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Matchup Reports

Friday at 8:35 PM
BALTIMORE (93-69) AT TEXAS (93-69) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: BALTIMORE
904: TEXAS
9.0
-231
93-69
93-69
71-86-5
72-83-7
4.4 / 4.4
5.0 / 4.4
(L) J SAUNDERS
(R) Y DARVISH
9-13
16-9
4.07
3.90
1.34
1.28
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: A Few Clouds   Temperature: 65.0 °
Humidity: 34   Wind: from the North at 15.0 gusting to 26.5 MPH (13 gusting to 23
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORESAUNDERS +128
TEXASDARVISH-128 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in playoff games0-000-005-5-0.80-00-03-6
after a loss38-30+14.7106-147-10.9595-810-14331-33116-125675-655
when playing against a team with a winning record53-41+26.1127-171+7.5546-824-119.239-53132-155662-640
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season25-22+11.279-86+32.5312-458-41.319-2774-85360-376
in all games93-69+36.6230-259+30.91187-1416-12971-86223-2461229-1246
when the total is 9 to 9.540-30+13.4108-120+14.9570-626-33.429-3893-120543-586
as a road underdog of +175 to +2002-1+2.513-21+2.753-93+4.51-211-2264-77
in road games46-35+26.2106-138+18.6558-743-26.431-48107-128628-607
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.518-11+13.247-49+19.2248-299+10.110-1937-53262-254
in October games1-2-0.84-3+0.618-21-5.71-22-512-24
when playing on Friday15-11+6.436-40+5.1197-214+5.711-1430-42177-208
when playing with a day off14-4+12.132-25+13.4154-154+10.711-728-27155-139
in games played on a grass field85-59+35.5209-226+33.11035-1219-107.863-76204-2131075-1073
in night games61-54+15160-188+15820-959-64.552-60156-179831-846
against right-handed starters66-51+24.7165-182+22.4860-981-32.951-61161-169856-888

TEXAS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss45-23+15134-84+29.4649-645+8.828-39101-109605-629
after 3 or more consecutive losses4-3+0.116-13+0.8158-159+10.42-511-18151-156
when playing against a team with a winning record39-37-5.5133-118-3609-699-13.636-37118-122597-653
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season18-24-10.682-70+1.9344-395+8.419-2169-75340-365
in all games93-69-4.4298-221+7.41334-1296-14.372-83247-2481241-1267
when the total is 9 to 9.536-28-6.4120-82+2.5367-375-2.927-3298-93332-366
as a home favorite of -175 to -20011-4+3.932-21-6.974-48-14.37-832-2173-43
in home games50-31+0163-96+10.8737-576+28.938-40134-113637-613
at home when the total is 9 to 9.521-19-9.279-48-0.5158-111+1415-2365-56125-131
in October games0-3-3.619-18-0.624-37-15.41-217-1727-30
when playing on Friday14-11-0.249-31+8219-197+12.28-1736-42203-200
when playing with a day off10-11-3.136-25+5.2159-141+11.214-737-24150-135
in games played on a grass field89-64-2.4283-203+11.31225-1179-6.969-77234-2291144-1147
in night games67-52-5.8222-151+15.9995-933+3.249-64175-180907-930
against left-handed starters28-19088-69-2.8360-392-43.822-2473-79349-364
in playoff games0-0018-15+118-21-50-016-1616-22
after allowing 10 runs or more5-5-1.712-18-9.4124-143-21.24-515-14118-138
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/21/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)4-2W1008 ovU1070870
9/22/2012WOLF(L)@ BOSTONCOOK(R)9-6W-1159.5 evO1510113101
9/23/2012TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)1-2L-1309 unU681980
9/24/2012JOHNSON(R)TORONTOALVAREZ(R)4-1W-1858.5 ovU1050880
9/24/2012CHEN(L)TORONTOROMERO(L)5-9L-2009 unO121001372
9/25/2012SAUNDERS(L)TORONTOLAFFEY(L)0-4L-1759 evU6911371
9/26/2012GONZALEZ(R)TORONTOVILLANUEVA(R)12-2W-1658.5 evO1220742
9/28/2012TILLMAN(R)BOSTONCOOK(R)9-1W-1859 unO1252121
9/29/2012JOHNSON(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)4-3W-1808.5 evU751531
9/30/2012SAUNDERS(L)BOSTONSTEWART(R)6-3W-2009 unP940930
10/1/2012CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)3-5L1307.5 ovO651751
10/2/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYSHIELDS(R)1-0W1307.5 unU210250
10/3/2012TILLMAN(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)1-4L-1157 unU350620
10/5/2012SAUNDERS(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R) 

TEXAS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/21/2012PEREZ(L)@ SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)3-6L-1257.5 evO1041951
9/22/2012HARRISON(L)@ SEATTLEBEAVAN(R)0-1L-1757 unU860770
9/23/2012DEMPSTER(R)@ SEATTLEVARGAS(L)3-2W-1457 evU1090991
9/24/2012HOLLAND(L)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)5-4W-1709 ovP9100872
9/25/2012FELDMAN(R)OAKLANDMILONE(L)2-3L-1559.5 ovU760771
9/26/2012PEREZ(L)OAKLANDPARKER(R)3-9L-1259.5 evO5811691
9/27/2012HARRISON(L)OAKLANDBLACKLEY(L)9-7W-2059 ovO14601142
9/28/2012DEMPSTER(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)4-7L+1059 unO7401190
9/30/2012DARVISH(R)LA ANGELSGREINKE(R)4-5L-1058.5 ovO6401180
9/30/2012HOLLAND(L)LA ANGELSSANTANA(R)8-7W-12510 ovO12801280
10/1/2012PEREZ(L)@ OAKLANDPARKER(R)3-4L1258 unU650980
10/2/2012HARRISON(L)@ OAKLANDBLACKLEY(L)1-3L-1608 unU542632
10/3/2012DEMPSTER(R)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)5-12L-1057.5 unO111031161
10/5/2012DARVISH(R)BALTIMORESAUNDERS(L) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games93-69+36.671-864.40.2470.3074.40.2520.311
Road Games46-35+26.231-484.00.2370.2964.00.2410.300
vs Right-handed Starters66-51+24.751-614.50.2480.3064.30.2540.313
Past 7 Games5-2+3.23-35.10.2310.2772.60.1770.222
Grass Games85-59+35.563-764.50.2490.3104.40.2560.314
Night Games61-54+1552-604.40.2510.3054.40.2530.309
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2470.307162556013755002140.04677480131558102717110615163
Road Games4.00.2370.296812834671225870.033122386931850489577121
Righty Starters4.50.2480.30611740249963681620.04509338959397131317911448
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.001.212545.32011824874817445432-11551677.5%
Road Games2.561.1022648375209188220316-431781.6%

TEXAS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games93-69-4.472-835.00.2730.3304.40.2500.306
Home Games50-31+038-405.50.2850.3424.60.2590.312
vs Left-handed Starters28-19022-245.50.2820.3404.30.2470.298
Past 7 Games2-5-3.75-24.90.2570.3076.40.2890.349
Grass Games89-64-2.469-775.00.2760.3344.40.2530.308
Night Games67-52-5.849-644.90.2720.3314.40.2520.308
TEXAS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2730.330162559015265342000.04780478110391111314485136106
Home Games5.50.2850.3428127727902871080.044252405205557060387349
Lefty Starters5.50.2820.340471625459156570.042461433342732438283234
TEXAS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.421.187457.31931744065313743921-1443982.7%
Home Games3.561.175255.3111101220318025210-821580.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOE SAUNDERS recent results and season statistics
JOE SAUNDERS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.071.3409-1328174.66.28879195213911211-17-7.210-17
Road Starts2.661.1393-51491.36.5302782822555-9-3.24-10
Last 3 Starts2.911.1081-1321.77.287243092-1+0.70-2
JOE SAUNDERS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012BOSTON6-3-2009WinW7.3338205STEWART(R)
9/25/2012TORONTO0-4-1759Loss,UnderL6.34311002LAFFEY(L)
9/19/2012at SEATTLE3-1+1456.5Win,Under 8115102HERNANDEZ(R)

YU DARVISH recent results and season statistics
YU DARVISH - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.901.28116-929191.36.68983156148922119-10+4.916-13
Home Starts3.881.28410-21492.76.641408093911111-3+6.69-5
Last 3 Starts2.080.8772-0321.77.2551514252-1+1.22-1
YU DARVISH - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012LA ANGELS4-5-1058.5Loss,Over 6.7339117GREINKE(R)
9/20/2012at LA ANGELS3-1+1307.5Win,UnderW8114019GREINKE(R)
9/14/2012SEATTLE9-3-2058.5Win,OverW7112029IWAKUMA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 9-14 (+2.6 Units) against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
13 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)
Games this season
TEXAS is 5-2 (+1.9 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

All games at TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 5-7 (+4.0 Units) against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)
Games played at TEXAS this season.
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/22/2012BALTIMORE3+185 Over60040HUNTER(R)L3882
 TEXAS12-2009.5 unWin144040HOLLAND(L)W7352
8/21/2012BALTIMORE5+170  81130TILLMAN(R)W6.7361
 TEXAS3-1809.5 evUnder72071FELDMAN(R)L5471
8/20/2012BALTIMORE1+160 Under40150GONZALEZ(R)L5483
 TEXAS5-1709.5 evWin100190DEMPSTER(R)W8142
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOE SAUNDERS vs. TEXAS since 1997
SAUNDERS is 3-7 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.48 and a WHIP of 1.491.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-8. (-6.5 units)
JOE SAUNDERS recent starts vs. TEXAS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/23/2010at TEXAS0-1+18210Loss,UnderL7117116WILSON(L)
8/7/2009TEXAS6-11-1259.5Loss,OverL1.7555210FELDMAN(R)
6/30/2009at TEXAS5-9+10010.5Loss,OverL3.7886452FELDMAN(R)

YU DARVISH vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
YU DARVISH recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TEXAS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1013, 1.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (223-201, +18.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (1068-1036, -44.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 53.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (239-206, +11.1 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (768-780, -118.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (128-116, +0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (797-840, -156.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 46.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (139-160, -38.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip )
[LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck )
[P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow )
[DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique )
[RF] 10/02/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out another 3 weeks ( Thumb )
[DH] 09/15/2012 - Wilson Betemit out indefinitely ( Wrist )
[P] 09/26/2012 - Randy Wolf out for season ( Elbow )
[1B] 10/05/2012 - Mark Reynolds probable Friday vs. Texas Rangers ( Toe )
TEXAS
[P] 06/14/2012 - Neftali Feliz 60-day DL (5/21), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 07/23/2012 - Colby Lewis out for season ( Elbow )
[3B] 10/05/2012 - Adrian Beltre probable Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Shoulder )
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