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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
SMU (4-4) AT UCF (6-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
363: SMU
364: UCF
51.0
-12.0
31.8 / 26.6
36.0 / 21.4
4-4
6-2
5-3-0
4-4-0
4-3-0
6-2-0
117.5
182.9
267.3
238.8
384.8
421.6
119.1
141.3
284.5
213.0
403.6
354.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
SMU  
UCF-12 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
SMU - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-04-238-270-14-29-190-11-514-50
in all games5-316-19104-1294-314-1941-574-419-1682-156
in all lined games5-316-19104-1294-314-1941-574-419-1677-155
as an underdog3-27-878-882-36-922-392-34-1135-130
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-02-012-80-02-04-80-01-15-14
in road games1-26-1050-652-17-919-301-26-1025-91
in road lined games1-26-1050-652-17-919-301-26-1025-90
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 521-01-15-40-10-23-61-01-13-6
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-04-412-110-12-67-151-04-47-16
against conference opponents3-19-1270-873-18-1329-403-114-759-98
when playing on a Saturday4-212-1695-1202-38-1832-493-317-1176-144
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-210-1477-1022-28-1431-413-214-1060-120
after playing a conference game2-18-1269-823-07-1224-402-112-858-94
in games played on a grass field0-08-1371-920-08-1230-380-012-965-102
in November games0-02-528-370-02-513-160-04-330-36
off a win against a conference rival1-15-823-342-05-715-151-17-625-32
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins0-04-313-160-03-47-100-03-412-18
when playing against a team with a winning record1-05-738-370-14-813-210-14-820-54
in weeks 10 through 130-02-528-360-02-513-160-04-331-34

UCF - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-24-512-113-06-38-73-07-220-3
in all games4-419-1484-766-216-1647-536-222-12101-105
in all lined games4-419-1484-766-216-1647-536-221-1278-85
as a favorite3-415-1243-396-114-1226-256-120-762-21
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points1-03-16-21-02-22-41-03-16-2
in home games1-39-738-343-16-920-263-113-464-32
in home lined games1-39-738-343-16-920-263-112-443-29
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 520-21-42-62-03-25-32-03-23-5
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-24-56-102-04-58-82-06-38-8
against conference opponents2-212-951-424-014-736-294-015-655-42
when playing on a Saturday2-412-1170-674-210-1236-424-215-990-92
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-211-1058-564-011-1032-364-013-872-68
after playing a conference game1-211-843-413-012-732-313-013-649-43
in games played on a grass field1-313-1267-593-111-1334-453-117-987-80
in November games0-04-426-250-04-415-170-04-435-26
off a win against a conference rival1-27-623-243-08-520-213-010-332-20
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-16-319-222-05-416-132-07-226-20
in weeks 10 through 130-04-426-210-04-414-150-04-433-24
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
SMU - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-4-15.65-34-331.712.6384.7(5.1)2.226.613.6403.6(5.5)3.4
Road Games1-2-161-22-122.38.7450.0(5.2)1.728.714.7413.3(6.7)1.3
Last 3 Games2-1-14.62-13-047.316.7447.3(6)1.327.314.7368.0(5.7)4.0
Conference Games3-1-13.63-13-139.716.7428.5(5.7)1.220.511.0347.2(5.3)3.7
SMU - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)31.712.621.134:1230-117(3.9)24-4552.9%267(5.9)75-385(5.1)(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.33.716.822.631:1938-166(4.4)21-3659.1%268(7.5)74-434(5.9)(12.9)
Offense Road Games22.38.726.339:0634-160(4.7)28-5353.2%290(5.5)87-450(5.2)(20.1)
Defense (All Games)26.613.619.725:4832-119(3.7)23-4254.3%284(6.8)74-404(5.5)(15.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.815.423.429:3535-146(4.2)25-4260.4%291(7)77-437(5.7)(15.2)
Defense Road Games28.714.717.320:5426-122(4.7)19-3553.8%291(8.2)61-413(6.7)(14.4)

UCF - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-2+1.74-46-236.019.5421.6(6.2)1.521.48.5354.2(4.9)1.9
Home Games3-1+1.71-33-131.717.5429.0(5.9)1.023.07.7343.2(5.5)1.2
Last 3 Games3-0+21-23-042.319.3457.7(6.7)1.321.79.0361.3(4.6)1.7
Grass Games3-1+1.71-33-131.717.5429.0(5.9)1.023.07.7343.2(5.5)1.2
Conference Games4-0+32-24-041.719.5452.2(6.9)1.221.211.0361.5(4.8)1.5
UCF - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)36.019.521.131:2537-183(4.9)20-3165.9%239(7.8)68-422(6.2)(11.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.33.116.122.131:0840-178(4.5)20-3361.1%239(7.3)73-418(5.7)(12.6)
Offense Home Games31.717.523.232:5038-162(4.2)23-3466.7%267(7.7)73-429(5.9)(13.5)
Defense (All Games)21.48.519.728:2436-141(3.9)22-3659.7%213(5.9)72-354(4.9)(16.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.31320.629:1138-154(4)21-3560.1%234(6.7)73-388(5.3)(14.2)
Defense Home Games23.07.717.027:0832-125(3.9)17-3056.6%218(7.2)62-343(5.5)(14.9)
Average power rating of opponents played: SMU 29,  UCF 26.9
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
SMU - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2012SF AUSTIN52-0W-17W -29-7221-41-256326-7543-74-39110
9/15/2012TEXAS A&M3-48L10L60.5U25-10623-49-203142-22528-45-3800
9/29/2012TCU16-24L13.5W51.5U22-3015-40-190647-5412-28-1022
10/6/2012@ UTEP17-0W1W52U36-13822-44-234130-10716-39-1783
10/13/2012@ TULANE26-27L-19L49O38-19625-51-275116-4017-32-3021
10/18/2012HOUSTON72-42W3W57.5O26-11923-38-265233-11534-65-4459
10/27/2012MEMPHIS44-13W-21W49O34-13425-35-353131-1178-17-852
11/3/2012@ UCF            
11/10/2012SOUTHERN MISS            
11/17/2012@ RICE            
11/24/2012TULSA            

UCF - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2012@ OHIO ST16-31L16W50U23-10325-41-249351-25618-24-1553
9/15/2012FLA INTERNATIONAL33-20W-14.5L49.5O40-17021-32-261234-15213-29-1541
9/29/2012MISSOURI16-21L-2L48.5U35-12829-45-267129-8919-30-2571
10/4/2012E CAROLINA40-20W-12W45O36-16715-21-269129-6423-36-2981
10/13/2012SOUTHERN MISS38-31W-16.5L52O42-18227-40-272036-19414-27-1652
10/20/2012@ MEMPHIS35-17W-24L50O34-22915-26-122145-24020-28-1213
10/27/2012@ MARSHALL54-17W-2W66.5O40-27816-22-290336-6635-62-2980
11/3/2012SMU            
11/10/2012@ UTEP            
11/17/2012@ TULSA            
11/24/2012UAB            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
UCF is 3-1 against the spread versus SMU since 1992
UCF is 3-1 straight up against SMU since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-1 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at UCF since 1992
UCF is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU since 1992
UCF is 2-0 straight up against SMU since 1992
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at UCF over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/15/2011UCF1746.5 Over32537:0836-11032-44349005-40
 SMU38-3.5SU ATS171622:5216-8220-31358015-50
12/4/2010SMU756 Under01929:0230-9718-35220023-30
 UCF17-8SU ATS102130:5844-14415-19167004-45
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring UCF in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (97-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (70-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SMU games 55.8% of the time since 1992. (48-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SMU games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 44.8% of the time since 1992. (39-48)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 39.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-17)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
SMU
[CB] 08/17/2012 - James Richardson out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 10/03/2012 - Ryan Smith out for season ( Leg )
[DB] 10/28/2012 - Brett Haness "?" Saturday vs. Central Florida ( Neck )
UCF
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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