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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 9:00 PM
WISCONSIN (20-9) AT MICHIGAN ST (22-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
521: WISCONSIN
522: MICHIGAN ST
121.5
-5.0
67.0 / 55.8
69.2 / 59.8
20-9
22-7
11-15
12-13
11-12
12-13
42.9
46.4
62.6
71.2
34.2
34.3
39.4
39.4
69.0
65.8
30.6
31.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
WISCONSIN  
MICHIGAN ST-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1547-42257-22311-1244-40153-18820-971-28362-164
in all lined games11-1547-42257-22311-1244-40153-18818-962-28329-162
when the total is 120 to 129.54-1024-2387-839-528-1779-909-533-14119-53
as an underdog2-310-968-623-314-643-452-46-1445-92
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-22-414-201-25-214-110-30-78-28
in road games3-514-1690-853-617-1451-654-516-1585-96
in road lined games3-514-1690-853-617-1451-654-516-1584-95
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-24-828-263-010-228-261-25-726-29
against conference opponents7-825-29151-1377-931-2494-12011-537-18188-108
in March games0-18-545-371-09-430-490-17-653-31
after a conference game7-725-28146-1397-832-2297-11810-536-18187-108
revenging a home loss vs opponent0-11-521-110-14-211-70-12-417-16
off a loss against a conference rival2-210-752-472-211-634-333-113-464-41
after scoring 60 points or less5-418-972-733-513-1348-518-122-5104-50
when playing against a team with a winning record6-1235-34182-1718-1038-31120-14811-846-26231-142
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-523-21101-1015-627-1876-937-429-16121-91
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games5-513-1657-715-617-1349-647-417-1370-62
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-919-23104-1077-921-2272-969-725-18129-89

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1345-45260-23312-1340-50184-22322-769-31399-149
in all lined games12-1345-45260-23312-1340-50184-22319-761-31353-149
when the total is 120 to 129.54-613-1748-476-514-1737-609-222-964-34
as a favorite7-930-36197-1778-830-37142-16016-151-17309-74
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-03-118-80-13-28-121-05-024-3
in all home games6-722-19116-996-621-2082-8515-144-5232-25
in home lined games6-722-19116-996-621-2082-8512-137-5194-25
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.52-28-621-142-26-813-234-012-231-5
against conference opponents9-631-25155-1359-726-32107-13711-538-20208-89
in March games1-07-758-410-17-740-480-18-670-31
after a conference game9-530-25157-1318-726-31109-13711-437-20210-86
off a loss against a conference rival2-27-1141-432-212-734-412-211-860-28
after allowing 60 points or less4-921-17107-1108-517-2188-9011-329-11170-66
after scoring 60 points or less3-010-639-381-211-537-302-29-856-29
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-00-14-40-01-01-30-01-06-2
when playing against a team with a winning record10-1037-37198-18510-1035-39153-17814-648-28258-139
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games8-423-23126-1055-722-25100-1128-428-19155-82
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games8-318-1580-735-715-1960-808-419-15102-55
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game9-725-22112-1178-921-2787-11212-529-19147-89
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-9-0.111-1511-1267.032.342.9%37.255.824.939.4%32.4
Road Games5-6+1.43-74-661.727.139.5%34.862.129.342.9%34.5
Last 5 Games3-2+13-13-265.234.243.7%38.252.622.036.5%31.6
Conference Games11-5+6.87-87-961.929.840.9%36.755.424.338.7%33.9
WISCONSIN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.032.324-5742.9%8-2334.2%11-1762.6%37111414694
vs opponents surrendering64.129.523-5541.6%6-1833.3%13-1869.0%33912176133
Team Stats (Road Games)61.727.121-5439.5%7-2231.1%12-2060.9%351012164103
Stats Against (All Games)55.824.921-5339.4%4-1330.6%10-1469.0%3279175112
vs opponents averaging67.831.724-5544.0%6-1834.1%13-1970.3%35913176124
Stats Against (Road Games)62.129.322-5242.9%4-1330.8%13-1874.0%3579185103

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-7+4.512-1312-1369.232.146.4%37.759.828.139.4%30.5
Home Games15-1+4.96-76-672.632.648.4%39.156.326.235.9%30.7
Last 5 Games2-3-1.12-22-366.631.844.4%39.262.827.441.1%28.8
Conference Games11-5+5.69-69-767.930.645.1%35.662.929.342.7%30.9
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.232.125-5346.4%5-1534.3%15-2071.2%381013168144
vs opponents surrendering64.929.223-5541.2%6-1832.3%13-1970.1%35912186134
Team Stats (Home Games)72.632.625-5248.4%5-1533.6%17-2371.1%391015159144
Stats Against (All Games)59.828.121-5439.4%5-1731.0%12-1865.8%30811187133
vs opponents averaging68.631.924-5643.4%6-1834.0%14-2068.9%361013177124
Stats Against (Home Games)56.326.220-5535.9%6-1930.1%11-1763.3%31810198142
Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 76.7,  MICHIGAN ST 76.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 17-16 against the spread versus WISCONSIN since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 20-14 straight up against WISCONSIN since 1997
17 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 5-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 7-6 against the spread versus WISCONSIN since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 straight up against WISCONSIN since 1997
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/22/2013MICHIGAN ST49123SU ATS2718-4738.3%4-944.4%9-1275.0%35710
 WISCONSIN47-5 Under2816-5429.6%8-2729.6%7-1838.9%35149
3/10/2012WISCONSIN52118.5 Under2517-4934.7%7-2035.0%11-1478.6%29612
NMICHIGAN ST65-4SU ATS3521-4250.0%6-966.7%17-2373.9%29612
2/16/2012WISCONSIN55116.5 Over1918-5334.0%5-2420.8%14-14100.0%331210
 MICHIGAN ST69-5.5SU ATS3124-4652.2%2-922.2%19-2576.0%30610
1/3/2012MICHIGAN ST63117SU ATS2124-6040.0%2-540.0%13-2065.0%41129
 WISCONSIN60-6.5 Over2218-5433.3%5-2222.7%19-2770.4%3398
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (197-193)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.1% of the time since 1997. (185-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 44.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-42)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (142-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.5% of the time since 1997. (195-163)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-39)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WISCONSIN
[F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None )
[G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee )
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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