|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 11-12 | 37-39 | 210-205 | 10-10 | 37-38 | 126-136 | 9-19 | 40-54 | 221-274 | | in all lined games | 11-12 | 37-39 | 210-205 | 10-10 | 37-38 | 126-136 | 5-19 | 29-52 | 158-268 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-10 | 15-23 | 43-52 | 6-6 | 22-17 | 47-49 | 1-12 | 12-28 | 35-62 | | as an underdog | 8-9 | 24-30 | 138-149 | 7-9 | 28-29 | 92-100 | 1-16 | 12-46 | 66-229 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5-10 | | in road games | 5-3 | 13-17 | 86-88 | 2-5 | 15-14 | 51-52 | 0-8 | 4-26 | 37-137 | | in road lined games | 5-3 | 13-17 | 86-88 | 2-5 | 15-14 | 51-52 | 0-8 | 4-26 | 37-137 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 14-22 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 15-20 | 0-4 | 2-11 | 8-28 | | against conference opponents | 8-8 | 29-26 | 139-146 | 7-8 | 27-29 | 90-100 | 1-15 | 17-40 | 85-206 | | in March games | 0-1 | 4-5 | 37-30 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 28-25 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 29-39 | | after a conference game | 7-8 | 27-25 | 135-142 | 7-7 | 28-26 | 88-100 | 2-14 | 18-39 | 92-198 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 2-3 | 7-8 | 45-44 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 31-32 | 0-5 | 2-13 | 17-72 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 7-7 | 17-19 | 91-98 | 7-6 | 20-17 | 62-67 | 1-13 | 9-29 | 57-138 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 4-8 | 13-18 | 59-69 | 8-3 | 19-14 | 49-43 | 4-11 | 13-25 | 52-97 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-3 | 6-5 | 49-32 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 13-26 | 2-3 | 11-4 | 84-35 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-2 | 3-2 | 24-19 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 22-22 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 6-7 | 15-14 | 56-68 | 7-5 | 19-11 | 53-45 | 1-12 | 5-26 | 30-99 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 8-8 | 21-20 | 93-102 | 7-8 | 24-18 | 74-65 | 4-14 | 12-33 | 66-145 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 2-3 | 16-19 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 15-21 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 0-2 | 3-3 | 33-23 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 12-22 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 45-27 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 13-13 | 41-40 | 201-207 | 9-10 | 42-33 | 136-124 | 13-16 | 52-44 | 221-263 | | in all lined games | 13-13 | 41-40 | 201-207 | 9-10 | 42-33 | 136-124 | 10-16 | 38-44 | 152-259 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 5-5 | 7-9 | 51-58 | 6-3 | 12-4 | 59-49 | 2-8 | 6-11 | 40-71 | | as a favorite | 4-5 | 18-17 | 61-61 | 3-1 | 20-11 | 53-36 | 5-4 | 26-10 | 88-35 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 4-3 | 14-9 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 11-6 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 17-6 | | in all home games | 7-8 | 19-20 | 91-99 | 5-6 | 16-19 | 61-57 | 8-10 | 33-19 | 160-101 | | in home lined games | 7-8 | 19-20 | 91-99 | 5-6 | 16-19 | 61-57 | 5-10 | 20-19 | 94-97 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 27-24 | 4-2 | 5-3 | 27-23 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 24-27 | | against conference opponents | 7-9 | 26-28 | 139-145 | 4-10 | 25-28 | 96-92 | 4-12 | 20-35 | 85-202 | | in March games | 0-0 | 6-4 | 20-29 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 19-23 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 16-35 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 9-18 | | after a conference game | 7-8 | 26-26 | 133-137 | 3-10 | 23-28 | 89-88 | 4-11 | 23-31 | 100-186 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 6-5 | 17-16 | 94-89 | 3-7 | 14-19 | 59-58 | 4-7 | 17-17 | 71-120 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 8-6 | 11-13 | 92-91 | 5-7 | 12-11 | 52-54 | 6-8 | 13-13 | 96-117 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-2 | 3-3 | 34-36 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 17-19 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 25-50 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-2 | 3-3 | 35-30 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 29-16 | 4-1 | 14-1 | 87-22 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 1-2 | 22-18 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 18-13 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 31-15 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 17-13 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-2 | 4-3 | 21-22 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 18-13 | 3-2 | 10-3 | 45-18 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 9-19 | -3.7 | 11-12 | 10-10 | 61.4 | 26.7 | 38.8% | 35.0 | 68.2 | 29.9 | 43.0% | 34.0 | | Road Games | 1-11 | -5 | 5-6 | 4-6 | 55.2 | 23.7 | 36.5% | 34.1 | 70.2 | 31.2 | 44.1% | 35.4 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | +5.5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 66.0 | 26.8 | 41.7% | 31.6 | 73.6 | 34.4 | 46.9% | 35.4 | | Conference Games | 1-15 | -3.5 | 8-8 | 7-8 | 58.3 | 24.1 | 37.3% | 33.2 | 69.9 | 32.7 | 44.6% | 35.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.4 | 26.7 | 21-54 | 38.8% | 5-18 | 29.1% | 14-20 | 69.9% | 35 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64 | 29.4 | 23-56 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 12-18 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 55.2 | 23.7 | 19-53 | 36.5% | 4-16 | 26.6% | 12-17 | 70.2% | 34 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.2 | 29.9 | 21-50 | 43.0% | 7-19 | 34.4% | 19-26 | 70.6% | 34 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.6 | 31.9 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.2 | 31.2 | 22-49 | 44.1% | 7-18 | 37.4% | 20-30 | 67.7% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 13-16 | -5.4 | 13-13 | 9-10 | 60.8 | 27.7 | 40.3% | 31.1 | 63.0 | 27.7 | 42.3% | 37.6 | | Home Games | 8-10 | -13 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 62.2 | 28.7 | 41.2% | 31.9 | 63.0 | 28.7 | 41.9% | 37.6 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -4 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 47.4 | 20.8 | 33.9% | 25.8 | 67.4 | 31.2 | 46.2% | 41.0 | | Conference Games | 4-12 | -0.6 | 7-9 | 4-10 | 55.2 | 24.0 | 37.9% | 27.7 | 66.0 | 29.0 | 44.3% | 39.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 60.8 | 27.7 | 21-52 | 40.3% | 8-22 | 34.5% | 12-18 | 66.8% | 31 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 29.8 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 13-18 | 69.1% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 62.2 | 28.7 | 21-52 | 41.2% | 8-22 | 35.8% | 12-18 | 64.2% | 32 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.0 | 27.7 | 23-53 | 42.3% | 6-17 | 33.8% | 12-19 | 63.7% | 38 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.6 | 24-56 | 43.2% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.0 | 28.7 | 23-54 | 41.9% | 6-17 | 35.1% | 12-18 | 63.9% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 76.4, NORTHWESTERN 76 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| PENN ST is 19-10 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | PENN ST is 17-13 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | NORTHWESTERN is 3-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| PENN ST is 9-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | NORTHWESTERN is 7-6 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/10/2013 | NORTHWESTERN | 70 | 121 | SU ATS | 33 | 22-48 | 45.8% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 17-26 | 65.4% | 33 | 6 | 7 | | | PENN ST | 54 | -2 | Over | 18 | 18-57 | 31.6% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 15-18 | 83.3% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 2/25/2012 | NORTHWESTERN | 67 | -1 | SU | 34 | 22-50 | 44.0% | 15-29 | 51.7% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 22 | 4 | 10 | | | PENN ST | 66 | 127.5 | Over | 28 | 29-57 | 50.9% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 5-9 | 55.6% | 37 | 12 | 12 | 1/1/2012 | PENN ST | 56 | 130 | Under | 26 | 18-53 | 34.0% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 14-23 | 60.9% | 36 | 15 | 15 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 68 | -8 | SU ATS | 23 | 22-40 | 55.0% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 15-25 | 60.0% | 27 | 3 | 12 | 2/24/2011 | PENN ST | 66 | 132 | SU ATS | 26 | 26-46 | 56.5% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 10-12 | 83.3% | 31 | 6 | 12 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 52 | -4 | Under | 23 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 6-24 | 25.0% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 23 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (171-170) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (172-151) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-28) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (105-117) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (112-117) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 52.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-34) | |
|
|
|
|
| [F] 02/21/2013 - Donovon Jack out for season ( Foot ) | | [G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles ) | |
| [F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee ) | | [C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee ) | | [G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist ) | | [G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics ) |
|
|