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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE (55-37) AT MIAMI (38-56) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
905: MILWAUKEE
906: MIAMI
7.5
+161
55-37
38-56
39-50-3
48-44-2
4.4 / 3.7
3.8 / 5.1
(R) F PERALTA
(R) D STRAILY
4-1
3-4
2.14
4.55
0.89
1.38
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:   Temperature: °
Humidity:   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MILWAUKEEPERALTA-210
MIAMISTRAILY +210 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games55-37+16.5214-202+341667-1839-99.839-50184-2141638-1706
when the total is 8 to 8.526-17+878-80+8.6612-623+3.722-2082-74593-608
as a road favorite of -125 to -1755-4-0.59-9-3.289-82-23.35-411-775-85
in road games25-19+6.699-107+15.9761-990-6319-2492-106799-873
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.510-7+3.138-37+12.9233-300-12.49-834-40238-281
in July games7-3+3.431-29+6.2260-310-55.96-421-36243-299
when playing on Wednesday9-4+4.336-25+13.5242-290-43.93-922-35250-262
in night games38-16+22.9139-122+29.81096-1166-1626-27115-1351040-1116
against right-handed starters45-28+17.2157-157+141227-1372-79.128-42125-1741189-1285
after a win30-24+2.7106-105+9.6807-856-40.925-26100-98796-785
when playing against a team with a losing record23-15+6107-94+7.6846-829-62.717-1991-96787-789
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season3-3-0.540-41-7.6435-440-63.13-331-45381-441

MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games38-56+0.5194-223-11.3473-592-64.648-44212-186508-489
when the total is 8 to 8.512-21-469-86-15.3124-163-33.416-1679-70125-143
as a home underdog of +125 to +1757-15-5.416-30-748-73-4.59-1120-2447-67
in home games20-27-1.5103-105-7.4260-272-19.420-2594-103248-251
at home when the total is 8 to 8.58-12-1.136-44-10.564-80-20.49-1039-3862-74
in July games4-6-0.834-28+5.980-85+2.15-532-2971-88
when playing on Wednesday6-6+526-36-3.665-98-23.66-630-3075-76
in night games26-37+0.3138-153-5.2331-399-32.234-28150-127349-335
against right-handed starters28-40+1.1149-174-17.1348-450-7135-31166-138382-366
after a loss23-32+2.6108-113+9.5254-335-44.124-31111-99272-277
when playing against a team with a winning record20-34-479-114-14.8204-302-4225-2893-94236-239
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season4-2+3.431-47-10.498-147-15.93-338-38104-120
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/27/2018SUTER(L)KANSAS CITYDUFFY(L)4-5L-2058 unO970850
6/28/2018GUERRA(R)@ CINCINNATIDESCLAFANI(R)6-4W-1159.5 unO840971
6/29/2018ANDERSON(R)@ CINCINNATIROMANO(R)8-2W11010 unP1290641
6/30/2018CHACIN(R)@ CINCINNATIMAHLE(R)3-12L1159.5 ovO6811591
7/1/2018PERALTA(R)@ CINCINNATIHARVEY(R)2-8L-1259 ovO4401050
7/2/2018SUTER(L)MINNESOTAGIBSON(R)6-5W-1358 unO141221152
7/3/2018GUERRA(R)MINNESOTAODORIZZI(R)2-0W-1508.5 ovU461281
7/4/2018ANDERSON(R)MINNESOTABERRIOS(R)3-2W-1158.5 evU640641
7/5/2018CHACIN(R)ATLANTAFRIED(L)7-2W-1108.5 evO720331
7/6/2018PERALTA(R)ATLANTAFOLTYNEWICZ(R)5-4W-1257.5 ovO732950
7/7/2018WILKERSON(R)ATLANTASANCHEZ(R)1-5L-1059.5 unU450880
7/8/2018GUERRA(R)ATLANTANEWCOMB(L)10-3W-1258.5 ovO109310100
7/9/2018ANDERSON(R)@ MIAMIURENA(R)3-4L-1257.5 ovU119113120
7/10/2018CHACIN(R)@ MIAMILOPEZ(R)8-4W-1607.5 ovO941971
7/11/2018PERALTA(R)@ MIAMISTRAILY(R) 
7/12/2018SUTER(L)@ PITTSBURGHTAILLON(R) 
7/13/2018GUERRA(R)@ PITTSBURGHKINGHAM(R) 
7/14/2018ANDERSON(R)@ PITTSBURGHNOVA(R) 
7/15/2018CHACIN(R)@ PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS(R) 

MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/27/2018CHEN(L)ARIZONARAY(L)1-2L+1557.5 unU340650
6/28/2018RICHARDS(R)ARIZONAGREINKE(R)0-4L+1557.5 unU101001172
6/29/2018ALCANTARA(R)NY METSOSWALT(R)8-2W-1058.5 evO11317100
6/30/2018LOPEZ(R)NY METSDEGROM(R)5-2W+1507 unP950651
7/1/2018STRAILY(R)NY METSMATZ(L)2-5L+1058 unU471663
7/2/2018CHEN(L)TAMPA BAYEOVALDI(R)3-2W+1207.5 unU12101660
7/3/2018RICHARDS(R)TAMPA BAYYARBROUGH(L)6-9L-1107.5 evO1514120131
7/4/2018URENA(R)TAMPA BAYANDRIESE(R)3-0W+1307.5 unU670440
7/5/2018LOPEZ(R)@ WASHINGTONHELLICKSON(R)12-14L1709 evO14701241
7/6/2018STRAILY(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-3L1879 unU981890
7/7/2018CHEN(L)@ WASHINGTONSCHERZER(R)4-18L2607.5 unO7311730
7/8/2018RICHARDS(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R)10-2W1709.5 evO221705131
7/9/2018URENA(R)MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R)4-3W+1157.5 ovU131201191
7/10/2018LOPEZ(R)MILWAUKEECHACIN(R)4-8L+1507.5 ovO971941
7/11/2018STRAILY(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
7/13/2018CHEN(L)PHILADELPHIAARRIETA(R) 
7/14/2018RICHARDS(R)PHILADELPHIAEFLIN(R) 
7/15/2018URENA(R)PHILADELPHIANOLA(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games55-37+16.539-504.40.2450.3110.4060.7183.70.2270.3020.3670.669
Road Games25-19+6.619-244.40.2500.3070.4040.7123.60.2290.3040.3610.665
vs Right-handed Starters45-28+17.228-424.40.2480.3110.4070.7193.60.2220.2980.3660.664
Past 7 Games5-2+2.74-35.30.2400.3100.4400.7503.40.2500.3230.3620.685
Grass Games55-37+16.539-504.40.2450.3110.4060.7183.70.2270.3020.3670.669
Night Games38-16+22.926-274.80.2600.3250.4270.7523.60.2280.2990.3640.663
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2450.31192308075613781140.4063852958337360288547534
Road Games4.40.2500.307441534383704530.4041851283923929342233419
Righty Starters4.40.2480.3117324476081076900.4073022246805048567405526
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.151.2223291261152663413637820-11261366.7%
Road Games3.351.255153625713016621846-812570.6%

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games38-56+0.548-443.80.2460.3060.3590.6645.10.2550.3320.4130.744
Home Games20-27-1.520-253.60.2440.3050.3470.6514.20.2400.3110.3790.690
vs Right-handed Starters28-40+1.135-313.80.2490.3020.3650.6675.40.2560.3360.4140.751
Past 7 Games3-4+0.14-35.60.3190.3780.4700.8486.90.2800.3770.4110.788
Grass Games38-56+0.548-443.80.2460.3060.3590.6645.10.2550.3320.4130.744
Night Games26-37+0.334-283.70.2490.3070.3630.6705.30.2560.3340.4130.747
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2460.30694325580112516700.3593382798152368695488031
Home Games3.60.2440.305471639400595330.3471581433881435346234520
Righty Starters3.80.2490.3026823625888512550.3652421795871549469336223
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.021.465371.42212073644218034419-1819870.4%
Home Games3.821.346195.49083172159117810-119564.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
FREDDY PERALTA recent results and season statistics
FREDDY PERALTA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.140.8914-1633.75.68815115465-1+4.33-3
Road Starts3.051.0642-1420.75.27711111303-1+2.32-2
Last 3 Starts2.000.8892-13186.044907212-1+0.82-1
FREDDY PERALTA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/6/2018ATLANTA5-4-1257.5Win,OverW6113036FOLTYNEWICZ(R)
7/1/2018at CINCINNATI2-8-1259Loss,OverL5335035HARVEY(R)
6/26/2018KANSAS CITY5-1-2208Win,UnderW70010110JUNIS(R)

DANIEL STRAILY recent results and season statistics
DANIEL STRAILY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.551.3783-41365.35.03533581332536-7+1.68-5
Home Starts5.521.3552-16315.2201930812303-3+0.65-1
Last 3 Starts3.721.0861-1319.36.4881427141-2-0.91-2
DANIEL STRAILY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/6/2018at WASHINGTON2-3+1879Loss,Under 6225031GONZALEZ(L)
7/1/2018NY METS2-5+1058Loss,UnderL7335147MATZ(L)
6/25/2018ARIZONA9-5+1107.5Win,OverW6.3334106MILLER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 11-7 (+3.6 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.4 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

All games at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 (-0.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)
Games played at MIAMI this season.
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/10/2018MILWAUKEE8-160  91141CHACIN(R)W5.7473
 MIAMI4+1507.5 ovOver90071LOPEZ(R)L6563
7/9/2018MILWAUKEE3-125 Under111291ANDERSON(R) 4.7082
 MIAMI4+1157.5 ovWin1322120URENA(R) 5.7271
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
FREDDY PERALTA vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
FREDDY PERALTA recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

DANIEL STRAILY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
STRAILY is 4-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.18 and a WHIP of 0.939.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)
DANIEL STRAILY recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/2/2017at MILWAUKEE10-3-13510Win,OverW6335214GUERRA(R)
9/24/2016at MILWAUKEE6-1+1009Win,UnderW6.7115125JUNGMANN(R)
9/13/2016MILWAUKEE6-4-1209Win,OverW8223218GARZA(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (1533-1328, +81.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 51.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (186-175, -11.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (1464-1386, -95.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (181-177, -26.2 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (1170-1163, -150.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 47.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-195, -41.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (1200-1175, -146.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (193-178, -6.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MILWAUKEE
[P] 07/11/2018 - Wade Miley 60-day DL (05/09); expected to be activated and start Thursday vs Pittsburgh ( Oblique )
[LF] 07/08/2018 - Ryan Braun 10-day DL (07/08) ( Back )
[C] 07/08/2018 - Manny Pina 10-day DL (07/07) ( Biceps )
[P] 07/06/2018 - Brent Suter 10-day DL (07/03) ( Forearm )
[SS] 07/03/2018 - Nick Franklin 60-day DL (05/09) ( Quad )
[P] 06/13/2018 - Matt Albers 10-day DL (06/12) ( Shoulder )
[C] 06/01/2018 - Stephen Vogt is out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/01/2018 - Zach Davies 10-day DL (06/01) ( Rotator Cuff )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
MIAMI
[P] 07/10/2018 - Drew Rucinski 10-day DL (07/10) ( Groin )
[P] 07/10/2018 - Caleb Smith 60-day DL (06/25) ( Back )
[C] 07/09/2018 - J.T. Realmuto is out indefinitely ( Paternity List )
[P] 07/06/2018 - Tayron Guerrero 10-day DL (07/04) ( Back )
[P] 07/04/2018 - Sandy Alcantara 10-day DL (06/30) ( Infection )
[CF] 07/04/2018 - Lewis Brinson 10-day DL (07/04) ( Hip )
[P] 06/16/2018 - Chris O'Grady 60-day DL (04/17) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Brett Graves 60-day DL (03/29) ( Oblique )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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