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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:05 PM
BALTIMORE (78-70) AT TORONTO (68-80) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
967: BALTIMORE
968: TORONTO
9.0
+108
78-70
68-80
69-70-9
74-71-3
4.7 / 4.4
4.5 / 4.8
(R) M GONZALEZ
(L) M BUEHRLE
9-7
11-8
4.03
4.18
1.27
1.33
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:   Temperature: °
Humidity:   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMOREGONZALEZ-102 
TORONTOBUEHRLE +102 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games78-70+0.4244-236+33.71268-1489-126.869-70229-2291299-1321
when the total is 9 to 9.537-32-1.2106-101+11.4608-658-32.531-3293-100574-619
on the road with a money line of -100 to -12510-11-2.517-19-4.2104-94-2.79-1217-1896-94
in road games36-37+1.5115-125+23.2596-782-23.436-34114-116664-645
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.514-13+1.647-40+20.2263-312+13.811-1536-46273-270
in September games7-7-2.342-29+22.2192-253-15.45-834-31209-222
when playing on Sunday13-10+0.838-38+2.2180-257-76.211-1140-34218-210
against division opponents29-33-3.9102-109+14.8483-663-95.827-2996-102538-541
in day games23-26-5.476-70+12.6384-476-6928-1975-64420-412
in games played on artificial turf6-9-2.323-28+2.8158-206-23.510-524-25164-178
against left-handed starters24-25-4.472-72+6.3352-462-101.320-2565-73394-385
after a loss41-28+10.6116-115+16.7639-838-127.629-34109-107704-692
when playing against a team with a losing record33-26-0.696-72+18586-531-14.929-2586-73526-535
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season16-12-2.446-32+7.6260-252-36.612-1336-35228-252

TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games68-80-10.6222-250-21.61360-1380-45.774-71235-2211275-1339
when the total is 9 to 9.532-36-6.489-102-11.5582-574+0.437-3098-86551-542
as a home underdog of +100 to +1257-12-4.429-31+0.8111-155-31.76-1228-31126-128
in home games36-38-8.9119-117-13.3738-632-637-35124-104650-650
at home when the total is 9 to 9.524-23-4.458-60-10.5347-260+45.425-2158-55294-276
in September games6-6+0.729-37-3.4231-205+32.95-731-32193-225
when playing on Sunday12-10+3.138-35+6.8223-213+12.312-1037-34198-218
against division opponents24-39-12.486-121-22.7551-590-10.931-31103-94533-552
in day games30-27+3.385-92-2.6487-487-16.726-3086-84443-480
in games played on artificial turf40-44-9.9127-137-22.6845-759-27.842-40137-118754-767
against right-handed starters50-60-7.4161-183-20.11012-1004-12.751-56158-174921-1004
after a win31-36-4.4105-114-10.9671-684-48.634-32105-105608-683
when playing against a team with a winning record48-56-1.8130-170-20641-754-8.947-54141-148661-667
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season15-28-10.661-95-18327-415-13.217-2472-78347-361
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/1/2013CHEN(L)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)7-3W1058.5 ovO12507100
9/2/2013NORRIS(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)7-2W1108 unO1180640
9/3/2013TILLMAN(R)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)3-4L-1208 unU890561
9/4/2013BRITTON(L)@ CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)4-6L1058.5 ovO6401051
9/5/2013GONZALEZ(R)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)3-1W-1608.5 evU730540
9/6/2013FELDMAN(R)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)4-0W-1858 unU940541
9/7/2013CHEN(L)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)4-3W-1708.5 unU13121753
9/8/2013NORRIS(R)CHI WHITE SOXRIENZO(R)2-4L-2059 unU6801071
9/9/2013TILLMAN(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)4-2W-1308.5 unU750531
9/10/2013GONZALEZ(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R)5-7L-1158.5 ovO6411171
9/11/2013FELDMAN(R)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)4-5L-1259 unP1370630
9/12/2013CHEN(L)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)5-6L-1559 unO1061861
9/13/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TORONTOREDMOND(R)5-3W-1159 unU1090730
9/14/2013TILLMAN(R)@ TORONTOROGERS(R)3-4L-1309 unU880621
9/15/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
9/17/2013FELDMAN(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
9/18/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R) 
9/19/2013TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
9/20/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
9/21/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
9/22/2013 @ TAMPA BAY  

TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/1/2013HAPP(L)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)0-5L+1408.5 unU342970
9/2/2013ROGERS(R)@ ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)4-1W1458.5 evU520420
9/3/2013REDMOND(R)@ ARIZONAMILEY(L)10-4W1358.5 ovO1592732
9/4/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ ARIZONADELGADO(R)3-4L1108 unU501960
9/6/2013DICKEY(R)@ MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)6-5W-1207.5 ovO7321062
9/7/2013HAPP(L)@ MINNESOTACORREIA(R)11-2W1008.5 ovO155111130
9/8/2013ROGERS(R)@ MINNESOTAALBERS(L)2-0W1008.5 unU750561
9/10/2013BUEHRLE(L)LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)6-12L-1309 unO9421880
9/11/2013DICKEY(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)4-5L-1058.5 ovO440852
9/12/2013HAPP(L)LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)3-4L+1109 unU1191880
9/13/2013REDMOND(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)3-5L+1059 unU7301090
9/14/2013ROGERS(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)4-3W+1209 unU621880
9/15/2013BUEHRLE(L)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
9/17/2013DICKEY(R)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L) 
9/18/2013HAPP(L)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 
9/19/2013REDMOND(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R) 
9/20/2013ROGERS(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
9/21/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
9/22/2013 @ BOSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games78-70+0.469-704.70.2630.3134.40.2580.317
Road Games36-37+1.536-344.70.2640.3134.30.2660.322
vs Left-handed Starters24-25-4.420-254.20.2590.3034.40.2610.315
Past 7 Games2-5-5.32-44.00.2530.3064.40.2260.263
Turf Games3-6-3.26-35.30.2850.3306.70.3000.356
Day Games23-26-5.428-194.90.2780.3254.40.2570.317
Division29-33-3.927-294.50.2560.3034.80.2620.322
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2630.313148511813454841980.046693731015769581134314956
Road Games4.70.2640.313732594686247930.043291835204148363216332
Lefty Starters4.20.2590.303491717445155530.032021083611732936134223
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.621.2264551941834235413540324-23502170.4%
Road Games3.921.270213.410093208266319411-12241168.6%

TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games68-80-10.674-714.50.2510.3144.80.2600.322
Home Games36-38-8.937-354.70.2550.3245.10.2600.320
vs Right-handed Starters50-60-7.551-564.30.2440.3124.60.2600.319
Past 7 Games3-4-1.23-44.70.2500.2924.40.2730.335
Turf Games36-38-8.937-354.70.2550.3245.10.2600.320
Day Games30-27+3.326-304.50.2510.3184.30.2420.302
Division24-39-12.531-314.20.2490.3124.90.2650.330
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2510.314148505312674471730.03621468100710495214910512884
Home Games4.70.2550.324742481632244860.033272534925348273555545
Righty Starters4.30.2440.31211037459153241300.03449366769687141127510165
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.411.261506.72201924515718846227-30351866%
Home Games4.161.295264132122247419525414-1513959.1%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent results and season statistics
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games4.001.2689-727153-76681472247111---
All Starts4.031.2729-725151.76.17668146224711113-12-1.112-11
Road Starts4.211.2863-513775.9373672727544-9-5.86-6
Last 3 Starts5.821.1761-13175.711111644121-2-1.22-1
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/10/2013NY YANKEES5-7-1158.5Loss,Over 6336206NOVA(R)
9/5/2013CHI WHITE SOX3-1-1608.5Win,UnderW7114016QUINTANA(L)
8/30/2013at NY YANKEES5-8+1158.5Loss,OverL4776230SABATHIA(L)

MARK BUEHRLE recent results and season statistics
MARK BUEHRLE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.181.33111-830189.36.39388204234812918-12+88-20
Home Starts3.351.3148-31596.76.4383610212256911-4+7.24-10
Last 3 Starts5.191.4431-1317.35.811102134111-2-1.21-2
MARK BUEHRLE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/10/2013LA ANGELS6-12-1309Loss,OverL48812312WILLIAMS(R)
9/4/2013at ARIZONA3-4+1108Loss,Under 6.3325024DELGADO(R)
8/30/2013KANSAS CITY3-2+1108.5Win,UnderW7004015SANTANA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 27-24 (+0.8 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
30 of 49 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+10.3 Units)
Games this season
TORONTO is 8-7 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.2 Units)

All games at TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 17-10 (+4.0 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
16 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.7 Units)
Games played at TORONTO this season.
TORONTO is 6-3 (+2.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/14/2013BALTIMORE3-130 Under81180TILLMAN(R)L8462
 TORONTO4+1209 unWin61021ROGERS(R) 6352
9/13/2013BALTIMORE5-115  101090HAMMEL(R) 5331
 TORONTO3+1059 unUnder72030REDMOND(R) 6.3130
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.052.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/22/2013at TORONTO2-4-1159.5Loss,UnderL7.3333135WANG(R)
5/26/2013at TORONTO5-6-1109.5Loss,Over 5.7114037JENKINS(R)
4/23/2013TORONTO4-3+1057.5Win,UnderW6335134DICKEY(R)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUEHRLE is 7-6 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.209.
His team's record is 10-7 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-0.8 units)
MARK BUEHRLE recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/12/2013at BALTIMORE5-8+1259Loss,OverL6889304TILLMAN(R)
8/11/2011at BALTIMORE6-3-1158.5Win,OverW8336106TILLMAN(R)
5/2/2011BALTIMORE6-2-1058.5Win,UnderW6.7008044GUTHRIE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TORONTO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1075, 4.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (217-196, +6.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (1109-1092, -88.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (200-205, -35.5 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (834-843, -124.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (154-143, -6.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (908-818, -21.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 54.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (163-138, +7.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 09/12/2013 - Bud Norris out indefinitely ( Elbow )
[1B] 08/31/2013 - Steve Pearce 15-day DL (8/28) ( Wrist )
[LF] 07/19/2013 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (7/14) ( Neck )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/06/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (6/6) ( Oblique )
TORONTO
[RF] 09/04/2013 - Jose Bautista 15-day DL (8/20); out for season ( Hip )
[3B] 08/22/2013 - Maicer Izturis 60-day DL (8/20), out for season ( Ankle )
[P] 08/14/2013 - Juan Perez 60-day DL (8/10) ( Elbow )
[P] 08/13/2013 - Josh Johnson 15-day DL (8/7) ( Forearm )
[LF] 08/02/2013 - Melky Cabrera 15-day DL (8/1) ( Knee )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Kyle Drabek 60-day DL (2/25) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/02/2013 - Ramon Ortiz 60-day DL (6/3) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/28/2013 - Brandon Morrow 60-day DL (5/29), out for season ( Forearm )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Luis Perez 60-day DL (2/23) ( Elbow )
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