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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:00 PM
W MICHIGAN (0-5) AT TOLEDO (2-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
319: W MICHIGAN
320: TOLEDO
58.5
-23.5
14.0 / 36.4
24.8 / 26.2
0-5
2-3
2-3-0
3-2-0
1-3-0
0-5-0
122.0
178.6
188.6
212.4
310.6
391.0
253.8
153.8
168.8
248.0
422.6
401.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
W MICHIGAN  
TOLEDO-18 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
W MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points2-02-04-70-20-25-30-20-21-11
in all games2-313-1676-921-314-1455-500-511-19128-120
in all lined games2-313-1676-921-314-1455-500-511-1979-95
as an underdog2-25-1036-501-37-829-290-41-1417-73
as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points2-02-07-60-20-25-40-20-21-13
in road games2-17-944-521-26-1030-310-33-1350-82
in road lined games2-17-944-521-26-1030-310-33-1334-63
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 631-03-18-60-11-36-80-12-27-7
against conference opponents0-17-1052-660-110-736-330-17-1098-76
when playing on a Saturday1-39-1566-841-211-1248-400-49-16117-105
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-29-1258-651-211-1037-350-39-13106-78
after playing a conference game0-06-952-570-09-633-310-05-1087-81
in games played on turf0-36-1427-341-19-921-240-34-1622-43
in October games0-03-627-330-07-222-140-04-550-36
off a loss against a conference rival0-03-522-270-05-316-120-04-421-33
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-22-418-181-24-213-50-32-421-32
when playing against a team with a losing record0-14-334-330-13-420-180-14-370-22
in weeks 5 through 90-13-830-380-17-423-170-14-756-41

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points0-00-18-70-00-03-30-01-015-1
in all games3-217-1494-830-510-1960-622-320-11161-93
in all lined games3-217-1494-830-510-1960-622-320-11106-75
as a favorite2-09-959-400-28-828-252-016-280-21
in home games1-07-650-320-15-633-171-010-393-29
in home lined games1-07-650-320-15-633-171-010-360-22
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-01-28-50-00-35-80-02-18-5
against conference opponents1-110-868-530-27-1141-391-114-4118-54
when playing on a Saturday3-213-871-570-56-1439-372-314-7132-67
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-211-961-540-47-1240-352-217-3118-54
after playing a conference game0-17-1061-540-18-839-370-112-5110-57
in games played on turf2-212-1267-520-48-1450-412-216-887-45
in October games0-05-328-300-04-417-170-08-057-26
off a loss against a conference rival0-01-221-170-01-214-140-02-122-17
when playing against a team with a losing record1-03-338-270-12-420-141-06-071-19
in weeks 5 through 90-16-431-370-14-619-220-19-163-33
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
W MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games0-5-22-31-414.07.2310.6(4.5)2.636.422.2422.6(5.8)2.0
Road Games0-3-12-11-211.06.7252.7(3.7)3.041.025.0404.7(5.2)1.7
Last 3 Games0-3-21-21-211.36.7288.0(4.7)2.343.025.7456.3(6)2.0
Turf Games0-3-20-31-213.36.3334.7(5)2.739.324.7448.3(6.4)2.3
Conference Games0-1-10-10-114.07.0310.0(5.6)2.032.015.0452.0(5.9)2.0
W MICHIGAN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)14.07.216.627:3131-122(4)17-3944.0%189(4.9)69-311(4.5)(22.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.813.420.127:1135-170(4.9)18-3452.6%217(6.4)69-387(5.6)(14.5)
Offense Road Games11.06.713.326:3226-76(2.9)17-4239.4%177(4.2)68-253(3.7)(23)
Defense (All Games)36.422.223.032:2948-254(5.2)14-2556.0%169(6.8)73-423(5.8)(11.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.415.72133:3943-194(4.5)17-3056.8%195(6.5)73-389(5.3)(14.8)
Defense Road Games41.025.023.733:2852-257(5)14-2655.8%148(5.8)77-405(5.2)(9.9)

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-3-0.13-20-524.811.8391.0(5.8)1.426.215.8401.8(5.8)2.2
Home Games1-0+11-00-133.016.0530.0(6.9)0.021.014.0377.0(6)2.0
Last 3 Games2-1+12-10-331.715.7454.3(6.3)1.023.015.0403.3(6)3.0
Turf Games2-2-0.12-20-429.514.0437.5(6.2)1.526.715.5398.5(5.8)2.5
Conference Games1-1-0.11-10-231.015.5416.5(5.9)1.524.015.5416.5(5.9)3.5
TOLEDO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)24.811.820.028:3132-179(5.5)22-3562.6%212(6.1)67-391(5.8)(15.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.27.314.520.730:4036-158(4.4)22-3464.7%239(7)70-397(5.7)(14.5)
Offense Home Games33.016.025.036:5051-325(6.4)16-2661.5%205(7.9)77-530(6.9)(16.1)
Defense (All Games)26.215.823.031:2839-154(4)19-3062.9%248(8.2)69-402(5.8)(15.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.32.218.32330:1937-166(4.5)21-3462.1%285(8.4)71-451(6.4)(14)
Defense Home Games21.014.018.023:1022-51(2.3)21-4151.2%326(8)63-377(6)(18)
Average power rating of opponents played: W MICHIGAN 29.4,  TOLEDO 27.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
W MICHIGAN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/30/2013@ MICHIGAN ST13-26L27.5W44U27-1118-48-193442-18117-37-1161
9/7/2013NICHOLLS ST23-27L-26.5L -44-23124-43-254240-22210-18-2253
9/14/2013@ NORTHWESTERN17-38L28.5W57.5U31-14316-41-202155-33215-22-1392
9/21/2013@ IOWA3-59L16.5L47O20-7416-38-135458-25811-18-1882
9/28/2013KENT ST14-32L2.5L51U32-15111-23-159247-27617-30-1762
10/5/2013@ TOLEDO            
10/12/2013BUFFALO            
10/19/2013BALL ST            
10/26/2013@ MASSACHUSETTS            
10/26/2013MASSACHUSETTS            

TOLEDO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2013@ FLORIDA6-24L23W55.5U16-5017-38-155148-26217-22-1531
9/7/2013@ MISSOURI23-38L14L65.5U23-12526-41-262347-17216-25-2121
9/14/2013E WASHINGTON33-21W-7W74U51-32516-26-205022-5121-41-3262
9/21/2013@ C MICHIGAN38-17W-13W57.5U43-25216-23-166141-15614-24-2144
9/28/2013@ BALL ST24-31L1L67.5U29-14134-46-274236-12827-39-3353
10/5/2013W MICHIGAN            
10/19/2013NAVY            
10/26/2013@ BOWLING GREEN            
11/2/2013E MICHIGAN            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TOLEDO is 9-6 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 14-7 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1992
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TOLEDO since 1992
TOLEDO is 4-4 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 8-3 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1992
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/29/2012TOLEDO3757SU ATS202533:0837-27822-33243008-87
 W MICHIGAN17-1 Under72226:5230-17326-46232136-48
11/8/2011W MICHIGAN6371 ATS283220:3023-8738-59548408-70
 TOLEDO66-12SU Over283739:3060-41930-41385338-73
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TOLEDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 45.3% of the time since 1992. (67-81)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 52.2% of the time since 1992. (82-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W MICHIGAN games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (48-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W MICHIGAN games 72% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-7)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 44.2% of the time since 1992. (50-63)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 32.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-19)
Edge=Under
Key Player Injuries
W MICHIGAN
[DB] 10/04/2013 - Rontavious Atkins "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Hand )
[RB] 10/03/2013 - Antoin Scriven "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 10/02/2013 - Brian Fields "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Foot )
[DL] 10/02/2013 - Cleveland Smith expected to miss Saturday vs. Toledo ( Disciplinary )
[DL] 10/02/2013 - Cory Sueing "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Back )
[OL] 10/02/2013 - Jon Hoffing probable Saturday vs. Toledo ( Knee )
[WR] 10/01/2013 - Corey Davis is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Toledo ( Concussion )
[RB] 09/29/2013 - Tevin Drake "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Disciplinary )
[DL] 09/29/2013 - Mikhail Dubose "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Concussion )
[WR] 08/30/2013 - Justin Collins out for season ( Knee )
[C] 08/23/2013 - Terry Davisson out for season ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 08/22/2013 - Daniel Braverman out for season ( ACL )
[LB] 08/22/2013 - Devon Brant out for season ( ACL )
[LB] 08/22/2013 - Terry Easmon out indefinitely ( MCL )
[WR] 08/13/2013 - Jaime Wilson expected to miss 8-9 weeks ( Ankle )
TOLEDO
[LB] 08/30/2013 - Jaylen Coleman out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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