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Page last updated on Sun Apr 22 17:20:19 EDT 2018
Matchup Reports

Monday at 7:40 PM
CINCINNATI (2-13) AT MILWAUKEE (8-8) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
0: CINCINNATI
0: MILWAUKEE
OFF
OFF
2-13
8-8
6-9-0
7-9-0
2.9 / 6.1
3.5 / 4.3
(R) L CASTILLO
(L) B SUTER
0-2
1-1
7.31
4.70
1.31
1.44
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATICASTILLO +127 
MILWAUKEESUTER-127 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games2-13-10.7138-200-31.11636-1790-111.76-9176-1471622-1625
when the total is 8 to 8.51-4-2.944-68-12.5495-562-57.33-267-42515-505
on the road when the money line is +125 to -1251-3-222-32-8.6397-407+2.23-128-25364-395
in road games1-6-560-108-21.9778-934-0.93-487-73780-846
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.50-2-2.223-41-9.5232-277+1.91-137-24221-269
in April games2-11-8.722-39-12.4251-271-10.75-832-25258-239
when playing on Monday1-1+0.316-25-6.2179-189-1.51-125-16189-169
against division opponents2-7-4.772-89+4.5793-812+23-688-65769-744
in night games1-7-685-132-29.11054-1167-89.44-4113-931055-1057
against left-handed starters0-2-223-51-20.4435-491-51.61-136-34432-450
after a loss2-10-7.778-120-19.3852-919-18.36-6105-85861-827
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-5-3.726-45-10.9209-272-45.81-534-35243-219

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games8-8+0.8167-173+18.31620-1810-115.47-9152-1731606-1665
when the total is 8 to 8.55-2+3.657-65+4.2591-608-0.74-364-57575-591
as a home favorite of -125 to -1751-0+127-17+2.4347-259-21.80-116-25289-289
at home when the money line is +125 to -1251-5-3.849-48+1.1401-428-40.52-447-45400-390
in home games2-5-2.887-82+5.4878-836-49.52-574-87821-812
at home when the total is 8 to 8.51-1+0.225-34-8.9364-314+11.51-136-23343-316
in April games5-8-2.226-36-5.4251-269+2.95-837-24261-244
when playing on Monday1-1+0.211-22-9.7175-190-11.32-017-14183-168
against division opponents4-6-1.275-87+2.5771-834-19.44-670-84752-775
in night games6-4+2.6107-110+9.41064-1154-36.36-495-1121020-1093
against right-handed starters6-5+1.8118-134-1.41188-1349-94.45-6102-1381166-1249
after a loss5-2+488-84+16.5830-961-71.22-570-97816-894
when playing against a team with a losing record2-5-2.486-84-0.8825-819-71.13-477-81773-774
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2018MAHLE(R)CHICAGO CUBSCHATWOOD(R)1-0W+1308.5 ovU5100261
4/5/2018BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHBRAULT(L)2-5L1358 unU571990
4/6/2018CASTILLO(R)@ PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS(R)3-14L-1208 evO131011571
4/7/2018ROMANO(R)@ PITTSBURGHKUHL(R)7-4W1207.5 ovO1191850
4/8/2018MAHLE(R)@ PITTSBURGHTAILLON(R)0-5L1407.5 ovU1301160
4/9/2018REED(L)@ PHILADELPHIALIVELY(R)5-6L1159 ovO1191650
4/10/2018BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIANOLA(R)1-6L1707.5 ovU341640
4/11/2018CASTILLO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPIVETTA(R)3-4L1107.5 ovU1181681
4/12/2018ROMANO(R)ST LOUISWACHA(R)4-13L+1409.5 evO77312121
4/13/2018MAHLE(R)ST LOUISWEAVER(R)3-5L+1509.5 unU7621380
4/14/2018FINNEGAN(L)ST LOUISMIKOLAS(R)1-6L+1109 ovU780870
4/15/2018BAILEY(R)ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R)2-3L+1659 unU580513
4/16/2018CASTILLO(R)@ MILWAUKEESUTER(L) 
4/17/2018ROMANO(R)@ MILWAUKEEGUERRA(R) 
4/18/2018MAHLE(R)@ MILWAUKEEDAVIES(R) 
4/20/2018 @ ST LOUIS  
4/21/2018 @ ST LOUIS  
4/22/2018 @ ST LOUIS  
4/23/2018 ATLANTA  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2018DAVIES(R)ST LOUISMIKOLAS(R)4-8L-1109 ovO8511351
4/3/2018ANDERSON(R)ST LOUISFLAHERTY(R)5-4W-1359.5 unU12811080
4/4/2018CHACIN(R)ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R)0-6L+1009 evU573961
4/5/2018SUTER(L)CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L)0-8L+1009 evU45313120
4/6/2018WOODRUFF(R)CHICAGO CUBSHENDRICKS(R)5-4W+1258.5 evO12141782
4/7/2018DAVIES(R)CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH(R)2-5L+1259 unU442890
4/8/2018ANDERSON(R)CHICAGO CUBSQUINTANA(L)0-3L+1058.5 evU341760
4/9/2018CHACIN(R)@ ST LOUISMIKOLAS(R)5-4W1308 evO11111871
4/10/2018SUTER(L)@ ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R)3-5L1557.5 ovO111319130
4/11/2018GUERRA(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)3-2W1359.5 unU840750
4/13/2018DAVIES(R)@ NY METSMATZ(L)5-6L1108 ovO1061951
4/14/2018ANDERSON(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)5-1W1058 ovU950330
4/15/2018CHACIN(R)@ NY METSSYNDERGAARD(R)2-3L1807 unU4917122
4/16/2018SUTER(L)CINCINNATICASTILLO(R) 
4/17/2018GUERRA(R)CINCINNATIROMANO(R) 
4/18/2018DAVIES(R)CINCINNATIMAHLE(R) 
4/19/2018ANDERSON(R)MIAMIPETERS(L) 
4/20/2018 MIAMI  
4/21/2018 MIAMI  
4/22/2018 MIAMI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games2-13-10.76-92.90.2240.2950.3230.6196.10.2550.3390.4530.791
Road Games1-6-53-43.00.2310.3020.2940.5966.30.2580.3300.4450.774
vs Left-handed Starters0-2-21-13.50.1900.2820.3330.6155.50.2540.3510.5070.858
Past 7 Games0-7-72-52.70.2130.2820.3010.5846.10.2350.3260.4540.780
Grass Games2-13-10.76-92.90.2240.2950.3230.6196.10.2550.3390.4530.791
Night Games1-7-64-43.50.2450.3170.3140.6317.10.2680.3510.4710.823
Division2-7-4.73-62.60.2130.2980.3070.6056.10.2740.3550.4590.814
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.90.2240.29515501112151110.32341511438111141189
Road Games3.00.2310.3027238556030.2942024626508623
Lefty Starters3.50.1900.282263123020.33358150123112
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.961.56454.3383650935521-420100%
Road Games5.131.40526.3171521216241-310100%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games8-8+0.87-93.50.2370.2910.3770.6684.30.2420.3150.3960.711
Home Games2-5-2.82-52.30.2100.2580.3540.6125.40.2690.3310.4500.781
vs Right-handed Starters6-5+1.85-63.70.2440.3060.3920.6984.10.2340.3080.3840.693
Past 7 Games3-4-0.33-43.30.2270.2870.3720.6603.40.2180.3010.3580.659
Grass Games8-8+0.87-93.50.2370.2910.3770.6684.30.2420.3150.3960.711
Night Games6-4+2.66-44.30.2670.3250.4130.7384.70.2490.3180.3990.716
Division4-6-1.24-62.70.2260.2800.3650.6464.90.2580.3280.4110.739
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.50.2370.29116565134250180.3775443151111181318156
Home Games2.30.2100.2587229489080.35416157324741244
Righty Starters3.70.2440.3061139396160140.392393511279161194
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.671.17367.3232051628815-34544.4%
Home Games2.671.2972711824211252-1020%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
LUIS CASTILLO recent results and season statistics
LUIS CASTILLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts7.311.3120-23165.313131744130-3-3.22-1
Road Starts5.731.2730-12115.577112370-2-2.21-1
Last 3 Starts7.311.3120-23165.313131744130-3-3.22-1
LUIS CASTILLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/11/2018at PHILADELPHIA3-4+1107.5Loss,Under 6335204PIVETTA(R)
4/6/2018at PITTSBURGH3-14-1208Loss,OverL5446033WILLIAMS(R)
3/31/2018WASHINGTON7-13+1308Loss,OverL5666216STRASBURG(R)

BRENT SUTER recent results and season statistics
BRENT SUTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.701.4351-1315.35.1981715111-2-12-1
Home Starts7.202.2000-1155.05480350-1-10-1
Last 3 Starts4.701.4351-1315.35.1981715111-2-12-1
BRENT SUTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/10/2018at ST LOUIS3-5+1557.5Loss,Over 5.3114012MARTINEZ(R)
4/5/2018CHICAGO CUBS0-8+1009Loss,UnderL5548035LESTER(L)
3/31/2018at SAN DIEGO7-3-1257.5Win,OverW5335114PERDOMO(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 19-19 (+1.8 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
23 of 36 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.7 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 11-7 (+1.6 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
13 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.4 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
LUIS CASTILLO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CASTILLO is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.878.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
LUIS CASTILLO recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/6/2017MILWAUKEE7-1-1359.5Win,UnderW81141010GARZA(R)
6/28/2017MILWAUKEE4-3-1059.5Win,Under 5.7225139ANDERSON(R)

BRENT SUTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SUTER is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
BRENT SUTER recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2017CINCINNATI4-3-1559Win,Under 5337114ROMANO(R)
8/12/2017CINCINNATI6-5-1509Win,Over 5554343FELDMAN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (1438-1421, -125.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (145-159, -36.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (1499-1297, +81.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 51.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-144, -11.6 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1189-1109, -76.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 50.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-147, -17.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (1139-1128, -142.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-160, -33.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/10/2018 - Scott Schebler 10-day DL (04/06) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/10/2018 - Eugenio Suarez 10-day DL (04/09) ( Thumb )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Michael Lorenzen 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - David Hernandez 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Kevin Shackelford 10-day DL (03/29) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (03/29) ( Oblique )
MILWAUKEE
[1B] 04/15/2018 - Eric Thames left last game, is "?" Monday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Undisclosed )
[1B] 04/15/2018 - Ryan Braun is "?" Monday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Back )
[C] 04/15/2018 - Manny Pina is "?" Monday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Calf )
[LF] 04/08/2018 - Christian Yelich 10-day DL (04/05) ( Oblique )
[P] 04/06/2018 - Corey Knebel 10-day DL (04/06) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/29/2018 - Boone Logan 10-day DL (03/26) ( Triceps )
[C] 03/29/2018 - Stephen Vogt 10-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
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