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Page last updated on Tue Mar 31 16:45:06 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:00 PM
TROY (11-17) AT ARKANSAS ST (17-9) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
601: TROY
602: ARKANSAS ST
OFF
-13.0
62.4 / 66.8
70.2 / 62.3
11-17
17-9
15-9
12-11
1-0
0-0
40.2
41.4
69.3
67.8
31.6
32.7
44.6
41.8
66.5
66.3
37.3
33.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TROY  
ARKANSAS ST-18
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-939-3187-881-027-1980-6811-1729-5693-118
in all lined games15-939-3187-881-027-1980-6810-1424-4873-106
as an underdog12-733-2562-541-022-1750-437-1218-4238-80
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-12-25-41-02-14-30-10-40-9
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-26-512-121-04-49-90-20-110-24
in road games6-521-1542-481-013-1039-342-118-3426-75
in road lined games6-521-1542-481-013-1039-342-97-2924-67
against conference opponents11-626-2363-640-020-1458-546-1117-3459-71
in February games3-39-1124-240-07-722-212-48-1225-24
on Saturday games6-217-1237-330-013-833-294-513-2042-39
when playing with one or less days rest9-316-1133-260-09-625-216-613-1739-31
after a conference game11-526-2164-600-017-1450-587-1018-3259-71
off a loss against a conference rival6-315-1333-310-012-829-274-611-2029-38
when playing against a team with a winning record9-217-1043-391-09-933-365-610-2434-58
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-19-526-220-03-515-273-35-922-26
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-13-27-60-00-46-61-12-47-7
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-17-712-170-03-813-112-24-1111-20

ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1137-38195-1900-024-26104-9717-948-44243-235
in all lined games12-1137-38195-1900-024-26104-9714-937-41180-212
as a favorite8-820-1890-880-012-1046-3211-530-9127-54
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-10-15-20-00-03-11-01-07-0
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points1-11-18-30-00-04-12-02-011-0
in all home games8-419-1384-720-010-1043-3812-235-7157-59
in home lined games8-419-1384-720-010-1043-3810-225-7108-51
against conference opponents10-727-25136-1320-019-1578-6311-630-23138-136
in February games3-212-653-580-08-532-264-112-853-64
on Saturday games8-419-1086-630-012-844-318-422-13101-79
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest2-05-218-150-02-312-52-05-329-15
after a conference game10-726-22125-1260-017-1273-5511-628-25136-137
revenging a road loss vs opponent5-413-853-530-07-632-288-216-862-56
off a win against a conference rival6-414-1260-650-07-737-237-316-1369-67
after allowing 60 points or less4-416-751-410-011-427-205-315-954-54
after scoring 80 points or more2-14-445-490-01-415-262-16-563-57
when playing against a team with a losing record4-713-1874-760-010-941-408-425-14130-69
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-38-1039-540-07-626-283-211-857-42
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-15-513-200-04-49-81-15-621-13
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-26-827-290-06-418-133-210-850-22
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-17+1.615-91-062.429.340.2%33.066.830.844.6%36.4
Road Games3-12-2.77-61-060.028.638.7%32.169.932.945.6%36.9
Last 5 Games1-4-2.62-30-059.826.040.7%29.471.631.448.3%32.4
Conference Games6-11-411-60-062.429.541.5%32.466.831.144.8%34.4
TROY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.429.323-5840.2%7-2131.6%9-1469.3%331012156112
vs opponents surrendering683224-5642.9%6-1933.8%14-2068.6%351012187154
Team Stats (Road Games)60.028.622-5738.7%6-2229.4%9-1370.3%321011175112
Stats Against (All Games)66.830.824-5344.6%7-1937.3%13-1966.5%36913155123
vs opponents averaging67.13124-5642.7%6-1833.4%14-2067.8%351012187154
Stats Against (Road Games)69.932.924-5345.6%8-1939.6%14-2266.4%371015145114

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-9-6.612-110-070.231.341.4%36.562.328.841.8%35.1
Home Games12-2+1.78-40-072.732.442.5%37.758.027.239.7%33.6
Last 5 Games4-1+33-20-075.033.243.9%34.660.831.441.1%31.4
Conference Games11-6-5.610-70-069.430.840.7%36.861.228.941.3%34.5
ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.231.323-5741.4%7-2032.7%17-2567.8%361111179133
vs opponents surrendering69.532.624-5643.9%6-1834.3%14-2168.3%351013187154
Team Stats (Home Games)72.732.424-5842.5%6-2130.8%17-2667.3%3812111610123
Stats Against (All Games)62.328.822-5341.8%6-1733.0%12-1866.3%35911206173
vs opponents averaging67.130.824-5642.6%6-1833.7%14-2068.2%351012187153
Stats Against (Home Games)58.027.221-5239.7%5-1630.7%12-1864.4%3488206182
Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 68,  ARKANSAS ST 67.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TROY is 6-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
TROY is 6-3 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ARKANSAS ST since 1997
ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TROY since 1997
ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 straight up against TROY since 1997
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/24/2013ARKANSAS ST67-7.5 3319-5236.5%9-2240.9%20-2483.3%341418
 TROY74 SU ATS2627-5648.2%7-2035.0%13-1872.2%371315
2/16/2012TROY59138.5 Over2624-5048.0%5-1631.2%6-785.7%25614
 ARKANSAS ST83-7SU ATS3531-5556.4%11-2152.4%10-1758.8%29107
2/19/2011ARKANSAS ST71-2.5SU ATS3525-5942.4%8-2040.0%13-1776.5%491520
 TROY63140 Under3418-4936.7%10-2441.7%17-2470.8%25513
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TROY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 54.1% of the time since 1997. (86-73)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 65% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-21)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (165-147)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 55.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-29)
Edge=TROY
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
TROY
[G] 01/25/2013 - R.J. Scott out for season ( Suspension )
[G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee )
ARKANSAS ST
[F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion )
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