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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 11:30 AM
AIR FORCE (1-4) AT NAVY (2-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
313: AIR FORCE
314: NAVY
56.0
-13.5
28.6 / 41.6
33.0 / 20.3
1-4
2-1
2-3-0
2-1-0
4-1-0
1-2-0
296.0
301.0
96.8
128.0
392.8
429.0
212.4
164.7
313.8
246.7
526.2
411.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
AIR FORCE  
NAVY-15 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
AIR FORCE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-01-210-121-03-012-80-10-33-19
in all games2-311-20119-1274-117-1179-851-414-17152-111
in all lined games2-311-20119-1274-117-1179-851-414-17137-110
as an underdog2-27-753-454-011-343-370-42-1232-67
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points1-01-14-41-02-05-30-10-22-6
in road games2-07-661-532-08-437-380-24-958-58
in road lined games2-07-661-532-08-437-380-24-957-58
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-02-29-150-04-011-130-02-26-18
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-02-26-90-04-08-70-02-24-11
when playing on a Saturday1-38-18104-1123-113-1063-711-312-14140-93
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-19-1189-973-011-955-610-310-10114-79
after playing a conference game2-19-967-893-011-648-570-39-982-82
in games played on turf2-36-1124-224-19-616-131-47-1029-18
in October games0-04-538-460-05-418-310-05-447-40
in non-conference games0-13-939-430-14-522-311-06-661-36
off a loss against a conference rival2-16-425-453-07-323-240-35-529-44
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-14-219-222-04-215-110-23-326-19
when playing against a team with a winning record0-14-735-461-08-335-350-13-826-56
in weeks 5 through 91-06-545-511-07-423-350-16-555-44

NAVY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-01-316-170-11-310-111-03-128-5
in all games2-112-16129-1011-210-1660-622-115-13125-128
in all lined games2-112-16129-1011-210-1660-622-115-13108-124
as a favorite1-15-1047-500-24-929-321-110-571-27
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-25-90-01-17-30-01-110-4
in home games1-04-738-520-13-618-201-07-463-48
in home lined games1-04-738-520-13-618-201-07-446-45
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-00-27-100-01-19-80-01-112-5
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-00-14-50-01-05-40-00-16-3
against Mountain West conference opponents0-01-114-30-01-15-80-01-110-8
when playing on a Saturday2-111-16120-931-210-1554-522-114-13116-119
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-010-884-570-16-1132-351-010-884-75
in games played on turf2-16-630-171-23-89-162-19-325-24
in October games0-04-540-320-05-418-150-04-535-47
in non-conference games2-112-12102-851-28-1448-482-113-11108-102
when playing against a team with a losing record0-02-850-350-02-825-240-07-356-30
in weeks 5 through 90-14-747-370-15-619-200-14-740-54
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
AIR FORCE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-4-32-34-128.617.8392.8(5.7)0.841.622.2526.2(6.4)1.2
Road Games0-2-12-02-031.019.0370.0(6)1.043.519.0566.0(6.6)1.5
Last 3 Games0-3-22-13-028.318.3404.3(6)1.047.726.7584.7(6.8)1.3
Turf Games1-4-32-34-128.617.8392.8(5.7)0.841.622.2526.2(6.4)1.2
AIR FORCE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.617.820.628:5055-296(5.4)7-1450.0%97(6.9)69-393(5.7)(13.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.71422.329:2747-240(5.1)16-2761.1%188(7.1)74-428(5.8)(14.9)
Offense Road Games31.019.017.528:5051-281(5.5)5-1047.6%88(8.4)62-370(6)(11.9)
Defense (All Games)41.622.230.231:1043-212(4.9)30-3975.9%314(8)82-526(6.4)(12.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.91824.930:2543-188(4.4)24-3764.8%255(7)80-443(5.6)(13.9)
Defense Road Games43.519.033.031:0942-219(5.2)33-4377.0%346(8)86-566(6.6)(13)

NAVY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-1+2.42-11-233.018.0429.0(6.4)1.020.38.0411.3(5.9)2.0
Home Games1-0+11-00-151.023.0589.0(7.6)1.07.07.0336.0(5.1)3.0
Last 3 Games2-1+2.42-11-233.018.0429.0(6.4)1.020.38.0411.3(5.9)2.0
Turf Games2-1+2.42-11-233.018.0429.0(6.4)1.020.38.0411.3(5.9)2.0
NAVY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.018.022.730:0155-301(5.5)7-1254.1%128(10.4)67-429(6.4)(13)
Opponents Defensive Avg.35.919.12431:1649-256(5.2)15-2559.1%212(8.5)74-468(6.3)(13)
Offense Home Games51.023.031.033:4862-352(5.7)11-1573.3%237(15.8)77-589(7.6)(11.5)
Defense (All Games)20.38.022.028:4234-165(4.8)25-3570.8%247(7)70-411(5.9)(20.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.616.722.428:2437-190(5.2)22-3562.4%262(7.5)72-452(6.3)(16.4)
Defense Home Games7.07.018.026:1234-157(4.6)19-3259.4%179(5.6)66-336(5.1)(48)
Average power rating of opponents played: AIR FORCE 28.6,  NAVY 19
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
AIR FORCE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2013COLGATE38-13W-25.5L66.5U64-4097-11-72041-15714-27-1430
9/7/2013UTAH ST20-52L7.5L58O49-1626-18-108146-21732-40-3602
9/13/2013@ BOISE ST20-42L23.5W58O52-1884-10-99141-22929-31-3042
9/21/2013WYOMING23-56L4L65.5O57-34612-20-127144-24935-41-3731
9/28/2013@ NEVADA42-45L11W58.5O51-3756-11-78144-21038-56-3891
10/5/2013@ NAVY            
10/10/2013SAN DIEGO ST            
10/26/2013NOTRE DAME            
11/2/2013ARMY            

NAVY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/7/2013@ INDIANA41-35W11W66.5O70-4442-5-71026-11831-43-3631
9/14/2013DELAWARE51-7W-16.5W61.5U62-35211-15-237134-15719-32-1793
9/28/2013@ W KENTUCKY7-19L-4L59U33-1077-17-76243-21925-31-1982
10/5/2013AIR FORCE            
10/12/2013@ DUKE            
10/19/2013@ TOLEDO            
10/26/2013PITTSBURGH            
11/2/2013@ NOTRE DAME            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NAVY is 15-5 against the spread versus AIR FORCE since 1992
AIR FORCE is 11-10 straight up against NAVY since 1992
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NAVY since 1992
NAVY is 5-3 against the spread versus AIR FORCE since 1992
NAVY is 5-4 straight up against AIR FORCE since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NAVY over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/6/2012NAVY2854.5SU ATS101931:3554-2856-674005-40
 AIR FORCE21-9.5 Under72628:2564-3639-13144301-10
10/1/2011AIR FORCE3553.5SU ATS211919:1441-2239-10136104-38
 NAVY34-3 Over33140:4680-33414-25132016-67
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NAVY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 53.3% of the time since 1992. (113-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 44% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 47.3% of the time since 1992. (96-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 50.7% of the time since 1992. (71-69)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 57.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 47.3% of the time since 1992. (52-58)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 43.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-13)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
AIR FORCE
[WR] 10/03/2013 - Ty MacArthur is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Navy ( Concussion )
[WR] 10/03/2013 - Myles Barnes expected to miss Saturday vs. Navy ( Knee )
[DB] 10/03/2013 - Chris Miller expected to miss Saturday vs. Navy ( Concussion )
[FB] 09/29/2013 - Aaron Clinton-Earl "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Hand )
[QB] 09/25/2013 - Jaleel Awini out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[DL] 09/17/2013 - Joseph Champaign out indefinitely ( ACL )
[QB] 09/05/2013 - Kale Pearson out for season ( Knee )
NAVY
[DB] 10/05/2013 - Kwazel Bertrand is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Knee )
[WR] 10/05/2013 - Geoffrey Whiteside is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Leg )
[OL] 10/04/2013 - Graham Vickers out for season ( Concussion )
[OL] 10/04/2013 - Thomas Stone out indefinitely ( Knee )
[QB] 10/01/2013 - Keenan Reynolds is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Concussion )
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