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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:05 PM
BOSTON (20-9) AT TEXAS (18-11) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
977: BOSTON
978: TEXAS
9.0
-132
20-9
18-11
16-12-1
9-18-2
5.1 / 3.7
4.4 / 3.2
(R) J LACKEY
(R) A OGANDO
1-1
2-2
2.61
3.38
1.26
1.25
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: A Few Clouds   Temperature: 65.0 °
Humidity: 34   Wind: from the North at 15.0 gusting to 26.5 MPH (13 gusting to 23
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONLACKEY +234 
TEXASOGANDO-234
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after getting shut out2-0+2.214-5+8.961-43+4.92-012-747-56
after a loss6-1+5.282-94-37.5661-536-18.45-287-80525-603
when playing against a team with a winning record3-4-2.288-93-15.9641-629-614-387-85574-637
in all games20-9+9.8181-174-39.61492-1202-46.816-12176-1621252-1306
when the total is 9 to 9.55-4+0.466-77-34.4546-487-643-575-61488-494
as a road underdog of +100 to +1254-2+2.421-21+2.5142-155+4.84-214-27132-158
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-1+0.311-11+3.695-106+20.81-113-983-109
in road games9-4+5.689-86-4.6697-647-16.89-480-88609-672
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.51-2-126-29-6.8261-273-391-228-24240-261
in May games2-1+136-25+2.4260-189+27.91-233-26222-205
when playing on Saturday3-1+230-27-3230-207-29.81-331-24222-196
in games played on a grass field16-7+7.5159-154-421315-1027-14.812-10153-1431071-1145
in night games11-7+3.2119-126-42.31023-816-3513-4122-109862-886
against right-handed starters13-6+5.8116-123-44.71079-831+6.712-6123-105884-924

TEXAS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in games played on a grass field18-11+3.9208-143+13.91243-1191-5.39-18168-1671153-1166
in night games15-5+8.6161-105+16.41010-939+9.56-12122-129913-943
against right-handed starters10-6+2.2154-104+15.7984-910+31.85-9121-123897-912
after shutting out their opponent4-0+419-15064-68-10.91-317-1463-62
after a win9-8-1.1117-100-22.3689-657-27.15-11102-102640-645
when playing against a team with a winning record2-0+294-77+3.8611-700-13.90-282-82597-656
in all games18-11+3.9218-153+12.61352-1308-12.79-18175-1791250-1286
when the total is 9 to 9.55-0+580-54-1.4372-376-0.21-365-60333-370
as a home favorite of -125 to -1504-1+2.729-17+5.3197-139+4.72-223-21162-158
in home games9-4+3.8118-66+14.1746-581+30.44-897-81641-622
at home when the total is 9 to 9.55-0+556-36-3.8163-112+16.71-346-42126-135
in May games1-2-1.728-31-13.7234-211+4.10-334-24192-229
when playing on Saturday2-2-0.734-27-4.8202-225-46.22-231-29202-204
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/20/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)4-3W-1358 unU7611071
4/21/2013DEMPSTER(R)KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)2-4L-1508 unU870850
4/21/2013WEBSTER(R)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)4-5L-1508 unO1091970
4/22/2013DOUBRONT(L)OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)9-6W-1308 unO980582
4/23/2013ACEVES(R)OAKLANDCOLON(R)0-13L-1158.5 evO3421380
4/24/2013LESTER(L)OAKLANDANDERSON(L)6-5W-1558 ovO1090980
4/25/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)HOUSTONHUMBER(R)7-2W-2859 ovP1170751
4/26/2013DEMPSTER(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L)7-3W-2508.5 evO1782780
4/27/2013DOUBRONT(L)HOUSTONPEACOCK(R)8-4W-2659.5 unO121115101
4/28/2013LACKEY(R)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)6-1W-2059.5 unU1161792
4/30/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)7-9L-1158.5 ovO961941
5/1/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)10-1W-1259 ovO1580461
5/2/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)3-1W-1158.5 evU6120782
5/3/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)0-7L1209 unU65218120
5/4/2013LACKEY(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R) 
5/5/2013LESTER(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R) 
5/6/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/7/2013DEMPSTER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/8/2013DOUBRONT(L)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L) 
5/9/2013LACKEY(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R) 
5/10/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOMORROW(R) 
5/11/2013 TORONTO  

TEXAS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/20/2013TEPESCH(R)SEATTLEMAURER(R)5-0W-1709.5 unU540580
4/21/2013GRIMM(R)SEATTLEHARANG(R)11-3W-1559.5 unO1161891
4/22/2013HOLLAND(L)@ LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)7-6W1058 evO1580972
4/23/2013OGANDO(R)@ LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)4-5L-1058 unO8911061
4/24/2013DARVISH(R)@ LA ANGELSROTH(L)11-3W-1457.5 unO1160960
4/25/2013TEPESCH(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)2-1W-1058.5 unU1090860
4/26/2013GRIMM(R)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)4-3W-1158.5 unU1372851
4/27/2013HOLLAND(L)@ MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)2-7L-1358.5 ovO871940
4/28/2013OGANDO(R)@ MINNESOTACORREIA(R)0-5L-1208.5 ovU770940
4/30/2013DARVISH(R)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)10-6W-1908 ovO12501082
5/1/2013TEPESCH(R)CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L)2-5L-1158.5 ovU990830
5/2/2013GRIMM(R)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)1-3L-1558.5 unU380890
5/3/2013HOLLAND(L)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)7-0W-1309 unU18120652
5/4/2013OGANDO(R)BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
5/5/2013DARVISH(R)BOSTONLESTER(L) 
5/6/2013TEPESCH(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R) 
5/7/2013GRIMM(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
5/8/2013HOLLAND(L)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
5/10/2013OGANDO(R)@ HOUSTONHARRELL(R) 
5/11/2013 @ HOUSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games20-9+9.816-125.10.2710.3453.70.2310.310
Road Games9-4+5.69-45.80.2810.3623.50.2500.317
vs Right-handed Starters13-6+5.812-65.60.2720.3484.00.2260.304
Past 7 Games5-2+2.84-35.90.3110.3873.70.2470.328
Grass Games16-7+7.512-104.70.2700.3393.70.2280.311
Night Games11-7+3.213-45.30.2820.3584.60.2470.333
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2710.34529983266104310.031451122512221325132620
Road Games5.80.2810.3621346613147170.04735911812109143116
Righty Starters5.60.2720.3481964617671200.0310575174161391391514
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.061.317823737711137943-49564.3%
Road Games3.151.22540141433516431-15271.4%

TEXAS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games18-11+3.99-184.40.2650.3283.20.2340.289
Home Games9-4+3.84-85.20.2780.3512.80.2220.293
vs Right-handed Starters10-6+2.25-94.40.2570.3113.40.2400.301
Past 7 Games3-4-2.22-53.70.2900.3474.10.2480.287
Grass Games18-11+3.99-184.40.2650.3283.20.2340.289
Night Games15-5+8.66-124.90.2770.3422.80.2220.279
TEXAS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2650.3282998026084320.0311892172132003311278
Home Games5.20.2780.3511343112042210.05654875795125124
Righty Starters4.40.2570.3111653413744200.046642926100155133
TEXAS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.901.21580.7272679719645-190100%
Home Games1.930.96437.39825411272-030100%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.611.2581-1210.35.2331013121-100-2
Road Starts4.161.3860-114.34.32251180-1-10-1
Last 3 Starts2.611.2581-1210.35.2331013121-100-2
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/28/2013HOUSTON6-1-2059.5Win,UnderW6115024NORRIS(R)
4/6/2013at TORONTO0-5+1309Loss,UnderL4.3225118HAPP(L)
9/25/2011at NY YANKEES7-4+12510Win,Over 6435034NOVA(R)

ALEXI OGANDO recent results and season statistics
ALEXI OGANDO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.381.2502-26325.3141228412273-3-0.61-4
Home Starts1.691.1261-015.35.31130321-0+10-0
Last 3 Starts5.871.5000-2315.35.112101647100-3-3.61-2
ALEXI OGANDO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/28/2013at MINNESOTA0-5-1208.5Loss,UnderL6334123CORREIA(R)
4/23/2013at LA ANGELS4-5-1058Loss,Over 7426135VARGAS(L)
4/18/2013at CHICAGO CUBS2-6-13510.5Loss,UnderL2.3556222VILLANUEVA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 13-6 (+6.0 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)
Games this season
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

All games at TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 7-4 (+2.3 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)
Games played at TEXAS this season.
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/3/2013BOSTON0+120 Under60052DOUBRONT(L)L3.76121
 TEXAS7-1309 unWin1800120HOLLAND(L)W8061
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOHN LACKEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
LACKEY is 12-14 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.16 and a WHIP of 1.605.
His team's record is 18-18 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-20. (-6.3 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. TEXAS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/4/2011TEXAS4-11-12010.5Loss,OverL5668031HARRISON(L)
8/23/2011at TEXAS11-5+13010Win,OverW6.7447135LEWIS(R)
4/2/2011at TEXAS5-12-1109.5Loss,OverL3.79910223LEWIS(R)

ALEXI OGANDO vs. BOSTON since 1997
OGANDO is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 13.50 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
ALEXI OGANDO recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/25/2011BOSTON0-6-15010Loss,UnderL4666415MILLER(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1064, -132.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-129, +17.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (1075-1055, -59.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 51.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (164-155, -6.9 units)
Edge=TEXAS
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (890-826, -53.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (115-83, +21.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (813-850, -152.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 53.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (121-106, +3.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
TEXAS
[P] 04/10/2013 - Matt Harrison 15-day DL (4/7) ( Back )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Colby Lewis 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Joakim Soria 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Martin Perez 15-day DL (3/22) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Neftali Feliz 60-day DL (3/24) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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