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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 5:35 PM
TAMPA BAY (93-72) AT BOSTON (98-65) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
917: TAMPA BAY
918: BOSTON
7.5
-104
93-72
98-65
77-79-9
75-81-7
4.3 / 4.0
5.3 / 4.0
(L) D PRICE
(R) J LACKEY
10-8
10-13
3.33
3.52
1.10
1.16
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYPRICE +128 
BOSTONLACKEY-128 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games93-72+0.6275-218+11.21208-1410-64.877-79208-2601178-1328
on the road with a money line of -100 to -12516-6+940-30+5.483-88-18.111-1035-3380-84
in road games42-42-5.8131-117+12537-774-79.639-40115-120618-634
in October games1-103-5-2.626-27-2.21-13-518-33
when playing on Saturday16-10+3.642-37-3.5204-219+5.18-1830-43187-217
against division opponents43-34+0.8126-95+11.8519-596+27.534-4092-120508-565
in games played on a grass field37-38-6114-107+5.8450-658-79.734-36100-110528-534
in night games65-46+5.2182-143+10.9790-940-62.354-49137-168792-862
against right-handed starters62-47+3.1185-149-1.3872-1007-27.853-51138-181838-959
in playoff games1-102-4-1.612-14-1.81-13-310-15
after allowing 10 runs or more5-408-9-2.8102-130+6.27-112-3110-115
after a loss37-34-3.7117-101-1.7615-791-56.839-2895-111643-707
when playing against a team with a winning record50-43+0.2146-134-5.4589-778-4639-50115-151609-702
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season22-19-0.980-65+7.5326-431-10.817-2358-83336-394

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games98-65+19.4259-230-301570-1258-37.275-81235-2311311-1375
as a home underdog of +100 to +1250-3-34-12-7.450-58-30-36-946-53
in home games54-28+13.4135-111-25.8837-577-20.835-43124-109670-668
in October games1-0+11-3-258-40+191-03-148-45
when playing on Saturday16-11+243-37-3243-217-29.811-1541-36232-208
against division opponents45-32+7.6109-112-25.4639-542-43.431-45104-111566-564
in games played on a grass field87-58+14.2230-205-35.31386-1078-8.166-72207-2051125-1207
in night games69-50+9.8177-169-35.81081-859-28.460-53169-158909-935
against left-handed starters34-22+792-70+8.1440-390-50.522-3171-82386-407
in playoff games1-0+11-0+139-32+5.31-01-034-34
after a win53-44-1.9138-114-6.5866-699-35.345-49122-120757-739
when playing against a team with a winning record47-40+2.3132-129-11.5685-665-56.638-47121-129608-681
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season27-22+1.360-78-23.1355-379-58.619-3063-72329-375
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/21/2013COBB(R)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)5-1W-1457.5 unU760551
9/22/2013ROMERO(L)BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)3-1W+1057.5 ovU651350
9/23/2013ARCHER(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)5-4W-1257 ovO9801080
9/24/2013MOORE(L)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)7-0W-1057.5 unU9604112
9/25/2013PRICE(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)8-3W-1607.5 unO1590872
9/26/2013COBB(R)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R)4-0W-1307.5 unU1160330
9/27/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)3-6L-1307.5 ovO753872
9/28/2013ARCHER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)2-7L-1657.5 ovO6401280
9/29/2013MOORE(L)@ TORONTOREDMOND(R)7-6W-1807.5 ovO93012110
9/30/2013PRICE(L)@ TEXASPEREZ(L)5-2W-1207.5 unU780741
10/2/2013COBB(R)@ CLEVELANDSALAZAR(R)4-0W-1107 unU860991
10/4/2013MOORE(L)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)2-12L1307.5 ovO4501480
10/5/2013PRICE(L)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/21/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)2-4L-1458 unU541971
9/22/2013DOUBRONT(L)TORONTODICKEY(R)5-2W-1508.5 unU610650
9/24/2013LACKEY(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R)3-8L-15010 ovO7601172
9/25/2013PEAVY(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)15-5W-12010 ovO16701061
9/27/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)12-3W-1307.5 ovO1660850
9/28/2013LESTER(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)5-6L-1258 unO14901271
9/29/2013WEBSTER(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)6-7L1358.5 unO13901081
10/4/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)12-2W-1407.5 ovO1480450
10/5/2013LACKEY(R)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games93-72+0.677-794.30.2560.3274.00.2410.302
Road Games42-42-5.839-404.30.2570.3244.20.2530.320
vs Right-handed Starters62-47+3.153-514.20.2560.3254.20.2430.300
Past 7 Games4-3+0.14-33.90.2240.2804.70.2750.340
Grass Games37-38-634-364.30.2570.3274.20.2530.317
Night Games65-46+5.254-494.50.2680.3393.90.2360.295
Division43-34+0.834-404.40.2580.3234.00.2320.300
Playoff games1-101-13.00.1850.2436.00.3150.367
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2560.327165560314334891680.03676594119173118315860149121
Road Games4.30.2570.324842908747258870.033442896183459785397266
Righty Starters4.20.2560.32510937109483271140.0344038478848767111449785
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.601.209504.72122024134319752627-24421870%
Road Games4.481.414243.3128121226231182627-1523874.2%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games98-65+19.475-815.30.2770.3454.00.2470.313
Home Games54-28+13.435-435.30.2860.3523.90.2420.304
vs Left-handed Starters34-22+722-315.10.2750.3403.70.2450.310
Past 7 Games4-3+0.26-18.30.3260.3734.70.2630.329
Grass Games87-58+14.266-725.30.2830.3484.10.2490.313
Night Games69-50+9.860-535.30.2780.3454.20.2500.316
Division45-32+7.731-454.90.2650.3293.70.2370.304
Playoff games1-0+11-012.00.3680.4422.00.1290.206
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.30.2770.345163568915785761780.038305861317125121915980142133
Home Games5.30.2860.352822775794311830.034172836405759480466876
Lefty Starters5.10.2750.340561925529190610.032731894373139751265047
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.701.315471.42051944474717346630-23332358.9%
Home Games3.661.336231.310194227238221816-9171160.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
DAVID PRICE recent results and season statistics
DAVID PRICE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.331.09810-827186.76.97869178162715114-13-7.315-10
Road Starts3.111.1028-315104.37.04336981217928-7-2.29-5
Last 3 Starts2.571.1432-03217.0662212163-0+32-1
DAVID PRICE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2013at TEXAS5-2-1207.5Win,UnderW9227014PEREZ(L)
9/25/2013at NY YANKEES8-3-1607.5Win,OverW7226108HUGHES(R)
9/20/2013BALTIMORE5-4-1807.5Win,Over 5229014HAMMEL(R)

JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.521.15710-1329189.36.58074179264016114-15-4.46-22
Home Starts2.471.0336-313917.0302579815779-4+3.22-10
Last 3 Starts3.800.8441-1321.37.1991553162-1+0.52-1
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/24/2013at COLORADO3-8-15010Loss,OverL6446315CHATWOOD(R)
9/19/2013BALTIMORE3-1-1308.5Win,UnderW9112128TILLMAN(R)
9/13/2013NY YANKEES8-4-1308.5Win,Over 6.3447103KURODA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 28-28 (-0.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
34 of 56 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.0 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 13-7 (+7.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
14 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.3 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 16-13 (+5.5 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
21 of 29 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+11.9 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 7-4 (+2.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+9.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/4/2013TAMPA BAY2+130 Over42050MOORE(L)L4.3782
 BOSTON12-1407.5 ovWin140280LESTER(L)W7.7233
9/12/2013BOSTON3-105 Under62171PEAVY(R) 6345
 TAMPA BAY4-1058 unWin61070HELLICKSON(R) 5.3343
9/11/2013BOSTON7+130  91060DEMPSTER(R) 5145
 TAMPA BAY3-1407.5 unOver610100COBB(R) 5.7373
9/10/2013BOSTON2+135  40130BUCHHOLZ(R)W5031
 TAMPA BAY0-1457 unUnder40040PRICE(L)L8230
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
DAVID PRICE vs. BOSTON since 1997
PRICE is 10-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.078.
His team's record is 12-8 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-10. (-1.5 units)
DAVID PRICE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/10/2013BOSTON0-2-1457Loss,UnderL8223009BUCHHOLZ(R)
7/29/2013at BOSTON2-1-1108Win,UnderW7.3112108DOUBRONT(L)
7/24/2013at BOSTON5-1-1108.5Win,UnderW9115104DOUBRONT(L)

JOHN LACKEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LACKEY is 12-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 14-7 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-9. (+2.2 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/10/2013at TAMPA BAY10-8+1307.5Win,Over 5.74410212COBB(R)
5/14/2013at TAMPA BAY3-5+1207.5Loss,OverL4.3559013MOORE(L)
9/9/2011at TAMPA BAY2-7-1259.5Loss,UnderL3555132DAVIS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-935, 113.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 56.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (235-181, +22.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1121-1127, -148.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (219-192, +0.4 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (844-752, -4.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-146, -7.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52% of the time since 1997. (954-881, -50.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 56.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-138, +23.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[OF] 08/03/2013 - Brandon Guyer 15-day DL (8/4) ( Finger )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
BOSTON
[C] 10/05/2013 - Jarrod Saltalamacchia is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Rest )
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 60-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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