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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:30 PM
WI-GREEN BAY (18-14) AT VALPARAISO (24-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
653: WI-GREEN BAY
654: VALPARAISO
131.0
-9.0
65.9 / 62.4
72.1 / 62.3
18-14
24-7
16-13
18-10
0-4
3-4
43.6
48.7
75.3
73.5
33.6
37.6
40.9
41.1
74.0
72.6
34.2
33.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
WI-GREEN BAY  
VALPARAISO-12
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WI-GREEN BAY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-1347-36207-1990-426-31113-10318-1447-47254-236
in all lined games16-1347-36207-1990-426-31113-10216-1440-46204-220
when the total is 130 to 139.50-117-1164-470-113-1467-470-111-1764-52
as an underdog6-526-18106-1070-119-1467-474-811-3560-163
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-18-320-230-05-513-140-21-1110-35
in road games6-723-1994-970-315-1760-474-1011-3569-153
in road lined games6-723-1994-970-315-1760-474-1011-3458-143
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-03-413-100-04-317-80-01-69-16
against conference opponents10-733-20138-1350-320-2080-7112-630-26142-142
in March games1-21-310-150-10-28-62-12-210-17
on Saturday games6-520-1281-870-111-1154-397-618-17103-98
when playing with one or less days rest6-223-770-660-111-1132-385-419-1489-73
after a conference game9-729-20134-1240-317-2078-6512-629-26144-139
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-06-430-240-14-613-161-02-819-42
off a win against a conference rival4-713-1463-680-211-945-346-514-1574-67
in all tournament games3-25-523-270-03-214-143-24-629-27
in tournament semi-final games0-00-01-60-00-02-20-00-01-6
in conference tournament games1-11-39-160-01-17-52-02-211-15
when playing against a team with a winning record9-1030-24105-1200-218-1766-4910-1022-3587-162
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-616-1257-720-110-843-267-414-1547-88
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-66-1025-420-15-722-183-49-920-50
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-1016-1857-640-29-1334-336-915-2347-85

VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games18-1048-43107-933-430-3688-7724-769-32314-200
in all lined games18-1048-43107-933-430-3688-7721-762-31109-96
when the total is 130 to 139.52-016-2233-381-114-2234-362-023-1538-35
as a favorite15-830-3046-452-318-2435-3718-546-1671-23
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points2-25-68-80-13-77-83-111-216-2
in all home games8-523-1842-351-215-1739-2914-240-9177-46
in home lined games8-523-1842-351-215-1739-2911-234-958-22
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-03-56-70-05-39-40-06-29-4
against conference opponents11-531-2462-513-121-2359-4413-342-15193-96
in March games1-03-512-140-13-512-111-04-428-20
on Saturday games6-315-1337-272-210-1432-279-225-7110-68
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest2-17-319-30-01-66-122-17-327-24
after a conference game12-332-2163-543-221-2461-4813-241-16189-99
off a win against a conference rival9-322-1631-353-214-1934-2810-228-1347-33
after allowing 60 points or less6-415-1528-311-210-1228-188-320-1281-55
in all tournament games0-07-721-230-05-719-180-09-533-31
in tournament semi-final games0-01-11-20-00-21-20-01-16-4
in conference tournament games0-02-36-60-02-38-40-03-216-8
when playing against a team with a winning record11-830-2770-602-318-2257-4814-536-22108-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games8-419-1440-352-213-1343-2410-223-1171-59
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games7-115-524-140-26-822-118-018-230-20
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-519-1438-300-210-1233-2410-325-845-57
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WI-GREEN BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-14-2.616-130-465.931.343.6%35.262.429.740.9%30.3
Road Games6-11-4.97-90-364.830.643.0%34.267.232.943.9%30.6
Last 5 Games3-2-1.32-30-162.829.642.1%34.263.228.443.9%29.2
Conference Games12-6+2.510-70-365.729.844.9%35.360.428.239.2%28.7
WI-GREEN BAY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.931.323-5243.6%5-1433.6%16-2175.3%35913176145
vs opponents surrendering66.630.924-5443.8%6-1734.6%14-1971.2%34813176133
Team Stats (Road Games)64.830.623-5443.0%5-1531.1%14-1875.3%341012185134
Stats Against (All Games)62.429.722-5340.9%6-1934.2%13-1774.0%30712197123
vs opponents averaging66.430.523-5442.9%7-1934.5%13-1971.6%33813177133
Stats Against (Road Games)67.232.923-5243.9%6-1835.6%15-2075.6%31713176103

VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games24-7+3.918-103-472.133.748.7%33.262.328.641.1%28.6
Home Games14-2+0.28-51-274.136.149.3%34.758.027.238.4%28.7
Last 5 Games4-1+2.33-21-277.836.055.4%31.668.028.443.4%27.2
Conference Games13-3+4.111-53-174.434.349.3%31.965.129.242.6%29.8
VALPARAISO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.133.724-5048.7%8-2037.6%16-2173.5%33814187143
vs opponents surrendering66.43123-5344.1%6-1834.1%14-1970.2%34913177144
Team Stats (Home Games)74.136.125-5149.3%8-2140.4%15-2073.3%35815167144
Stats Against (All Games)62.328.622-5341.1%5-1433.5%14-2072.6%29811197132
vs opponents averaging65.830.423-5442.3%6-1933.7%13-1970.1%33912187133
Stats Against (Home Games)58.027.220-5338.4%4-1429.1%13-1873.7%29810207132
Average power rating of opponents played: WI-GREEN BAY 70,  VALPARAISO 69.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
WI-GREEN BAY is 8-5 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997
WI-GREEN BAY is 9-6 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 4-2 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 3-3 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at VALPARAISO since 1997
WI-GREEN BAY is 4-3 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997
VALPARAISO is 4-3 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY since 1997
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 2-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 2-1 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/2/2013VALPARAISO75135SU ATS2929-4860.4%10-1855.6%7-1070.0%23510
 WI-GREEN BAY56-2 Under2022-4845.8%5-1338.5%7-1258.3%25916
1/23/2013WI-GREEN BAY61  3120-5139.2%4-1723.5%17-2181.0%33916
 VALPARAISO73-8.5SU ATS3420-4940.8%6-2128.6%27-3381.8%3178
1/26/2012VALPARAISO60137.5 Under2719-4641.3%8-1844.4%14-2360.9%31410
 WI-GREEN BAY75-1SU ATS3226-5745.6%6-1540.0%17-2568.0%39106
12/31/2011WI-GREEN BAY87133.5 ATS3629-4959.2%12-2450.0%17-2373.9%25716
 VALPARAISO90-6.5SU Over4930-5653.6%10-2147.6%20-2580.0%28812
2/21/2011VALPARAISO80-2 Over3329-6346.0%11-2544.0%11-1291.7%34718
 WI-GREEN BAY81137SU ATS4132-6549.2%3-1225.0%14-1782.4%36813
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring WI-GREEN BAY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WI-GREEN BAY games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (170-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WI-GREEN BAY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 55% of the time since 1997. (88-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-33)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WI-GREEN BAY games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (98-88)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WI-GREEN BAY games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (68-73)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 55.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-26)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WI-GREEN BAY
[F] 02/05/2013 - Daniel Turner out for season ( Knee )
[G/F] 11/24/2012 - Josh Humphrey out for season ( Knee )
VALPARAISO
[G] 02/09/2013 - Alex Rossi out indefinitely ( Heart )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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