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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-2 | 5-4 | 19-11 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 12-14 | 0-2 | 5-4 | 14-16 | | in all games | 1-5 | 13-18 | 78-59 | 3-5 | 15-16 | 44-50 | 3-5 | 16-17 | 82-82 | | in all lined games | 1-5 | 13-18 | 78-59 | 3-5 | 15-16 | 44-50 | 3-5 | 16-17 | 69-71 | | as an underdog | 0-3 | 6-10 | 46-35 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 25-31 | 0-4 | 6-11 | 23-59 | | as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1-7 | | in road games | 0-3 | 3-11 | 37-32 | 3-1 | 7-8 | 21-23 | 1-3 | 4-11 | 26-49 | | in road lined games | 0-3 | 3-11 | 37-32 | 3-1 | 7-8 | 21-23 | 1-3 | 4-11 | 25-45 | | in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 13-14 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 12-15 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 9-18 | | in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3-11 | | against conference opponents | 0-3 | 8-9 | 34-28 | 1-2 | 9-8 | 28-28 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 27-36 | | when playing on a Saturday | 0-4 | 10-14 | 67-49 | 2-4 | 11-13 | 37-36 | 2-4 | 13-13 | 69-72 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8-13 | | after playing a conference game | 0-2 | 8-7 | 32-25 | 1-1 | 8-7 | 27-23 | 0-2 | 8-7 | 27-32 | | after a bye week | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13-12 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9-17 | | in games played on a grass field | 1-2 | 12-13 | 63-43 | 1-4 | 11-14 | 32-41 | 3-2 | 15-12 | 72-61 | | in November games | 0-0 | 5-1 | 23-13 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 22-20 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-2 | 4-3 | 20-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 15-11 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 16-17 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 21-9 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 16-19 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-3 | 4-4 | 23-16 | 2-1 | 5-3 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 23-17 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 23-13 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 22-20 |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-3 | 0-6 | 15-14 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 13-14 | 0-3 | 0-6 | 16-13 | | in all games | 3-5 | 12-20 | 62-63 | 4-3 | 14-17 | 43-58 | 2-6 | 15-18 | 109-74 | | in all lined games | 3-5 | 12-20 | 62-63 | 4-3 | 14-17 | 43-58 | 2-6 | 14-18 | 68-58 | | as a favorite | 0-5 | 4-15 | 33-39 | 3-1 | 10-8 | 26-31 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 48-24 | | as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5-3 | | in home games | 1-3 | 4-13 | 26-31 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 19-27 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 70-27 | | in home lined games | 1-3 | 4-13 | 26-31 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 19-27 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 34-23 | | in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 11-8 | | in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6-4 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 4-14 | 30-41 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 26-33 | 0-4 | 4-14 | 55-51 | | when playing on a Saturday | 3-4 | 9-14 | 52-47 | 4-2 | 8-14 | 30-46 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 98-57 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 2-3 | 7-13 | 38-40 | 3-2 | 10-10 | 27-35 | 1-4 | 7-13 | 68-50 | | after playing a conference game | 1-2 | 6-10 | 29-36 | 2-1 | 7-9 | 24-34 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 35-34 | | in games played on a grass field | 1-4 | 8-18 | 46-54 | 2-2 | 10-15 | 35-46 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 95-62 | | in November games | 0-0 | 3-5 | 19-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 33-17 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-2 | 5-7 | 18-19 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 16-18 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 19-19 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 2-2 | 4-5 | 13-10 | 2-2 | 5-4 | 12-9 | 0-4 | 2-7 | 13-14 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-2 | 1-3 | 14-14 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 20-10 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 19-19 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 35-19 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 3-5 | -4.2 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 17.9 | 10.6 | 316.7 | (4.8) | 2.2 | 19.2 | 8.4 | 291.1 | (4.4) | 1.1 | | Road Games | 1-3 | -2 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 15.2 | 8.5 | 295.5 | (4.6) | 2.5 | 27.5 | 12.5 | 329.2 | (4.9) | 0.7 | | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -4.2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 305.0 | (4.6) | 2.7 | 25.3 | 11.0 | 372.0 | (5.3) | 1.0 | | Grass Games | 3-2 | -1.2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 21.2 | 13.0 | 315.0 | (4.8) | 1.8 | 13.0 | 4.8 | 243.4 | (3.7) | 1.6 | | Conference Games | 0-3 | -4.2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 305.0 | (4.6) | 2.7 | 25.3 | 11.0 | 372.0 | (5.3) | 1.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 17.9 | 10.6 | 16.5 | 30:39 | 35-87 | (2.5) | 18-31 | 57.6% | 230 | (7.4) | 66-317 | (4.8) | (17.7) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 26.7 | 14 | 19.1 | 30:03 | 38-148 | (3.9) | 18-30 | 58.3% | 228 | (7.6) | 68-376 | (5.5) | (14.1) | | Offense Road Games | 15.2 | 8.5 | 17.2 | 29:14 | 30-73 | (2.4) | 19-34 | 56.3% | 222 | (6.6) | 64-295 | (4.6) | (19.4) | | Defense (All Games) | 19.2 | 8.4 | 14.7 | 29:19 | 39-118 | (3) | 14-27 | 51.4% | 173 | (6.3) | 66-291 | (4.4) | (15.1) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 23.2 | 11.4 | 19.7 | 30:56 | 38-139 | (3.7) | 19-34 | 57.1% | 229 | (6.8) | 72-367 | (5.1) | (15.9) | | Defense Road Games | 27.5 | 12.5 | 18.2 | 30:42 | 39-137 | (3.5) | 16-28 | 56.8% | 192 | (6.9) | 67-329 | (4.9) | (12) |
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| All Games | 2-6 | -11.2 | 3-5 | 4-3 | 26.5 | 10.6 | 423.2 | (5.9) | 2.2 | 28.6 | 10.4 | 406.1 | (5.5) | 0.6 | | Home Games | 1-3 | -5.8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 25.0 | 13.2 | 381.5 | (5.7) | 2.5 | 25.7 | 7.2 | 380.0 | (5.1) | 0.2 | | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -4.6 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 29.7 | 11.0 | 440.7 | (5.7) | 2.0 | 33.7 | 8.7 | 429.0 | (6) | 0.3 | | Grass Games | 1-4 | -7.8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 25.6 | 12.0 | 382.0 | (5.6) | 2.6 | 28.0 | 7.6 | 380.6 | (5.1) | 0.2 | | Conference Games | 0-4 | -7.8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 25.5 | 9.7 | 414.7 | (5.6) | 2.5 | 31.0 | 7.2 | 427.7 | (5.7) | 0.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 26.5 | 10.6 | 22.6 | 27:34 | 38-181 | (4.8) | 19-33 | 55.6% | 242 | (7.2) | 72-423 | (5.9) | (16) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 25.1 | 13.7 | 19.8 | 29:33 | 36-135 | (3.8) | 19-32 | 57.8% | 228 | (7) | 68-363 | (5.3) | (14.4) | | Offense Home Games | 25.0 | 13.2 | 19.2 | 26:11 | 34-168 | (4.9) | 17-32 | 53.5% | 213 | (6.6) | 66-381 | (5.7) | (15.3) | | Defense (All Games) | 28.6 | 10.4 | 23.2 | 32:26 | 43-170 | (3.9) | 21-31 | 69.1% | 236 | (7.7) | 74-406 | (5.5) | (14.2) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 29.9 | 14.5 | 21.8 | 31:04 | 41-169 | (4.1) | 20-30 | 65.4% | 233 | (7.7) | 71-401 | (5.6) | (13.4) | | Defense Home Games | 25.7 | 7.2 | 21.2 | 33:49 | 43-143 | (3.3) | 20-32 | 64.6% | 237 | (7.5) | 75-380 | (5.1) | (14.8) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: CONNECTICUT 29.5, S FLORIDA 33.4 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/8/2012 | NC STATE | 7-10 | L | 3 | T | 48 | U | 32-35 | 15-27-204 | 4 | 41-54 | 15-30-204 | 1 | | 9/15/2012 | @ MARYLAND | 24-21 | W | -3 | T | 39 | O | 40-153 | 11-17-70 | 1 | 40-96 | 10-24-109 | 2 | | 9/22/2012 | @ W MICHIGAN | 24-30 | L | 2 | L | 44 | O | 34-92 | 28-44-333 | 2 | 30-77 | 21-40-253 | 0 | | 9/29/2012 | BUFFALO | 24-17 | W | -16.5 | L | 44 | U | 42-133 | 15-22-227 | 0 | 39-141 | 13-30-220 | 2 | | 10/6/2012 | @ RUTGERS | 3-19 | L | 7.5 | L | 40 | U | 28-53 | 14-33-191 | 5 | 35-123 | 18-27-157 | 1 | | 10/13/2012 | TEMPLE | 14-17 | L | -5 | L | 41 | U | 41-88 | 22-39-293 | 1 | 49-202 | 13-26-132 | 2 | | 10/19/2012 | @ SYRACUSE | 10-40 | L | 5 | L | 43.5 | O | 18--6 | 23-41-296 | 2 | 53-251 | 14-20-251 | 0 | | 11/3/2012 | @ S FLORIDA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/9/2012 | PITTSBURGH | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | @ LOUISVILLE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/1/2012 | CINCINNATI | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/8/2012 | @ NEVADA | 32-31 | W | 0 | W | 58 | O | 35-209 | 22-40-363 | 1 | 53-278 | 27-38-271 | 3 | | 9/13/2012 | RUTGERS | 13-23 | L | -7.5 | L | 44.5 | U | 29-95 | 15-33-242 | 4 | 42-147 | 23-43-277 | 1 | | 9/22/2012 | @ BALL ST | 27-31 | L | -8 | L | 57.5 | O | 45-206 | 19-30-312 | 2 | 35-169 | 24-36-244 | 0 | | 9/29/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 17-30 | L | 17 | W | 53 | U | 32-125 | 17-33-143 | 3 | 40-183 | 19-26-242 | 0 | | 10/6/2012 | @ TEMPLE | 28-37 | L | -4.5 | L | 47 | O | 44-165 | 18-31-219 | 3 | 51-216 | 16-20-167 | 0 | | 10/20/2012 | @ LOUISVILLE | 25-27 | L | 6 | W | 56 | U | 44-197 | 21-38-189 | 2 | 33-128 | 21-25-256 | 1 | | 10/27/2012 | SYRACUSE | 36-37 | L | -3 | L | 53.5 | O | 45-369 | 17-30-183 | 1 | 46-192 | 27-40-328 | 0 | | 11/3/2012 | CONNECTICUT | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | @ MIAMI | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/23/2012 | @ CINCINNATI | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/1/2012 | PITTSBURGH | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| CONNECTICUT is 5-3 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1992 | | CONNECTICUT is 5-4 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1992 | | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| S FLORIDA is 2-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1992 | | S FLORIDA is 3-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1992 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | CONNECTICUT is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 10/15/2011 | S FLORIDA | 10 | -7.5 | Under | 3 | 18 | 25:34 | 36-175 | 15-27 | 164 | 2 | 2 | 9-89 | | | CONNECTICUT | 16 | 47 | SU ATS | 6 | 19 | 34:26 | 48-118 | 14-25 | 135 | 2 | 0 | 3-25 | | 12/4/2010 | CONNECTICUT | 19 | 43 | SU ATS | 10 | 13 | 30:30 | 38-120 | 13-29 | 112 | 1 | 1 | 3-35 | | | S FLORIDA | 16 | -2 | Under | 3 | 16 | 29:30 | 31-138 | 22-41 | 195 | 0 | 3 | 7-55 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 53.1% of the time since 1992. (68-60) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-14) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (53-62) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 28.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-20) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 55% of the time since 1992. (44-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-9) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 40.2% of the time since 1992. (35-52) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15) | |
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| [Backup QB] 08/09/2012 - Michael Nebrich expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [TE] 08/18/2012 - Sean McQuillan out for season ( Undisclosed ) | | [RB] 08/30/2012 - D.J. Shoemate out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [DE] 09/13/2012 - Ted Jennings out for season ( Knee ) | | [DE] 09/17/2012 - Jesse Joseph out for season ( Achilles ) | | [FB] 10/28/2012 - Michael Osiecki "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Concussion ) | | [LB] 10/28/2012 - Sio Moore injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Neck ) | |
| [WR] 09/10/2012 - Sterling Griffin out for season ( Knee ) | | [WR] 10/01/2012 - Chris Dunkley out indefinitely ( Suspension ) | | [T] 10/22/2012 - Mark Popek out indefinitely ( Ankle ) | | [RB] 10/28/2012 - Willie Davis "?" Saturday vs. Connecticut ( Ankle ) | | [WR] 10/28/2012 - Derrick Hopkins injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Connecticut ( Leg ) | | [RB] 10/29/2012 - Lindsey Lamar out for season ( Collarbone ) |
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