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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:35 PM
BALTIMORE (95-71) AT NY YANKEES (97-68) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
937: BALTIMORE
938: NY YANKEES
8.5
-162
95-71
97-68
72-89-5
72-88-5
4.4 / 4.3
4.9 / 4.1
(L) J SAUNDERS
(R) P HUGHES
10-13
16-13
3.99
4.23
1.34
1.26
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 51.0 °
Humidity: 54   Wind: Southeast at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORESAUNDERS +122 
NY YANKEESHUGHES-122 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games95-71+37.9232-261+32.21189-1418-127.772-89224-2491230-1249
when the total is 8 to 8.537-23+18.181-87+8.2210-288-53.228-3181-84252-233
as a road underdog of +125 to +15015-18+2.934-47-0.5148-177+26.113-1936-42158-149
as a road underdog of +150 to +17515-10+14.230-42+6.693-159-9.37-1830-40112-125
in road games47-36+27.3107-139+19.7559-744-25.331-50107-130628-609
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.513-10+6.829-41+1.391-148-24.510-1231-38112-119
in October games3-4+0.56-5+1.920-23-4.42-53-813-27
when playing on Thursday10-6+3.627-28+5.2149-172-17.37-728-22159-139
against division opponents44-31+21.196-123+7453-629-92.434-4096-113511-510
in games played on a grass field87-61+36.8211-228+34.41037-1221-106.564-79205-2161076-1076
in night games63-56+16.3162-190+16.3822-961-63.253-63157-182832-849
against right-handed starters67-52+25.8166-183+23.5861-982-31.851-63161-171856-890
in playoff games2-2+1.32-2+1.37-7+0.51-31-34-9
after a loss40-30+18108-147-7.6597-810-139.731-35116-127675-657
when playing against a team with a winning record55-43+27.4129-173+8.8548-826-117.940-56133-158663-643
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season27-24+12.581-88+33.8314-460-4020-3075-88361-379

NY YANKEES team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games97-68+4.2297-207+6.51644-1083-29.872-88235-2421269-1348
when the total is 8 to 8.519-20-7.470-48+7.1245-180+2.415-2452-64214-205
as a home favorite of -150 to -17516-12-3.249-28+3.6193-121-5.69-1935-37138-161
in home games52-30+4.5160-92+9.6873-490-6.334-47125-115621-688
at home when the total is 8 to 8.58-6-1.728-20-3.5102-72-11.66-825-2392-82
in October games5-1+3.713-10+0.792-64+7.83-314-864-87
when playing on Thursday5-8-5.228-24-6195-123-4.56-723-26142-164
against division opponents43-32-2121-99-13.3653-445-30.434-40106-104518-537
in games played on a grass field91-56+12.3277-173+25.71451-930-6.864-79213-2131102-1184
in night games64-47+1.1182-150-25.61043-702-15.150-57158-159814-859
against left-handed starters37-25+3.8107-69+13.9473-306+14.933-2992-80379-373
in playoff games2-1+0.79-8-1.285-55+12.31-29-756-80
after a win56-41-2.5169-123-9.2984-646-39.743-52128-147740-820
when playing against a team with a winning record54-40+2.9143-117-6.8762-578-9.443-49125-125622-672
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season22-23-6.669-75-22.9420-323-5.526-1878-59361-358
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/28/2012TILLMAN(R)BOSTONCOOK(R)9-1W-1859 unO1252121
9/29/2012JOHNSON(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)4-3W-1808.5 evU751531
9/30/2012SAUNDERS(L)BOSTONSTEWART(R)6-3W-2009 unP940930
10/1/2012CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)3-5L1307.5 ovO651751
10/2/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYSHIELDS(R)1-0W1307.5 unU210250
10/3/2012TILLMAN(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)1-4L-1157 unU350620
10/5/2012SAUNDERS(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)5-1W2109 unU861981
10/7/2012HAMMEL(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)2-7L+1507.5 unO8711081
10/8/2012CHEN(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-2W+1208 unU7619101
10/10/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)2-3L1608.5 ovU660731
10/11/2012SAUNDERS(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 

NY YANKEES - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/27/2012NOVA(R)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)0-6L-1309 unU5701060
9/28/2012KURODA(R)@ TORONTOJENKINS(R)11-4W-1859 evO138012111
9/29/2012PETTITTE(L)@ TORONTOROMERO(L)2-3L-1808.5 unU9100762
9/30/2012HUGHES(R)@ TORONTOALVAREZ(R)9-6W-1609 unO15901081
10/1/2012SABATHIA(L)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)10-2W-2808 unO1370430
10/2/2012PHELPS(R)BOSTONLESTER(L)4-3W-1808.5 unU16140891
10/3/2012KURODA(R)BOSTONMATSUZAKA(R)14-2W-3159 unO1580860
10/7/2012SABATHIA(L)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)7-2W-1607.5 unO1081871
10/8/2012PETTITTE(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)2-3L-1308 unU9101761
10/10/2012KURODA(R)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)3-2W-1708.5 ovU731660
10/11/2012HUGHES(R)BALTIMORESAUNDERS(L) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games95-71+37.972-894.40.2460.3054.30.2520.311
Road Games47-36+27.331-504.00.2360.2944.00.2400.299
vs Right-handed Starters67-52+25.851-634.50.2470.3044.30.2530.312
Past 7 Games3-4+0.52-52.40.1730.2013.10.2160.269
Grass Games87-61+36.864-794.50.2480.3074.40.2560.314
Night Games63-56+16.353-634.30.2490.3034.40.2530.309
Division44-31+21.134-404.50.2540.3134.00.2400.301
Playoff games2-2+1.31-33.00.2090.2313.20.2450.299
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2460.305166569914045062160.04689484134860105217410915664
Road Games4.00.2360.294832907685228890.033192407122051690587521
Righty Starters4.50.2470.304119409710103711640.04516340978417251328011848
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.031.214558.62081884995117946732-13561776.7%
Road Games2.551.095271.38577214208320816-531879.5%

NY YANKEES - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games97-68+4.272-884.90.2640.3324.10.2520.305
Home Games52-30+4.534-475.00.2640.3324.00.2380.294
vs Left-handed Starters37-25+3.833-295.30.2660.3424.30.2530.306
Past 7 Games6-1+4.74-37.00.3160.3802.90.2070.253
Grass Games91-56+12.364-795.00.2670.3344.00.2490.301
Night Games64-47+1.150-574.80.2630.3294.10.2540.303
Division43-32-234-405.10.2580.3324.30.2560.308
Playoff games2-1+0.71-24.00.2390.2972.30.1980.220
NY YANKEES - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2640.332165563314875472480.0478657412039411561707713891
Home Games5.00.2640.3328227077152671400.053972775834753282406937
Lefty Starters5.30.2660.342622136569209930.043202474713745862356237
NY YANKEES - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.391.2544491791694054715844625-17511379.7%
Home Games3.631.252228.49992208217821711-726778.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOE SAUNDERS recent results and season statistics
JOE SAUNDERS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.991.33710-1329180.36.28980201214011612-17-5.110-18
Road Starts2.601.1444-515976.5312888823596-9-1.14-11
Last 3 Starts3.261.3452-1319.36.4872521112-1+1.40-2
JOE SAUNDERS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/5/2012at TEXAS5-1+2109Win,UnderW5.7116014DARVISH(R)
9/30/2012BOSTON6-3-2009WinW7.3338205STEWART(R)
9/25/2012TORONTO0-4-1759Loss,UnderL6.34311002LAFFEY(L)

PHIL HUGHES recent results and season statistics
PHIL HUGHES - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.231.26516-1332191.36.010190196354616518-14+0.416-14
Home Starts3.741.18611-41698.76.249419122268512-4+68-8
Last 3 Starts7.161.4691-1316.35.413131826172-1+0.12-0
PHIL HUGHES - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012at TORONTO9-6-1609Win,Over 4.7558124ALVAREZ(R)
9/25/2012at MINNESOTA4-5-1909LossL6.7446014VASQUEZ(R)
9/20/2012TORONTO10-7-2309Win,OverW5444139LAFFEY(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
NY YANKEES is 37-20 (+1.5 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
30 of 54 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 10-11 (+3.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
10 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.8 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

All games at NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons
NY YANKEES is 18-10 (-1.4 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
16 of 26 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.3 Units)
Games played at NY YANKEES this season.
BALTIMORE is 6-4 (+5.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/10/2012BALTIMORE2+160 Under62160GONZALEZ(R) 7150
 NY YANKEES3-1708.5 ovWin72031KURODA(R) 8.3251
10/8/2012NY YANKEES2-130 Under901101PETTITTE(L)L7371
 BALTIMORE3+1208 unWin70061CHEN(L)W6.3181
10/7/2012NY YANKEES7-160  101081SABATHIA(L)W8.7281
 BALTIMORE2+1507.5 unOver80071HAMMEL(R) 5.7244
9/9/2012NY YANKEES13+100  152080GARCIA(R) 3.3331
 BALTIMORE3-1109 evOver40141BRITTON(L)L3.3555
9/8/2012NY YANKEES4-155 Over101080SABATHIA(L)L6.3580
 BALTIMORE5+1458.5 evWin83150SAUNDERS(L)W5.3252
9/7/2012NY YANKEES8-105  93031HUGHES(R)W6260
 BALTIMORE5-1059 unOver83040CHEN(L)L4.7761
9/6/2012NY YANKEES6-110 Over100180PHELPS(R) 4562
 BALTIMORE10+1009 ovWin116030HAMMEL(R) 5162
9/2/2012BALTIMORE8+140  122070TILLMAN(R) 3222
 NY YANKEES3-1509 unOver61050HUGHES(R)L5581
9/1/2012BALTIMORE3+125 Under41061CHEN(L)L6.7342
 NY YANKEES4-1359 evWin41052PHELPS(R) 4.7336
8/31/2012BALTIMORE6+175  123050GONZALEZ(R)W7041
 NY YANKEES1-1859 unUnder51050KURODA(R)L8.3480
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOE SAUNDERS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SAUNDERS is 3-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.602.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)
JOE SAUNDERS recent starts vs. NY YANKEES
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/8/2012NY YANKEES5-4+1458.5Win,OverW5.3225022SABATHIA(L)
10/25/2009at NY YANKEES2-5+1709.5Loss,UnderL3.3337050PETTITTE(L)
10/17/2009at NY YANKEES3-4+1608.5Loss,Under 7226115BURNETT(R)

PHIL HUGHES vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HUGHES is 6-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.480.
His team's record is 8-6 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-3. (+6.0 units)
PHIL HUGHES recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/7/2012at BALTIMORE8-5-1059Win,OverW6326105CHEN(L)
9/2/2012BALTIMORE3-8-1509Loss,OverL5558216TILLMAN(R)
8/1/2012BALTIMORE12-3-1809.5Win,OverW6119022BRITTON(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NY YANKEES in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1015, 0.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (225-203, +17.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 52.8% of the time since 1997. (1152-1028, -65.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (237-196, -0.5 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (769-781, -118.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-117, -0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (898-838, -57.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (128-132, -18.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip )
[LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck )
[P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow )
[DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique )
[RF] 10/02/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out another 3 weeks ( Thumb )
[DH] 09/15/2012 - Wilson Betemit out indefinitely ( Wrist )
[P] 09/26/2012 - Randy Wolf out for season ( Elbow )
NY YANKEES
[P] 05/03/2012 - Mariano Rivera 60-day DL (5/2), out for season ( Knee )
[P] 03/28/2012 - Pedro Feliciano 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/28/2012 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (3/31), out for season ( Shoulder )
[C] 05/13/2012 - Austin Romine 60-day DL (3/26) ( Back )
[P] 04/03/2012 - Cesar Cabral 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/05/2012 - Brad Meyers 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 09/19/2012 - Dellin Betances 60-day DL (9/19) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 10/10/2012 - Derek Jeter probable Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Ankle )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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