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Page last updated on Tue Jul 29 04:37:48 EDT 2014
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:20 PM
MISSISSIPPI ST (4-0) AT KENTUCKY (1-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
381: MISSISSIPPI ST
382: KENTUCKY
46.0
+10.0
36.0 / 13.3
21.8 / 30.8
4-0
1-4
2-2-0
1-4-0
0-3-0
4-1-0
182.3
119.6
212.3
229.8
394.5
349.4
136.5
192.8
213.5
197.0
350.0
389.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MISSISSIPPI ST-7 
KENTUCKY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MISSISSIPPI ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-02-219-230-02-28-130-03-128-14
in all games2-215-14106-1190-39-1961-814-020-10113-126
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins0-24-418-230-21-79-162-06-223-20
when playing against a team with a losing record0-14-426-310-11-77-211-08-038-21
in weeks 5 through 90-05-335-440-02-618-260-07-242-43
in all lined games2-215-14106-1190-39-1961-814-019-10102-124
as a favorite2-212-744-530-37-1119-314-018-169-28
as a road favorite0-14-318-180-14-39-121-06-124-12
as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points0-00-01-00-00-00-00-00-01-0
in road games0-15-750-540-15-729-361-07-539-65
in road lined games0-15-750-540-15-729-361-07-539-65
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-01-28-160-00-38-140-01-24-20
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-01-16-80-00-25-80-01-13-11
against conference opponents1-09-877-830-14-1342-611-07-1058-103
when playing on a Saturday2-214-1198-1040-38-1652-674-018-8102-114
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-02-220-190-02-28-170-03-122-20
after a bye week0-02-222-180-02-29-170-03-124-19
in games played on a grass field2-115-1396-1130-29-1856-753-019-10103-120
in October games0-05-330-390-02-614-230-07-239-36

KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-03-331-340-03-320-210-02-420-45
in all games1-413-17110-1174-117-1172-661-412-1899-142
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-15-333-341-05-214-180-14-426-45
when playing against a team with a winning record0-25-745-591-17-540-330-22-1022-84
in weeks 5 through 90-14-641-451-08-230-210-12-827-60
in all lined games1-413-17110-1174-117-1172-661-412-1888-141
as an underdog0-36-1376-842-111-850-480-33-1638-123
as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points0-00-04-30-00-01-10-00-03-4
in home games1-210-760-613-012-342-261-210-767-66
in home lined games1-210-760-613-012-342-261-210-756-65
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 491-04-111-81-02-39-101-04-112-7
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 491-02-07-71-01-18-61-02-08-6
against conference opponents0-27-1175-861-111-751-450-24-1445-117
when playing on a Saturday1-313-15103-1073-116-1064-561-311-1793-130
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-310-1377-933-115-658-411-38-1568-112
after playing a conference game0-17-973-821-08-748-430-15-1158-102
in games played on a grass field1-313-15105-1073-116-1071-611-312-1694-132
in October games0-04-537-370-07-226-180-02-724-51
off a loss against a conference rival0-17-653-581-06-626-350-15-844-72
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-0+22-20-336.021.2394.5(6.2)0.513.24.0350.0(5)3.7
Road Games1-0+10-10-130.023.0457.0(7.5)0.024.07.0572.0(6.6)4.0
Last 3 Games3-0+21-20-329.316.7400.3(6.3)0.714.73.3378.3(5.1)4.0
Grass Games3-0+12-10-238.020.7373.7(5.7)0.79.73.0276.0(4.3)3.7
Conference Games1-0+11-00-128.07.0388.0(6)1.010.03.0216.0(3.5)5.0
MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)36.021.219.530:2336-182(5)15-2855.0%212(7.6)64-394(6.2)(11)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.919.520.732:3240-183(4.6)17-2957.8%203(6.9)69-386(5.6)(12.1)
Offense Road Games30.023.017.028:5435-213(6.1)11-2642.3%244(9.4)61-457(7.5)(15.2)
Defense (All Games)13.24.020.529:3732-136(4.2)22-3759.3%213(5.7)70-350(5)(26.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.16.69.118.528:2833-139(4.2)20-3458.0%201(6)67-340(5.1)(20.5)
Defense Road Games24.07.030.031:0640-223(5.6)34-4772.3%349(7.4)87-572(6.6)(23.8)

KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-4-3.71-44-121.810.2349.4(5.1)2.230.815.4389.8(5.4)1.0
Home Games1-2-2.71-23-031.714.7385.0(5.4)2.028.010.3360.0(4.9)1.3
Last 3 Games0-3-3.70-32-116.09.0278.3(4.1)3.036.016.0358.0(5.1)1.3
Grass Games1-3-2.71-33-123.711.0343.5(5.1)2.230.513.7370.7(5.1)1.2
Conference Games0-2-10-21-18.58.5231.0(3.8)2.538.015.5375.5(5.4)1.0
KENTUCKY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.810.221.024:3328-120(4.3)25-4060.9%230(5.7)68-349(5.1)(16)
Opponents Defensive Avg.18.69.518.427:0132-112(3.5)20-3359.1%213(6.4)66-325(4.9)(17.4)
Offense Home Games31.714.723.025:3529-115(3.9)27-4164.5%270(6.5)71-385(5.4)(12.2)
Defense (All Games)30.815.422.635:2745-193(4.2)20-2772.3%197(7.2)73-390(5.4)(12.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.716.420.733:5742-190(4.6)17-2665.6%213(8.2)68-403(5.9)(12.7)
Defense Home Games28.010.321.734:2545-182(4)20-2870.2%178(6.4)73-360(4.9)(12.9)
Average power rating of opponents played: MISSISSIPPI ST 18.2,  KENTUCKY 40.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MISSISSIPPI ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012JACKSON ST56-9W-38W -37-19416-27-183021-10920-38-1563
9/8/2012AUBURN28-10W-3W48.5U36-16620-29-222139-9113-22-1255
9/15/2012@ TROY30-24W-15L59U35-21311-26-244040-22334-47-3494
9/22/2012S ALABAMA30-10W-31.5L49U37-15614-29-200130-12322-43-2243
10/6/2012@ KENTUCKY            
10/13/2012TENNESSEE            
10/20/2012MIDDLE TENN ST            
10/27/2012@ ALABAMA            
11/3/2012TEXAS A&M            

KENTUCKY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/2/2012@ LOUISVILLE14-32L14L43O19-9335-51-280246-21922-26-2470
9/8/2012KENT ST47-14W-6W46.5O30-18530-39-354037-18228-43-2271
9/15/2012W KENTUCKY31-32L-6.5L50O19-4137-61-332451-16316-22-1602
9/22/2012@ FLORIDA0-38L23.5L52U32-1598-27-60345-20018-27-2031
9/29/2012S CAROLINA17-38L20L51.5O39-12013-24-123248-20015-19-1481
10/6/2012MISSISSIPPI ST            
10/13/2012@ ARKANSAS            
10/20/2012GEORGIA            
10/27/2012@ MISSOURI            
11/3/2012VANDERBILT            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
KENTUCKY is 10-10 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1992
MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-8 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at KENTUCKY since 1992
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-4 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1992
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-4 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/29/2011MISSISSIPPI ST28-10.5SU ATS212123:0032-13415-21264213-24
 KENTUCKY1641.5 Over61837:0039-11829-38189005-45
10/30/2010KENTUCKY1755.5 Under102435:4543-8923-42258133-15
 MISSISSIPPI ST24-6SU ATS171424:1539-2147-19111104-50
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring KENTUCKY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (88-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 41.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 46.5% of the time since 1992. (92-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 61.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-10)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 47.1% of the time since 1992. (56-63)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 51.7% of the time since 1992. (61-57)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-13)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MISSISSIPPI ST
No significant injuries.
KENTUCKY
[RB] 10/02/2012 - Josh Clemons out for season ( Knee )
[TE] 08/25/2012 - Anthony Kendrick out for season ( Eligibility )
[RB] 10/03/2012 - CoShik Williams out for season ( Hip )
[S] 09/30/2012 - Glenn Faulkner "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Ankle )
[T] 10/03/2012 - Trevino Woods probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Ankle )
[CB] 10/01/2012 - Cartier Rice is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Quad )
[QB] 10/01/2012 - Maxwell Smith out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[CB] 09/17/2012 - Marcus Caffey out for season ( Academics )
[S] 10/02/2012 - Josh Forrest probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Hip )
[TE] 10/02/2012 - Gabe Correll expected to miss Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Hip )
[DT] 09/30/2012 - Mister Cobble "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Infection )
[S] 10/02/2012 - Ashely Lowery probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Concussion )
[RB] 10/01/2012 - Raymond Sanders "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Undisclosed )
[DB] 10/01/2012 - Dakotah Tyler out for season ( ACL )
[QB] 10/01/2012 - Jalen Whitlow expected to start Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( None )
[S] 10/04/2012 - Miles Simpson probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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