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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in a bowl game | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | | as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 2-0 | 4-2 | 16-14 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 8-10 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 12-18 | | in all games | 9-3 | 20-16 | 88-79 | 7-5 | 21-13 | 47-45 | 9-3 | 19-17 | 106-139 | | in all lined games | 9-3 | 20-16 | 88-79 | 7-5 | 21-13 | 47-45 | 9-3 | 19-17 | 68-101 | | as an underdog | 4-1 | 14-8 | 62-54 | 3-2 | 12-10 | 27-31 | 3-2 | 9-13 | 28-89 | | as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | | against Conference USA opponents | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-12 | | after playing a conference game | 5-2 | 13-8 | 61-50 | 3-4 | 15-6 | 32-28 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 77-89 | | after a bye week | 1-0 | 2-0 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 11-12 | | in dome games | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-5 | | in games played on a neutral field | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-5 | | in games played on turf | 8-3 | 14-4 | 33-21 | 6-5 | 10-8 | 17-21 | 9-2 | 13-5 | 28-38 | | in December games | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | | in non-conference games | 4-0 | 7-5 | 29-22 | 3-1 | 5-5 | 14-15 | 3-1 | 6-6 | 21-53 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-1 | 9-3 | 30-22 | 3-2 | 9-3 | 18-18 | 4-1 | 7-5 | 26-26 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 3-2 | 4-4 | 16-16 | 2-3 | 5-3 | 14-11 | 4-1 | 4-4 | 32-18 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-2 | 7-7 | 33-22 | 3-2 | 9-5 | 18-16 | 3-2 | 5-9 | 24-48 |
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| in a bowl game | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-3 | | as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-0 | 6-2 | 16-15 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 12-8 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 19-12 | | in all games | 6-7 | 21-17 | 86-79 | 10-3 | 20-17 | 51-54 | 9-4 | 25-14 | 104-107 | | in all lined games | 6-7 | 21-17 | 86-79 | 10-3 | 20-17 | 51-54 | 9-4 | 24-14 | 81-87 | | as a favorite | 5-5 | 17-13 | 45-40 | 9-1 | 17-12 | 29-25 | 9-1 | 23-7 | 65-21 | | as a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | against MAC opponents | 1-0 | 2-0 | 7-6 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 14-4 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 10-16 | | after playing a conference game | 3-5 | 13-11 | 45-44 | 7-1 | 16-8 | 36-32 | 6-2 | 16-8 | 52-45 | | after a bye week | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 12-18 | | in dome games | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-4 | | in games played on a neutral field | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-3 | | in games played on turf | 3-4 | 6-5 | 16-19 | 5-2 | 7-4 | 15-9 | 4-3 | 6-5 | 12-26 | | in December games | 0-1 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 3-5 | | in non-conference games | 2-2 | 7-5 | 33-34 | 2-2 | 2-9 | 11-24 | 2-2 | 7-6 | 46-63 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 5-2 | 21-17 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 13-10 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 18-21 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 6-5 | 18-23 | 2-1 | 6-5 | 14-15 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 12-34 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 9-3 | +9.2 | 9-3 | 7-5 | 35.0 | 16.3 | 471.3 | (5.8) | 1.3 | 31.5 | 18.0 | 459.7 | (6.3) | 1.2 | | Road Games | 5-2 | +4.6 | 5-2 | 4-3 | 35.3 | 18.0 | 437.6 | (5.5) | 1.3 | 34.1 | 20.3 | 459.6 | (6.3) | 0.9 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +3.8 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 39.0 | 19.7 | 465.7 | (6.3) | 1.0 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 443.3 | (6.1) | 1.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 35.0 | 16.3 | 28.3 | 31:47 | 43-214 | (5) | 25-38 | 65.0% | 257 | (6.8) | 81-471 | (5.8) | (13.5) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 29.7 | 14.4 | 22.2 | 31:38 | 40-189 | (4.7) | 20-32 | 60.6% | 239 | (7.4) | 72-428 | (5.9) | (14.4) | | Offense Road Games | 35.3 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 31:41 | 45-203 | (4.5) | 22-34 | 65.5% | 235 | (6.9) | 79-438 | (5.5) | (12.4) | | Defense (All Games) | 31.5 | 18.0 | 23.4 | 28:10 | 40-206 | (5.1) | 20-33 | 61.4% | 254 | (7.7) | 73-460 | (6.3) | (14.6) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 29.9 | 15.8 | 22 | 29:17 | 40-189 | (4.7) | 19-32 | 59.7% | 234 | (7.3) | 72-423 | (5.8) | (14.2) | | Defense Road Games | 34.1 | 20.3 | 23.9 | 28:19 | 39-188 | (4.8) | 22-35 | 62.8% | 271 | (7.9) | 73-460 | (6.3) | (13.5) |
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| All Games | 9-4 | +1.7 | 6-7 | 10-3 | 35.2 | 19.8 | 400.7 | (6) | 1.2 | 22.5 | 9.9 | 380.2 | (5.1) | 2.0 | | Road Games | 4-3 | -1 | 3-4 | 5-2 | 34.3 | 18.7 | 374.9 | (5.8) | 1.4 | 22.7 | 11.1 | 387.3 | (4.7) | 2.6 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 32.3 | 21.0 | 346.0 | (5.3) | 0.3 | 26.7 | 13.7 | 501.0 | (5.7) | 2.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 35.2 | 19.8 | 20.6 | 30:19 | 37-179 | (4.8) | 18-29 | 62.0% | 222 | (7.6) | 66-401 | (6) | (11.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 31 | 15.8 | 21.3 | 30:14 | 38-159 | (4.2) | 21-34 | 60.4% | 246 | (7.2) | 72-405 | (5.6) | (13.1) | | Offense Road Games | 34.3 | 18.7 | 18.1 | 29:21 | 36-172 | (4.7) | 16-29 | 56.5% | 203 | (7.1) | 65-375 | (5.8) | (10.9) | | Defense (All Games) | 22.5 | 9.9 | 20.7 | 29:26 | 40-162 | (4.1) | 20-34 | 59.8% | 218 | (6.4) | 74-380 | (5.1) | (16.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 29.2 | 14.6 | 21.3 | 30:59 | 39-163 | (4.1) | 20-35 | 58.5% | 241 | (6.9) | 74-404 | (5.4) | (13.9) | | Defense Road Games | 22.7 | 11.1 | 22.7 | 30:11 | 48-200 | (4.2) | 21-34 | 60.5% | 188 | (5.5) | 82-387 | (4.7) | (17.1) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: BALL ST 29.1, UCF 29.5 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 10/27/2012 | @ ARMY | 30-22 | W | -3 | W | 68.5 | U | 52-224 | 18-27-189 | 1 | 62-341 | 3-6-38 | 1 | | 11/6/2012 | @ TOLEDO | 34-27 | W | 5.5 | W | 70 | U | 33-166 | 29-42-280 | 3 | 51-311 | 14-27-215 | 1 | | 11/14/2012 | OHIO U | 52-27 | W | -5.5 | W | 61 | O | 39-357 | 22-28-231 | 0 | 40-231 | 24-34-252 | 1 | | 11/23/2012 | @ MIAMI OHIO | 31-24 | W | -8 | L | 60.5 | U | 58-226 | 11-22-137 | 0 | 25-103 | 26-40-218 | 1 | | 12/21/2012 | *UCF | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 10/27/2012 | @ MARSHALL | 54-17 | W | -2 | W | 66.5 | O | 40-278 | 16-22-290 | 3 | 36-66 | 35-62-298 | 0 | | 11/3/2012 | SMU | 42-17 | W | -9 | W | 50 | O | 39-241 | 12-17-155 | 1 | 31-126 | 16-29-133 | 1 | | 11/10/2012 | @ UTEP | 31-24 | W | -13.5 | L | 51 | O | 41-188 | 16-28-214 | 1 | 53-267 | 5-11-79 | 4 | | 11/17/2012 | @ TULSA | 21-23 | L | 1 | L | 54.5 | U | 34-66 | 13-31-169 | 0 | 53-209 | 21-34-252 | 2 | | 11/24/2012 | UAB | 49-24 | W | -21.5 | W | 58 | O | 39-229 | 18-24-244 | 0 | 27-89 | 37-56-510 | 2 | | 12/1/2012 | @ TULSA | 27-33 | L | 3 | L | 52 | O | 36-136 | 14-33-194 | 1 | 69-290 | 14-25-153 | 2 | | 12/21/2012 | *BALL ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus UCF since 1992 | | BALL ST is 2-1 straight up against UCF since 1992 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (73-78) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-12) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (71-76) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-21) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALL ST games 54.3% of the time since 1992. (44-37) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALL ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-16) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 44% of the time since 1992. (40-51) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-20) | |
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| [DE] 08/04/2012 - Anthony Kukwa has left team ( Personal ) | | [TE] 08/04/2012 - Aaron Mershman has left team ( Head ) | | [TE] 08/16/2012 - Sam Brunner out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [OL] 08/16/2012 - Josh Smith out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [CB] 12/16/2012 - Armand Dehaney "?" Friday vs. Central Florida ( Shoulder ) | | [C] 12/02/2012 - Dan Manick injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Central Florida ( Ankle ) | | [TE] 12/16/2012 - David Schneider "?" Friday vs. Central Florida ( Leg ) | | [QB] 12/02/2012 - Keith Wenning is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Central Florida ( Ankle ) | | [G] 12/02/2012 - Jordan Hansel "?" Friday vs. Central Florida ( Ankle ) | | [S] 12/02/2012 - Brian Jones "?" Friday vs. Central Florida ( Ankle ) | | [2ndQB] 12/16/2012 - Kelly Page probable Friday vs. Central Florida ( Concussion ) | | [T] 12/02/2012 - Austin Holtz probable Friday vs. Central Florida ( Foot ) | | [WR] 12/16/2012 - Jamill Smith probable Friday vs. Central Florida ( Foot ) | | [G] 12/02/2012 - Chris Sparrow out for season ( Leg ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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