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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 11:30 AM
NAVY (1-3) AT AIR FORCE (2-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
313: NAVY
314: AIR FORCE
54.0
-8.0
14.5 / 24.8
37.8 / 27.8
1-3
2-2
1-3-0
2-2-0
1-2-0
2-1-0
219.3
396.3
127.3
104.0
346.5
500.3
150.3
152.0
210.0
283.8
360.3
435.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NAVY  
AIR FORCE-12 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NAVY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-13-124-140-11-310-130-12-212-26
in all games1-314-15124-941-212-1456-541-315-14116-125
in weeks 5 through 90-14-744-350-17-418-160-13-836-53
in all lined games1-314-15124-941-212-1456-541-315-1499-121
as an underdog0-36-678-501-25-728-280-33-933-96
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points0-02-07-30-00-21-40-01-14-6
in road games0-17-562-300-15-720-210-15-739-55
in road lined games0-17-562-300-15-720-210-15-739-54
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-04-013-50-02-26-120-02-213-5
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-02-08-40-01-14-80-01-19-3
against Mountain West conference opponents0-01-213-30-01-25-70-00-39-8
when playing on a Saturday1-314-13116-861-212-1250-451-315-12108-116
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-111-980-540-110-830-301-112-878-74
in games played on turf1-13-126-120-12-17-91-13-118-22
in October games0-04-637-310-07-317-120-03-731-47
in non-conference games1-212-1297-790-29-1244-411-212-12100-99

AIR FORCE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-01-227-230-02-116-160-02-136-14
in all games2-213-16116-1162-114-1373-782-218-12147-102
off a win against a conference rival0-04-440-390-02-623-310-05-350-34
when playing against a team with a losing record1-04-541-451-05-424-171-09-063-23
in weeks 5 through 91-05-643-481-06-521-321-05-652-42
in all lined games2-213-16116-1162-114-1373-782-217-12132-101
as a favorite1-27-1366-762-09-936-432-116-4101-41
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points0-00-16-30-00-10-30-01-07-2
in home games1-14-1048-621-07-532-362-011-482-42
in home lined games1-14-1048-621-07-532-362-010-468-42
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-04-317-211-03-418-201-05-219-19
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 561-03-113-131-02-212-141-03-115-11
when playing on a Saturday2-211-14103-1022-112-1159-652-216-10137-85
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-010-1286-911-110-1251-561-113-9110-74
after playing a conference game1-010-664-821-07-943-531-010-679-75
in games played on turf2-25-321-132-14-310-82-25-324-11
in October games0-04-637-430-05-517-280-04-644-39
in non-conference games1-16-639-390-15-522-281-19-460-33
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NAVY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-3-31-31-214.54.0346.5(5.4)3.024.713.2360.2(5.6)1.0
Road Games0-2-20-21-18.51.5366.0(5.1)4.042.023.5415.5(7)0.5
Last 3 Games1-2-21-20-216.04.3348.3(5.3)2.716.38.7317.0(5)1.0
Turf Games1-1-11-10-120.56.5327.0(5.6)2.07.53.0305.0(4.3)1.5
NAVY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)14.54.019.728:4347-219(4.6)10-1758.6%127(7.3)65-346(5.4)(23.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.20.27.220.329:4740-193(4.8)15-2757.5%174(6.5)67-367(5.5)(18.1)
Offense Road Games8.51.520.531:2350-202(4)13-2162.8%164(7.6)71-366(5.1)(43.1)
Defense (All Games)24.713.219.731:1537-150(4.1)19-2867.6%210(7.6)65-360(5.6)(14.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.20.910.918.931:0835-122(3.5)20-3260.8%222(6.9)68-344(5.1)(16.4)
Defense Road Games42.023.521.528:3537-201(5.4)14-2265.9%214(9.7)59-415(7)(9.9)

AIR FORCE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-2-3.22-22-137.725.2500.2(6.6)0.727.711.2435.7(6.2)1.5
Home Games2-0+11-11-045.531.5571.0(8.1)1.021.07.0436.0(5.8)2.0
Last 3 Games1-2-3.22-12-134.024.3458.3(5.8)1.030.015.0437.3(6.6)1.7
Turf Games2-2-3.22-22-137.725.2500.2(6.6)0.727.711.2435.7(6.2)1.5
AIR FORCE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)37.725.225.229:0165-396(6.1)6-1152.3%104(9.5)76-500(6.6)(13.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.36.222.422.329:2946-253(5.5)14-2459.1%199(8.2)70-452(6.4)(12.5)
Offense Home Games45.531.525.526:2962-471(7.5)5-862.5%99(12.4)70-571(8.1)(12.5)
Defense (All Games)27.711.221.530:5833-152(4.6)26-3670.5%284(7.8)70-436(6.2)(15.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.219.119.231:1634-123(3.6)21-3659.8%236(6.6)70-359(5.2)(17.1)
Defense Home Games21.07.023.033:3131-97(3.1)33-4474.2%338(7.6)75-436(5.8)(20.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: NAVY 31.2,  AIR FORCE 19.5
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
NAVY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012*NOTRE DAME10-50L14.5L51.5O40-14914-20-192446-29316-23-1971
9/15/2012@ PENN ST7-34L6.5L47.5U60-25513-23-136428-11013-21-2310
9/22/2012VMI41-3W-37.5W -51-4037-14-107232-9016-31-1322
9/29/2012SAN JOSE ST0-12L1.5L61.5U38-707-13-74242-10830-36-2801
10/6/2012@ AIR FORCE            
10/12/2012@ C MICHIGAN            
10/20/2012INDIANA            
10/27/2012@ E CAROLINA            
11/3/2012FLA ATLANTIC            

AIR FORCE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012IDAHO ST49-21W-31L -58-4848-11-142028-6642-53-3651
9/8/2012@ MICHIGAN25-31L21.5W58.5U71-29010-19-127031-21414-25-2081
9/22/2012@ UNLV35-38L-10.5L54.5O65-3523-9-90140-19923-32-2501
9/29/2012COLORADO ST42-21W-14W56O67-4592-5-57234-12924-36-3123
10/6/2012NAVY            
10/13/2012@ WYOMING            
10/20/2012NEW MEXICO            
10/26/2012NEVADA            
11/3/2012@ ARMY            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NAVY is 14-5 against the spread versus AIR FORCE since 1992
AIR FORCE is 11-9 straight up against NAVY since 1992
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at AIR FORCE since 1992
NAVY is 8-2 against the spread versus AIR FORCE since 1992
AIR FORCE is 6-4 straight up against NAVY since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/1/2011AIR FORCE3553.5SU ATS211919:1441-2239-10136104-38
 NAVY34-3 Over33140:4680-33414-25132016-67
10/2/2010NAVY650 ATS31731:3050-2096-18103023-20
 AIR FORCE14-9.5SU Under71328:3053-2925-783205-52
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NAVY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 46.9% of the time since 1992. (90-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 54% of the time since 1992. (108-92)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 47.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 47% of the time since 1992. (47-53)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 44% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 49.6% of the time since 1992. (64-65)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 44% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NAVY
[OT] 08/09/2012 - Evan Campbell out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[CB] 08/21/2012 - David Sperry has been dismissed from team ( Dismissed )
[LB] 09/19/2012 - Chris Johnson out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/02/2012 - John Howell out for season ( Leg )
[S] 10/02/2012 - Tra'ves Bush doubtful Saturday vs. Air Force ( Concussion )
[CB] 10/02/2012 - Quincy Adams probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Shoulder )
[WR] 10/04/2012 - Matt Aiken probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Knee )
[DE] 10/04/2012 - Collin Sturdivant expected to miss Saturday vs. Air Force ( Back )
AIR FORCE
[LB] 08/04/2012 - Jamil Cooks out for season ( Suspension )
[TE] 08/04/2012 - Devin Durden out for season ( Suspension )
[DB] 08/04/2012 - Jay Fullam out for season ( Shoulder )
[WR] 08/04/2012 - Brandon Hirneise out for season ( Suspension )
[WR] 08/04/2012 - Mikel Hunter out for season ( Suspension )
[DB] 08/04/2012 - Anthony Wooding out for season ( Suspension )
[QB] 08/25/2012 - Mitch Greibel has left team ( Personal )
[OL] 09/03/2012 - Michael Husar out for season ( ACL )
[OL] 10/02/2012 - Jason Kons "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Mononucleosis )
[FB] 10/02/2012 - Mike DeWitt "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Ankle )
[OL] 10/02/2012 - Jerry Henry "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Undisclosed )
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