 1-0 | 14-14 | 46-53 | 1-2 | 11-20 | 74-126 | | in road lined games | 1-2 | 12-19 | 99-87 | 1-0 | 14-14 | 46-53 | 1-2 | 11-20 | 67-120 | | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 13-26 | 139-153 | 0-0 | 17-20 | 67-88 | 0-2 | 20-21 | 149-149 | | in January games | 0-1 | 9-12 | 70-71 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 34-43 | 0-1 | 13-9 | 75-70 | | on Saturday games | 2-3 | 13-11 | 75-77 | 2-0 | 13-8 | 46-38 | 4-2 | 17-9 | 97-72 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 15-24 | 144-146 | 0-0 | 19-19 | 71-86 | 0-1 | 20-20 | 147-150 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 7-12 | 61-77 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 27-30 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 59-81 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-5 | 25-24 | 142-131 | 2-2 | 24-21 | 76-90 | 2-6 | 25-25 | 130-151 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-1 | 8-1 | 25-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 22-22 |
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| in all games | 7-4 | 33-37 | 200-214 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 9-5 | 43-37 | 262-220 | | in all lined games | 7-4 | 33-37 | 200-214 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 6-5 | 35-37 | 216-215 | | as a favorite | 4-3 | 14-20 | 96-110 | 1-0 | 7-21 | 49-68 | 4-3 | 25-10 | 159-55 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 4-4 | 20-17 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 7-1 | 32-6 | | in all home games | 3-2 | 14-21 | 89-105 | 0-0 | 7-22 | 45-64 | 6-2 | 30-13 | 169-66 | | in home lined games | 3-2 | 14-21 | 89-105 | 0-0 | 7-22 | 45-64 | 3-2 | 22-13 | 134-64 | | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 17-24 | 138-152 | 0-0 | 21-18 | 79-80 | 0-2 | 15-27 | 142-159 | | in January games | 0-1 | 10-11 | 62-70 | 0-0 | 12-7 | 42-33 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 62-76 | | on Saturday games | 3-1 | 9-12 | 82-72 | 1-0 | 9-10 | 45-41 | 2-2 | 12-11 | 95-81 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 18-22 | 139-145 | 0-0 | 22-16 | 75-81 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 148-152 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 10-15 | 68-77 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 43-40 | 0-1 | 8-17 | 69-80 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-7 | -7.2 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 67.7 | 31.6 | 43.7% | 32.6 | 64.4 | 31.1 | 41.3% | 34.9 | | Road Games | 1-6 | -5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 56.9 | 26.1 | 37.3% | 29.3 | 66.4 | 31.7 | 42.1% | 38.4 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -5.3 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 63.2 | 27.2 | 40.8% | 29.4 | 71.4 | 35.8 | 45.7% | 37.2 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -4.3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 51.0 | 25.0 | 38.0% | 25.5 | 65.5 | 33.5 | 45.3% | 36.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.7 | 31.6 | 23-53 | 43.7% | 7-21 | 35.6% | 14-19 | 74.8% | 33 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 30.4 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 6-19 | 34.7% | 14-19 | 69.9% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 56.9 | 26.1 | 19-52 | 37.3% | 6-22 | 29.8% | 12-15 | 77.9% | 29 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.4 | 31.1 | 23-55 | 41.3% | 7-21 | 34.9% | 12-17 | 66.9% | 35 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.6 | 32.7 | 25-57 | 42.8% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.4 | 31.7 | 23-54 | 42.1% | 7-20 | 37.2% | 14-19 | 72.1% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 9-5 | -4.2 | 7-4 | 2-0 | 79.9 | 39.5 | 49.1% | 35.6 | 69.0 | 31.7 | 42.6% | 34.5 | | Home Games | 6-2 | -4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 84.0 | 44.2 | 51.8% | 36.0 | 65.7 | 30.9 | 42.6% | 30.6 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -1.6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 78.2 | 39.8 | 46.4% | 35.0 | 70.8 | 35.0 | 45.6% | 35.0 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -3.1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 73.5 | 33.0 | 39.7% | 34.0 | 78.0 | 39.0 | 47.8% | 40.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 79.9 | 39.5 | 29-60 | 49.1% | 8-22 | 37.3% | 13-19 | 67.3% | 36 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 13-18 | 69.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 84.0 | 44.2 | 32-62 | 51.8% | 9-22 | 39.2% | 11-17 | 66.9% | 36 | 10 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.0 | 31.7 | 24-56 | 42.6% | 7-20 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 71.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.9 | 32.7 | 25-55 | 44.7% | 7-19 | 35.6% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.7 | 30.9 | 22-53 | 42.6% | 7-20 | 36.4% | 13-18 | 74.3% | 31 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: N IOWA 74.6, ILLINOIS ST 73.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 18-16 against the spread versus N IOWA since 1997 | | N IOWA is 20-14 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 4-1 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | N IOWA is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| N IOWA is 8-7 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | ILLINOIS ST is 8-7 straight up against N IOWA since 1997 | | 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS ST is 1-1 straight up against N IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/2/2012 | N IOWA | 42 | -2.5 | Under | 25 | 14-55 | 25.5% | 7-23 | 30.4% | 7-10 | 70.0% | 33 | 5 | 7 | | N | ILLINOIS ST | 54 | 122 | SU ATS | 21 | 20-58 | 34.5% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 11-13 | 84.6% | 48 | 7 | 8 | 2/11/2012 | ILLINOIS ST | 63 | 123 | Over | 34 | 25-55 | 45.5% | 9-26 | 34.6% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 28 | 3 | 12 | | | N IOWA | 78 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 25-50 | 50.0% | 12-21 | 57.1% | 16-21 | 76.2% | 34 | 7 | 14 | 12/29/2011 | N IOWA | 61 | 121 | Over | 28 | 25-67 | 37.3% | 9-28 | 32.1% | 2-2 | 100.0% | 30 | 9 | 7 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 65 | 0 | SU ATS | 28 | 24-47 | 51.1% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 38 | 6 | 16 | 2/2/2011 | ILLINOIS ST | 51 | 119.5 | ATS | 20 | 19-47 | 40.4% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 6-6 | 100.0% | 31 | 4 | 8 | | | N IOWA | 53 | -11.5 | SU Under | 26 | 16-52 | 30.8% | 9-25 | 36.0% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 37 | 11 | 7 | 1/12/2011 | N IOWA | 46 | -3.5 | SU Under | 23 | 19-52 | 36.5% | 2-17 | 11.8% | 6-11 | 54.5% | 31 | 5 | 4 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 44 | 113.5 | ATS | 21 | 18-48 | 37.5% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 2-4 | 50.0% | 38 | 8 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N IOWA games 46.1% of the time since 1997. (155-181) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N IOWA games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.4% of the time since 1997. (138-180) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 38.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-35) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 01/05/2013 - Deon Mitchell probable Saturday vs. Illinois State ( Illness ) | | [F] 12/29/2012 - Chris Olivier expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Tyler Lange out indefinitely ( Concussion ) | |
| [G] 12/13/2012 - Geoffrey Allen out indefinitely ( Suspension ) |
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