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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-6 | 40-39 | 226-220 | 1-3 | 33-32 | 132-127 | 10-6 | 42-41 | 310-184 | | in all lined games | 9-6 | 40-39 | 226-220 | 1-3 | 33-32 | 132-127 | 9-6 | 38-41 | 276-179 | | as an underdog | 3-3 | 19-20 | 78-77 | 1-3 | 17-19 | 42-40 | 1-5 | 11-28 | 45-112 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-0 | 2-3 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5-17 | | in road games | 3-3 | 16-14 | 87-101 | 0-1 | 13-11 | 50-50 | 2-4 | 11-19 | 92-109 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 16-14 | 87-101 | 0-1 | 13-11 | 50-50 | 2-4 | 11-19 | 87-105 | | against conference opponents | 3-2 | 26-18 | 135-135 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 84-78 | 4-1 | 25-19 | 190-88 | | in January games | 0-1 | 8-8 | 52-75 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 36-37 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 84-49 | | on Saturday games | 4-2 | 15-15 | 82-88 | 1-0 | 13-12 | 54-44 | 5-2 | 17-15 | 115-69 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-2 | 14-13 | 72-67 | 0-2 | 12-12 | 44-44 | 3-1 | 15-13 | 100-50 | | after a conference game | 1-3 | 23-20 | 128-132 | 0-0 | 22-16 | 79-80 | 3-1 | 25-19 | 188-89 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 9-8 | 40-35 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 24-19 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 50-30 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-5 | 13-19 | 115-116 | 1-2 | 14-13 | 69-69 | 2-5 | 13-21 | 130-113 |
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| in all games | 5-6 | 30-33 | 188-185 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 9-5 | 40-40 | 235-231 | | in all lined games | 5-6 | 30-33 | 188-185 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 6-5 | 29-37 | 172-208 | | as a favorite | 2-4 | 14-14 | 84-84 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 4-2 | 23-6 | 120-51 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 4-3 | 20-12 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 24-8 | | in all home games | 3-2 | 14-11 | 79-70 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 6-1 | 29-6 | 151-58 | | in home lined games | 3-2 | 14-11 | 79-70 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 4-1 | 19-6 | 102-50 | | against conference opponents | 3-2 | 20-20 | 129-127 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 3-2 | 22-19 | 130-132 | | in January games | 1-0 | 6-11 | 59-59 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 31-27 | 1-0 | 9-10 | 68-59 | | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 14-8 | 81-61 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 44-31 | 2-3 | 16-12 | 95-78 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-1 | 14-11 | 79-57 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 41-40 | 1-1 | 17-13 | 86-81 | | after a conference game | 3-2 | 19-17 | 118-121 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 3-2 | 20-21 | 128-133 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-0 | 10-8 | 56-61 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 2-0 | 11-10 | 64-64 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-3 | 13-6 | 48-40 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 27-20 | 2-2 | 12-8 | 51-53 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-1 | 15-13 | 98-93 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 55-49 | 3-2 | 10-21 | 67-137 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 10-6 | +5.1 | 9-6 | 1-3 | 67.8 | 31.2 | 43.3% | 39.0 | 65.1 | 31.8 | 41.7% | 32.7 | | Road Games | 3-6 | -0.9 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 62.8 | 28.2 | 40.2% | 39.1 | 68.9 | 34.6 | 44.3% | 34.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +0.8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 62.4 | 28.8 | 42.3% | 35.6 | 71.2 | 35.4 | 45.7% | 31.6 | | Conference Games | 4-1 | +2.8 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 70.6 | 34.6 | 45.7% | 37.4 | 65.4 | 33.6 | 45.1% | 28.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.8 | 31.2 | 24-56 | 43.3% | 6-20 | 29.3% | 14-21 | 64.0% | 39 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 31.1% | 14-21 | 68.3% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.8 | 28.2 | 23-58 | 40.2% | 6-21 | 26.5% | 11-18 | 61.5% | 39 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.1 | 31.8 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 5-17 | 31.5% | 13-20 | 67.6% | 33 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32.9 | 25-58 | 42.9% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 68.9 | 34.6 | 25-56 | 44.3% | 5-15 | 31.7% | 14-21 | 67.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 9-5 | -2 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 70.5 | 31.6 | 41.5% | 37.3 | 65.4 | 28.4 | 42.3% | 36.6 | | Home Games | 6-1 | +2.7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 74.0 | 33.0 | 43.8% | 39.1 | 59.7 | 25.9 | 40.1% | 33.4 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 67.8 | 30.6 | 40.4% | 38.0 | 63.6 | 28.8 | 38.7% | 38.6 | | Conference Games | 3-2 | -1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 68.4 | 30.2 | 39.4% | 39.8 | 67.2 | 28.2 | 41.5% | 37.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.5 | 31.6 | 24-59 | 41.5% | 6-19 | 32.2% | 16-24 | 65.2% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70.7 | 33.5 | 25-57 | 44.3% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-21 | 67.2% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 74.0 | 33.0 | 26-59 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 17-26 | 65.4% | 39 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.4 | 28.4 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 12-17 | 72.6% | 37 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.7 | 31.7 | 25-57 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 13-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 59.7 | 25.9 | 22-55 | 40.1% | 5-17 | 27.6% | 11-16 | 69.0% | 33 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W KENTUCKY 70.8, ARKANSAS ST 67.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 17-10 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | W KENTUCKY is 18-10 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 8-4 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | ARKANSAS ST is 7-6 straight up against W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/23/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 76 | 130 | Over | 38 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 3-13 | 23.1% | 31-38 | 81.6% | 39 | 15 | 13 | | | W KENTUCKY | 79 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 26-46 | 56.5% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 21-24 | 87.5% | 17 | 2 | 16 | 1/1/2011 | W KENTUCKY | 73 | 135.5 | Over | 39 | 32-70 | 45.7% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 3-6 | 50.0% | 34 | 9 | 11 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 81 | -5 | SU ATS | 40 | 28-60 | 46.7% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 15-20 | 75.0% | 41 | 12 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (179-170) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 63.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-22) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (158-144) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-26) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 12/21/2012 - Jamal Crook expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Foot ) | | [F] 12/05/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/30/2012 - Caden Dickerson out indefinitely ( Shoulder ) | |
| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) |
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