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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
PURDUE (7-6) AT MICHIGAN ST (11-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
525: PURDUE
526: MICHIGAN ST
125.5
-11.5
67.2 / 61.0
70.2 / 57.5
7-6
11-3
5-8
3-8
4-5
4-6
41.9
47.6
65.8
70.6
27.9
32.0
38.6
36.9
67.6
65.9
30.5
30.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PURDUE  
MICHIGAN ST-8 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-842-33220-2364-539-32154-1677-655-27313-193
in all lined games5-842-33220-2364-539-32154-1677-649-27272-193
when the total is 120 to 129.51-113-843-502-014-755-411-115-655-42
as an underdog2-113-966-892-112-1054-742-110-1242-117
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-00-02-40-00-03-30-00-01-6
in road games1-114-1068-841-013-1050-571-113-1164-94
in road lined games1-114-1068-841-013-1050-571-113-1161-94
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-05-212-151-05-219-101-05-212-17
against conference opponents1-022-17127-1430-126-1492-1051-026-14148-128
in January games1-07-957-630-19-736-421-09-769-52
on Saturday games0-48-1080-821-16-1044-611-311-9110-65
after a conference game0-022-16131-1360-024-1594-1030-024-15153-122
off a win against a conference rival0-013-1269-760-017-858-550-014-1186-61
when playing against a team with a winning record2-728-27157-1813-330-22121-1334-534-22184-170
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-318-1499-1022-018-1279-742-217-15104-102

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games3-836-40251-2284-632-43176-21611-358-27388-145
in all lined games3-836-40251-2284-632-43176-2168-350-27342-145
when the total is 120 to 129.51-410-1545-452-310-1533-584-117-859-33
as a favorite2-625-33192-1742-524-34136-1577-142-17300-74
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-11-38-110-12-28-91-03-119-2
in all home games2-418-16112-962-317-1778-829-038-4226-24
in home lined games2-418-16112-962-317-1778-826-031-4188-24
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-27-620-141-25-812-233-011-230-5
against conference opponents0-122-20146-1301-018-2599-1300-127-16197-85
in January games0-05-1055-590-07-840-470-08-783-34
on Saturday games0-27-1075-781-17-1050-594-016-5127-45
after a conference game0-021-20148-1260-018-24101-1300-026-16199-82
off a loss against a conference rival0-05-939-410-010-532-390-09-658-26
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-13-720-221-05-521-140-14-625-18
when playing against a team with a winning record1-628-33189-1814-329-32147-1715-239-24249-135
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-416-19103-1142-215-2081-1053-120-15138-85
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PURDUE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games7-6-10.45-84-567.232.041.9%41.761.027.938.6%33.0
Road Games1-4-7.81-43-164.830.038.8%42.868.830.839.6%37.8
Last 5 Games3-2-4.61-41-163.829.640.6%39.062.230.439.8%33.8
Conference Games1-0+1.41-00-168.031.041.0%45.061.033.035.6%35.0
PURDUE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.232.025-5941.9%4-1527.9%13-2065.8%421214196135
vs opponents surrendering65.229.824-5741.1%6-1932.3%12-1868.0%341013187133
Team Stats (Road Games)64.830.023-6038.8%5-1730.2%13-2163.5%431213235155
Stats Against (All Games)61.027.921-5538.6%5-1630.5%13-2067.6%33811176134
vs opponents averaging67.431.724-5444.0%5-1634.5%14-2168.1%361013166144
Stats Against (Road Games)68.830.823-5739.6%5-1828.6%18-2767.2%381111178114

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-3-2.23-84-670.234.247.6%39.657.527.536.9%30.6
Home Games9-0+12-42-374.234.649.7%41.653.223.932.0%30.3
Last 5 Games4-1+10-42-271.832.646.0%40.460.431.837.5%34.4
Conference Games0-1-10-11-063.038.044.4%32.076.039.056.6%39.0
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.234.226-5447.6%5-1432.0%14-2070.6%401114179154
vs opponents surrendering67.430.124-5741.7%6-1932.0%14-2070.3%371013187154
Team Stats (Home Games)74.234.626-5249.7%5-1530.2%18-2473.1%421016169165
Stats Against (All Games)57.527.520-5436.9%5-1630.9%13-1965.9%31811179144
vs opponents averaging67.331.124-5742.0%6-1932.7%13-2067.9%35913188144
Stats Against (Home Games)53.223.918-5532.0%5-1826.7%13-2063.9%30910209162
Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 71.9,  MICHIGAN ST 72.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 16-13 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 19-10 straight up against PURDUE since 1997
18 of 26 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 8-5 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 10-3 straight up against PURDUE since 1997
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/19/2012MICHIGAN ST76-4.5SU ATS3530-5950.8%5-1338.5%11-1764.7%44109
 PURDUE62129.5 Over3822-6533.8%6-2227.3%12-1866.7%3296
1/21/2012PURDUE58134 Over2418-6229.0%3-2015.0%19-2479.2%341611
 MICHIGAN ST83-8SU ATS3130-5060.0%7-1353.8%16-2272.7%33511
3/11/2011MICHIGAN ST74130.5SU ATS3721-4942.9%7-1353.8%25-3180.6%4189
NPURDUE56-7 Under2319-5137.3%3-1618.7%15-2560.0%2824
2/27/2011PURDUE67133SU ATS3325-5743.9%7-1936.8%10-1566.7%38810
 MICHIGAN ST47-1 Under2419-5733.3%1-119.1%8-1172.7%36812
1/22/2011MICHIGAN ST76131 Over3128-6344.4%10-2050.0%10-1376.9%321411
 PURDUE86-6.5SU ATS4129-5058.0%6-1250.0%22-3073.3%2959
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (185-181)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-30)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.9% of the time since 1997. (178-210)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (140-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.1% of the time since 1997. (190-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 56.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-31)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PURDUE
No significant injuries.
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Undisclosed )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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