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Page last updated on Sun Jul 05 22:37:07 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:10 PM
CINCINNATI (84-65) AT MILWAUKEE (64-83) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
959: CINCINNATI
960: MILWAUKEE
8.0
+119
84-65
64-83
70-72-7
71-71-5
4.3 / 3.6
3.9 / 4.4
(R) B ARROYO
(R) Y GALLARDO
13-11
11-9
3.58
4.18
1.13
1.37
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIARROYO-121 
MILWAUKEEGALLARDO +121 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games84-65-0.8263-216+11355-1399-25.870-72217-2311287-1314
when the total is 8 to 8.541-31-2.4115-100-14.2418-445-24.633-36102-100409-421
on the road with a money line of -100 to -12510-12-3.831-42-16.4130-131-17.913-732-37113-128
as a road favorite of -125 to -15010-9-2.237-25+3.477-55+3.67-1224-3653-73
in road games36-38-7.1122-116-0.2651-723+53.935-36103-124612-688
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.59-12-5.240-40-4.4192-217+128-1334-44171-222
in September games8-5+0.135-30-4.5224-213+15.45-721-36182-215
when playing on Sunday11-12-5.143-33+2.5203-233-35.411-1137-33203-201
against division opponents38-31-4.6129-98+4.2647-639+4.833-34101-111604-601
in day games34-23+3.9100-75+9.5474-490-5.128-2685-78451-451
in games played on a grass field84-65-0.8261-215-0.81124-1185-16.170-72217-2291067-1109
against right-handed starters60-41+3.3187-151+0.3976-1007-10.553-44156-160937-931
after a win43-40-11.5132-131-31.5658-697-45.841-37114-126612-660
when playing against a team with a losing record47-29+3.1147-104+3.5707-623-9.137-39113-124623-630
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season20-17-6.584-58+3.5403-325+23.416-2158-72333-344

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games64-83-13.5249-234-3.21294-1458-102.671-71244-2191293-1330
when the total is 8 to 8.537-45-6131-109+9464-477+4.640-39115-116449-463
as a home underdog of +100 to +12510-10+1.722-19+5.2139-158-4.39-1120-20141-139
in home games32-41-12.4143-99+22.7711-665-26.237-34130-105664-645
at home when the total is 8 to 8.525-25-286-53+19.5292-231+37.626-2369-67265-241
in September games5-7-0.638-27+6201-237-24.73-731-28204-211
when playing on Sunday8-15-6.840-39-2.3194-252-53.79-1336-39206-217
against division opponents29-39-5.2128-106+12.3624-659-3.930-35116-107609-609
in day games16-33-17.676-89-23.5441-530-75.525-2284-74473-453
in games played on a grass field64-83-13.5249-234-3.21232-1371-95.371-71244-2191236-1243
against right-handed starters51-56+0.8191-166+13.9956-1075-58.850-54181-161940-990
after a loss36-46-4.2118-113+2.3670-779-52.440-38116-102664-718
when playing against a team with a winning record31-46-7.2109-113+3.6556-706-35.834-4197-115576-638
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season16-16+7.454-55+4.7255-366-46.913-1845-58286-310
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/1/2013LEAKE(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R)4-7L-12010 unO151101270
9/2/2013LATOS(R)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)7-2W-1207.5 unO12100430
9/3/2013BAILEY(R)ST LOUISWACHA(R)1-0W-1408 unU560240
9/4/2013ARROYO(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)4-5L-1158 unO10911270
9/5/2013CINGRANI(L)ST LOUISLYNN(R)6-2W-1508 unP10110540
9/6/2013LEAKE(R)LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)3-2W-1209 unU760520
9/7/2013LATOS(R)LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)4-3W-1207.5 ovU111111090
9/8/2013BAILEY(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)3-2W+1156.5 ovU671640
9/9/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)0-2L-1757.5 ovU790760
9/10/2013CINGRANI(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)1-9L-2508 ovO10911380
9/11/2013LEAKE(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-0W-1708.5 unU860670
9/13/2013LATOS(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)1-5L-1457.5 unU441980
9/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)7-3W-1908 ovO10906102
9/15/2013ARROYO(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
9/16/2013LEAKE(R)@ HOUSTONBEDARD(L) 
9/17/2013LEAKE(R)@ HOUSTONLYLES(R) 
9/18/2013LATOS(R)@ HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L) 
9/20/2013BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
9/21/2013ARROYO(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
9/22/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/1/2013LOHSE(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)3-5L-1108 ovP4401161
9/2/2013THORNBURG(R)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)2-5L+1308.5 evU8801182
9/3/2013GALLARDO(R)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)3-4L+1058 unU740880
9/4/2013PERALTA(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)9-3W+1407.5 unO137012121
9/6/2013LOHSE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)5-8L-1158.5 ovO10811360
9/7/2013HELLWEG(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)5-3W13010.5 ovU591641
9/8/2013GALLARDO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSBAKER(R)3-1W-1257.5 unU860330
9/10/2013PERALTA(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R)2-4L1758.5 unU782680
9/11/2013ESTRADA(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)1-5L1358 unU661641
9/12/2013THORNBURG(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R)5-3W1608 unP1160642
9/13/2013LOHSE(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)5-1W+1357.5 unU980441
9/14/2013HELLWEG(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)3-7L+1808 ovO61021090
9/15/2013GALLARDO(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
9/16/2013PERALTA(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
9/17/2013ESTRADA(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
9/18/2013THORNBURG(R)CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L) 
9/19/2013LOHSE(R)CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R) 
9/20/2013HELLWEG(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
9/21/2013GALLARDO(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
9/22/2013 ST LOUIS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games84-65-0.870-724.30.2510.3223.60.2360.291
Road Games36-38-7.135-364.20.2490.3203.60.2440.298
vs Right-handed Starters60-41+3.353-444.60.2560.3293.70.2400.297
Past 7 Games4-3-1.52-53.10.2470.3053.40.2450.315
Grass Games84-65-0.870-724.30.2510.3223.60.2360.291
Day Games34-23+3.928-264.70.2510.3293.80.2360.292
Division38-31-4.633-344.20.2400.3163.80.2400.300
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2510.322149504512664191470.0360952611504910911407211265
Road Games4.20.2490.320742522628201660.032992645432553685355742
Righty Starters4.60.2560.32910134248782771000.034413737753974297557850
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.441.1984191701603385216444421-23411375.9%
Road Games3.511.260179.3737015318731657-1319967.9%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games64-83-13.571-713.90.2540.3054.40.2580.316
Home Games32-41-12.437-344.00.2580.3134.60.2700.327
vs Right-handed Starters51-56+0.850-544.00.2520.3064.20.2550.310
Past 7 Games4-3+2.21-53.40.2320.3203.40.1950.265
Grass Games64-83-13.571-713.90.2540.3054.40.2580.316
Day Games16-33-17.525-223.60.2360.2875.00.2660.324
Division29-39-5.130-353.80.2520.3084.50.2610.320
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2540.305147498512643971400.03549368107612998312910513687
Home Games4.00.2580.313732431626196740.032811975076850060448446
Righty Starters4.00.2520.30610735909062921020.03405279754106719877710359
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.221.228480.31921724285216241722-25362064.3%
Home Games3.251.222268.310297239298922512-1116769.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
BRONSON ARROYO recent results and season statistics
BRONSON ARROYO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.581.12913-11291866.47774183242711816-13+1.414-14
Road Starts4.371.1914-711686.23433691012324-7-35-6
Last 3 Starts5.191.3850-2317.35.811102331110-3-4.22-1
BRONSON ARROYO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/9/2013CHICAGO CUBS0-2-1757.5Loss,UnderL7227206WOOD(L)
9/4/2013ST LOUIS4-5-1158Loss,Over 7327004MILLER(R)
8/30/2013at COLORADO6-9-13010Loss,OverL3.3669111DE LA ROSA(L)

YOVANI GALLARDO recent results and season statistics
YOVANI GALLARDO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.181.37311-928161.75.88375162166012614-14+0.716-11
Home Starts4.541.4375-51479.35.74340871027686-8-2.99-5
Last 3 Starts1.290.9052-03217.0331425172-1+1.50-3
YOVANI GALLARDO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/8/2013at CHICAGO CUBS3-1-1257.5Win,UnderW7113116BAKER(R)
9/3/2013PITTSBURGH3-4+1058Loss,Under 7225136COLE(R)
8/29/2013at PITTSBURGH4-0+1507.5Win,UnderW7006015COLE(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 27-22 (+0.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
26 of 45 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 8-10 (+1.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 13-9 (+5.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 (+2.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/14/2013CINCINNATI7-190  102190BAILEY(R)W7354
 MILWAUKEE3+1808 ovOver602102HELLWEG(R)L5481
9/13/2013CINCINNATI1-145 Under40041LATOS(R)L6.7573
 MILWAUKEE5+1357.5 unWin90380LOHSE(R)W9141
8/25/2013MILWAUKEE3+140  71071ESTRADA(R)W7012
 CINCINNATI1-1508.5 ovUnder51250REYNOLDS(R)L6252
8/24/2013MILWAUKEE3+182 Over81051PERALTA(R) 5171
 CINCINNATI6-1958.5 unWin144090ARROYO(R)W7370
8/23/2013MILWAUKEE6+180  93181GALLARDO(R) 6262
 CINCINNATI4-1908 unOver101082BAILEY(R) 6362
8/18/2013CINCINNATI9-155  100080BAILEY(R)W8131
 MILWAUKEE1+1458 unOver41031PERALTA(R)L4.3784
8/17/2013CINCINNATI0-155 Under50040LATOS(R)L7263
 MILWAUKEE2+1458 ovWin60060GALLARDO(R)W6.3032
8/16/2013CINCINNATI6-135 Over102180LEAKE(R) 5492
 MILWAUKEE7+1258 unWin122180GORZELANNY(L) 4.7563
8/15/2013CINCINNATI2-130  61150CINGRANI(L)W6.3141
 MILWAUKEE1+1207.5 unUnder61131LOHSE(R)L7154
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
BRONSON ARROYO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARROYO is 15-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.228.
His team's record is 19-10 (+8.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-13. (-1.9 units)
BRONSON ARROYO recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/24/2013MILWAUKEE6-3-1958.5Win,OverW7337106PERALTA(R)
6/14/2013MILWAUKEE4-3-1458Win,Under 7.73212215LOHSE(R)
5/12/2013MILWAUKEE5-1-1558.5Win,UnderW6.7005015PERALTA(R)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GALLARDO is 7-6 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.514.
His team's record is 8-11 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.6 units)
YOVANI GALLARDO recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2013at CINCINNATI6-4+1808Win,Over 6326125BAILEY(R)
8/17/2013CINCINNATI2-0+1458Win,UnderW6.3003023LATOS(R)
6/15/2013at CINCINNATI6-0+1608Win,UnderW6003025BAILEY(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MILWAUKEE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1127, -102.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-202, -24.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (1180-1022, +64.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (222-178, +23.7 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (887-809, -33.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-143, -1.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (836-826, -100.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 49.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (146-148, -21.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 09/10/2013 - Tony Cingrani left last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Houston Astros ( Back )
[P] 08/22/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 60-day DL (8/21) ( Elbow )
[C] 08/10/2013 - Corky Miller 15-day DL (8/10) ( Quad )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 60-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
MILWAUKEE
[3B] 09/14/2013 - Aramis Ramirez "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Wrist )
[2B] 08/09/2013 - Rickie Weeks 60-day DL (8/8); out for season ( Hamstring )
[LF] 07/22/2013 - Ryan Braun out for season ( Suspension )
[P] 07/05/2013 - Miguel De Los Santos is on the restricted list ( Shoulder )
[1B] 06/28/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22); out for season ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20), out for season ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Hip )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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