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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:35 PM
DENVER (0-2) AT MIAMI (1-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
505: DENVER
506: MIAMI
200.5
-8.0
82.0 / 93.0
102.0 / 105.5
0-2
1-1
0-2
1-1
0-2
1-1
37.8%
50.7%
60.5%
82.2%
25.0%
41.7%
42.1%
47.2%
76.9%
83.7%
30.0%
51.0%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DENVER  
MIAMI-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DENVER - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games0-287-72649-6370-271-84640-6400-292-70609-704
as an underdog0-040-24360-3640-030-30350-3740-025-39209-535
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-011-571-750-06-1070-780-04-1233-119
in road games0-250-33319-3280-238-42318-3300-236-47215-446
in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points0-016-1153-560-012-1448-610-012-1537-73
in November games0-14-9101-990-16-8100-980-18-6102-103
first half of the season0-215-21210-2090-215-18216-1990-220-17199-229
on Saturday games0-014-897-1050-011-1198-1100-013-995-115
when playing on back-to-back days0-019-18131-1770-019-16154-1560-020-17113-204
against Southeast division opponents0-113-447-290-16-1041-340-113-453-24
after a non-conference game0-128-20213-2200-126-21230-1990-130-19195-250
in non-conference games0-232-18226-2120-225-23230-2050-236-14220-226
off a upset loss as a favorite0-116-1379-790-116-1386-720-121-983-78
after a loss by 10 points or more0-014-9192-1680-013-10176-1790-014-9155-217

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games1-198-93684-6951-192-99644-7261-1135-59796-610
as a favorite1-188-79417-4201-179-87401-4261-1125-44617-236
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points1-018-1789-931-020-1486-901-025-10139-46
in home games1-050-47337-3581-047-51327-3631-079-20470-239
in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points0-03-832-190-04-617-350-010-148-5
in November games0-12-1384-1190-110-590-1090-17-898-108
first half of the season1-118-21206-2181-118-21192-2271-130-10236-197
on Saturday games0-09-1198-960-010-1186-1060-016-5114-85
when playing on back-to-back days0-018-21154-1480-019-18135-1630-028-11170-140
against Northwest division opponents0-011-1040-410-013-752-280-013-845-36
in non-conference games0-030-28223-2110-032-26212-2210-037-22239-206
off a upset loss as a favorite0-019-22107-1190-023-1996-1250-028-14133-100
after a loss by 10 points or more0-013-7133-1270-013-8136-1260-015-6137-134
after scoring 85 points or less0-013-9168-1710-010-12163-1680-017-5190-158
when playing against a team with a losing record0-035-36294-2890-034-36283-2930-059-12416-183
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DENVER - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games0-2-3.70-20-282.037.537.8%59.093.052.042.1%56.0
Road Games0-2-3.70-20-282.037.537.8%59.093.052.042.1%56.0
Last 5 Games0-2-3.70-20-282.037.537.8%59.093.052.042.1%56.0
DENVER Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)82.037.532-8637.8%5-2225.0%11-1960.5%591520197175
vs opponents surrendering8237.532-8637.8%6-2225.0%12-1960.5%591620207175
Team Stats (Road Games)82.037.532-8637.8%5-2225.0%11-1960.5%591520197175
Stats Against (All Games)93.052.036-8542.1%6-2030.0%15-1976.9%5612211910139
vs opponents averaging935236-8642.1%6-2030.0%15-2076.9%56122119101310
Stats Against (Road Games)93.052.036-8542.1%6-2030.0%15-1976.9%5612211910139

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games1-1-1.51-11-1102.053.050.7%43.0105.554.547.2%43.5
Home Games1-0+11-01-0120.062.054.4%40.0107.054.052.0%43.0
Last 5 Games1-1-1.51-11-1102.053.050.7%43.0105.554.547.2%43.5
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)102.053.038-7550.7%7-1841.7%18-2282.2%43621196145
vs opponents surrendering96.84937-7748.5%8-1840.5%15-1884.3%46822187175
Team Stats (Home Games)120.062.043-7954.4%8-1650.0%26-3281.2%4052520885
Stats Against (All Games)105.554.537-7947.2%12-2451.0%18-2183.7%431025227131
vs opponents averaging100.848.536-7945.4%12-2549.5%16-2083.5%431025218142
Stats Against (Home Games)107.054.039-7552.0%6-1346.2%23-2882.1%43724234152
Average power rating of opponents played: DENVER 95,  MIAMI 98.5
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DENVER - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
10/31/2012@ PHILADELPHIA75-84L-1.5L197U33-8837.5%642030-8535.3%5615
11/2/2012@ ORLANDO89-102L-6L198U32-8438.1%541442-8648.8%5611
11/3/2012@ MIAMI              
11/6/2012DETROIT              
11/7/2012@ HOUSTON              
11/9/2012UTAH              
11/10/2012@ GOLDEN STATE              
11/12/2012@ PHOENIX              
11/15/2012MIAMI              
11/17/2012@ SAN ANTONIO              
11/19/2012@ MEMPHIS              

MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
10/30/2012BOSTON120-107W-6.5W187.5O43-7954.4%40839-7552.0%4315
11/2/2012@ NEW YORK84-104L-6L199U33-7146.5%462136-8442.9%4412
11/3/2012DENVER              
11/5/2012PHOENIX              
11/7/2012BROOKLYN              
11/9/2012@ ATLANTA              
11/11/2012@ MEMPHIS              
11/12/2012@ HOUSTON              
11/14/2012@ LA CLIPPERS              
11/15/2012@ DENVER              
11/17/2012@ PHOENIX              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
DENVER is 17-13 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 15-15 straight up against DENVER since 1996
16 of 29 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1996
DENVER is 9-6 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 10-5 straight up against DENVER since 1996
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
01/13/2012MIAMI104-3.5 Over5338-8146.9%7-1643.7%21-2972.4%471417
 DENVER117210.5SU ATS5543-7855.1%12-2548.0%19-2673.1%46818
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DENVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 50.7% of the time since 1996. (520-505)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (70-50)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.1% of the time since 1996. (525-544)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (75-75)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 48.7% of the time since 1996. (543-571)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 46% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (64-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.6% of the time since 1996. (626-565)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (88-88)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DENVER
[G/F] 10/19/2012 - Julyan Stone out indefinitely ( Hip )
[C] 11/02/2012 - Timofey Mozgov "?" Saturday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[F] 11/03/2012 - Danilo Gallinari injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
MIAMI
[F/C] 10/19/2012 - Joel Anthony out indefinitely ( Hamstring )
[C] 11/02/2012 - Dexter Pittman "?" Saturday vs. Denver ( Quad )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Dwyane Wade "?" Saturday vs. Denver ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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