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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN (5-0) AT PENN ST (3-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
331: NORTHWESTERN
332: PENN ST
47.0
-2.5
33.8 / 20.6
24.6 / 13.6
5-0
3-2
5-0-0
4-1-0
2-2-0
1-4-0
255.8
133.8
210.8
245.8
466.6
379.6
92.4
129.8
286.6
227.8
379.0
357.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
PENN ST-10
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -32-02-116-171-12-111-112-03-018-15
in all games5-014-17123-1132-216-1371-785-018-13117-127
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins3-05-626-281-13-718-263-08-329-26
when playing against a team with a winning record1-05-955-531-010-444-341-05-937-73
in weeks 5 through 91-03-748-441-08-232-301-04-641-53
in all lined games5-014-17123-1132-216-1371-785-018-13112-125
as an underdog2-07-988-711-110-651-542-05-1152-108
as a road underdog of 3 points or less1-01-04-11-01-01-21-01-04-1
in road games1-06-762-461-08-529-351-08-550-60
in road lined games1-06-762-461-08-529-351-08-549-60
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-01-012-90-00-17-130-01-010-11
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-00-08-40-00-05-70-00-06-6
against conference opponents1-05-1282-771-011-649-551-07-1069-92
when playing on a Saturday5-014-17112-1092-216-1363-725-018-13112-117
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-010-1495-951-211-1155-624-015-996-97
after playing a conference game0-05-1180-760-09-747-520-05-1168-90
in games played on a grass field4-09-1478-841-212-952-584-013-1079-89
in October games0-02-740-410-07-229-240-03-635-48
off a win against a conference rival0-02-430-350-02-424-260-02-431-35

PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -31-02-119-191-02-220-211-02-220-21
in all games4-112-16120-1201-410-1879-1113-219-12173-79
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-04-553-531-04-542-361-07-382-28
when playing against a team with a winning record0-04-953-680-05-950-590-08-769-56
in weeks 5 through 91-05-544-401-05-429-401-08-258-30
in all lined games4-112-16120-1201-410-1879-1113-218-12167-79
as a favorite2-18-894-870-35-1058-712-115-2150-34
as a home favorite of 3 points or less0-00-04-50-00-05-40-00-04-5
in home games2-16-865-620-33-1138-582-112-5105-31
in home lined games2-16-865-620-33-1138-582-111-599-31
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 492-14-225-180-30-818-272-16-233-12
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 491-01-015-70-10-212-111-02-018-5
against conference opponents1-08-870-781-09-759-651-011-697-56
when playing on a Saturday4-112-15111-1131-410-1774-1003-219-11163-73
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-011-1293-901-38-1563-833-116-8131-61
after playing a conference game0-07-877-690-09-657-690-09-7103-49
in games played on a grass field3-19-1596-970-47-1762-952-216-11142-63
in October games0-04-540-340-04-424-350-07-253-25
off a win against a conference rival0-04-549-430-05-437-410-06-469-27
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-0+4.45-02-233.816.8466.6(5.7)1.220.66.6379.0(5.4)1.6
Road Games1-0+1.11-01-042.021.0337.0(4.7)1.041.013.0596.0(6.3)3.0
Last 3 Games3-0+23-01-134.720.0557.3(6.4)1.716.33.3327.0(5.2)1.0
Grass Games4-0+3.44-01-231.715.7499.0(5.9)1.215.55.0324.7(5.1)1.2
Conference Games1-0+11-01-044.020.0704.0(7.6)3.029.00.0425.0(6.3)1.0
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.816.827.232:2751-256(5)21-3168.0%211(6.9)82-467(5.7)(13.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.216.421.531:0844-203(4.6)18-2963.9%192(6.6)73-395(5.4)(14)
Offense Road Games42.021.021.027:2040-124(3.1)22-3268.7%213(6.7)72-337(4.7)(8)
Defense (All Games)20.66.620.227:3327-92(3.4)25-4357.9%287(6.7)70-379(5.4)(18.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2311.820.729:5234-129(3.8)22-3759.8%271(7.3)71-400(5.7)(17.4)
Defense Road Games41.013.033.032:4030-126(4.2)44-6567.7%470(7.2)95-596(6.3)(14.5)

PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-204-11-424.615.2379.6(5.2)0.813.61.8357.6(5)2.2
Home Games2-1-0.42-10-324.016.0394.7(6)1.314.72.0375.7(5)1.3
Last 3 Games3-0+3.43-01-231.018.3405.3(5.8)0.39.01.0331.3(4.8)2.3
Grass Games2-2-1.43-10-422.013.7378.5(5.4)1.015.22.2355.5(5)2.0
Conference Games1-0+1.41-01-035.021.0384.0(4.7)0.07.00.0366.0(5.3)3.0
PENN ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)24.615.221.230:0237-134(3.6)21-3657.9%246(6.9)73-380(5.2)(15.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.914.419.629:2936-143(3.9)19-3259.6%228(7)69-371(5.4)(14.3)
Offense Home Games24.016.021.328:3031-125(4.1)21-3561.0%270(7.7)66-395(6)(16.4)
Defense (All Games)13.61.818.229:3636-130(3.6)22-3563.0%228(6.6)71-358(5)(26.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.111.518.730:2741-171(4.2)17-2861.0%203(7.3)69-374(5.4)(14.9)
Defense Home Games14.72.020.030:5445-181(4)19-3063.3%195(6.5)75-376(5)(25.6)
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 25.4,  PENN ST 31.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
NORTHWESTERN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012@ SYRACUSE42-41W2W53.5O40-12422-32-213130-12644-65-4703
9/8/2012VANDERBILT23-13W3W54.5U46-19117-31-133034-10117-33-2172
9/15/2012BOSTON COLLEGE22-13W-4W55U60-29330-40-267221-2524-44-2911
9/22/2012S DAKOTA38-7W-28.5W -53-27712-15-131023-5117-33-1891
9/29/2012INDIANA44-29W-11.5W60.5O58-39423-35-310328-15922-39-2661
10/6/2012@ PENN ST            
10/13/2012@ MINNESOTA            
10/20/2012NEBRASKA            
10/27/2012IOWA            

PENN ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012OHIO U14-24L-6L45U22-9227-48-260347-17531-41-3240
9/8/2012@ VIRGINIA16-17L10W48U42-12121-43-209025-3223-36-2634
9/15/2012NAVY34-7W-6.5W47.5U28-11013-21-231060-25513-23-1364
9/22/2012TEMPLE24-13W-6W43U42-17324-36-318128-11313-26-1240
9/29/2012@ ILLINOIS35-7W3W41.5O52-17318-30-211022-7429-47-2923
10/6/2012NORTHWESTERN            
10/20/2012@ IOWA            
10/27/2012OHIO ST            
11/3/2012@ PURDUE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
PENN ST is 9-6 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1992
PENN ST is 12-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1992
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PENN ST since 1992
PENN ST is 5-2 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1992
PENN ST is 6-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at PENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/22/2011PENN ST34-4SU ATS272027:3638-18917-27192104-38
 NORTHWESTERN2447 Over242332:2437-9428-39312013-20
11/6/2010NORTHWESTERN2150 Over212026:2343-16816-25201004-40
 PENN ST35-6.5SU ATS72833:3746-26021-34268106-59
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NORTHWESTERN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (94-110)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 37.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 54.4% of the time since 1992. (112-94)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-9)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 44.3% of the time since 1992. (58-73)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 52.1% of the time since 1992. (87-80)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-9)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[DB] 09/30/2012 - Jimmy Hall "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 09/30/2012 - Mike Jensen "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Undisclosed )
[DB] 09/30/2012 - Daniel Jones "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 10/01/2012 - Ifaedi Odenigbo out for season ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 10/01/2012 - Roderick Goodlow out for season ( Undisclosed )
[S] 10/05/2012 - Hunter Bates expected to miss Saturday vs. Penn State ( Undisclosed )
PENN ST
[LB] 08/09/2012 - Dakota Royer left the team ( Personal )
[WR] 09/12/2012 - Shawney Kersey left the team ( Personal )
[K] 09/13/2012 - Matt Marcincin has left team ( Personal )
[DE] 10/02/2012 - Pete Massaro doubtful Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Shoulder )
[LB] 09/19/2012 - Nyeem Wartman out indefinitely ( Knee )
[OG] 10/02/2012 - Mark Arcidiacono doubtful Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Foot )
[3rdQB] 09/26/2012 - Paul Jones left the team ( Personal )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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