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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 3-5 | 32-27 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 28-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 46-13 | | in all games | 5-3 | 22-12 | 126-122 | 5-3 | 15-17 | 88-102 | 8-0 | 30-4 | 181-77 | | in all lined games | 5-3 | 22-12 | 126-122 | 5-3 | 15-17 | 88-102 | 8-0 | 30-4 | 175-76 | | as a favorite | 5-3 | 22-12 | 90-94 | 5-3 | 15-17 | 60-70 | 8-0 | 30-4 | 155-29 | | as a road favorite | 3-0 | 9-4 | 33-25 | 3-0 | 9-3 | 23-21 | 3-0 | 11-2 | 48-10 | | as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-1 | | in road games | 3-0 | 9-4 | 54-35 | 3-0 | 9-3 | 36-34 | 3-0 | 11-2 | 57-33 | | in road lined games | 3-0 | 9-4 | 54-35 | 3-0 | 9-3 | 36-34 | 3-0 | 11-2 | 57-33 | | in a road game where the total is 42 or less | 1-0 | 2-0 | 18-6 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 13-12 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 17-8 | | in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points | 1-0 | 2-0 | 17-4 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 12-10 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 14-8 | | against conference opponents | 4-1 | 14-8 | 85-83 | 4-1 | 10-11 | 61-75 | 5-0 | 18-4 | 111-60 | | when playing on a Saturday | 5-3 | 20-11 | 114-115 | 5-3 | 15-15 | 80-93 | 8-0 | 28-3 | 167-72 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-3 | 16-9 | 88-93 | 3-3 | 11-13 | 56-77 | 6-0 | 24-1 | 129-59 | | after playing a conference game | 3-1 | 13-7 | 84-77 | 3-1 | 9-9 | 60-69 | 4-0 | 17-3 | 113-56 | | in games played on a grass field | 2-3 | 18-12 | 114-115 | 2-3 | 12-16 | 79-97 | 5-0 | 26-4 | 165-74 | | in November games | 0-0 | 3-5 | 31-35 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 20-34 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 39-31 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-1 | 11-5 | 57-46 | 3-1 | 8-6 | 37-42 | 4-0 | 13-3 | 79-29 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 4-2 | 13-8 | 68-50 | 4-2 | 10-10 | 42-49 | 6-0 | 17-4 | 93-29 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 9-8 | 62-60 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 51-56 | 2-0 | 13-4 | 67-58 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 29-33 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 18-32 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 36-30 |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 4-2 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 17-17 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 20-24 | | in all games | 3-5 | 19-15 | 118-122 | 3-4 | 15-16 | 87-92 | 7-1 | 31-4 | 174-81 | | in all lined games | 3-5 | 19-15 | 118-122 | 3-4 | 15-16 | 87-92 | 7-1 | 30-4 | 165-81 | | as an underdog | 0-0 | 4-3 | 41-37 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 25-31 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 28-51 | | as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | | in home games | 2-3 | 8-9 | 53-77 | 3-1 | 8-7 | 41-44 | 5-0 | 18-0 | 106-35 | | in home lined games | 2-3 | 8-9 | 53-77 | 3-1 | 8-7 | 41-44 | 5-0 | 17-0 | 97-35 | | in a home game where the total is 42 or less | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4-10 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 10-4 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 8-6 | | in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 9-4 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 8-5 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 13-9 | 78-85 | 1-3 | 8-12 | 62-69 | 3-1 | 18-4 | 102-67 | | when playing on a Saturday | 3-5 | 16-14 | 100-109 | 3-4 | 13-14 | 71-79 | 7-1 | 28-3 | 154-70 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-0 | 3-1 | 21-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 29-15 | | after playing a conference game | 1-2 | 13-6 | 79-81 | 1-1 | 9-7 | 54-60 | 3-0 | 18-2 | 108-60 | | after a bye week | 0-0 | 3-1 | 17-23 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 27-16 | | in games played on a grass field | 3-5 | 15-13 | 104-113 | 3-4 | 10-15 | 76-84 | 7-1 | 26-3 | 155-76 | | in November games | 0-0 | 5-3 | 28-41 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 29-24 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 50-23 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-1 | 11-5 | 50-47 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 36-42 | 2-0 | 15-2 | 71-30 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 1-3 | 12-11 | 45-59 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 40-51 | 3-1 | 20-4 | 79-31 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 11-7 | 54-63 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 48-52 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 67-54 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 25-39 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 27-22 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 47-21 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-0 | +3 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 40.6 | 26.0 | 436.4 | (6.8) | 0.7 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 203.1 | (3.5) | 2.9 | | Road Games | 4-0 | +3 | 4-0 | 4-0 | 44.7 | 26.5 | 485.2 | (7.4) | 1.0 | 9.2 | 6.0 | 204.2 | (3.5) | 3.2 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +1 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 41.3 | 25.0 | 495.3 | (7.5) | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.7 | 222.3 | (3.9) | 2.7 | | Grass Games | 5-0 | +1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 38.0 | 25.0 | 417.8 | (6.5) | 0.6 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 218.0 | (3.8) | 2.4 | | Conference Games | 5-0 | +2 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 41.8 | 25.2 | 445.8 | (6.8) | 0.8 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 204.4 | (3.4) | 3.2 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 40.6 | 26.0 | 20.9 | 33:16 | 41-214 | (5.2) | 16-23 | 69.6% | 222 | (9.7) | 64-436 | (6.8) | (10.7) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 25.4 | 13.5 | 19.6 | 30:01 | 37-149 | (4) | 19-31 | 60.5% | 219 | (7.1) | 68-368 | (5.4) | (14.5) | | Offense Road Games | 44.7 | 26.5 | 21.5 | 34:02 | 45-263 | (5.9) | 14-21 | 69.0% | 222 | (10.6) | 66-485 | (7.4) | (10.8) | | Defense (All Games) | 8.1 | 3.9 | 12.2 | 26:44 | 30-57 | (1.9) | 14-28 | 51.1% | 146 | (5.2) | 58-203 | (3.5) | (25) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 28.4 | 15.1 | 20.2 | 30:40 | 37-161 | (4.3) | 19-31 | 59.7% | 231 | (7.4) | 68-391 | (5.7) | (13.8) | | Defense Road Games | 9.2 | 6.0 | 11.5 | 25:57 | 30-52 | (1.7) | 12-28 | 44.6% | 152 | (5.4) | 58-204 | (3.5) | (22.1) |
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| All Games | 7-1 | +1.8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 31.0 | 15.1 | 385.7 | (5.7) | 1.5 | 14.6 | 7.7 | 243.4 | (3.7) | 2.6 | | Home Games | 5-0 | +1 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 41.2 | 18.4 | 443.8 | (6.5) | 1.4 | 14.8 | 8.0 | 223.4 | (3.6) | 2.2 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +0.8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 17.7 | 7.7 | 307.3 | (4.6) | 1.3 | 18.0 | 6.3 | 286.0 | (3.8) | 3.0 | | Grass Games | 7-1 | +1.8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 31.0 | 15.1 | 385.7 | (5.7) | 1.5 | 14.6 | 7.7 | 243.4 | (3.7) | 2.6 | | Conference Games | 3-1 | +1.8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 318.2 | (4.7) | 1.5 | 16.0 | 7.2 | 260.2 | (3.8) | 3.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 31.0 | 15.1 | 19.0 | 30:00 | 42-208 | (4.9) | 14-25 | 56.0% | 177 | (7.1) | 67-386 | (5.7) | (12.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27.4 | 14.5 | 19.7 | 29:00 | 37-156 | (4.2) | 19-31 | 58.9% | 224 | (7.1) | 69-380 | (5.5) | (13.9) | | Offense Home Games | 41.2 | 18.4 | 22.2 | 30:53 | 45-245 | (5.4) | 15-24 | 63.0% | 199 | (8.4) | 69-444 | (6.5) | (10.8) | | Defense (All Games) | 14.6 | 7.7 | 15.6 | 29:60 | 34-95 | (2.7) | 16-31 | 51.8% | 148 | (4.7) | 66-243 | (3.7) | (16.6) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 25.1 | 13.3 | 19.1 | 31:02 | 37-153 | (4.1) | 18-31 | 60.1% | 207 | (6.8) | 68-360 | (5.3) | (14.4) | | Defense Home Games | 14.8 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 29:07 | 30-73 | (2.4) | 16-32 | 49.7% | 151 | (4.7) | 62-223 | (3.6) | (15.1) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ALABAMA 38.9, LSU 32.6 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/8/2012 | W KENTUCKY | 35-0 | W | -38 | L | 52 | U | 31-103 | 15-20-225 | 0 | 28-46 | 20-31-178 | 4 | | 9/15/2012 | @ ARKANSAS | 52-0 | W | -20 | W | 49 | O | 45-225 | 14-20-213 | 0 | 37-58 | 11-25-79 | 5 | | 9/22/2012 | FLA ATLANTIC | 40-7 | W | -48 | L | 57 | U | 47-256 | 16-26-247 | 1 | 32-76 | 7-13-34 | 0 | | 9/29/2012 | OLE MISS | 33-14 | W | -31.5 | L | 52.5 | U | 34-125 | 22-30-180 | 1 | 35-80 | 19-33-138 | 3 | | 10/13/2012 | @ MISSOURI | 42-10 | W | -21 | W | 41 | O | 47-362 | 16-21-171 | 2 | 28-3 | 12-29-126 | 3 | | 10/20/2012 | @ TENNESSEE | 44-13 | W | -19 | W | 54 | O | 45-233 | 17-22-306 | 1 | 27-79 | 16-31-203 | 2 | | 10/27/2012 | MISSISSIPPI ST | 38-7 | W | -21.5 | W | 44.5 | O | 40-179 | 17-24-235 | 0 | 21-47 | 19-36-209 | 3 | | 11/3/2012 | @ LSU | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | TEXAS A&M | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | W CAROLINA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | AUBURN | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/8/2012 | WASHINGTON | 41-3 | W | -22.5 | W | 53 | U | 52-242 | 12-19-195 | 1 | 24-26 | 17-36-157 | 1 | | 9/15/2012 | IDAHO | 63-14 | W | -42 | W | 52 | O | 39-250 | 17-23-222 | 1 | 26-39 | 23-36-174 | 4 | | 9/22/2012 | @ AUBURN | 12-10 | W | -18 | L | 45 | U | 44-182 | 15-27-169 | 2 | 30-86 | 13-22-97 | 3 | | 9/29/2012 | TOWSON | 38-22 | W | -43.5 | L | | - | 35-158 | 15-26-238 | 3 | 40-188 | 13-33-103 | 2 | | 10/6/2012 | @ FLORIDA | 6-14 | L | -1.5 | L | 41.5 | U | 25-42 | 11-25-158 | 3 | 58-176 | 8-12-61 | 2 | | 10/13/2012 | S CAROLINA | 23-21 | W | -3 | L | 37.5 | O | 53-258 | 12-25-148 | 1 | 25-34 | 19-35-177 | 2 | | 10/20/2012 | @ TEXAS A&M | 24-19 | W | -4 | W | 52 | U | 45-219 | 11-29-97 | 0 | 38-134 | 29-56-276 | 5 | | 11/3/2012 | ALABAMA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | MISSISSIPPI ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | OLE MISS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/23/2012 | @ ARKANSAS | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ALABAMA is 11-8 against the spread versus LSU since 1992 | | LSU is 11-10 straight up against ALABAMA since 1992 | | 10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| LSU is 2-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | LSU is 2-1 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ALABAMA is 8-2 against the spread versus LSU since 1992 | | ALABAMA is 6-4 straight up against LSU since 1992 | | 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | LSU is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | 0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 1/9/2012 | ALABAMA | 21 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 9 | 21 | 35:26 | 35-150 | 23-34 | 234 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | | N | LSU | 0 | 42 | Under | 0 | 5 | 24:34 | 27-39 | 11-17 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 5-35 | | 11/5/2011 | LSU | 9 | 41.5 | SU ATS | 3 | 15 | 29:54 | 41-148 | 9-17 | 91 | 0 | 2 | 7-56 | | | ALABAMA | 6 | -5.5 | Under | 3 | 17 | 30:06 | 31-96 | 16-29 | 199 | 0 | 2 | 6-73 | | 11/6/2010 | ALABAMA | 21 | -7 | | 7 | 19 | 31:13 | 31-102 | 21-34 | 223 | 1 | 1 | 3-25 | | | LSU | 24 | 45 | SU ATS | 3 | 15 | 28:47 | 45-225 | 14-20 | 208 | 0 | 0 | 5-45 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 51.3% of the time since 1992. (115-109) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 58.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-13) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LSU games 50.7% of the time since 1992. (106-103) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LSU games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 43.4% of the time since 1992. (69-90) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 38.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-16) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LSU games 41.7% of the time since 1992. (63-88) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LSU games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12) | |
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| [WR] 08/10/2012 - Chris Black out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [CB] 08/11/2012 - Travell Dixon left the team ( Personal ) | | [DB] 08/11/2012 - Jarrick Williams out for season ( Knee ) | | [RB] 09/10/2012 - Jalston Fowler out for season ( Knee ) | | [WR] 10/01/2012 - DeAndrew White out for season ( Knee ) | | [RB] 10/01/2012 - Dee Hart out for season ( Knee ) | | [QB] 10/29/2012 - AJ McCarron injured last game, probable Saturday vs. LSU ( Back ) | | [WR] 10/29/2012 - Amari Cooper injured last game, probable Saturday vs. LSU ( Ankle ) | |
| [CB] 08/10/2012 - Tyrann Mathieu no longer with team ( Dismissed ) | | [OT] 10/10/2012 - Chris Faulk out for season ( Knee ) | | [TE] 09/12/2012 - Tyler Edwards out for season ( Academics ) | | [LB] 09/12/2012 - Tahj Jones out for season ( Academics ) | | [OT] 09/12/2012 - Evan Washington out for season ( Academics ) | | [LB] 09/12/2012 - D.J. Welter out for season ( Academics ) | | [DE] 09/15/2012 - Jordan Allen out for season ( Knee ) | | [WR] 09/13/2012 - Travin Dural out for season ( Knee ) | | [RB] 09/18/2012 - Alfred Blue out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [LB] 10/11/2012 - Kwon Alexander out for season ( Ankle ) | | [OT] 10/28/2012 - Alex Hurst out indefinitely ( Personal ) | | [OG] 10/28/2012 - Josh Williford "?" Saturday vs. Alabama ( Concussion ) | | [G] 10/29/2012 - Josh Dworaczyk probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Calf ) | | [C] 10/29/2012 - P.J. Lonergan probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Back ) | | [LB] 10/29/2012 - Luke Muncie probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Illness ) | | [S] 10/29/2012 - Eric Reid probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Sternum ) |
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