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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 2-1 | 7-4 | 30-32 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 24-32 | 2-1 | 9-2 | 43-20 | | in all games | 6-2 | 14-17 | 122-121 | 4-4 | 13-18 | 82-111 | 5-3 | 21-13 | 175-80 | | in all lined games | 6-2 | 14-17 | 122-121 | 4-4 | 13-18 | 82-111 | 5-3 | 20-13 | 169-80 | | as a favorite | 3-1 | 9-8 | 95-87 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 59-71 | 3-1 | 16-2 | 151-34 | | as a road favorite | 0-0 | 2-2 | 32-29 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 22-20 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 51-12 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 11-6 | | in road games | 3-0 | 6-6 | 46-50 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 36-41 | 2-1 | 7-5 | 58-41 | | in road lined games | 3-0 | 6-6 | 46-50 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 36-41 | 2-1 | 7-5 | 58-41 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-7 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 17-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15-9 | | against conference opponents | 3-1 | 10-9 | 72-79 | 4-0 | 12-7 | 62-65 | 3-1 | 13-7 | 99-57 | | when playing on a Saturday | 6-2 | 14-16 | 113-114 | 4-4 | 13-17 | 77-100 | 5-3 | 21-12 | 165-74 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 5-1 | 12-13 | 94-91 | 3-3 | 10-15 | 65-83 | 4-2 | 17-9 | 132-62 | | after playing a conference game | 2-1 | 9-9 | 79-70 | 3-0 | 12-6 | 60-69 | 2-1 | 11-8 | 105-50 | | in games played on a grass field | 4-2 | 10-16 | 97-98 | 2-4 | 9-17 | 64-95 | 3-3 | 17-12 | 143-64 | | in November games | 0-0 | 3-3 | 32-33 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 43-24 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 3-3 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 20-28 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 34-22 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-0 | 3-1 | 26-18 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 41-4 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 32-32 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 30-25 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 43-23 |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 2-0 | 18-26 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 18-17 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-40 | | in all games | 4-4 | 14-18 | 113-113 | 5-2 | 18-11 | 77-89 | 3-5 | 14-19 | 122-124 | | in all lined games | 4-4 | 14-18 | 113-113 | 5-2 | 18-11 | 77-89 | 3-5 | 14-19 | 113-122 | | as an underdog | 2-2 | 8-9 | 53-54 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 38-41 | 0-4 | 3-15 | 20-91 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-10 | | in home games | 2-3 | 8-11 | 62-55 | 4-0 | 11-5 | 33-49 | 3-2 | 11-8 | 82-49 | | in home lined games | 2-3 | 8-11 | 62-55 | 4-0 | 11-5 | 33-49 | 3-2 | 11-8 | 73-48 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 5-6 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 7-4 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11-17 | 3-0 | 4-1 | 16-15 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 16-14 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 9-11 | 79-77 | 3-1 | 12-7 | 51-63 | 0-4 | 6-14 | 73-90 | | when playing on a Saturday | 4-4 | 13-18 | 107-106 | 5-2 | 17-11 | 71-82 | 3-5 | 13-19 | 114-118 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-3 | 11-15 | 95-90 | 4-2 | 15-9 | 62-74 | 1-5 | 9-17 | 93-106 | | after playing a conference game | 1-2 | 8-10 | 78-74 | 2-1 | 11-6 | 51-62 | 0-3 | 5-13 | 70-90 | | in games played on a grass field | 3-3 | 12-14 | 88-90 | 4-1 | 14-9 | 53-78 | 3-3 | 13-14 | 99-97 | | in November games | 0-0 | 3-5 | 37-27 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 20-25 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 31-36 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-2 | 5-7 | 38-44 | 2-1 | 8-4 | 28-29 | 0-3 | 3-9 | 36-50 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 1-1 | 4-3 | 29-24 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 14-19 | 0-2 | 1-6 | 23-36 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 8-9 | 52-58 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 43-51 | 0-3 | 4-13 | 37-78 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 37-27 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 20-25 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 31-36 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-3 | +0.9 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 27.9 | 14.6 | 400.5 | (5.1) | 1.0 | 18.1 | 3.7 | 327.6 | (4.8) | 2.0 | | Road Games | 2-1 | +1.4 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 29.7 | 17.3 | 406.0 | (4.7) | 0.7 | 12.7 | 1.0 | 290.0 | (4.6) | 3.3 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 33.3 | 13.7 | 435.3 | (5) | 1.3 | 25.7 | 7.0 | 277.7 | (4.3) | 1.7 | | Grass Games | 3-3 | -1.4 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 386.0 | (5.1) | 1.0 | 20.7 | 5.0 | 341.0 | (4.9) | 1.7 | | Conference Games | 3-1 | +2.3 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 33.7 | 15.5 | 422.5 | (4.9) | 1.0 | 21.0 | 5.2 | 299.7 | (4.6) | 2.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 27.9 | 14.6 | 22.9 | 31:56 | 39-135 | (3.4) | 24-39 | 61.0% | 266 | (6.8) | 78-400 | (5.1) | (14.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 25.5 | 12.5 | 19.8 | 29:27 | 36-145 | (4) | 20-34 | 59.9% | 234 | (7) | 70-379 | (5.4) | (14.8) | | Offense Road Games | 29.7 | 17.3 | 23.3 | 34:17 | 49-170 | (3.5) | 22-37 | 58.6% | 236 | (6.4) | 86-406 | (4.7) | (13.7) | | Defense (All Games) | 18.1 | 3.7 | 17.2 | 27:50 | 35-127 | (3.6) | 19-33 | 58.3% | 201 | (6.1) | 68-328 | (4.8) | (18.1) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.5 | 12.7 | 19.8 | 31:31 | 43-190 | (4.5) | 16-28 | 59.2% | 185 | (6.7) | 70-376 | (5.4) | (14.2) | | Defense Road Games | 12.7 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 25:43 | 23-42 | (1.8) | 23-40 | 58.0% | 248 | (6.3) | 63-290 | (4.6) | (22.9) |
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| All Games | 3-5 | -3.3 | 4-4 | 5-2 | 30.9 | 19.1 | 380.9 | (5.2) | 2.1 | 29.7 | 15.2 | 408.4 | (5.8) | 2.2 | | Home Games | 3-2 | 0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 36.0 | 25.2 | 406.2 | (5.5) | 2.6 | 29.0 | 14.8 | 418.2 | (5.8) | 2.6 | | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -3.3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 21.3 | 9.0 | 326.7 | (4.8) | 1.0 | 37.0 | 19.3 | 481.7 | (6.9) | 1.7 | | Grass Games | 3-3 | -1 | 3-3 | 4-1 | 32.8 | 22.2 | 386.5 | (5.3) | 2.5 | 27.5 | 13.5 | 411.2 | (5.7) | 2.3 | | Conference Games | 0-4 | -4.3 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 19.2 | 9.2 | 298.2 | (4.5) | 1.7 | 38.7 | 21.5 | 463.5 | (6.6) | 1.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 30.9 | 19.1 | 19.7 | 29:33 | 36-161 | (4.4) | 22-36 | 60.5% | 220 | (6) | 73-381 | (5.2) | (12.3) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27.6 | 14.4 | 21 | 31:46 | 38-169 | (4.5) | 21-34 | 61.3% | 222 | (6.5) | 72-391 | (5.4) | (14.2) | | Offense Home Games | 36.0 | 25.2 | 21.4 | 29:07 | 38-180 | (4.8) | 23-36 | 64.6% | 226 | (6.2) | 74-406 | (5.5) | (11.3) | | Defense (All Games) | 29.7 | 15.2 | 19.9 | 30:27 | 39-194 | (4.9) | 18-31 | 56.6% | 214 | (6.9) | 71-408 | (5.8) | (13.7) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.5 | 13.1 | 19.1 | 29:25 | 39-177 | (4.5) | 16-28 | 56.6% | 198 | (7) | 67-375 | (5.6) | (14.2) | | Defense Home Games | 29.0 | 14.8 | 21.0 | 30:53 | 41-228 | (5.6) | 17-31 | 55.8% | 190 | (6.1) | 72-418 | (5.8) | (14.4) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 33.1, PURDUE 34.8 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/8/2012 | @ VIRGINIA | 16-17 | L | 10 | W | 48 | U | 42-121 | 21-43-209 | 0 | 25-32 | 23-36-263 | 4 | | 9/15/2012 | NAVY | 34-7 | W | -6.5 | W | 47.5 | U | 28-110 | 13-21-231 | 0 | 60-255 | 13-23-136 | 4 | | 9/22/2012 | TEMPLE | 24-13 | W | -6 | W | 43 | U | 42-173 | 24-36-318 | 1 | 28-113 | 13-26-124 | 0 | | 9/29/2012 | @ ILLINOIS | 35-7 | W | 3 | W | 41.5 | O | 52-173 | 18-30-211 | 0 | 22-74 | 29-47-292 | 3 | | 10/6/2012 | NORTHWESTERN | 39-28 | W | -3 | W | 49 | O | 48-161 | 35-51-282 | 1 | 25-112 | 21-36-135 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | @ IOWA | 38-14 | W | 1.5 | W | 42 | O | 52-215 | 26-38-289 | 2 | 23-20 | 17-36-189 | 3 | | 10/27/2012 | OHIO ST | 23-35 | L | 1 | L | 51.5 | O | 28-32 | 27-46-327 | 1 | 53-234 | 7-19-143 | 1 | | 11/3/2012 | @ PURDUE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | @ NEBRASKA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | INDIANA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | WISCONSIN | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/8/2012 | @ NOTRE DAME | 17-20 | L | 14 | W | 53.5 | U | 30-90 | 19-37-198 | 2 | 36-52 | 24-39-324 | 1 | | 9/15/2012 | E MICHIGAN | 54-16 | W | -23.5 | W | 49.5 | O | 42-392 | 19-31-184 | 2 | 38-169 | 14-29-144 | 3 | | 9/29/2012 | MARSHALL | 51-41 | W | -17 | L | 61.5 | O | 53-149 | 27-37-294 | 1 | 23-95 | 45-68-439 | 4 | | 10/6/2012 | MICHIGAN | 13-44 | L | 3 | L | 55 | O | 26-56 | 23-35-157 | 4 | 54-304 | 8-16-105 | 1 | | 10/13/2012 | WISCONSIN | 14-38 | L | 1.5 | L | 49.5 | O | 28-128 | 11-31-124 | 1 | 57-467 | 12-21-178 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | @ OHIO ST | 22-29 | L | 17 | W | 58 | U | 39-117 | 19-30-230 | 1 | 36-152 | 15-32-190 | 4 | | 10/27/2012 | @ MINNESOTA | 28-44 | L | -2 | L | 50 | O | 34-183 | 21-43-198 | 1 | 41-212 | 15-22-246 | 0 | | 11/3/2012 | PENN ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | @ IOWA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | @ ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | INDIANA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| PENN ST is 7-5 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1992 | | PENN ST is 11-2 straight up against PURDUE since 1992 | | 9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| PENN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1992 | | PENN ST is 5-1 straight up against PURDUE since 1992 | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| 10/15/2011 | PURDUE | 18 | 41 | ATS | 6 | 15 | 26:09 | 33-162 | 14-30 | 182 | 0 | 3 | 6-33 | | | PENN ST | 23 | -12 | SU | 10 | 21 | 33:51 | 48-182 | 10-23 | 185 | 0 | 1 | 5-43 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 54.1% of the time since 1992. (113-96) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 59.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-11) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 49.7% of the time since 1992. (94-95) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 65.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-10) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 52.9% of the time since 1992. (90-80) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 66.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-9) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 46% of the time since 1992. (69-81) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15) | |
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| [LB] 08/09/2012 - Dakota Royer left the team ( Personal ) | | [WR] 09/12/2012 - Shawney Kersey left the team ( Personal ) | | [K] 09/13/2012 - Matt Marcincin has left team ( Personal ) | | [LB] 09/19/2012 - Nyeem Wartman out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [3rdQB] 09/26/2012 - Paul Jones left the team ( Personal ) | | [G] 10/28/2012 - Mark Arcidiacono "?" Saturday vs. Purdue ( Foot ) | | [TE] 10/29/2012 - Kyle Carter injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Purdue ( Ankle ) | |
| [LB] 08/30/2012 - Dwayne Beckford has been dismissed ( Suspension ) | | [CB] 10/28/2012 - Normondo Harris "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Knee ) | | [T] 10/28/2012 - Justin Kitchens "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Knee ) | | [WR] 10/16/2012 - Raheem Mostert out 2-4 weeks ( Knee ) | | [WR] 10/28/2012 - O.J. Ross "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Toe ) | | [QB] 10/28/2012 - Robert Marve expected to start Saturday vs. Penn State ( None ) | | [DT] 10/29/2012 - Kawann Short injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Ankle ) | | [DT] 10/29/2012 - Brandon Taylor injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Leg ) |
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