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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| TROY | | | | ARKANSAS ST | -18 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 15-9 | 39-31 | 87-88 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 11-17 | 29-56 | 93-118 | | in all lined games | 15-9 | 39-31 | 87-88 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 10-14 | 24-48 | 73-106 | | as an underdog | 12-7 | 33-25 | 62-54 | 1-0 | 22-17 | 50-43 | 7-12 | 18-42 | 38-80 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 0-9 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-2 | 6-5 | 12-12 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-11 | 0-24 | | in road games | 6-5 | 21-15 | 42-48 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 39-34 | 2-11 | 8-34 | 26-75 | | in road lined games | 6-5 | 21-15 | 42-48 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 39-34 | 2-9 | 7-29 | 24-67 | | against conference opponents | 11-6 | 26-23 | 63-64 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 58-54 | 6-11 | 17-34 | 59-71 | | in February games | 3-3 | 9-11 | 24-24 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 22-21 | 2-4 | 8-12 | 25-24 | | on Saturday games | 6-2 | 17-12 | 37-33 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 33-29 | 4-5 | 13-20 | 42-39 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 9-3 | 16-11 | 33-26 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 25-21 | 6-6 | 13-17 | 39-31 | | after a conference game | 11-5 | 26-21 | 64-60 | 0-0 | 17-14 | 50-58 | 7-10 | 18-32 | 59-71 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 6-3 | 15-13 | 33-31 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 29-27 | 4-6 | 11-20 | 29-38 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-2 | 17-10 | 43-39 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 33-36 | 5-6 | 10-24 | 34-58 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 5-1 | 9-5 | 26-22 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15-27 | 3-3 | 5-9 | 22-26 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 3-2 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7-7 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-1 | 7-7 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 13-11 | 2-2 | 4-11 | 11-20 |
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| in all games | 12-11 | 37-38 | 195-190 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 17-9 | 48-44 | 243-235 | | in all lined games | 12-11 | 37-38 | 195-190 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 14-9 | 37-41 | 180-212 | | as a favorite | 8-8 | 20-18 | 90-88 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 11-5 | 30-9 | 127-54 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 7-0 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 1-1 | 1-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 11-0 | | in all home games | 8-4 | 19-13 | 84-72 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 12-2 | 35-7 | 157-59 | | in home lined games | 8-4 | 19-13 | 84-72 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 10-2 | 25-7 | 108-51 | | against conference opponents | 10-7 | 27-25 | 136-132 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 11-6 | 30-23 | 138-136 | | in February games | 3-2 | 12-6 | 53-58 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 32-26 | 4-1 | 12-8 | 53-64 | | on Saturday games | 8-4 | 19-10 | 86-63 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 44-31 | 8-4 | 22-13 | 101-79 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 2-0 | 5-2 | 18-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12-5 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 29-15 | | after a conference game | 10-7 | 26-22 | 125-126 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 11-6 | 28-25 | 136-137 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 5-4 | 13-8 | 53-53 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 32-28 | 8-2 | 16-8 | 62-56 | | off a win against a conference rival | 6-4 | 14-12 | 60-65 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 7-3 | 16-13 | 69-67 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 4-4 | 16-7 | 51-41 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 27-20 | 5-3 | 15-9 | 54-54 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-1 | 4-4 | 45-49 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 15-26 | 2-1 | 6-5 | 63-57 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-7 | 13-18 | 74-76 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 41-40 | 8-4 | 25-14 | 130-69 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 2-3 | 8-10 | 39-54 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 26-28 | 3-2 | 11-8 | 57-42 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 5-5 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 21-13 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-2 | 6-8 | 27-29 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 18-13 | 3-2 | 10-8 | 50-22 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 11-17 | +1.6 | 15-9 | 1-0 | 62.4 | 29.3 | 40.2% | 33.0 | 66.8 | 30.8 | 44.6% | 36.4 | | Road Games | 3-12 | -2.7 | 7-6 | 1-0 | 60.0 | 28.6 | 38.7% | 32.1 | 69.9 | 32.9 | 45.6% | 36.9 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -2.6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 59.8 | 26.0 | 40.7% | 29.4 | 71.6 | 31.4 | 48.3% | 32.4 | | Conference Games | 6-11 | -4 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 62.4 | 29.5 | 41.5% | 32.4 | 66.8 | 31.1 | 44.8% | 34.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 62.4 | 29.3 | 23-58 | 40.2% | 7-21 | 31.6% | 9-14 | 69.3% | 33 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68 | 32 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-19 | 33.8% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.0 | 28.6 | 22-57 | 38.7% | 6-22 | 29.4% | 9-13 | 70.3% | 32 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.8 | 30.8 | 24-53 | 44.6% | 7-19 | 37.3% | 13-19 | 66.5% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 31 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 67.8% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.9 | 32.9 | 24-53 | 45.6% | 8-19 | 39.6% | 14-22 | 66.4% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
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| All Games | 17-9 | -6.6 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 70.2 | 31.3 | 41.4% | 36.5 | 62.3 | 28.8 | 41.8% | 35.1 | | Home Games | 12-2 | +1.7 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 72.7 | 32.4 | 42.5% | 37.7 | 58.0 | 27.2 | 39.7% | 33.6 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 75.0 | 33.2 | 43.9% | 34.6 | 60.8 | 31.4 | 41.1% | 31.4 | | Conference Games | 11-6 | -5.6 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 69.4 | 30.8 | 40.7% | 36.8 | 61.2 | 28.9 | 41.3% | 34.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.2 | 31.3 | 23-57 | 41.4% | 7-20 | 32.7% | 17-25 | 67.8% | 36 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.5 | 32.6 | 24-56 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-21 | 68.3% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 72.7 | 32.4 | 24-58 | 42.5% | 6-21 | 30.8% | 17-26 | 67.3% | 38 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.3 | 28.8 | 22-53 | 41.8% | 6-17 | 33.0% | 12-18 | 66.3% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 30.8 | 24-56 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.0 | 27.2 | 21-52 | 39.7% | 5-16 | 30.7% | 12-18 | 64.4% | 34 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 68, ARKANSAS ST 67.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TROY is 6-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | TROY is 6-3 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TROY since 1997 | | ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 straight up against TROY since 1997 | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/24/2013 | ARKANSAS ST | 67 | -7.5 | | 33 | 19-52 | 36.5% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 20-24 | 83.3% | 34 | 14 | 18 | | | TROY | 74 | | SU ATS | 26 | 27-56 | 48.2% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 13-18 | 72.2% | 37 | 13 | 15 | 2/16/2012 | TROY | 59 | 138.5 | Over | 26 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 6-7 | 85.7% | 25 | 6 | 14 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 83 | -7 | SU ATS | 35 | 31-55 | 56.4% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 29 | 10 | 7 | 2/19/2011 | ARKANSAS ST | 71 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 25-59 | 42.4% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 49 | 15 | 20 | | | TROY | 63 | 140 | Under | 34 | 18-49 | 36.7% | 10-24 | 41.7% | 17-24 | 70.8% | 25 | 5 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 54.1% of the time since 1997. (86-73) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 65% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-21) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (165-147) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 55.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-29) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 01/25/2013 - R.J. Scott out for season ( Suspension ) | | [G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) |
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