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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:30 PM
VIRGINIA (2-6) AT NC STATE (5-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
345: VIRGINIA
346: NC STATE
49.0
-10.5
21.5 / 30.9
27.9 / 23.0
2-6
5-3
0-8-0
2-5-1
4-3-0
3-4-0
128.1
122.4
279.8
306.9
407.9
429.3
149.4
138.0
207.5
278.1
356.9
416.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VIRGINIA  
NC STATE-17
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-14-117-150-11-412-170-13-210-23
in all games0-811-21110-1284-312-1772-882-614-19141-111
in all lined games0-811-21110-1284-312-1772-882-613-19131-110
as an underdog0-46-1352-563-19-1041-520-44-1535-74
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-01-06-30-01-03-50-01-04-5
in road games0-35-847-602-16-731-400-34-948-61
in road lined games0-35-847-602-16-731-400-34-948-61
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-03-118-180-01-316-180-02-213-23
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-02-17-70-01-26-80-02-14-10
against conference opponents0-47-1375-873-18-1238-660-46-1489-75
when playing on a Saturday0-810-21100-1174-311-1762-772-613-19133-96
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-02-116-210-01-117-130-02-121-18
after playing a conference game0-36-1274-801-28-1048-540-35-1385-74
after a bye week0-02-119-240-01-118-170-02-124-21
in games played on a grass field0-810-2096-1094-311-1662-842-614-17122-97
in November games0-04-431-390-02-623-270-03-532-38
off a loss against a conference rival0-33-935-321-27-519-270-32-1038-32
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-42-719-183-15-413-170-42-717-21
when playing against a team with a winning record0-34-1151-683-08-747-500-34-1149-72
in weeks 10 through 130-04-428-370-02-621-240-03-530-35

NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-04-016-140-02-19-61-04-026-5
in all games2-517-14109-1163-412-1968-795-322-12136-114
in all lined games2-517-14109-1163-412-1968-795-321-12118-114
as a favorite1-27-844-660-36-822-374-012-471-41
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-02-06-40-02-05-20-02-08-2
in home games2-110-454-560-25-834-393-014-286-46
in home lined games2-110-454-560-25-834-393-013-268-46
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-01-014-160-01-015-150-01-015-16
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-01-08-110-01-09-90-01-09-10
against conference opponents1-311-876-832-29-1150-542-211-977-88
when playing on a Saturday2-413-1289-1022-410-1559-575-218-10114-98
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-311-1173-862-28-1347-553-213-990-80
after playing a conference game1-211-871-811-27-1247-512-112-776-85
in games played on a grass field2-417-11104-1082-411-1763-765-222-9131-105
in November games0-06-240-310-02-615-290-05-340-35
off a loss against a conference rival1-07-140-390-12-619-311-08-044-41
when playing against a team with a losing record0-03-122-230-02-28-120-03-131-15
in weeks 10 through 130-06-239-300-02-614-290-05-339-34
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-6-60-84-321.510.4407.9(5.5)2.530.915.4356.9(5.3)0.5
Road Games0-3-3.10-32-114.78.0370.3(5.2)2.741.721.0475.3(7.4)1.0
Last 3 Games0-3-40-32-115.79.0382.7(4.9)2.328.313.7280.7(4.6)0.3
Grass Games2-6-60-84-321.510.4407.9(5.5)2.530.915.4356.9(5.3)0.5
Conference Games0-4-50-43-116.78.5361.2(4.9)2.235.219.0359.0(5.8)0.5
VIRGINIA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.510.419.232:0334-128(3.7)22-4056.6%280(7)74-408(5.5)(19)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.513.920.230:5537-142(3.8)21-3659.1%264(7.4)73-406(5.6)(14.2)
Offense Road Games14.78.017.730:5031-149(4.8)21-4051.7%221(5.5)71-370(5.2)(25.2)
Defense (All Games)30.915.417.227:5736-149(4.1)17-3155.7%207(6.7)67-357(5.3)(11.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.30.215.420.530:0339-152(3.9)20-3460.6%240(7.1)72-392(5.4)(13)
Defense Road Games41.721.020.029:1039-259(6.6)16-2661.0%217(8.4)65-475(7.4)(11.4)

NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-3+7.82-53-427.917.4429.2(5.5)2.223.012.0416.1(6)2.0
Home Games3-0+8.82-10-233.323.3408.0(5.2)1.012.37.7294.3(5.1)2.0
Last 3 Games2-1+7.81-21-224.012.7402.0(5.1)1.725.714.7458.3(5.9)1.7
Grass Games5-2+8.82-42-428.917.9432.4(5.5)2.021.310.6400.7(5.8)2.1
Conference Games2-2+6.81-32-227.213.0467.5(5.7)2.730.216.7506.5(6.5)1.5
NC STATE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)27.917.421.931:1337-122(3.3)24-4257.4%307(7.4)79-429(5.5)(15.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.27.516.919.931:5739-155(3.9)19-3258.4%222(7)71-377(5.3)(13.7)
Offense Home Games33.323.323.333:0840-158(3.9)24-3864.0%250(6.6)78-408(5.2)(12.2)
Defense (All Games)23.012.018.528:4737-138(3.7)20-3360.6%278(8.4)70-416(6)(18.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.214.519.329:4337-155(4.2)18-3059.8%227(7.5)67-381(5.7)(14)
Defense Home Games12.37.714.026:5233-125(3.7)15-2461.6%169(7)58-294(5.1)(23.9)
Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 32.9,  NC STATE 32.1
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
VIRGINIA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2012PENN ST17-16W-10L48U25-3223-36-263442-12121-43-2090
9/15/2012@ GEORGIA TECH20-56L10L52O28-9821-33-199250-4617-12-1331
9/22/2012@ TCU7-27L18L53U31-16418-40-189431-13321-33-3052
9/29/2012LOUISIANA TECH38-44L3.5L60O39-14525-41-480340-16723-36-2180
10/6/2012@ DUKE17-42L0L55O35-18623-47-275236-18219-32-2120
10/13/2012MARYLAND20-27L-2L44O42-16818-39-218229--214-26-2371
10/20/2012WAKE FOREST10-16L-3L51U32-4822-39-253341-1058-21-1080
11/3/2012@ NC STATE            
11/10/2012MIAMI            
11/15/2012N CAROLINA            
11/24/2012@ VIRGINIA TECH            

NC STATE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2012@ CONNECTICUT10-7W-3T48U41-5415-30-204132-3515-27-2044
9/15/2012S ALABAMA31-7W-29.5L50U43-12724-34-257023-5124-36-2633
9/22/2012THE CITADEL52-14W-19W -51-28219-25-233241-1994-7-272
9/29/2012@ MIAMI37-44L2L56.5O46-22424-42-440632-8526-49-5661
10/6/2012FLORIDA ST17-16W17W53.5U27-6630-55-259136-12517-30-2181
10/20/2012@ MARYLAND20-18W-4L44.5U26-4023-47-307054-20617-27-2562
10/27/2012@ N CAROLINA35-43L7.5L55O31-6729-52-467439-21230-47-3582
11/3/2012VIRGINIA            
11/10/2012WAKE FOREST            
11/17/2012@ CLEMSON            
11/24/2012BOSTON COLLEGE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NC STATE is 10-5 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1992
NC STATE is 8-7 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1992
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NC STATE since 1992
NC STATE is 6-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1992
NC STATE is 5-2 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1992
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NC STATE over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/22/2011NC STATE2851.5SU ATS141432:1338-11420-36231023-30
 VIRGINIA14-3 Under71227:4733-12411-35125134-30
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VIRGINIA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (100-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 45.6% of the time since 1992. (88-105)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 44.1% of the time since 1992. (67-85)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 30.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 49.2% of the time since 1992. (64-66)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
VIRGINIA
[LB] 08/31/2012 - Adam Caplinger out for season ( Knee )
[OT] 08/31/2012 - Tim Cwalina out for season ( Heart )
[DE] 08/31/2012 - Marco Jones out for season ( Knee )
[FS] 08/31/2012 - David Marrs out for season ( Knee )
[S] 10/12/2012 - Pablo Alvarez out for season ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 10/28/2012 - Bill Schautz "?" Saturday vs. NC State ( Hamstring )
[WR] 10/12/2012 - Mario Nixon out for season ( Undisclosed )
[T] 10/28/2012 - Morgan Moses probable Saturday vs. NC State ( Illness )
NC STATE
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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