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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:10 PM
CINCINNATI (15-17) AT BOSTON (16-17) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
975: CINCINNATI
976: BOSTON
8.5
-157
15-17
16-17
14-17-1
12-20-1
3.8 / 3.3
4.2 / 4.3
(R) M LEAKE
(R) J PEAVY
2-3
1-1
3.53
2.87
1.04
1.35
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILEAKE +136 
BOSTONPEAVY-136 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games16-17-2.6205-158+7.21377-1424-33.714-18155-1871308-1339
when the total is 8 to 8.50-1-180-64-8420-449-28.80-160-73411-425
as a road underdog of +150 to +1750-002-3+0.280-116+10.80-01-483-103
in road games8-10-2.498-85+5.5664-736+53.37-1077-97625-700
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.50-1-127-22+1.3194-219+11.70-117-30173-224
in May games3-2+0.839-21+15.6248-239+4.62-328-30230-234
when playing on Wednesday4-1+2.836-21+9.2204-228-201-421-33197-212
in an inter-league game1-3-219-20-3.4116-143-25.21-315-24118-135
in games played on a grass field16-17-2.6205-158+7.21146-1210-2414-18155-1871088-1134
in night games7-10-4123-103-5888-920-28.28-894-119845-871
against right-handed starters13-13-1.4142-109+0.8992-1026-17.511-14110-125952-950
after a loss9-6+395-59+24.7704-708+20.26-869-80681-660
when playing against a team with a losing record8-7-0.7115-73+10719-633-11.56-880-99632-642

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games16-18-6.7193-181-201596-1281-38.913-20172-1841330-1401
when the total is 8 to 8.56-11-8.265-58-2.1309-219+19.26-1153-69252-267
as a home favorite of -150 to -1753-3-1.623-20-8.9207-148-32.93-319-23171-173
in home games9-12-7102-89-17.7851-591-25.310-1090-89683-680
at home when the total is 8 to 8.54-6-4.530-24-1.5129-82-4.65-524-30105-103
in May games3-3-0.733-32-8.5276-206+211-431-31235-222
when playing on Wednesday4-0+430-27-0.7245-198-201-329-24220-204
in an inter-league game1-3-3.830-18+6.1188-133+18.91-320-25141-162
in games played on a grass field14-17-7.6169-164-29.71409-1099-10.712-18153-1621142-1230
in night games12-10-0.4135-132-20.51101-874-26.110-12131-122925-952
against right-handed starters8-14-9.2124-129-27.21147-887+88-14118-124938-988
after a win5-12-9.696-96-17.7877-715-439-792-93770-750
when playing against a team with a losing record3-8-773-57-2.7792-535+0.76-559-62631-623
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/23/2014SIMON(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)5-2W1157.5 unU6716103
4/24/2014CINGRANI(L)@ PITTSBURGHCUMPTON(R)2-1W1007 unU560780
4/25/2014BAILEY(R)@ ATLANTASANTANA(R)4-5L1207 evO11701040
4/26/2014LEAKE(R)@ ATLANTAHALE(R)1-4L1157.5 unU230840
4/27/2014CUETO(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)0-1L-1056.5 ovU560790
4/29/2014SIMON(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)3-2W-1307.5 unU11110880
4/30/2014CINGRANI(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)4-9L-1807.5 unO75213110
5/1/2014BAILEY(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)8-3W-1157 evO12120850
5/2/2014LEAKE(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)0-2L-1207.5 unU351751
5/3/2014CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)6-2W-1457 unO1180321
5/4/2014SIMON(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-3W-1057.5 unU1180640
5/6/2014BAILEY(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)3-4L1158.5 unU1010011131
5/7/2014LEAKE(R)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R) 
5/9/2014CUETO(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R) 
5/10/2014SIMON(R)COLORADOLYLES(R) 
5/11/2014BAILEY(R)COLORADONICASIO(R) 
5/13/2014LEAKE(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
5/14/2014 SAN DIEGO  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/23/2014LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESPINEDA(R)5-1W-1109 unU1090873
4/24/2014DOUBRONT(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-14L-1208.5 evO48514151
4/25/2014PEAVY(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)8-1W1009.5 unU16120661
4/26/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)7-6W1009 unO54013110
4/27/2014LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)1-7L-1108.5 unU661920
4/29/2014LACKEY(R)TAMPA BAYBEDARD(L)7-4W-1658.5 unO13101860
5/1/2014PEAVY(R)TAMPA BAYRAMOS(L)1-2L-1559 evU6110461
5/1/2014DOUBRONT(L)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)5-6L-1109 ovO61011050
5/2/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)7-1W-1159.5 evU11101581
5/3/2014LESTER(L)OAKLANDMILONE(L)6-3W-1359 unP642440
5/4/2014LACKEY(R)OAKLANDGRAY(R)2-3L+1008.5 ovU950892
5/6/2014DOUBRONT(L)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)4-3W-1258.5 unU1113110100
5/7/2014PEAVY(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
5/9/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R) 
5/10/2014LESTER(L)@ TEXASPEREZ(L) 
5/11/2014LACKEY(R)@ TEXASROSS(L) 
5/13/2014DOUBRONT(L)@ MINNESOTANOLASCO(R) 
5/14/2014 @ MINNESOTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games15-17-3.614-173.80.2520.3173.30.2260.295
Road Games7-10-3.47-93.50.2490.3073.40.2390.312
vs Right-handed Starters12-13-2.411-133.60.2510.3143.30.2240.292
Past 7 Games4-303-44.00.2670.3383.60.2290.295
Grass Games15-17-3.614-173.80.2520.3173.30.2260.295
Night Games7-10-48-83.90.2520.3213.90.2400.305
Interleague1-3-21-34.00.2300.3112.70.2070.306
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2520.31732108027287270.021161032393024022122411
Road Games3.50.2490.307175871464160.01554913418126127146
Righty Starters3.60.2510.3142583821065180.028377187261871812229
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.211.52772.7363473838622-76460%
Road Games4.741.63238202044418300-54357.1%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games16-17-5.412-204.20.2450.3314.30.2570.316
Home Games9-11-5.89-104.40.2580.3444.90.2660.335
vs Right-handed Starters8-13-87-143.60.2360.3104.20.2710.322
Past 7 Games4-3+0.32-44.60.2590.3703.10.2030.281
Grass Games14-16-6.411-184.00.2430.3284.30.2560.316
Night Games12-9+0.89-124.70.2590.3454.30.2620.317
Interleague1-3-3.81-33.00.2180.2905.00.2960.339
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2450.33133112327598270.021281442741125939262720
Home Games4.40.2580.3442067517463140.028189165515527201916
Righty Starters3.60.2360.3102171516956170.027076171815921161712
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.231.3201034137101535955-59375%
Home Games3.821.38770.7323070228604-44266.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.531.0392-3743.3-1717376825---
All Starts3.531.0382-3643.37.217173768252-4-22-3
Road Starts3.771.0461-2428.77.212122565121-3-1.81-2
Last 3 Starts4.091.1820-23227.310102343110-3-3.21-2
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/2/2014MILWAUKEE0-2-1207.5Loss,UnderL8227025PERALTA(R)
4/26/2014at ATLANTA1-4+1157.5Loss,UnderL7448304HALE(R)
4/21/2014at PITTSBURGH5-6+1307Loss,Over 7448112LIRIANO(L)

JAKE PEAVY recent results and season statistics
JAKE PEAVY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.871.3541-1637.76.3121230621363-3-1.31-5
Home Starts3.651.5000-1424.76.2101022415212-2-11-3
Last 3 Starts3.791.5261-13196.38818311162-1+0.41-2
JAKE PEAVY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2014TAMPA BAY1-2-1559Loss,UnderL6.3223154RAMOS(L)
4/25/2014at TORONTO8-1+1009.5Win,UnderW7115127BUEHRLE(L)
4/20/2014BALTIMORE6-5-1558Win,Over 5.75510145JIMENEZ(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/6/2014CINCINNATI3+115 Under1000100BAILEY(R) 6355
 BOSTON4-1258.5 unWin1101131DOUBRONT(L) 5.3153
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE LEAKE vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

JAKE PEAVY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PEAVY is 6-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.037.
His team's record is 9-1 (+7.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.8 units)
JAKE PEAVY recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/17/2009CINCINNATI3-1-1657Win,UnderW9114108ARROYO(R)
7/22/2008at CINCINNATI3-4-1158Loss,Under 6337035CUETO(R)
8/12/2007at CINCINNATI10-4-1558.5Win,OverW6.7427115ARROYO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1143, -98.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (162-141, +5.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1140-1144, -148.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (162-151, -10.0 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (906-832, -40.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (133-123, -7.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (972-905, -60.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 55.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-124, +12.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[C] 05/07/2014 - Brayan Pena "?" Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hamstring )
[CF] 05/06/2014 - Billy Hamilton "?" Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hand )
[RF] 05/05/2014 - Jay Bruce out a month ( Knee )
[P] 05/02/2014 - Tony Cingrani 15-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder )
[C] 04/27/2014 - Devin Mesoraco 15-day DL (4/26) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/09/2014 - Trevor Bell 15-day DL (4/08) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2014 - Brett Marshall 60-day DL (3/30) ( Finger )
[P] 03/31/2014 - Aroldis Chapman 15-day DL (3/21) ( Concussion )
[3B] 03/28/2014 - Jack Hannahan 60-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Mat Latos 15-day DL (3/21) ( Knee )
BOSTON
[P] 04/09/2014 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (3/21) ( Hernia )
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