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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
VIRGINIA (20-9) AT FLORIDA ST (15-14) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
507: VIRGINIA
508: FLORIDA ST
123.0
+3.5
64.9 / 54.4
67.3 / 68.6
20-9
15-14
17-9
10-16
5-4
10-6
46.5
44.0
71.8
72.9
40.3
34.9
38.7
43.7
68.0
69.2
30.2
37.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VIRGINIA-5 
FLORIDA ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games17-948-30192-2125-421-38136-14920-958-34265-222
in all lined games17-948-30192-2125-421-38136-14918-947-33195-217
when the total is 120 to 129.52-115-922-161-27-1713-262-113-1120-19
as a favorite14-628-1891-975-214-1963-5416-536-12138-54
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-22-26-91-02-24-50-23-27-9
in road games4-618-1170-941-29-1349-683-714-1755-122
in road lined games4-618-1170-941-29-1349-683-713-1746-122
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-08-19-40-12-73-110-15-47-7
against conference opponents10-629-20124-1444-318-2395-10410-626-24110-165
in March games0-12-621-390-06-134-230-13-519-42
after a conference game9-627-20119-1384-218-2093-979-626-24120-154
off a loss against a conference rival4-114-866-881-19-1058-553-212-1061-97
after allowing 60 points or less12-730-2056-503-211-2533-4415-642-1983-48
after scoring 60 points or less6-322-1243-372-011-1529-308-324-1452-40
when playing against a team with a winning record12-536-22157-1653-417-30113-12513-534-26155-188
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games7-320-1490-1033-215-1575-817-317-1875-123

FLORIDA ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1644-42212-21010-638-38126-15815-1463-35279-227
in all lined games10-1644-42212-21010-638-38126-15814-1355-34211-221
when the total is 120 to 129.50-17-1017-171-19-1019-170-29-1020-16
as an underdog6-619-15119-1064-415-1564-776-717-1868-162
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-01-113-60-02-04-30-00-212-7
in all home games3-917-1891-974-315-1753-738-735-12177-79
in home lined games3-917-1891-974-315-1753-737-627-11120-74
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.50-03-26-21-04-36-40-16-19-1
against conference opponents4-1126-23140-1324-524-2182-1047-933-19123-158
in March games0-110-436-280-16-822-330-19-532-33
after a conference game3-1126-22134-1294-521-2374-1036-934-17130-150
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more1-03-020-182-04-012-91-12-213-26
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-28-559-462-18-534-392-27-749-59
off a loss against a conference rival2-59-775-653-07-635-495-314-476-74
after scoring 60 points or less2-510-1049-382-38-1122-384-415-856-46
when playing against a team with a winning record7-1035-31168-1646-529-32101-1299-944-27164-194
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-821-19103-982-416-2261-863-726-1686-122
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-58-922-341-23-1117-243-411-728-31
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-715-2055-704-313-1841-497-721-1867-70
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-9+617-95-464.930.346.5%32.154.424.038.7%29.7
Road Games3-8-3.64-72-261.228.143.7%30.362.526.745.6%29.7
Last 5 Games2-3-1.83-21-167.631.248.3%29.264.428.045.2%28.4
Conference Games10-6+0.810-64-364.930.246.7%30.257.425.341.7%29.5
VIRGINIA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.930.324-5146.5%6-1640.3%11-1571.8%32714166114
vs opponents surrendering66.230.824-5642.0%6-1833.7%13-1968.7%34912187134
Team Stats (Road Games)61.228.122-5143.7%8-1842.6%9-1369.2%30813185113
Stats Against (All Games)54.424.019-4938.7%5-1730.2%11-1668.0%3079155133
vs opponents averaging67.431.324-5643.2%6-1733.3%13-2068.5%361012176134
Stats Against (Road Games)62.526.722-4745.6%6-1737.5%13-2066.0%30612145104

FLORIDA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-14-10.210-1610-667.330.844.0%31.368.633.243.7%33.8
Home Games8-7-10.63-94-369.630.844.3%30.667.632.244.7%31.2
Last 5 Games2-3-1.21-43-167.830.844.7%31.073.834.845.6%31.2
Conference Games7-9-1.54-114-562.128.242.6%28.069.233.946.3%33.6
FLORIDA ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.330.823-5244.0%6-1734.9%15-2172.9%31812187155
vs opponents surrendering65.330.323-5641.4%6-1933.1%13-1868.4%34912187133
Team Stats (Home Games)69.630.823-5244.3%6-1635.9%17-2377.3%31911177145
Stats Against (All Games)68.633.224-5543.7%7-1837.3%13-1969.2%341013197143
vs opponents averaging68.83225-5544.5%6-1834.3%13-2068.1%361013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)67.632.224-5444.7%7-1837.2%13-1771.8%31913206153
Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 74.9,  FLORIDA ST 75.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 19-8 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 17-10 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997
10 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 3-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at FLORIDA ST since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 9-4 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 11-2 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/19/2013FLORIDA ST36  1516-4337.2%1-156.7%3-837.5%22918
 VIRGINIA56-6SU ATS3322-4548.9%7-1353.8%5-683.3%30916
3/1/2012FLORIDA ST63115SU ATS2923-4551.1%7-1643.7%10-1376.9%27618
 VIRGINIA60-4.5 Over2020-4445.5%4-944.4%16-2080.0%21515
2/4/2012VIRGINIA55118 ATS2221-4546.7%6-1833.3%7-887.5%24420
 FLORIDA ST58-5.5SU Under2322-4647.8%5-1241.7%9-1656.2%28819
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring FLORIDA ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (176-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (172-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 45.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-40)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 51% of the time since 1997. (130-125)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.1% of the time since 1997. (141-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-29)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
VIRGINIA
[F] 03/07/2013 - Darion Atkins "?" Thursday vs. Florida State ( Shin )
[G] 11/08/2012 - Malcolm Brogdon out for season ( Foot )
FLORIDA ST
[F] 03/06/2013 - Terrance Shannon probable Thursday vs. Virginia ( Neck )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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