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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:05 PM
MINNESOTA (66-94) AT TORONTO (71-89) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
919: MINNESOTA
920: TORONTO
9.0
-145
66-94
71-89
78-73-9
78-75-7
4.4 / 5.2
4.4 / 4.9
(R) A SWARZAK
(R) C JENKINS
0-4
0-2
8.34
4.15
1.85
1.15
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:   Temperature: °
Humidity:   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTASWARZAK +138 
TORONTOJENKINS-138 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games66-94-10.5223-265-26.31292-1323-24.478-73235-2261173-1309
when the total is 9 to 9.530-41-5.482-94-9.5525-537-36.934-3181-78458-531
as a road underdog of +125 to +15014-9+1035-43+4.6136-181+5.115-840-34147-157
in road games35-44+8106-136+0.3596-709-9.240-37117-111579-661
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.513-20-1.143-48+5.9237-285-18.319-1348-36231-257
in October games0-1-11-6-5.420-30-10.71-04-328-21
when playing on Tuesday10-13-136-33+5.8210-181+33.112-936-28183-188
in night games47-58+1.9149-169-5.6883-870+16.155-43161-138803-862
in games played on artificial turf1-3-1.47-13-4644-569-0.42-29-10536-615
against right-handed starters44-65-9.4148-185-28.6928-916+16.656-47169-145829-912
after a loss42-54+1.7115-151-18.4615-708-68.148-46127-128607-656
after 3 or more consecutive losses15-14+5.334-51-11177-198-3.617-1150-32184-177
when playing against a team with a losing record36-41+0.6111-114-7.9673-604-12.339-33103-107554-654
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season15-16+0.552-51-3.7345-311-28.916-1349-46290-329

TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games71-89-15237-248-0.31290-1300-37.178-75244-2191201-1266
when the total is 9 to 9.528-32-1.6100-94+15.2549-538+5.827-3193-87514-511
as a home favorite of -125 to -15013-11-1.832-26-3.4194-152-15.611-1226-30152-182
as a home favorite of -150 to -1754-7-7.121-14-1.3111-78-14.27-421-1386-90
in home games39-40-4.8127-114+2.2700-594+0.940-35127-103613-613
at home when the total is 9 to 9.518-20-3.459-49+7.3322-237+48.815-2150-49269-254
in October games1-0+13-1+2.215-9+7.61-03-110-13
when playing on Tuesday8-15-7.827-44-19.5180-208-35.710-1244-25203-172
in night games42-58-16.6149-153+1.8830-838-18.149-47158-133782-813
in games played on artificial turf40-48-11.5133-132-6.7803-715-2045-38137-115712-725
against right-handed starters51-61-10.1182-178+7.2961-944-6.248-59174-169870-947
after a win35-35-1116-119-4.4638-648-46.131-35115-108574-649
when playing against a team with a losing record24-18+4.497-81+6.4629-538-26.720-2189-80520-597
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season6-7-1.539-32-0.4317-239+16.47-636-30251-279
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/18/2012WALTERS(R)@ CLEVELANDHUFF(L)6-5W1309 unO161221190
9/19/2012HENDRIKS(R)@ CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)6-4W1259 ovO1291760
9/20/2012VASQUEZ(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)3-4L1309.5 evU7701091
9/22/2012DEDUNO(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R)0-8L2009 evU7611270
9/23/2012DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)10-4W1878 unO1361651
9/23/2012WALTERS(R)@ DETROITSMYLY(L)2-1W2009 ovU771643
9/24/2012HENDRIKS(R)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-6L+1559 ovP10601060
9/25/2012VASQUEZ(R)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)5-4W+1809 ovP850950
9/26/2012DEDUNO(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)2-8L+2157.5 unO7601160
9/28/2012DIAMOND(L)DETROITSMYLY(L)4-2W+1208.5 unU462651
9/29/2012WALTERS(R)DETROITVERLANDER(R)4-6L+2258 evO691851
9/30/2012HENDRIKS(R)DETROITSANCHEZ(R)1-2L+1509 unU10110760
10/1/2012VASQUEZ(R)@ TORONTOLAFFEY(L)5-6L1309 evO1210012101
10/2/2012SWARZAK(R)@ TORONTOJENKINS(R) 
10/3/2012 @ TORONTO  

TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/19/2012ALVAREZ(R)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)2-4L1879.5 unU10110722
9/19/2012ROMERO(L)@ NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)1-2L1829.5 unU3508121
9/20/2012LAFFEY(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)7-10L2109 unO1091870
9/21/2012VILLANUEVA(R)@ TAMPA BAYSHIELDS(R)1-12L1877 evO9801680
9/22/2012MORROW(R)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)5-11L1707 ovO108015100
9/23/2012JENKINS(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)0-3L2208.5 unU790760
9/24/2012ALVAREZ(R)@ BALTIMOREJOHNSON(R)1-4L1758.5 ovU8801050
9/24/2012ROMERO(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)9-5W1859 unO137212100
9/25/2012LAFFEY(L)@ BALTIMORESAUNDERS(L)4-0W1659 evU1371691
9/26/2012VILLANUEVA(R)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)2-12L1558.5 evO7421220
9/27/2012MORROW(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R)6-0W+1209 unU1060570
9/28/2012JENKINS(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)4-11L+1759 evO121111380
9/29/2012ROMERO(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-2W+1708.5 unU7629100
9/30/2012ALVAREZ(R)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)6-9L+1509 unO10811590
10/1/2012LAFFEY(L)MINNESOTAVASQUEZ(R)6-5W-1409 evO1210112100
10/2/2012JENKINS(R)MINNESOTASWARZAK(R) 
10/3/2012 MINNESOTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games66-94-10.578-734.40.2610.3235.20.2740.330
Road Games35-44+840-374.20.2480.3055.20.2820.338
vs Right-handed Starters44-65-9.456-474.40.2610.3215.20.2710.329
Past 7 Games2-5-23-23.40.2390.2984.90.2550.306
Turf Games0-1-11-05.00.3000.3496.00.3080.372
Night Games47-58+1.955-434.70.2670.3275.10.2740.327
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2610.323160549814344271300.0266350110541341134169105183110
Road Games4.20.2480.305792763684201610.023092285576454578599455
Righty Starters4.40.2610.3211093764983294870.02448329721897731126612678
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.811.263552.72612345195717939927-21351471.4%
Road Games3.611.245266.7120107249338319714-825778.1%

TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games71-89-1578-754.40.2460.3054.90.2610.331
Home Games39-40-4.840-354.60.2500.3134.80.2600.322
vs Right-handed Starters51-61-10.148-594.40.2430.3054.50.2520.326
Past 7 Games4-3+2.64-34.40.2950.3565.60.2880.350
Turf Games39-40-4.840-354.60.2500.3134.80.2600.322
Night Games42-58-16.649-474.20.2430.3005.00.2680.338
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2460.305160543213344641970.046714671243122101913010116686
Home Games4.60.2500.3137925926472401010.043412385976449260477239
Righty Starters4.40.2430.30511238089253261400.0446934288885721976011567
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.361.353522.72622535017020650121-20271564.3%
Home Games4.821.389261.3147140266409723310-815865.2%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
ANTHONY SWARZAK recent results and season statistics
ANTHONY SWARZAK - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games4.911.4073-54391.7-5350101142860---
All Starts8.341.8540-4418.34.617173054100-4-42-2
Road Starts8.211.9560-227.73.877124340-2-21-1
Last 3 Starts10.792.0990-3313.34.41616264290-3-32-1
ANTHONY SWARZAK - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/25/2012DETROIT6-10+1258.5Loss,OverL3.7669013SMYLY(L)
4/19/2012at NY YANKEES6-7+1859.5Loss,OverL2.7668313HUGHES(R)
4/13/2012TEXAS1-4+1408.5Loss,UnderL7449103HARRISON(L)

CHAD JENKINS recent results and season statistics
CHAD JENKINS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games4.671.3700-31227-14142741014---
All Starts4.151.1530-228.74.34461460-2-21-1
Home Starts7.361.9070-113.73.73340320-1-11-0
Last 3 Starts4.151.1530-228.74.34461460-2-21-1
CHAD JENKINS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2012NY YANKEES4-11+1759Loss,OverL3.7334032KURODA(R)
9/23/2012at TAMPA BAY0-3+2208.5Loss,UnderL5112114HELLICKSON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 14-6 (+7.6 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.7 Units)
Games this season
TORONTO is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

All games at TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 (+2.9 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)
Games played at TORONTO this season.
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/1/2012MINNESOTA5+130 Over1211100VASQUEZ(R) 5.7363
 TORONTO6-1409 evWin1211101LAFFEY(L) 5380
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
ANTHONY SWARZAK vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.
ANTHONY SWARZAK recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

CHAD JENKINS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
CHAD JENKINS recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1054, -165.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (221-196, +10.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (1045-1022, -76.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (201-203, -35.0 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (805-787, -88.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 42.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (107-143, -50.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (831-761, -33.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 50.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (128-127, -13.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[P] 06/04/2012 - Carl Pavano 15-day DL (6/2), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2012 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/27); out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 07/10/2012 - Matt Maloney out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 08/03/2012 - Lester Oliveros out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 09/13/2012 - Cole DeVries out for season ( Ribs )
[LF] 09/28/2012 - Josh Willingham expected to miss the rest of the season ( Shoulder )
[P] 09/26/2012 - Samuel Deduno expected to miss Tuesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Eye )
[SS] 10/01/2012 - Eduardo Escobar is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Elbow )
[1B] 10/02/2012 - Justin Morneau expected to miss Tuesday & Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Wrist )
[C] 10/02/2012 - Ryan Doumit doubtful Tuesday & Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Thumb )
TORONTO
[P] 03/28/2012 - Dustin McGowan 60-day DL (3/26) ( Foot )
[P] 06/19/2012 - Drew Hutchison 60-day DL (6/16), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2012 - Jesse Litsch 60-day DL (3/26); out for season ( Bicep )
[P] 06/19/2012 - Kyle Drabek 60-day DL (6/14), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 04/22/2012 - Sergio Santos 60-day DL (4/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/09/2012 - Luis Perez 60-day DL (7/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 07/21/2012 - Robert Coello 60-day DL (6/30) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/22/2012 - Jason Frasor 15-day DL (7/17) ( Forearm )
[1B] 08/25/2012 - David Cooper 15-day DL (8/23), out for season ( Back )
[RF] 08/25/2012 - Jose Bautista 15-day DL (8/25), out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 09/07/2012 - J.A. Happ 15-day DL (9/7); out for season ( Foot )
[DH] 10/01/2012 - Edwin Encarnacion "?" Tuesday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Shoulder )
[P] 10/02/2012 - Carlos Villanueva expected to miss Tuesday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Arm )
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