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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
PENN ST (9-19) AT NORTHWESTERN (13-16) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
505: PENN ST
506: NORTHWESTERN
120.0
-5.0
61.4 / 68.2
60.8 / 63.0
9-19
13-16
11-12
13-13
10-10
9-10
38.8
40.3
69.9
66.8
29.1
34.5
43.0
42.3
70.6
63.7
34.4
33.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PENN ST  
NORTHWESTERN-2 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1237-39210-20510-1037-38126-1369-1940-54221-274
in all lined games11-1237-39210-20510-1037-38126-1365-1929-52158-268
when the total is 120 to 129.53-1015-2343-526-622-1747-491-1212-2835-62
as an underdog8-924-30138-1497-928-2992-1001-1612-4666-229
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-12-47-80-03-23-80-12-45-10
in road games5-313-1786-882-515-1451-520-84-2637-137
in road lined games5-313-1786-882-515-1451-520-84-2637-137
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-34-914-220-36-615-200-42-118-28
against conference opponents8-829-26139-1467-827-2990-1001-1517-4085-206
in March games0-14-537-300-15-528-250-14-629-39
after a conference game7-827-25135-1427-728-2688-1002-1418-3992-198
revenging a home loss vs opponent2-37-845-442-27-731-320-52-1317-72
off a loss against a conference rival7-717-1991-987-620-1762-671-139-2957-138
after scoring 60 points or less4-813-1859-698-319-1449-434-1113-2552-97
when playing against a team with a losing record2-36-549-321-22-613-262-311-484-35
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-23-224-190-10-46-190-23-222-22
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games6-715-1456-687-519-1153-451-125-2630-99
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-821-2093-1027-824-1874-654-1412-3366-145
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-22-316-191-03-110-160-21-415-21
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game0-23-333-231-03-212-220-23-445-27

NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1341-40201-2079-1042-33136-12413-1652-44221-263
in all lined games13-1341-40201-2079-1042-33136-12410-1638-44152-259
when the total is 120 to 129.55-57-951-586-312-459-492-86-1140-71
as a favorite4-518-1761-613-120-1153-365-426-1088-35
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-14-314-91-04-311-60-15-217-6
in all home games7-819-2091-995-616-1961-578-1033-19160-101
in home lined games7-819-2091-995-616-1961-575-1020-1994-97
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.53-34-427-244-25-327-231-52-624-27
against conference opponents7-926-28139-1454-1025-2896-924-1220-3585-202
in March games0-06-420-290-04-619-230-06-416-35
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-11-48-150-02-28-30-11-49-18
after a conference game7-826-26133-1373-1023-2889-884-1123-31100-186
off a loss against a conference rival6-517-1694-893-714-1959-584-717-1771-120
after scoring 60 points or less8-611-1392-915-712-1152-546-813-1396-117
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-23-334-360-23-217-190-33-325-50
when playing against a team with a losing record1-23-335-300-03-129-164-114-187-22
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-11-222-180-02-118-130-14-131-15
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-10-29-160-11-210-100-12-217-13
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game3-24-321-221-12-318-133-210-345-18
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-19-3.711-1210-1061.426.738.8%35.068.229.943.0%34.0
Road Games1-11-55-64-655.223.736.5%34.170.231.244.1%35.4
Last 5 Games1-4+5.54-13-266.026.841.7%31.673.634.446.9%35.4
Conference Games1-15-3.58-87-858.324.137.3%33.269.932.744.6%35.9
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)61.426.721-5438.8%5-1829.1%14-2069.9%35910225123
vs opponents surrendering6429.423-5641.2%6-1832.4%12-1869.5%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)55.223.719-5336.5%4-1626.6%12-1770.2%3498245143
Stats Against (All Games)68.229.921-5043.0%7-1934.4%19-2670.6%34712196124
vs opponents averaging68.631.924-5543.8%6-1834.4%14-2069.7%361013176124
Stats Against (Road Games)70.231.222-4944.1%7-1837.4%20-3067.7%35913186114

NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-16-5.413-139-1060.827.740.3%31.163.027.742.3%37.6
Home Games8-10-137-85-662.228.741.2%31.963.028.741.9%37.6
Last 5 Games0-5-42-31-347.420.833.9%25.867.431.246.2%41.0
Conference Games4-12-0.67-94-1055.224.037.9%27.766.029.044.3%39.9
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)60.827.721-5240.3%8-2234.5%12-1866.8%31715166113
vs opponents surrendering64.629.823-5541.5%6-1832.9%13-1869.1%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)62.228.721-5241.2%8-2235.8%12-1864.2%32716155104
Stats Against (All Games)63.027.723-5342.3%6-1733.8%12-1963.7%381113186124
vs opponents averaging68.231.624-5643.2%6-1933.6%14-2068.7%361013176134
Stats Against (Home Games)63.028.723-5441.9%6-1735.1%12-1863.9%381014186113
Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 76.4,  NORTHWESTERN 76
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
PENN ST is 19-10 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
PENN ST is 17-13 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NORTHWESTERN since 1997
PENN ST is 9-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 7-6 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/10/2013NORTHWESTERN70121SU ATS3322-4845.8%9-2240.9%17-2665.4%3367
 PENN ST54-2 Over1818-5731.6%3-1520.0%15-1883.3%371211
2/25/2012NORTHWESTERN67-1SU3422-5044.0%15-2951.7%8-1266.7%22410
 PENN ST66127.5 Over2829-5750.9%3-1421.4%5-955.6%371212
1/1/2012PENN ST56130 Under2618-5334.0%6-1931.6%14-2360.9%361515
 NORTHWESTERN68-8SU ATS2322-4055.0%9-2142.9%15-2560.0%27312
2/24/2011PENN ST66132SU ATS2626-4656.5%4-1428.6%10-1283.3%31612
 NORTHWESTERN52-4 Under2320-5238.5%6-2425.0%6-966.7%23611
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NORTHWESTERN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (171-170)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (172-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-28)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (105-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (112-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 52.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-34)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PENN ST
[F] 02/21/2013 - Donovon Jack out for season ( Foot )
[G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles )
NORTHWESTERN
[F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee )
[C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee )
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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