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Page last updated on Fri Sep 21 13:00:05 EDT 2018
Matchup Reports

Friday at 8:05 PM
CINCINNATI (63-84) AT CHICAGO CUBS (85-61) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
901: CINCINNATI
902: CHICAGO CUBS
8.5
-197
63-84
85-61
76-66-5
65-78-3
4.5 / 5.2
4.7 / 4.0
(R) M HARVEY
(L) C HAMELS
7-8
9-9
4.61
3.71
1.28
1.27
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIHARVEY +233 
CHICAGO CUBSHAMELS-233 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games63-84-8199-271-28.31697-1861-10976-66246-2041692-1682
when the total is 8 to 8.521-22+4.664-86-5.1515-580-49.826-1690-56538-519
as a road underdog of +175 to +2506-13-1.918-46-10.772-150-8.38-1136-2699-113
in road games27-44-5.686-146-22.5804-972-1.534-35118-104811-877
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.511-15+0.134-54-7.2243-290+4.214-1150-34234-279
in September games6-6+1.228-39-4.5276-294-7.96-530-36247-281
when playing on Friday11-12+133-42-3.2273-289-9.510-1233-38257-271
when playing with a day off11-6+7.427-23+9.9184-208-18.25-1223-25181-191
against division opponents23-44-16.193-126-6.9814-849-9.333-32118-91799-770
in night games38-50-4122-175-27.11091-1210-87.442-43151-1321093-1096
against left-handed starters21-20+744-69-11.5456-509-42.623-1758-50454-466
after a loss34-50-8.9110-160-20.5884-959-19.547-34146-113902-855
when playing against a team with a winning record40-50+1.3103-158-19.1753-964-57.349-37144-105812-814
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season21-23+5.856-77+4.4355-493-42.326-1772-58398-401

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games85-61+1.9295-201-4.91780-1823-265.465-78225-2501683-1764
when the total is 8 to 8.534-30-7.2103-79-17.1585-595-87.125-3981-98578-572
as a home favorite of -175 to -25017-7+3.471-31+7.2188-107-28.810-1349-49140-147
in home games45-26+3.7157-89+2.6951-849-155.331-39108-129848-884
at home when the total is 8 to 8.514-10-2.450-31-5.2278-246-43.57-1733-47243-265
in September games6-6-1.642-25+4.8294-280-16.76-631-36256-295
when playing on Friday14-9+1.348-30+4.5276-296-50.89-1332-43274-266
against division opponents35-31-4.6131-86+1.2842-826-104.627-38107-105792-805
in night games43-35-3.1170-109+18.2872-913-98.733-44122-146823-877
against right-handed starters66-49+0.1222-151-6.51316-1358-204.550-62171-1881247-1315
after a win46-40-10.6167-128-26.7867-910-205.136-48134-149831-865
when playing against a team with a losing record35-20+2.9134-80-6.7866-796-153.727-25102-100765-823
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season19-9+4.479-40+5.8494-409-38.713-1358-53431-435
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/31/2018BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISGOMBER(L)5-12L1759 unO141211490
9/1/2018CASTILLO(R)@ ST LOUISPONCEDELEON(R)4-0W1158.5 ovU1050260
9/2/2018DESCLAFANI(R)@ ST LOUISWEAVER(R)6-4W1408.5 ovO7909130
9/3/2018HARVEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS(R)1-5L1258.5 ovU761941
9/4/2018REED(L)@ PITTSBURGHMUSGROVE(R)3-7L1258 evO6501251
9/5/2018BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHTAILLON(R)2-3L1828.5 ovU11110650
9/6/2018CASTILLO(R)SAN DIEGOLAUER(L)2-6L-1558.5 ovU551950
9/7/2018DESCLAFANI(R)SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)12-6W-1459 ovO11401120
9/8/2018HARVEY(R)SAN DIEGOERLIN(L)7-2W-1208.5 unO820560
9/9/2018MAHLE(R)SAN DIEGONIX(R)6-7L-1359 ovO9601091
9/10/2018REED(L)LA DODGERSWOOD(L)10-6W+1909 evO1481991
9/11/2018CASTILLO(R)LA DODGERSRYU(L)3-1W+1658.5 evU1080550
9/12/2018DESCLAFANI(R)LA DODGERSSTRIPLING(R)1-8L+1809 unP54111110
9/14/2018HARVEY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSHAMELS(L) 
9/15/2018REED(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L) 
9/16/2018CASTILLO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSQUINTANA(L) 
9/17/2018DESCLAFANI(R)@ MILWAUKEEMILEY(L) 
9/18/2018MAHLE(R)@ MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R) 
9/19/2018HARVEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEGONZALEZ(L) 
9/20/2018REED(L)@ MIAMIALCANTARA(R) 
9/21/2018 @ MIAMI  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/31/2018QUINTANA(L)@ PHILADELPHIAPIVETTA(R)1-2L1108.5 evU9100531
9/1/2018HENDRICKS(R)@ PHILADELPHIAEFLIN(R)7-1W-1259 ovU1150662
9/2/2018LESTER(L)@ PHILADELPHIANOLA(R)8-1W1158 ovO9401080
9/3/2018HAMELS(L)@ MILWAUKEEDAVIES(R)3-4L-1208.5 ovU650781
9/4/2018MONTGOMERY(L)@ MILWAUKEEMILEY(L)1-11L-1059 ovO56310111
9/5/2018QUINTANA(L)@ MILWAUKEECHACIN(R)6-4W1059 unO1330873
9/6/2018HENDRICKS(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)6-4W1008.5 ovO111111181
9/8/2018GARCIA(L)@ WASHINGTONSCHERZER(R)3-10L1808 unO963670
9/8/2018HAMELS(L)@ WASHINGTONRODRIGUEZ(R)5-6L-1659 ovO650770
9/10/2018LESTER(L)MILWAUKEEMILEY(L)2-3L-1358 ovU5601191
9/11/2018QUINTANA(L)MILWAUKEECHACIN(R)3-0W-1208.5 ovU330352
9/12/2018HENDRICKS(R)MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R)1-5L-1558.5 unU67211111
9/13/2018MONTGOMERY(L)@ WASHINGTONROSS(R)4-3W-1209.5 unU1080791
9/14/2018HAMELS(L)CINCINNATIHARVEY(R) 
9/15/2018LESTER(L)CINCINNATIREED(L) 
9/16/2018QUINTANA(L)CINCINNATICASTILLO(R) 
9/17/2018HENDRICKS(R)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L) 
9/18/2018MONTGOMERY(L)@ ARIZONABUCHHOLZ(R) 
9/19/2018HAMELS(L)@ ARIZONARAY(L) 
9/21/2018 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games63-84-876-664.50.2590.3280.4030.7315.20.2680.3330.4410.775
Road Games27-44-5.634-354.20.2590.3200.3870.7075.20.2760.3420.4430.784
vs Left-handed Starters21-20+723-174.80.2680.3310.4300.7614.90.2660.3270.4250.752
Past 7 Games4-3+1.64-25.90.2730.3290.4540.7835.10.2540.3280.4660.794
Grass Games63-84-876-664.50.2590.3280.4030.7315.20.2680.3330.4410.775
Night Games38-50-442-434.70.2630.3310.4100.7415.40.2690.3330.4330.766
Division23-44-16.133-324.10.2430.3190.3680.6875.30.2750.3440.4560.800
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2590.32814750421305221211540.40363951912375610781358412970
Road Games4.20.2590.32071246964010010650.3872832205513252076426331
Lefty Starters4.80.2680.331411397374626510.4301891323191627641264315
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.201.401552.32852585407123448825-22341470.8%
Road Games4.121.4262511281152442711422011-816672.7%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games85-61+1.865-784.70.2610.3300.4090.7394.00.2400.3190.3680.687
Home Games45-26+3.731-394.90.2670.3390.4160.7554.40.2490.3290.3870.716
vs Right-handed Starters66-49+0.150-624.60.2610.3320.4090.7413.90.2350.3140.3660.680
Past 7 Games3-4-2.63-43.40.2160.2820.2940.5764.40.2370.3310.3520.683
Grass Games85-61+1.865-784.70.2610.3300.4090.7394.00.2400.3190.3680.687
Night Games43-35-3.133-444.40.2530.3180.3890.7073.50.2400.3170.3560.673
Division35-31-4.627-384.30.2570.3270.3990.7263.80.2330.3110.3580.668
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2610.33014650601320243311480.40966052612465711101219113871
Home Games4.90.2670.33971233762510717690.4163362535623051651425535
Righty Starters4.60.2610.33211539861041177241220.40950642097243901956911155
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.351.295537.62192004474824951633-17431771.7%
Home Games3.911.357255.61211112312811623721-423971.9%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MATT HARVEY recent results and season statistics
MATT HARVEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.611.2817-825132.75.37068141222911113-12+5.212-13
Road Starts4.971.4632-613675.2393784814435-8-0.56-7
Last 3 Starts5.621.5621-13165.310102243191-2-12-1
MATT HARVEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/8/2018SAN DIEGO7-2-1208.5Win,OverW62241310ERLIN(L)
9/3/2018at PITTSBURGH1-5+1258.5Loss,UnderL6337203WILLIAMS(R)
8/29/2018MILWAUKEE12-13+1309Loss,Over 45511106PERALTA(R)

COLE HAMELS recent results and season statistics
COLE HAMELS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.711.2739-9281655.97968151245916213-15-2.58-18
Home Starts4.951.3502-713806.24744821626775-8-4.15-7
Last 3 Starts2.701.2600-0316.75.6551219181-2-1.81-2
COLE HAMELS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/8/2018at WASHINGTON5-6-1659Loss,Over 5.7333155RODRIGUEZ(R)
9/3/2018at MILWAUKEE3-4-1208.5Loss,Under 6225015DAVIES(R)
8/28/2018NY METS2-1-1159Win,Under 5004038DEGROM(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 36-18 (+6.1 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
34 of 51 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+15.6 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 7-9 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 20-6 (+7.7 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
17 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.3 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-1 (+4.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/26/2018CINCINNATI0+230 Under30031BAILEY(R)L5380
 CHICAGO CUBS9-26010 ovWin132060HENDRICKS(R)W7021
8/25/2018CINCINNATI6+160 Over122072CASTILLO(R)L3.3551
 CHICAGO CUBS10-17010 ovWin1230100QUINTANA(L)W5263
8/24/2018CINCINNATI2+180 Under41050HARVEY(R) 5.3151
 CHICAGO CUBS3-19011.5 unWin72041MILLS(R) 5.7131
8/23/2018CINCINNATI1+182 Under80251DESCLAFANI(R)L6481
 CHICAGO CUBS7-1959 evWin122270HAMELS(L)W9182
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MATT HARVEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HARVEY is 3-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.166.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)
MATT HARVEY recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/24/2018at CHICAGO CUBS2-3+18011.5Loss,Under 5.3115016MILLS(R)
7/7/2018at CHICAGO CUBS7-8+1209.5Loss,Over 5.7329014CHATWOOD(R)
6/21/2018CHICAGO CUBS6-2+1659.5Win,UnderW6225016HENDRICKS(R)

COLE HAMELS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAMELS is 12-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.72 and a WHIP of 0.972.
His team's record is 16-1 (+15.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-8. (-0.6 units)
COLE HAMELS recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2018CINCINNATI7-1-1959Win,UnderW9118027DESCLAFANI(R)
6/22/2016CINCINNATI6-4-2209.5Win,OverW6115028STRAILY(R)
6/8/2015at CINCINNATI4-6-1057Loss,OverL6558127LEAKE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50% of the time since 1997. (1489-1487, -145.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 46.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (196-225, -55.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (1563-1430, +11.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (235-212, +14.8 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1241-1167, -90.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (200-205, -31.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (1371-1295, -116.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (233-211, -7.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 08/30/2018 - Robert Stephenson 10-day DL (08/27) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 07/26/2018 - Jesse Winker 60-day DL (07/26) ( Shoulder )
[C] 07/25/2018 - Tyler Stephenson 10-day DL (07/23) ( Knee )
[2B] 07/21/2018 - Alex Blandino 60-day DL (07/21) ( Knee )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
CHICAGO CUBS
[LF] 09/13/2018 - Kyle Schwarber is "?" Friday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Back )
[P] 09/11/2018 - Jon Lester is upgraded to probable for next scheduled start ( Back )
[RF] 09/06/2018 - Mark Zagunis 60-day DL (09/04) ( Shoulder )
[RF] 09/01/2018 - Jason Heyward 10-day DL (08/31) ( Abdominal )
[C] 08/30/2018 - Bobby Wilson 10-day DL (08/24) ( Ankle )
[P] 07/21/2018 - Anthony Bass 10-day DL (07/21) ( Back )
[P] 07/19/2018 - Brandon Morrow 10-day DL (07/18) ( Biceps )
[P] 06/27/2018 - Justin Hancock 60-day DL (06/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/24/2018 - Rob Zastryzny 10-day DL (06/24) ( Back )
[P] 05/26/2018 - Yu Darvish 60-day DL (05/23) ( Triceps )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Drew Smyly 60-day DL (02/16) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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UPDATED:
FOOTBALL: 8/2/2018 - 10/29/2018
BASEBALL 8/5/2018 - 9/30/2018
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