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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| TOLEDO | | | | E MICHIGAN | -4 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 13-9 | 43-35 | 218-220 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 14-13 | 37-58 | 236-254 | | in all lined games | 13-9 | 43-35 | 218-220 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 13-11 | 29-53 | 203-244 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-1 | 2-2 | 18-16 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 15-20 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 2-0 | 2-0 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 14-7 | | in road games | 8-4 | 21-16 | 99-112 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 5-9 | 11-33 | 64-164 | | in road lined games | 8-4 | 21-16 | 99-112 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 5-8 | 8-30 | 57-157 | | against conference opponents | 7-7 | 26-23 | 147-147 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 9-6 | 19-32 | 153-149 | | in March games | 1-1 | 7-4 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 25-18 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 31-26 | | on Saturday games | 7-2 | 17-16 | 78-89 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 40-38 | 8-3 | 17-21 | 89-96 | | after a conference game | 7-6 | 27-21 | 146-142 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 79-72 | 9-5 | 20-31 | 152-149 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 9-8 | 81-66 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 37-32 | 6-2 | 10-8 | 88-65 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-2 | 10-7 | 59-55 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 38-31 | 3-2 | 11-8 | 63-64 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 9-3 | 19-16 | 92-77 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 44-50 | 10-4 | 23-20 | 130-66 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 6-3 | 14-11 | 63-44 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 32-33 | 7-2 | 15-11 | 78-33 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-2 | 8-6 | 28-22 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 17-19 | 3-3 | 6-9 | 20-31 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-2 | 14-9 | 54-41 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 28-32 | 5-3 | 10-14 | 39-59 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-0 | 11-6 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18-22 | 5-1 | 13-7 | 30-24 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 6-0 | 16-11 | 40-41 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 27-34 | 8-1 | 20-14 | 50-42 |
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| in all games | 16-9 | 42-38 | 195-208 | 3-0 | 26-29 | 97-113 | 14-16 | 37-56 | 184-292 | | in all lined games | 16-9 | 42-38 | 195-208 | 3-0 | 26-29 | 97-113 | 10-16 | 28-54 | 142-270 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 2-3 | 15-16 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 8-6 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 13-19 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 2-1 | 4-3 | 22-16 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 7-20 | 2-1 | 5-3 | 23-16 | | in all home games | 9-3 | 21-13 | 85-89 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 40-49 | 12-4 | 28-14 | 124-96 | | in home lined games | 9-3 | 21-13 | 85-89 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 40-49 | 8-4 | 21-14 | 89-90 | | against conference opponents | 11-3 | 28-19 | 139-147 | 0-0 | 14-18 | 63-78 | 7-8 | 21-28 | 108-185 | | in March games | 2-0 | 3-4 | 20-24 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 15-29 | | on Saturday games | 9-3 | 22-10 | 80-83 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 33-42 | 7-7 | 17-17 | 70-116 | | after a conference game | 10-3 | 27-19 | 134-140 | 0-0 | 16-16 | 62-73 | 7-8 | 20-29 | 110-182 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 6-1 | 14-6 | 49-67 | 1-0 | 7-7 | 30-30 | 5-3 | 11-10 | 46-80 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 6-1 | 16-8 | 83-78 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 39-41 | 4-3 | 12-13 | 63-106 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 12-6 | 27-24 | 79-70 | 1-0 | 17-17 | 42-44 | 11-10 | 24-34 | 58-111 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-6 | 17-19 | 76-102 | 3-0 | 13-13 | 44-46 | 3-10 | 8-28 | 43-149 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-2 | 8-8 | 39-50 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 21-25 | 2-4 | 5-11 | 21-70 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 14-13 | +4.8 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 68.5 | 30.5 | 42.6% | 32.8 | 68.3 | 30.3 | 42.2% | 36.3 | | Road Games | 6-9 | +2.5 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 68.5 | 29.9 | 43.5% | 32.2 | 71.9 | 32.5 | 43.6% | 36.1 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.6 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 71.2 | 33.4 | 43.0% | 32.4 | 65.4 | 28.6 | 39.6% | 37.8 | | Conference Games | 9-6 | +3.8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 67.7 | 29.1 | 42.3% | 32.2 | 67.5 | 30.0 | 42.5% | 36.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.5 | 30.5 | 23-55 | 42.6% | 6-17 | 33.3% | 16-21 | 76.4% | 33 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66 | 30.7 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 34.5% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 68.5 | 29.9 | 24-56 | 43.5% | 6-17 | 33.2% | 15-20 | 74.7% | 32 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.3 | 30.3 | 23-56 | 42.2% | 7-21 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 71.3% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.5 | 30.2 | 23-54 | 42.6% | 6-19 | 33.2% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.9 | 32.5 | 24-56 | 43.6% | 7-21 | 33.6% | 16-22 | 71.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 14-16 | +2.2 | 16-9 | 3-0 | 56.7 | 25.8 | 39.9% | 33.9 | 59.1 | 26.5 | 39.5% | 35.0 | | Home Games | 12-4 | +6.7 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 60.2 | 28.7 | 43.6% | 33.8 | 51.5 | 23.6 | 36.6% | 33.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +0.2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 53.2 | 24.4 | 39.1% | 33.6 | 56.2 | 26.0 | 40.2% | 32.6 | | Conference Games | 7-8 | +0.4 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 55.7 | 26.1 | 40.5% | 32.8 | 55.4 | 25.1 | 39.0% | 33.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 56.7 | 25.8 | 21-52 | 39.9% | 5-15 | 32.3% | 10-16 | 67.5% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 31.3 | 24-54 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 60.2 | 28.7 | 21-49 | 43.6% | 5-14 | 34.2% | 13-19 | 67.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.1 | 26.5 | 20-52 | 39.5% | 7-23 | 29.6% | 12-18 | 65.3% | 35 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.9 | 30.2 | 23-54 | 42.4% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 51.5 | 23.6 | 18-50 | 36.6% | 6-22 | 27.3% | 9-15 | 58.1% | 33 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 68.4, E MICHIGAN 68.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| E MICHIGAN is 20-13 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 19-15 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| E MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | E MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| E MICHIGAN is 9-7 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | E MICHIGAN is 9-7 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | E MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/9/2013 | E MICHIGAN | 52 | | | 22 | 20-59 | 33.9% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 43 | 13 | 19 | | | TOLEDO | 60 | -8 | SU | 24 | 18-52 | 34.6% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 20-31 | 64.5% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 3/3/2012 | E MICHIGAN | 51 | 116.5 | Over | 25 | 20-64 | 31.2% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 37 | 17 | 9 | | | TOLEDO | 76 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 24-52 | 46.2% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 19-26 | 73.1% | 41 | 10 | 10 | 1/21/2012 | TOLEDO | 38 | 120 | Under | 14 | 15-50 | 30.0% | 3-18 | 16.7% | 5-7 | 71.4% | 27 | 4 | 11 | | | E MICHIGAN | 41 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 15 | 15-46 | 32.6% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 40 | 10 | 18 | 3/5/2011 | TOLEDO | 50 | 123 | Under | 30 | 18-48 | 37.5% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 9-18 | 50.0% | 29 | 7 | 13 | | | E MICHIGAN | 69 | -10 | SU ATS | 41 | 26-50 | 52.0% | 7-23 | 30.4% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 32 | 10 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (176-175) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (157-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-40) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) | |
| [G] 01/09/2013 - Ray Lee out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [F] 11/16/2012 - James Still has been dismissed ( Dismissed ) |
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