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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 5-8 | 42-33 | 220-236 | 4-5 | 39-32 | 154-167 | 7-6 | 55-27 | 313-193 | | in all lined games | 5-8 | 42-33 | 220-236 | 4-5 | 39-32 | 154-167 | 7-6 | 49-27 | 272-193 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 13-8 | 43-50 | 2-0 | 14-7 | 55-41 | 1-1 | 15-6 | 55-42 | | as an underdog | 2-1 | 13-9 | 66-89 | 2-1 | 12-10 | 54-74 | 2-1 | 10-12 | 42-117 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-6 | | in road games | 1-1 | 14-10 | 68-84 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 50-57 | 1-1 | 13-11 | 64-94 | | in road lined games | 1-1 | 14-10 | 68-84 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 50-57 | 1-1 | 13-11 | 61-94 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 12-15 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 19-10 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 12-17 | | against conference opponents | 1-0 | 22-17 | 127-143 | 0-1 | 26-14 | 92-105 | 1-0 | 26-14 | 148-128 | | in January games | 1-0 | 7-9 | 57-63 | 0-1 | 9-7 | 36-42 | 1-0 | 9-7 | 69-52 | | on Saturday games | 0-4 | 8-10 | 80-82 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 44-61 | 1-3 | 11-9 | 110-65 | | after a conference game | 0-0 | 22-16 | 131-136 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 94-103 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 153-122 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 13-12 | 69-76 | 0-0 | 17-8 | 58-55 | 0-0 | 14-11 | 86-61 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-7 | 28-27 | 157-181 | 3-3 | 30-22 | 121-133 | 4-5 | 34-22 | 184-170 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-3 | 18-14 | 99-102 | 2-0 | 18-12 | 79-74 | 2-2 | 17-15 | 104-102 |
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| in all games | 3-8 | 36-40 | 251-228 | 4-6 | 32-43 | 176-216 | 11-3 | 58-27 | 388-145 | | in all lined games | 3-8 | 36-40 | 251-228 | 4-6 | 32-43 | 176-216 | 8-3 | 50-27 | 342-145 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-4 | 10-15 | 45-45 | 2-3 | 10-15 | 33-58 | 4-1 | 17-8 | 59-33 | | as a favorite | 2-6 | 25-33 | 192-174 | 2-5 | 24-34 | 136-157 | 7-1 | 42-17 | 300-74 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 19-2 | | in all home games | 2-4 | 18-16 | 112-96 | 2-3 | 17-17 | 78-82 | 9-0 | 38-4 | 226-24 | | in home lined games | 2-4 | 18-16 | 112-96 | 2-3 | 17-17 | 78-82 | 6-0 | 31-4 | 188-24 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-2 | 7-6 | 20-14 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 12-23 | 3-0 | 11-2 | 30-5 | | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 22-20 | 146-130 | 1-0 | 18-25 | 99-130 | 0-1 | 27-16 | 197-85 | | in January games | 0-0 | 5-10 | 55-59 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 40-47 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 83-34 | | on Saturday games | 0-2 | 7-10 | 75-78 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 50-59 | 4-0 | 16-5 | 127-45 | | after a conference game | 0-0 | 21-20 | 148-126 | 0-0 | 18-24 | 101-130 | 0-0 | 26-16 | 199-82 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 5-9 | 39-41 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 32-39 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 58-26 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 3-7 | 20-22 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 21-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 25-18 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-6 | 28-33 | 189-181 | 4-3 | 29-32 | 147-171 | 5-2 | 39-24 | 249-135 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-4 | 16-19 | 103-114 | 2-2 | 15-20 | 81-105 | 3-1 | 20-15 | 138-85 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-6 | -10.4 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 67.2 | 32.0 | 41.9% | 41.7 | 61.0 | 27.9 | 38.6% | 33.0 | | Road Games | 1-4 | -7.8 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 64.8 | 30.0 | 38.8% | 42.8 | 68.8 | 30.8 | 39.6% | 37.8 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -4.6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 63.8 | 29.6 | 40.6% | 39.0 | 62.2 | 30.4 | 39.8% | 33.8 | | Conference Games | 1-0 | +1.4 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 68.0 | 31.0 | 41.0% | 45.0 | 61.0 | 33.0 | 35.6% | 35.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.2 | 32.0 | 25-59 | 41.9% | 4-15 | 27.9% | 13-20 | 65.8% | 42 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.2 | 29.8 | 24-57 | 41.1% | 6-19 | 32.3% | 12-18 | 68.0% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.8 | 30.0 | 23-60 | 38.8% | 5-17 | 30.2% | 13-21 | 63.5% | 43 | 12 | 13 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.0 | 27.9 | 21-55 | 38.6% | 5-16 | 30.5% | 13-20 | 67.6% | 33 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.4 | 31.7 | 24-54 | 44.0% | 5-16 | 34.5% | 14-21 | 68.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 68.8 | 30.8 | 23-57 | 39.6% | 5-18 | 28.6% | 18-27 | 67.2% | 38 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
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| All Games | 11-3 | -2.2 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 70.2 | 34.2 | 47.6% | 39.6 | 57.5 | 27.5 | 36.9% | 30.6 | | Home Games | 9-0 | +1 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 74.2 | 34.6 | 49.7% | 41.6 | 53.2 | 23.9 | 32.0% | 30.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 71.8 | 32.6 | 46.0% | 40.4 | 60.4 | 31.8 | 37.5% | 34.4 | | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 63.0 | 38.0 | 44.4% | 32.0 | 76.0 | 39.0 | 56.6% | 39.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.2 | 34.2 | 26-54 | 47.6% | 5-14 | 32.0% | 14-20 | 70.6% | 40 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.4 | 30.1 | 24-57 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 32.0% | 14-20 | 70.3% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 74.2 | 34.6 | 26-52 | 49.7% | 5-15 | 30.2% | 18-24 | 73.1% | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.5 | 27.5 | 20-54 | 36.9% | 5-16 | 30.9% | 13-19 | 65.9% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.3 | 31.1 | 24-57 | 42.0% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-20 | 67.9% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 53.2 | 23.9 | 18-55 | 32.0% | 5-18 | 26.7% | 13-20 | 63.9% | 30 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 16 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 71.9, MICHIGAN ST 72.6 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 16-13 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 19-10 straight up against PURDUE since 1997 | | 18 of 26 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 8-5 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 10-3 straight up against PURDUE since 1997 | | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/19/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | 76 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 30-59 | 50.8% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 11-17 | 64.7% | 44 | 10 | 9 | | | PURDUE | 62 | 129.5 | Over | 38 | 22-65 | 33.8% | 6-22 | 27.3% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 32 | 9 | 6 | 1/21/2012 | PURDUE | 58 | 134 | Over | 24 | 18-62 | 29.0% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 19-24 | 79.2% | 34 | 16 | 11 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 83 | -8 | SU ATS | 31 | 30-50 | 60.0% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 33 | 5 | 11 | 3/11/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 74 | 130.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 21-49 | 42.9% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 25-31 | 80.6% | 41 | 8 | 9 | | N | PURDUE | 56 | -7 | Under | 23 | 19-51 | 37.3% | 3-16 | 18.7% | 15-25 | 60.0% | 28 | 2 | 4 | 2/27/2011 | PURDUE | 67 | 133 | SU ATS | 33 | 25-57 | 43.9% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 10-15 | 66.7% | 38 | 8 | 10 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 47 | -1 | Under | 24 | 19-57 | 33.3% | 1-11 | 9.1% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 36 | 8 | 12 | 1/22/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 76 | 131 | Over | 31 | 28-63 | 44.4% | 10-20 | 50.0% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 32 | 14 | 11 | | | PURDUE | 86 | -6.5 | SU ATS | 41 | 29-50 | 58.0% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 22-30 | 73.3% | 29 | 5 | 9 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (185-181) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.9% of the time since 1997. (178-210) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-36) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (140-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.1% of the time since 1997. (190-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 56.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-31) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Undisclosed ) | | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) |
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