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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT (3-5) AT S FLORIDA (2-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
365: CONNECTICUT
366: S FLORIDA
46.0
-8.0
17.9 / 19.3
26.5 / 28.6
3-5
2-6
1-5-2
3-5-0
3-5-0
4-3-0
86.9
181.4
229.9
241.9
316.8
423.3
118.4
170.3
172.8
235.9
291.1
406.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CONNECTICUT  
S FLORIDA-10 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CONNECTICUT - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-25-419-111-15-412-140-25-414-16
in all games1-513-1878-593-515-1644-503-516-1782-82
in all lined games1-513-1878-593-515-1644-503-516-1769-71
as an underdog0-36-1046-352-28-925-310-46-1123-59
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points0-10-33-50-12-14-10-10-31-7
in road games0-33-1137-323-17-821-231-34-1126-49
in road lined games0-33-1137-323-17-821-231-34-1125-45
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-23-713-142-05-512-150-23-79-18
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-01-36-80-01-35-90-01-33-11
against conference opponents0-38-934-281-29-828-280-38-927-36
when playing on a Saturday0-410-1467-492-411-1337-362-413-1369-72
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-00-312-80-02-16-90-00-38-13
after playing a conference game0-28-732-251-18-727-230-28-727-32
after a bye week0-01-413-120-04-19-110-01-49-17
in games played on a grass field1-212-1363-431-411-1432-413-215-1272-61
in November games0-05-123-130-04-215-80-05-122-20
off a loss against a conference rival0-24-320-111-13-415-110-24-316-17
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-13-121-91-01-38-60-13-116-19
when playing against a team with a losing record0-34-423-162-15-310-91-25-323-17
in weeks 10 through 130-05-123-130-04-215-80-05-122-20

S FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-30-615-142-13-313-140-30-616-13
in all games3-512-2062-634-314-1743-582-615-18109-74
in all lined games3-512-2062-634-314-1743-582-614-1868-58
as a favorite0-54-1533-393-110-826-311-48-1148-24
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points0-10-25-30-10-23-40-10-25-3
in home games1-34-1326-311-26-1019-271-38-1070-27
in home lined games1-34-1326-311-26-1019-271-37-1034-23
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-11-67-120-13-47-120-12-511-8
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-01-25-50-01-24-60-01-26-4
against conference opponents1-34-1430-412-28-1026-330-44-1455-51
when playing on a Saturday3-49-1452-474-28-1430-462-511-1398-57
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-37-1338-403-210-1027-351-47-1368-50
after playing a conference game1-26-1029-362-17-924-340-36-1035-34
in games played on a grass field1-48-1846-542-210-1535-461-412-1595-62
in November games0-03-519-180-03-510-170-04-433-17
off a loss against a conference rival1-25-718-192-16-616-180-34-819-19
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses2-24-513-102-25-412-90-42-713-14
when playing against a team with a losing record0-21-314-142-02-28-80-21-320-10
in weeks 10 through 130-03-519-190-03-510-190-04-435-19
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CONNECTICUT - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-5-4.21-53-517.910.6316.7(4.8)2.219.28.4291.1(4.4)1.1
Road Games1-3-20-33-115.28.5295.5(4.6)2.527.512.5329.2(4.9)0.7
Last 3 Games0-3-4.20-31-29.09.0305.0(4.6)2.725.311.0372.0(5.3)1.0
Grass Games3-2-1.21-21-421.213.0315.0(4.8)1.813.04.8243.4(3.7)1.6
Conference Games0-3-4.20-31-29.09.0305.0(4.6)2.725.311.0372.0(5.3)1.0
CONNECTICUT - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)17.910.616.530:3935-87(2.5)18-3157.6%230(7.4)66-317(4.8)(17.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.71419.130:0338-148(3.9)18-3058.3%228(7.6)68-376(5.5)(14.1)
Offense Road Games15.28.517.229:1430-73(2.4)19-3456.3%222(6.6)64-295(4.6)(19.4)
Defense (All Games)19.28.414.729:1939-118(3)14-2751.4%173(6.3)66-291(4.4)(15.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.211.419.730:5638-139(3.7)19-3457.1%229(6.8)72-367(5.1)(15.9)
Defense Road Games27.512.518.230:4239-137(3.5)16-2856.8%192(6.9)67-329(4.9)(12)

S FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-6-11.23-54-326.510.6423.2(5.9)2.228.610.4406.1(5.5)0.6
Home Games1-3-5.81-31-225.013.2381.5(5.7)2.525.77.2380.0(5.1)0.2
Last 3 Games0-3-4.61-22-129.711.0440.7(5.7)2.033.78.7429.0(6)0.3
Grass Games1-4-7.81-42-225.612.0382.0(5.6)2.628.07.6380.6(5.1)0.2
Conference Games0-4-7.81-32-225.59.7414.7(5.6)2.531.07.2427.7(5.7)0.5
S FLORIDA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)26.510.622.627:3438-181(4.8)19-3355.6%242(7.2)72-423(5.9)(16)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.113.719.829:3336-135(3.8)19-3257.8%228(7)68-363(5.3)(14.4)
Offense Home Games25.013.219.226:1134-168(4.9)17-3253.5%213(6.6)66-381(5.7)(15.3)
Defense (All Games)28.610.423.232:2643-170(3.9)21-3169.1%236(7.7)74-406(5.5)(14.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.914.521.831:0441-169(4.1)20-3065.4%233(7.7)71-401(5.6)(13.4)
Defense Home Games25.77.221.233:4943-143(3.3)20-3264.6%237(7.5)75-380(5.1)(14.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: CONNECTICUT 29.5,  S FLORIDA 33.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CONNECTICUT - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2012NC STATE7-10L3T48U32-3515-27-204441-5415-30-2041
9/15/2012@ MARYLAND24-21W-3T39O40-15311-17-70140-9610-24-1092
9/22/2012@ W MICHIGAN24-30L2L44O34-9228-44-333230-7721-40-2530
9/29/2012BUFFALO24-17W-16.5L44U42-13315-22-227039-14113-30-2202
10/6/2012@ RUTGERS3-19L7.5L40U28-5314-33-191535-12318-27-1571
10/13/2012TEMPLE14-17L-5L41U41-8822-39-293149-20213-26-1322
10/19/2012@ SYRACUSE10-40L5L43.5O18--623-41-296253-25114-20-2510
11/3/2012@ S FLORIDA            
11/9/2012PITTSBURGH            
11/24/2012@ LOUISVILLE            
12/1/2012CINCINNATI            

S FLORIDA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2012@ NEVADA32-31W0W58O35-20922-40-363153-27827-38-2713
9/13/2012RUTGERS13-23L-7.5L44.5U29-9515-33-242442-14723-43-2771
9/22/2012@ BALL ST27-31L-8L57.5O45-20619-30-312235-16924-36-2440
9/29/2012FLORIDA ST17-30L17W53U32-12517-33-143340-18319-26-2420
10/6/2012@ TEMPLE28-37L-4.5L47O44-16518-31-219351-21616-20-1670
10/20/2012@ LOUISVILLE25-27L6W56U44-19721-38-189233-12821-25-2561
10/27/2012SYRACUSE36-37L-3L53.5O45-36917-30-183146-19227-40-3280
11/3/2012CONNECTICUT            
11/17/2012@ MIAMI            
11/23/2012@ CINCINNATI            
12/1/2012PITTSBURGH            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
CONNECTICUT is 5-3 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1992
CONNECTICUT is 5-4 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1992
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at S FLORIDA since 1992
S FLORIDA is 2-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1992
S FLORIDA is 3-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/15/2011S FLORIDA10-7.5 Under31825:3436-17515-27164229-89
 CONNECTICUT1647SU ATS61934:2648-11814-25135203-25
12/4/2010CONNECTICUT1943SU ATS101330:3038-12013-29112113-35
 S FLORIDA16-2 Under31629:3031-13822-41195037-55
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CONNECTICUT in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 53.1% of the time since 1992. (68-60)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (53-62)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 28.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-20)
Edge=S FLORIDA
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 55% of the time since 1992. (44-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 40.2% of the time since 1992. (35-52)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CONNECTICUT
[Backup QB] 08/09/2012 - Michael Nebrich expected to transfer ( Personal )
[TE] 08/18/2012 - Sean McQuillan out for season ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 08/30/2012 - D.J. Shoemate out for season ( Shoulder )
[DE] 09/13/2012 - Ted Jennings out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 09/17/2012 - Jesse Joseph out for season ( Achilles )
[FB] 10/28/2012 - Michael Osiecki "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Concussion )
[LB] 10/28/2012 - Sio Moore injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Neck )
S FLORIDA
[WR] 09/10/2012 - Sterling Griffin out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 10/01/2012 - Chris Dunkley out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[T] 10/22/2012 - Mark Popek out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[RB] 10/28/2012 - Willie Davis "?" Saturday vs. Connecticut ( Ankle )
[WR] 10/28/2012 - Derrick Hopkins injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Connecticut ( Leg )
[RB] 10/29/2012 - Lindsey Lamar out for season ( Collarbone )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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