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Page last updated on Fri Oct 31 02:49:25 EDT 2014
Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 8:15 PM
CINCINNATI (97-64) AT ST LOUIS (87-74) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
965: CINCINNATI
966: ST LOUIS
7.5
+132
97-64
87-74
60-88-13
77-78-6
4.2 / 3.6
4.7 / 4.0
(R) H BAILEY
(R) S MILLER
13-10
0-0
3.75
0.00
1.24
0.00
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 23   Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIBAILEY-119 
ST LOUISMILLER +119 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when the total is 8 to 8.537-28+0109-101-13.5377-413-20.824-33102-96375-385
as a road favorite of -125 to -15019-10+5.734-20+7.667-45+7.212-1524-2846-60
as a road favorite of -150 to -1756-2+2.97-2+3.914-15-9.81-62-611-15
in road games47-33+12126-118+9.8613-684+59.927-48104-124575-651
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.516-8+6.947-43+2.3183-205+17.37-1541-46163-209
in October games1-1+0.13-5-2.48-21-14.80-22-68-21
when playing on Wednesday14-10+1.742-35+3.4182-217-27.57-1432-42183-193
against division opponents49-29+11.3140-96+27609-607+10.927-44101-115571-566
in games played on a grass field97-64+18.8267-220+15.41038-1116-12.360-88220-230993-1035
in night games59-46+2.7173-146+7.2824-863-20.638-59147-152789-811
against right-handed starters65-46+7.5184-158+4.3915-963-10.840-60155-158882-885
after a win54-42+1139-130-15.4614-655-32.932-53110-134570-621
when playing against a team with a winning record37-28+8.193-106-11.2540-667-822-3889-92549-591
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season13-7+5.238-50-11.7240-333-25.95-1239-40260-274
in all games97-64+18.8269-221+17.21269-1330-2260-88220-2321213-1240

ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games87-74-6.6274-230-231449-1221-977-78242-2421270-1268
when the total is 8 to 8.537-26+4117-87+12.1518-403+40.933-29101-98443-448
as a home underdog of +125 to +1500-003-1+3.121-21+7.40-01-217-22
in home games49-31+4.1151-100-2.2787-547+16.740-36113-124612-649
at home when the total is 8 to 8.519-9+5.763-34+14.1295-193+29.315-1343-51211-258
in October games1-1-0.215-8+9.358-49+6.60-210-1244-58
when playing on Wednesday16-9+5.641-38-10225-184+67-1834-44195-194
against division opponents44-32+1.2131-109-25.5671-554-3836-37114-113581-586
in games played on a grass field87-74-6.6271-227-22.91385-1143+8.577-78240-2381204-1202
in night games54-49-7.4185-147-2.3925-801-31.544-56160-159821-816
against right-handed starters56-57-16194-161-12.71060-860+39.750-59169-174922-905
after a loss39-34-4129-100+2.3675-551+45.439-30122-101593-576
when playing against a team with a winning record24-35-19.6102-94-3.8597-573-1.331-2591-95537-567
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season16-18-5.570-47+22.9330-298+34.518-1556-55279-318
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/19/2012LEAKE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)6-5W-14514 unU131119101
9/20/2012CUETO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSBERKEN(R)5-3W-1458.5 ovU98011110
9/21/2012ARROYO(R)LA DODGERSBLANTON(R)1-3L-1358 unU470770
9/22/2012LATOS(R)LA DODGERSFIFE(R)6-0W-1808 evU880651
9/23/2012BAILEY(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)3-5L+1357.5 unO6101851
9/25/2012CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEFIERS(R)4-2W-1457.5 ovU960510
9/26/2012ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEMARCUM(R)1-8L-1308.5 evO6901390
9/27/2012LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)2-1W-1658 evU650550
9/28/2012BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)1-0W-1157 unU741010
9/29/2012LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHMCPHERSON(R)1-2L-1258.5 evU7928120
9/30/2012CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)4-3W-1507.5 unU1073770
10/1/2012ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)2-4L1307.5 unU650961
10/2/2012LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISCARPENTER(R)3-1W1157 ovU870660
10/3/2012BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R) 

ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/19/2012LYNN(R)HOUSTONHARRELL(R)5-0W-2257.5 unU851581
9/20/2012GARCIA(L)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)5-4W-2308 ovO98110110
9/21/2012CARPENTER(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVOLSTAD(R)4-5L-1709.5 unU81101390
9/22/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-4W-1608 evO10130861
9/23/2012LOHSE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSGERMANO(R)6-3W-1757.5 evO1292760
9/24/2012LYNN(R)@ HOUSTONABAD(L)6-1W-2108 ovU970673
9/25/2012GARCIA(L)@ HOUSTONHARRELL(R)4-0W-1458 unU9101750
9/26/2012CARPENTER(R)@ HOUSTONNORRIS(R)0-2L-1808 ovU341541
9/28/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)WASHINGTONJACKSON(R)12-2W-1357.5 unO1150681
9/29/2012LOHSE(R)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)4-6L-1157.5 unO117013100
9/30/2012LYNN(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)10-4W-1458 unO1280751
10/1/2012GARCIA(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)4-2W-1407.5 unU961650
10/2/2012CARPENTER(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)1-3L-1257 ovU660870
10/3/2012MILLER(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games97-64+18.860-884.20.2520.3133.60.2470.301
Road Games47-33+1227-484.00.2480.3033.50.2440.302
vs Right-handed Starters65-46+7.440-604.00.2510.3123.60.2450.298
Past 7 Games4-3+0.61-62.00.2210.2702.70.2140.276
Grass Games97-64+18.860-884.20.2520.3133.60.2470.301
Night Games59-46+2.638-594.00.2500.3103.70.2460.305
Division49-29+11.327-443.90.2500.3083.50.2460.299
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2520.313161544813744981720.0363647912568711301248911377
Road Games4.00.2480.303802800695245690.023042226184557767524831
Righty Starters4.00.2510.31211137169333371090.034183318536777483597652
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.661.218430.31431273443318047331-21561776.7%
Road Games3.151.4191867365174139020611-13321076.2%

ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games87-74-6.577-784.70.2710.3354.00.2560.310
Home Games49-31+4.140-365.00.2850.3453.70.2500.303
vs Right-handed Starters56-57-1650-594.40.2650.3273.90.2510.306
Past 7 Games4-3-0.23-45.00.2680.3432.70.2230.258
Grass Games87-74-6.577-784.70.2710.3354.00.2560.310
Night Games54-49-7.444-564.50.2690.3323.90.2580.312
Division44-32+1.236-375.00.2780.3443.60.2490.297
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2710.335161558915174851590.03731532118190118916510614856
Home Games5.00.2850.345802760786261760.033912545594958279507628
Righty Starters4.40.2650.32711339231039314910.02468362831698331177710643
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.921.269470.42122054325516543216-27412265.1%
Home Games3.411.185248989421729772228-10221166.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.751.24513-1033204-97852022652162---
All Starts3.751.24513-10322046.49785202265216218-14+1.217-12
Road Starts2.411.0039-215104.77.03428815248312-3+9.49-6
Last 3 Starts2.350.6092-13237.766925202-1+11-2
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2012at PITTSBURGH1-0-1157Win,UnderW90000110BURNETT(R)
9/23/2012LA DODGERS3-5+1357.5Loss,OverL6.7555226KERSHAW(L)
9/18/2012at CHICAGO CUBS3-1-1557.5Win,UnderW7.3114024GERMANO(R)

SHELBY MILLER recent results and season statistics
SHELBY MILLER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games2.351.2991-057.7-228029---
All Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 22-25 (+0.6 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
21 of 44 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-3.4 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 7-7 (+0.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

All games at ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 14-9 (+0.4 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)
Games played at ST LOUIS this season.
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/2/2012CINCINNATI3+115  81070LATOS(R)W5141
 ST LOUIS1-1257 ovUnder60060CARPENTER(R)L6372
10/1/2012CINCINNATI2+130 Under60050ARROYO(R)L5361
 ST LOUIS4-1407.5 unWin91061GARCIA(L)W6.7261
8/26/2012ST LOUIS8-135  171080WAINWRIGHT(R)W5.7260
 CINCINNATI2+1258.5 unOver70040BAILEY(R)L6590
8/25/2012ST LOUIS2-115 Over110070GARCIA(L)L6472
 CINCINNATI8+1059 unWin122070LEAKE(R)W6.72100
8/24/2012ST LOUIS8+110  142171LYNN(R) 2462
 CINCINNATI5-1208.5 unOver1300110LATOS(R)L5791
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HOMER BAILEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BAILEY is 3-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.508.
His team's record is 3-9 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.1 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/26/2012ST LOUIS2-8+1258.5Loss,OverL6559103WAINWRIGHT(R)
7/15/2012ST LOUIS4-2-1109Win,UnderW8219122WESTBROOK(R)
4/9/2012ST LOUIS1-7-1109Loss,UnderL5.7446335WESTBROOK(R)

SHELBY MILLER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
SHELBY MILLER recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1067, -100.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (198-214, -31.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50% of the time since 1997. (1075-1077, -89.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (211-213, -25.2 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (818-743, -26.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (132-124, -5.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (821-831, -125.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (123-127, -17.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 04/27/2012 - Ryan Madson 60-day DL (3/24), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/15/2012 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/01/2012 - Bill Bray 15-day DL (7/31) ( Back )
ST LOUIS
[P] 07/12/2012 - Kyle McClellan 60-day DL (5/17); out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/14/2012 - Brian Fuentes placed on restricted list; out indefinitely ( Personal )
[SS] 08/30/2012 - Rafael Furcal 15-day DL (8/30), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 09/09/2012 - Jake Westbrook out indefinitely ( Oblique )
[1B] 09/11/2012 - Lance Berkman out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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