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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| VIRGINIA | | | | NC STATE | -17 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-1 | 4-1 | 17-15 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 12-17 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 10-23 | | in all games | 0-8 | 11-21 | 110-128 | 4-3 | 12-17 | 72-88 | 2-6 | 14-19 | 141-111 | | in all lined games | 0-8 | 11-21 | 110-128 | 4-3 | 12-17 | 72-88 | 2-6 | 13-19 | 131-110 | | as an underdog | 0-4 | 6-13 | 52-56 | 3-1 | 9-10 | 41-52 | 0-4 | 4-15 | 35-74 | | as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-5 | | in road games | 0-3 | 5-8 | 47-60 | 2-1 | 6-7 | 31-40 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 48-61 | | in road lined games | 0-3 | 5-8 | 47-60 | 2-1 | 6-7 | 31-40 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 48-61 | | in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 16-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13-23 | | in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 4-10 | | against conference opponents | 0-4 | 7-13 | 75-87 | 3-1 | 8-12 | 38-66 | 0-4 | 6-14 | 89-75 | | when playing on a Saturday | 0-8 | 10-21 | 100-117 | 4-3 | 11-17 | 62-77 | 2-6 | 13-19 | 133-96 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-0 | 2-1 | 16-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 17-13 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 21-18 | | after playing a conference game | 0-3 | 6-12 | 74-80 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 48-54 | 0-3 | 5-13 | 85-74 | | after a bye week | 0-0 | 2-1 | 19-24 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 18-17 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 24-21 | | in games played on a grass field | 0-8 | 10-20 | 96-109 | 4-3 | 11-16 | 62-84 | 2-6 | 14-17 | 122-97 | | in November games | 0-0 | 4-4 | 31-39 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 23-27 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 32-38 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-3 | 3-9 | 35-32 | 1-2 | 7-5 | 19-27 | 0-3 | 2-10 | 38-32 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 0-4 | 2-7 | 19-18 | 3-1 | 5-4 | 13-17 | 0-4 | 2-7 | 17-21 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-3 | 4-11 | 51-68 | 3-0 | 8-7 | 47-50 | 0-3 | 4-11 | 49-72 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 28-37 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 21-24 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 30-35 |
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| as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 1-0 | 4-0 | 16-14 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-6 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 26-5 | | in all games | 2-5 | 17-14 | 109-116 | 3-4 | 12-19 | 68-79 | 5-3 | 22-12 | 136-114 | | in all lined games | 2-5 | 17-14 | 109-116 | 3-4 | 12-19 | 68-79 | 5-3 | 21-12 | 118-114 | | as a favorite | 1-2 | 7-8 | 44-66 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 22-37 | 4-0 | 12-4 | 71-41 | | as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 2-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 8-2 | | in home games | 2-1 | 10-4 | 54-56 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 34-39 | 3-0 | 14-2 | 86-46 | | in home lined games | 2-1 | 10-4 | 54-56 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 34-39 | 3-0 | 13-2 | 68-46 | | in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 15-15 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 15-16 | | in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 9-10 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 11-8 | 76-83 | 2-2 | 9-11 | 50-54 | 2-2 | 11-9 | 77-88 | | when playing on a Saturday | 2-4 | 13-12 | 89-102 | 2-4 | 10-15 | 59-57 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 114-98 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 2-3 | 11-11 | 73-86 | 2-2 | 8-13 | 47-55 | 3-2 | 13-9 | 90-80 | | after playing a conference game | 1-2 | 11-8 | 71-81 | 1-2 | 7-12 | 47-51 | 2-1 | 12-7 | 76-85 | | in games played on a grass field | 2-4 | 17-11 | 104-108 | 2-4 | 11-17 | 63-76 | 5-2 | 22-9 | 131-105 | | in November games | 0-0 | 6-2 | 40-31 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15-29 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 40-35 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 7-1 | 40-39 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 19-31 | 1-0 | 8-0 | 44-41 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-0 | 3-1 | 22-23 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 31-15 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 39-30 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 14-29 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 39-34 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 2-6 | -6 | 0-8 | 4-3 | 21.5 | 10.4 | 407.9 | (5.5) | 2.5 | 30.9 | 15.4 | 356.9 | (5.3) | 0.5 | | Road Games | 0-3 | -3.1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 14.7 | 8.0 | 370.3 | (5.2) | 2.7 | 41.7 | 21.0 | 475.3 | (7.4) | 1.0 | | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -4 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 15.7 | 9.0 | 382.7 | (4.9) | 2.3 | 28.3 | 13.7 | 280.7 | (4.6) | 0.3 | | Grass Games | 2-6 | -6 | 0-8 | 4-3 | 21.5 | 10.4 | 407.9 | (5.5) | 2.5 | 30.9 | 15.4 | 356.9 | (5.3) | 0.5 | | Conference Games | 0-4 | -5 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 16.7 | 8.5 | 361.2 | (4.9) | 2.2 | 35.2 | 19.0 | 359.0 | (5.8) | 0.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 21.5 | 10.4 | 19.2 | 32:03 | 34-128 | (3.7) | 22-40 | 56.6% | 280 | (7) | 74-408 | (5.5) | (19) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 28.5 | 13.9 | 20.2 | 30:55 | 37-142 | (3.8) | 21-36 | 59.1% | 264 | (7.4) | 73-406 | (5.6) | (14.2) | | Offense Road Games | 14.7 | 8.0 | 17.7 | 30:50 | 31-149 | (4.8) | 21-40 | 51.7% | 221 | (5.5) | 71-370 | (5.2) | (25.2) | | Defense (All Games) | 30.9 | 15.4 | 17.2 | 27:57 | 36-149 | (4.1) | 17-31 | 55.7% | 207 | (6.7) | 67-357 | (5.3) | (11.6) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 30.2 | 15.4 | 20.5 | 30:03 | 39-152 | (3.9) | 20-34 | 60.6% | 240 | (7.1) | 72-392 | (5.4) | (13) | | Defense Road Games | 41.7 | 21.0 | 20.0 | 29:10 | 39-259 | (6.6) | 16-26 | 61.0% | 217 | (8.4) | 65-475 | (7.4) | (11.4) |
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| All Games | 5-3 | +7.8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 27.9 | 17.4 | 429.2 | (5.5) | 2.2 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 416.1 | (6) | 2.0 | | Home Games | 3-0 | +8.8 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 33.3 | 23.3 | 408.0 | (5.2) | 1.0 | 12.3 | 7.7 | 294.3 | (5.1) | 2.0 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +7.8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 24.0 | 12.7 | 402.0 | (5.1) | 1.7 | 25.7 | 14.7 | 458.3 | (5.9) | 1.7 | | Grass Games | 5-2 | +8.8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 28.9 | 17.9 | 432.4 | (5.5) | 2.0 | 21.3 | 10.6 | 400.7 | (5.8) | 2.1 | | Conference Games | 2-2 | +6.8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 27.2 | 13.0 | 467.5 | (5.7) | 2.7 | 30.2 | 16.7 | 506.5 | (6.5) | 1.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 27.9 | 17.4 | 21.9 | 31:13 | 37-122 | (3.3) | 24-42 | 57.4% | 307 | (7.4) | 79-429 | (5.5) | (15.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27.5 | 16.9 | 19.9 | 31:57 | 39-155 | (3.9) | 19-32 | 58.4% | 222 | (7) | 71-377 | (5.3) | (13.7) | | Offense Home Games | 33.3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 33:08 | 40-158 | (3.9) | 24-38 | 64.0% | 250 | (6.6) | 78-408 | (5.2) | (12.2) | | Defense (All Games) | 23.0 | 12.0 | 18.5 | 28:47 | 37-138 | (3.7) | 20-33 | 60.6% | 278 | (8.4) | 70-416 | (6) | (18.1) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.2 | 14.5 | 19.3 | 29:43 | 37-155 | (4.2) | 18-30 | 59.8% | 227 | (7.5) | 67-381 | (5.7) | (14) | | Defense Home Games | 12.3 | 7.7 | 14.0 | 26:52 | 33-125 | (3.7) | 15-24 | 61.6% | 169 | (7) | 58-294 | (5.1) | (23.9) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 32.9, NC STATE 32.1 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/8/2012 | PENN ST | 17-16 | W | -10 | L | 48 | U | 25-32 | 23-36-263 | 4 | 42-121 | 21-43-209 | 0 | | 9/15/2012 | @ GEORGIA TECH | 20-56 | L | 10 | L | 52 | O | 28-98 | 21-33-199 | 2 | 50-461 | 7-12-133 | 1 | | 9/22/2012 | @ TCU | 7-27 | L | 18 | L | 53 | U | 31-164 | 18-40-189 | 4 | 31-133 | 21-33-305 | 2 | | 9/29/2012 | LOUISIANA TECH | 38-44 | L | 3.5 | L | 60 | O | 39-145 | 25-41-480 | 3 | 40-167 | 23-36-218 | 0 | | 10/6/2012 | @ DUKE | 17-42 | L | 0 | L | 55 | O | 35-186 | 23-47-275 | 2 | 36-182 | 19-32-212 | 0 | | 10/13/2012 | MARYLAND | 20-27 | L | -2 | L | 44 | O | 42-168 | 18-39-218 | 2 | 29--2 | 14-26-237 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | WAKE FOREST | 10-16 | L | -3 | L | 51 | U | 32-48 | 22-39-253 | 3 | 41-105 | 8-21-108 | 0 | | 11/3/2012 | @ NC STATE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | MIAMI | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/15/2012 | N CAROLINA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | @ VIRGINIA TECH | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/8/2012 | @ CONNECTICUT | 10-7 | W | -3 | T | 48 | U | 41-54 | 15-30-204 | 1 | 32-35 | 15-27-204 | 4 | | 9/15/2012 | S ALABAMA | 31-7 | W | -29.5 | L | 50 | U | 43-127 | 24-34-257 | 0 | 23-51 | 24-36-263 | 3 | | 9/22/2012 | THE CITADEL | 52-14 | W | -19 | W | | - | 51-282 | 19-25-233 | 2 | 41-199 | 4-7-27 | 2 | | 9/29/2012 | @ MIAMI | 37-44 | L | 2 | L | 56.5 | O | 46-224 | 24-42-440 | 6 | 32-85 | 26-49-566 | 1 | | 10/6/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 17-16 | W | 17 | W | 53.5 | U | 27-66 | 30-55-259 | 1 | 36-125 | 17-30-218 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | @ MARYLAND | 20-18 | W | -4 | L | 44.5 | U | 26-40 | 23-47-307 | 0 | 54-206 | 17-27-256 | 2 | | 10/27/2012 | @ N CAROLINA | 35-43 | L | 7.5 | L | 55 | O | 31-67 | 29-52-467 | 4 | 39-212 | 30-47-358 | 2 | | 11/3/2012 | VIRGINIA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | WAKE FOREST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | @ CLEMSON | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | BOSTON COLLEGE | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| NC STATE is 10-5 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1992 | | NC STATE is 8-7 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1992 | | 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| NC STATE is 6-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1992 | | NC STATE is 5-2 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1992 | | 4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| 10/22/2011 | NC STATE | 28 | 51.5 | SU ATS | 14 | 14 | 32:13 | 38-114 | 20-36 | 231 | 0 | 2 | 3-30 | | | VIRGINIA | 14 | -3 | Under | 7 | 12 | 27:47 | 33-124 | 11-35 | 125 | 1 | 3 | 4-30 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (100-107) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-14) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 45.6% of the time since 1992. (88-105) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 44.1% of the time since 1992. (67-85) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 30.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-18) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 49.2% of the time since 1992. (64-66) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15) | |
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| [LB] 08/31/2012 - Adam Caplinger out for season ( Knee ) | | [OT] 08/31/2012 - Tim Cwalina out for season ( Heart ) | | [DE] 08/31/2012 - Marco Jones out for season ( Knee ) | | [FS] 08/31/2012 - David Marrs out for season ( Knee ) | | [S] 10/12/2012 - Pablo Alvarez out for season ( Undisclosed ) | | [DE] 10/28/2012 - Bill Schautz "?" Saturday vs. NC State ( Hamstring ) | | [WR] 10/12/2012 - Mario Nixon out for season ( Undisclosed ) | | [T] 10/28/2012 - Morgan Moses probable Saturday vs. NC State ( Illness ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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