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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 10:00 PM
TROY (12-20) AT ARKANSAS ST (18-11) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
661: TROY
662: ARKANSAS ST
OFF
-9.0
62.0 / 66.4
69.1 / 62.9
12-20
18-11
18-10
12-14
1-0
0-0
39.8
40.8
68.1
68.5
30.7
31.7
44.9
41.6
66.1
67.8
36.5
32.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TROY  
ARKANSAS ST-7 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games18-1042-3290-891-027-1980-6812-2030-5994-121
in all lined games18-1042-3290-891-027-1980-6811-1725-5174-109
as an underdog15-836-2665-551-022-1750-438-1519-4539-83
in all neutral court games3-14-410-80-04-08-63-14-413-9
as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 9 points1-12-12-10-01-01-01-12-12-1
against conference opponents14-729-2466-650-020-1458-547-1418-3760-74
in March games1-11-34-90-02-04-71-11-34-9
on Saturday games7-318-1338-340-013-833-294-713-2242-41
when playing with one or less days rest10-417-1234-270-09-625-216-813-1939-33
after a conference game14-629-2267-610-017-1450-588-1319-3560-74
when playing on a neutral court3-14-410-80-04-08-63-14-413-9
revenging a road loss vs opponent7-511-1323-250-06-619-175-79-1726-27
off a win against a conference rival4-29-827-280-05-620-292-46-1129-29
after scoring 80 points or more0-05-520-260-05-418-240-14-1125-36
in all tournament games3-14-510-140-04-19-103-14-511-14
in conference tournament games1-01-24-60-02-03-61-01-24-6
when playing against a team with a winning record11-319-1145-401-09-933-365-910-2734-61
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games7-211-628-230-03-515-273-65-1222-29
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-15-29-60-00-46-61-32-67-9
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-19-714-170-03-813-112-44-1311-22

ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1437-41195-1930-024-26104-9718-1149-46244-237
in all lined games12-1437-41195-1930-024-26104-9715-1138-43181-214
as a favorite8-1120-2190-910-012-1046-3212-731-11128-56
in all neutral court games0-02-617-250-03-312-90-02-620-26
as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-02-10-00-00-00-00-03-0
against conference opponents10-1027-28136-1350-019-1578-6312-831-25139-138
in March games0-12-311-140-02-211-50-12-311-15
on Saturday games8-619-1286-650-012-844-319-523-14102-80
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest2-15-318-160-02-312-53-06-330-15
after a conference game10-1026-25125-1290-017-1273-5512-829-27137-139
when playing on a neutral court0-02-617-250-03-312-90-02-620-26
off a loss against a conference rival4-311-1060-580-010-536-304-312-1060-63
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-16-615-260-05-616-131-15-1012-34
in all tournament games0-02-615-230-03-314-80-02-614-26
in conference tournament games0-02-212-130-02-210-50-02-211-14
when playing against a team with a losing record4-913-2074-780-010-941-409-526-15131-70
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-58-1239-560-07-626-284-312-958-43
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-25-613-210-04-49-82-16-622-13
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-36-927-300-06-418-134-211-851-22
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-20-0.318-101-062.028.839.8%33.366.430.244.9%36.2
Road Games4-13-2.59-61-060.628.238.6%32.669.832.345.7%36.6
Last 5 Games1-4-2.83-20-060.425.637.9%34.666.427.447.6%33.4
Conference Games7-14-5.814-70-061.828.840.6%33.066.330.045.3%34.5
TROY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.028.823-5839.8%6-2130.7%10-1468.1%331011156102
vs opponents surrendering67.631.624-5642.7%6-1833.3%14-2068.6%351012187144
Team Stats (Road Games)60.628.222-5838.6%6-2228.6%10-1469.5%331010165102
Stats Against (All Games)66.430.224-5344.9%7-1836.5%12-1966.1%36912155123
vs opponents averaging67.431.124-5542.8%6-1833.5%14-2168.2%351012187144
Stats Against (Road Games)69.832.324-5245.7%7-1938.4%15-2267.3%37914145114

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-11-8.912-140-069.131.040.8%36.462.928.641.6%35.3
Road Games5-9-11.64-90-066.230.039.0%35.268.631.044.5%36.7
Last 5 Games3-2-0.32-30-070.434.242.3%33.463.628.440.4%32.2
Conference Games12-8-7.910-100-067.930.439.8%36.762.128.641.0%34.9
ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.131.023-5640.8%6-2031.7%17-2468.5%361111179133
vs opponents surrendering69.332.524-5643.8%6-1834.3%14-2168.3%351013187154
Team Stats (Road Games)66.230.022-5639.0%7-2033.1%16-2369.1%351110197143
Stats Against (All Games)62.928.622-5441.6%5-1732.2%13-1967.8%35911206163
vs opponents averaging67.230.824-5642.6%6-1833.4%14-2068.5%351012187153
Stats Against (Road Games)68.631.024-5444.5%6-1735.1%14-2070.8%37913206153
Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 67.7,  ARKANSAS ST 67.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TROY is 7-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
TROY is 6-4 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/23/2013TROY50  ATS1419-6529.2%3-2015.0%9-1369.2%40118
 ARKANSAS ST58-12.5SU2519-4740.4%5-1926.3%15-1978.9%36411
1/24/2013ARKANSAS ST67-7.5 3319-5236.5%9-2240.9%20-2483.3%341418
 TROY74 SU ATS2627-5648.2%7-2035.0%13-1872.2%371315
2/16/2012TROY59138.5 Over2624-5048.0%5-1631.2%6-785.7%25614
 ARKANSAS ST83-7SU ATS3531-5556.4%11-2152.4%10-1758.8%29107
2/19/2011ARKANSAS ST71-2.5SU ATS3525-5942.4%8-2040.0%13-1776.5%491520
 TROY63140 Under3418-4936.7%10-2441.7%17-2470.8%25513
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (88-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 65.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 53% of the time since 1997. (167-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 55.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-30)
Edge=ARKANSAS ST
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
TROY
[G] 01/25/2013 - R.J. Scott out for season ( Suspension )
[G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee )
ARKANSAS ST
[F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion )
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