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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 18-10 | 42-32 | 90-89 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 12-20 | 30-59 | 94-121 | | in all lined games | 18-10 | 42-32 | 90-89 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 11-17 | 25-51 | 74-109 | | as an underdog | 15-8 | 36-26 | 65-55 | 1-0 | 22-17 | 50-43 | 8-15 | 19-45 | 39-83 | | in all neutral court games | 3-1 | 4-4 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 8-6 | 3-1 | 4-4 | 13-9 | | as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 1-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | | against conference opponents | 14-7 | 29-24 | 66-65 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 58-54 | 7-14 | 18-37 | 60-74 | | in March games | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4-9 | | on Saturday games | 7-3 | 18-13 | 38-34 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 33-29 | 4-7 | 13-22 | 42-41 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 10-4 | 17-12 | 34-27 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 25-21 | 6-8 | 13-19 | 39-33 | | after a conference game | 14-6 | 29-22 | 67-61 | 0-0 | 17-14 | 50-58 | 8-13 | 19-35 | 60-74 | | when playing on a neutral court | 3-1 | 4-4 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 8-6 | 3-1 | 4-4 | 13-9 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 7-5 | 11-13 | 23-25 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 19-17 | 5-7 | 9-17 | 26-27 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-2 | 9-8 | 27-28 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 20-29 | 2-4 | 6-11 | 29-29 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 0-0 | 5-5 | 20-26 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 18-24 | 0-1 | 4-11 | 25-36 | | in all tournament games | 3-1 | 4-5 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 9-10 | 3-1 | 4-5 | 11-14 | | in conference tournament games | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 3-6 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-6 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-3 | 19-11 | 45-40 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 33-36 | 5-9 | 10-27 | 34-61 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 7-2 | 11-6 | 28-23 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15-27 | 3-6 | 5-12 | 22-29 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-1 | 5-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 7-9 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-1 | 9-7 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 13-11 | 2-4 | 4-13 | 11-22 |
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| in all games | 12-14 | 37-41 | 195-193 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 18-11 | 49-46 | 244-237 | | in all lined games | 12-14 | 37-41 | 195-193 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 15-11 | 38-43 | 181-214 | | as a favorite | 8-11 | 20-21 | 90-91 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 12-7 | 31-11 | 128-56 | | in all neutral court games | 0-0 | 2-6 | 17-25 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 20-26 | | as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-0 | | against conference opponents | 10-10 | 27-28 | 136-135 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 12-8 | 31-25 | 139-138 | | in March games | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11-15 | | on Saturday games | 8-6 | 19-12 | 86-65 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 44-31 | 9-5 | 23-14 | 102-80 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 2-1 | 5-3 | 18-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12-5 | 3-0 | 6-3 | 30-15 | | after a conference game | 10-10 | 26-25 | 125-129 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 12-8 | 29-27 | 137-139 | | when playing on a neutral court | 0-0 | 2-6 | 17-25 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 20-26 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-3 | 11-10 | 60-58 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 36-30 | 4-3 | 12-10 | 60-63 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-1 | 6-6 | 15-26 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16-13 | 1-1 | 5-10 | 12-34 | | in all tournament games | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15-23 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 14-26 | | in conference tournament games | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11-14 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-9 | 13-20 | 74-78 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 41-40 | 9-5 | 26-15 | 131-70 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 2-5 | 8-12 | 39-56 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 26-28 | 4-3 | 12-9 | 58-43 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 5-6 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9-8 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 22-13 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-3 | 6-9 | 27-30 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 18-13 | 4-2 | 11-8 | 51-22 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 12-20 | -0.3 | 18-10 | 1-0 | 62.0 | 28.8 | 39.8% | 33.3 | 66.4 | 30.2 | 44.9% | 36.2 | | Road Games | 4-13 | -2.5 | 9-6 | 1-0 | 60.6 | 28.2 | 38.6% | 32.6 | 69.8 | 32.3 | 45.7% | 36.6 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -2.8 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 60.4 | 25.6 | 37.9% | 34.6 | 66.4 | 27.4 | 47.6% | 33.4 | | Conference Games | 7-14 | -5.8 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 61.8 | 28.8 | 40.6% | 33.0 | 66.3 | 30.0 | 45.3% | 34.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 62.0 | 28.8 | 23-58 | 39.8% | 6-21 | 30.7% | 10-14 | 68.1% | 33 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.6 | 31.6 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.6 | 28.2 | 22-58 | 38.6% | 6-22 | 28.6% | 10-14 | 69.5% | 33 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.4 | 30.2 | 24-53 | 44.9% | 7-18 | 36.5% | 12-19 | 66.1% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.4 | 31.1 | 24-55 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 14-21 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.8 | 32.3 | 24-52 | 45.7% | 7-19 | 38.4% | 15-22 | 67.3% | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
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| All Games | 18-11 | -8.9 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 69.1 | 31.0 | 40.8% | 36.4 | 62.9 | 28.6 | 41.6% | 35.3 | | Road Games | 5-9 | -11.6 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 66.2 | 30.0 | 39.0% | 35.2 | 68.6 | 31.0 | 44.5% | 36.7 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 70.4 | 34.2 | 42.3% | 33.4 | 63.6 | 28.4 | 40.4% | 32.2 | | Conference Games | 12-8 | -7.9 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 67.9 | 30.4 | 39.8% | 36.7 | 62.1 | 28.6 | 41.0% | 34.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.1 | 31.0 | 23-56 | 40.8% | 6-20 | 31.7% | 17-24 | 68.5% | 36 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.3 | 32.5 | 24-56 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-21 | 68.3% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 66.2 | 30.0 | 22-56 | 39.0% | 7-20 | 33.1% | 16-23 | 69.1% | 35 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.9 | 28.6 | 22-54 | 41.6% | 5-17 | 32.2% | 13-19 | 67.8% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 30.8 | 24-56 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 68.6 | 31.0 | 24-54 | 44.5% | 6-17 | 35.1% | 14-20 | 70.8% | 37 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 67.7, ARKANSAS ST 67.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TROY is 7-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | TROY is 6-4 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/23/2013 | TROY | 50 | | ATS | 14 | 19-65 | 29.2% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 9-13 | 69.2% | 40 | 11 | 8 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 58 | -12.5 | SU | 25 | 19-47 | 40.4% | 5-19 | 26.3% | 15-19 | 78.9% | 36 | 4 | 11 | 1/24/2013 | ARKANSAS ST | 67 | -7.5 | | 33 | 19-52 | 36.5% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 20-24 | 83.3% | 34 | 14 | 18 | | | TROY | 74 | | SU ATS | 26 | 27-56 | 48.2% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 13-18 | 72.2% | 37 | 13 | 15 | 2/16/2012 | TROY | 59 | 138.5 | Over | 26 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 6-7 | 85.7% | 25 | 6 | 14 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 83 | -7 | SU ATS | 35 | 31-55 | 56.4% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 29 | 10 | 7 | 2/19/2011 | ARKANSAS ST | 71 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 25-59 | 42.4% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 49 | 15 | 20 | | | TROY | 63 | 140 | Under | 34 | 18-49 | 36.7% | 10-24 | 41.7% | 17-24 | 70.8% | 25 | 5 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (88-74) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 65.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-22) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 53% of the time since 1997. (167-148) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 55.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-30) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 01/25/2013 - R.J. Scott out for season ( Suspension ) | | [G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) |
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